Five Questions
I did this last year for several series, and many of you liked the format. So with the upcoming four-game series against the now-division leading Reds, I thought I'd do it again, this time with JD from the Red Reporter.
First are my questions for him:
Q: The Reds are challenging for first place in the Central. But they had a good start two years ago, too, and fell flat in the 2nd half. What's different now that would make you optimistic?
A: The pitching is so much better this year than in the past, specifically the starting pitching. Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo have both been quite good, and the Reds have had nice surprises so far with Eric Milton and Elizardo Ramirez. Management also seems to have a clue and a desire to win, which wasn't the case in the Dan O'Brien/Carl Lindner era. The Reds offense has been pretty solid for the last few years, but it's always been the pitching holding them down, and for at least the first couple of months of this season they've been a much more complete team.
Q: What are the biggest reasons for the Reds' good start?
A: Their health has been a big plus. The Reds have had a few injuries (Griffey missed a month, Milton spent time on the DL), but for the most part they've been healthy, and I might go so far as to call them the healthiest team in the NL Central so far.
And I can't understate how much better the pitching has been. There are still problems with the bullpen, but the starters have been tremendously improved. Walks are down (I think the Reds are first in walks allowed in the NL) and strikeouts are up. Aaron Harang is developing into an upper echelon starter (don't believe me? look at the numbers, 3.65 ERA, 80 K in 79 IP, 4.21 K/BB) and Bronson Arroyo seems to be taking a step or two forward.
Q: What's gotten into Bronson Arroyo? Do you think he can keep it up -- both pitching AND hitting -- all year?
A: I'm sure coming back to the NL has helped, since hitters aren't as familiar with him, but if you look at his K/9 rate you'll see that it's up quite a bit this year. Last year it was 4.38, this year he's striking out 7.08 batter per nine innings. I think if he keeps his K rate up then he'll be a good bet to continue his early success.
I have no idea what's causing the hitting, but it's certainly nice to see. He seems to own Glendon Rusch.
Q: Which Cub player do you, as a Reds fan, fear most?
A: Derrek Lee for sure. He's a beast, and I think his injury has hurt you guys alot more than the injuries to Prior and Wood. He seems to be the one guy in the Cubs lineup willing to go deep into counts, and his power is pretty ridiculous. It's funny, I didn't really see his career developing the way it has, but he's really thrived in Chicago.
Q:I've read at Red Reporter how much Reds fans seem to resent Cub fans coming to Cincinnati for games there. You'll probably see a fairly large sea of blue at GABP this weekend. Why all the dislike?
A: I think it's pretty natural to hate teams that travel well. You see it in the NFL with the Steelers, in college football with Ohio State ... it's a little annoying to see fans of another team in your "home". Obviously Reds fans only have ourselves to blame, since we're not buying all the tickets, but these things aren't rational. I also think that while there are alot of intelligent and long suffering Cubs fans, there are also quite a few who are just in it for the Wrigley Field experience, fans who don't really care whether the Cubs are winning or losing. They tend to give the rest of Cubs fans a bad name.
Now, JD's questions for me and my answers:
Q: What did you think when the Cubs signed Tony Womack?
A: Like most Cub fans, I was appalled at this signing. It seemed worthless. Womack somehow popped out a decent year for the Cardinals in 2004, and got signed by the Yankees as a result. He was bad last year, and didn't play much for the Reds, which I suppose is why they let him go, especially after they signed Brandon Phillips.
I knew he'd get a lot of playing time, because he is Dusty Baker's "type" of player -- baserunning speed, but no way of getting on base in the first place.
He's been -- well, not terrible. It was still a silly signing; all it did was prevent Ryan Theriot, an actual useful young 2B, from playing.
Q: What on earth has happened to Juan Pierre, and how long are the Cubs going to hit him leadoff when his OBP is at .287?
A: The problem is that the Cubs don't really have any other leadoff options. You're right, the .287 OBP is just about as bad as Corey Patterson's was in the leadoff spot last year. It seems he tries to bunt every single time up, and every team in the league knows it. He doesn't walk, so he HAS to hit to be useful.
I wish they had another choice. But they don't.
Q: Do you think the Cubs made a mistake in getting rid of Corey Patterson? He always seemed to have so much talent to me, and it looks like he might be finding himself a little bit in Baltimore.
A: Patterson's last year with the Cubs was so poisoned that even though he COULD have been a decent fit in right field this year, there's no way he could have had the year he's had so far in Baltimore, in Chicago. He was booed relentlessly -- not just for his performance, but his attitude toward his performance (he was perceived as not caring, not wanting to make adjustments, not take coaching suggestions, or when he did, there were "too many" such suggestions). Had he started slowly with the Cubs this year (as he did in Baltimore), the booing would have absolutely killed him.
Sometimes players have to move on to succeed. I'm still not convinced he's for real, but if so, he may be one of those players.
Q: You guys have been hit pretty hard with the injury bug this season, and the first couple of months haven't gone very well. Do you think the season is over, or do you still have hope that getting Derrek Lee back can get the team into the Wild Card race?
A: Well, obviously after the last two days, getting one run total in two games off a pitcher with an ERA orbiting Mars, and another making his first ML start, obviously the Cubs could use Lee back, especially when you consider this: with Todd Walker playing first base most of the time, the lineup substitution is Womack for Lee. Or Neifi Perez for Lee.
I think you can see how that just doesn't work in terms of scoring many, or ANY, runs.
Lee will help. But the Cubs may be in too deep of a hole to get out.
Q: Is Dusty Baker a plus or a minus? The thing that has really defined the Cubs offense in recent years, at least to me, is their inability to take a walk. Lots of hitters go up and swing at the first thing they see, and the organizational philosophy seems to be okay with that (see the Juan Pierre, Neifi Perez, Tony Womack acquisitions). It seems like Dusty wants hitters to be too agressive, at least to this outsider. And this is without even discussing the pitch count question, and his perceived tendency to ride young pitchers pretty hard. Do you think the Cubs would be better off with someone else at the helm?
A: BCB readers know well that I am NOT an advocate of firing Baker now. Yes, his managerial tendencies are clearly well known -- as you have articulated quite well in your question. He doesn't seem to understand lineup construction -- he keeps putting the "speed guys" in the #2 slot, without comprehending that they can't "steal first base", as the old saw goes.
For this year, I blame Jim Hendry for not putting together a team that could withstand the injuries that have been suffered, and for spending $16 million on Jacque Jones (who is hitting well now, yes, but I'd NEVER have given him a three-year deal), and $2.5 million on Neifi Perez and Glendon Rusch.
I saw what happened in 2003. Baker can be the PERFECT manager, given the right combination of players. He had a similar pattern in San Francisco -- a great first year, then three down years (90+ losses in the third), then suddenly a division title the next.
Right now, firing Baker means nothing. At the end of the season, I'll re-evaluate.
0 recs |
53 comments
Comments
The problem with Dusty....
He does not have it now. He most likely will not have it next year. Why delay the inevitable? Fire him and his clown coaches now!
by timeforachange on Jun 8, 2006 9:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Why would you say...
by Al on Jun 8, 2006 9:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Point of Information
And could a sausage manage a "perfect" team?
My "perfect" team would have to include a manager who doesn't believe that "walks clog up bases".
Good Lord!
by Romero on Jun 8, 2006 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Al,
CF, LF (debatable) two, possibly three starting pitchers. A closer, ect...
The FA market next year is weak. The Cubs will have to make trades and get lucky. Because of the mess that this team is, they will have a lot less room for error. I am not saying it is impossible, but it will be difficult. There are very few last to first stories.
by timeforachange on Jun 8, 2006 9:19 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think....
He walks too many batters and has been very hittable of late.
Do you really think he is a top notch closer?
by timeforachange on Jun 8, 2006 9:31 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The trouble this year has been...
Dempster signed a multiyear deal this past offseason. It's unlikely he'll be traded.
by Al on Jun 8, 2006 9:40 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i have trouble
by mike bornemann on Jun 8, 2006 9:47 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
al
by ksucubbie on Jun 8, 2006 9:23 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I still think...
Jim Hendry has to take charge of this team as he did in 2003 and put the right people on the field. And stop relying too much on pitchers who are always hurt.
by Al on Jun 8, 2006 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
but...
by billswersky on Jun 8, 2006 9:32 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
by Johnny Callison was a Cub on Jun 8, 2006 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What...
by timeforachange on Jun 8, 2006 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well heck, Al
I'll take Pujols at 1b, Jeter at SS, Ortiz to DH (did I mention I'm going to manage in the AL?), Loretta at 2b, Cabrera at 3b (he'd better not pull any crap with me), and Ichiro, Manny, and Damon in the outfield. Piazza behind the plate.
I love walks and I'm careful with my pitchers.
I really think this is my year.
by cubbiejulie on Jun 8, 2006 9:53 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But..
Yeah, didn't think so Jules... NEXT!!
by Sarah Hope on Jun 8, 2006 9:55 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder if she has the stylish spectacles though.
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 10:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually, I do.
by cubbiejulie on Jun 8, 2006 10:37 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I will buy you the chewing sticks then...
If I make it to Wrigley this summer I will make a sign.
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just so you know,
Freddie Bynum will be replaced in the lineup by Yosh Kawano. Yosh has really been showing me something lately. . .
by cubbiejulie on Jun 8, 2006 10:48 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
If they lose...
by sparkles721 on Jun 8, 2006 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh boy..
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
now you have my vote
[dam@it i'm ready to see something different] i hate this losing!
by wheatfield mike on Jun 8, 2006 12:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I got something that will cheer you up:
Its Peanut-Butter Jelly Time! :)
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you CJ...
by Reverend Jim Ignatowski on Jun 8, 2006 10:22 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The real question is....
by ontheuptick on Jun 8, 2006 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd go...
Come on Julie. Damon? How about Grady Sizemore?
by sparkles721 on Jun 8, 2006 11:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Joe Mauer ..
Mauer hits for average and has gap power.. He also is a good defensive catcher imagine a left handed Michael Barrett with a better average a little less power and a superior arm and game calling ability.
Plus as Sparkles so eloquently put it.. he is young and cute...
Sizemore is another guy I would like on my team slide him in that two slot. High OBP, High Effort guy. Has some power but won't ever hit 35-40 more realistically he is a 25-30 guy. But both of these players are essentially untouchable..
Mauer is in the 3rd year of his 6 year service time (FA in 09')
and
Sizemore recently just signed a 6 year deal that will make him an Indian till he is through his prime.
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sigh.
Who would you rather have now? My vote goes to Mauer -- currently hitting .371/.429/.526, and playing great defense.
And he's only 23. If the Twins are smart they'll lock him up to a contract like the deals the Indians gave Kenny Lofton, etc. back when they were young players, which helped the Tribe to a several-year playoff run and two WS appearances.
by Al on Jun 8, 2006 1:05 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still hold...
Prior can and will be a dominant force in this league.. It took Jose Contreras 1/2 a year to return from this same subcap sprain.. and 3 years later.. Contreras is now looking like a dominant pitcher in this league and someone the Cubs would give a ton to obtain. Point being lets not close the book on another young mid-20's guy especially when we have him under contract for another 2 years after this one.
Keep your chin up and roll with the punches.
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of which...
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 1:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just got my tickets
by Bill M on Jun 8, 2006 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Twinkies
by tony412 on Jun 8, 2006 1:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hunter is.....
by timeforachange on Jun 8, 2006 1:22 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My Team's Better
Pujols (assuming healthy) 1st
Loretta 2nd
Cabrera 3rd
A-Rod SS
I Rod C
Ichiro RF
Manny LF
A. Jones CF
Thome DH
Bench
Mauer
C Lee
Rollen
M Tejada
Bynum
Neffi
Pitchers
Zambrano
Maddux
Marshall
Prior (DL)
Wood (DL)
Williams
Eyre
Howry
Dempster
Wagner
Mussina
Contreras
This team wins. Even if I hate walks when batting and do not care about them when pitching and abuse the heck out of my pitching staff.
by Frustrated Fan on Jun 8, 2006 1:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Baker's hack and pout
by mike bornemann on Jun 8, 2006 9:33 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Re
If it takes giving Baker a perfect team for him to be a winner, then either Baker has to stop acting like he's the GM (which isn't going to happen under Hendry) or Baker needs to go. The sooner, the better.
Visit The Digital Gazette
by Jed Taylor on Jun 9, 2006 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
As far as the Reds resentment for Cubs fans goes..
He said that Cubs fans come in and say "Yeah, you guys don't know how to run your stadium, so we'll just come in and run it for you."
Yeah, if anyone can translate that for me, let me know. It doesn't make any sense to me.
by Sarah Hope on Jun 8, 2006 9:58 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Translation
Back in my Miwaukee days Miller Park would have sometimes 15,000 for a game against the Pirates, but the fans started showing up for games against the Cubs when it became obvious that if they didn't take the tickets we would.
by flyball on Jun 8, 2006 10:12 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just hope
Am I the only one that is aware that it is June 8th?
by Sarah Hope on Jun 8, 2006 10:19 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is June 8th Now?
by cubsfan2883 on Jun 8, 2006 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'll be there
by bjcub on Jun 8, 2006 12:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hear hear!
by Sarah Hope on Jun 8, 2006 12:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heckling Reds fans on the coast
At the end when it was clear the Dodgers were totally stymied by Maddux and the game won by the Cubs (wow, that seems ages ago now!) he said something like, we'll see you back at Comerica, to which someone replied, yes you will - and 12,000 other Cubs fans too. That shut his pie-hole.
by JFCubFan on Jun 8, 2006 12:29 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reds
I admit though, I hate to see all that black and white at Wrigley. And I know the Cubs have gotten served pretty well this year but leave the waiter/waitress attire at home.
by tony412 on Jun 8, 2006 1:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
They've done that
by Sarah Hope on Jun 8, 2006 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just heard Paul Sullivan on the Score
by mgfabc on Jun 8, 2006 1:31 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I read the same thing in the trib:
"We're not the ones who are uptight," second baseman Tony Womack said.
So who is uptight?
The fans? The media? The coaching staff? The front office?
Womack did not elaborate, preferring to leave it to everyone's imagination.
Is this is something we should be concerned about? They don't seem to feel the sense of urgency that we (or I at least) do.
by cubbieblue on Jun 8, 2006 1:39 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Greenberg
Adam Greenberg to the LA Dodgers Double A. Go for justice! I hope he makes his way back to the show.
In the meantime, great responses, Al. I agree with nearly everything you said about this year and Baker.
by Woodstock on Jun 8, 2006 1:44 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks Al
by Stan Cox on Jun 8, 2006 2:19 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Why wouldn't they be upbeat?
Get picked off a base? No worries.
Won't take a pitch? Walks "clog the bases".
Get thrown out trying to stretch a double into a triple? Just being agressive.
Can't lay down a bunt? My teams have always been fundamentally sound.
Oh and by the way, please don't boo.
NO ACCOUNTABLILITY....EVER.
From the top on down.
No answers......just contract extensions.
by Peoria Matt on Jun 8, 2006 4:11 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
but
by mike bornemann on Jun 8, 2006 7:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reds lineup
- R Freel, CF .273 3 10 12
- F Lopez, SS .282 6 23 17
- R Aurilia, 3B .273 7 23 1
- A Dunn, LF .232 18 35 1
- A Kearns, RF .282 12 38 2
- S Hatteberg, 1B .293 3 14 0
- B Phillips, 2B .312 5 34 11
- D Ross, C .339 5 16 0
- B Arroyo, P .156 2 6 0
by Ernieboy on Jun 8, 2006 5:53 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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