Saturday Morning Headlines
Just a few things today:
- Gordon Wittenmyer: The Fukudome pursuit continues, even with Kaz Matsui signing elsewhere.
- And don't worry, Fukudome is definitely coming to the US, says Jerry Crasnick.
- Paul Sullivan: Kerry Wood will get his shot to close, but needs to show he can "handle the workload" first.
- Bruce Miles: says the catching job is Geovany Soto's, and center field is Felix Pie's.
- Season-ticket prices are going up an average of 16 percent. Get ready for the single-game $50 bleacher ticket. That link also says the Cubs are "are considering more advertising in the ballpark."
- Troy Percival signs a two-year, $8M deal with Tampa.
- Cesar Izturis signs with the Cardinals. Prediction: by July 31 they'll desperately be trying to dump him.
- No Santanas were harmed in the making of this post.
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You forgot to mention that Lou Pinella
I had forgotten about this.
Saturday, December 1, 12:00-2:00pm
Cubs Manager Lou Piniella will throw out the first pitch at Binny's South Loop Saturday, December 1st, 12-2pm. $20 per person includes wine & beer tasting. No charge for children under 18. All proceeds will be donated to The Foundation for Retinal Research.
Call (312)768-4400 or email southloop@binnys.com for more information.
Hope Lou enjoys getting stuck in the ice/snow/sleet storm that's heading our way after this event is over. The address of the store is 1132 S. Jefferson Street, Chicago, IL 60607
And perhaps also...
It seems the Tribune purchase has officially cleared the FCC hurdle.
by Damen Jackson on Dec 1, 2007 9:23 AM CST up reply actions
How can anyone say that CF is Pie's?
If Pie struggles in ST or even in the beginning of the season, the Cubs will not have much patience with him, especially if some others in the system, are hitting.
Especially if the Cubs somehow do pull off the Fukudome signing, then Pie definitely won't be handed the CF job as Fukudome could play CF in need be and Murton and Pagan can platoon RF.
Ok, so Piniella said it lol
If anyone wants to make a friendly wager on whether or not Pie will be the starting CF at the All Star break, I'd be more than willing to take them up on it.
Who would be your alternative in CF?
Dan
Good question
To answer your question, like I said, if the Cubs do sign Fukudome, that would take a little pressure off of the Cubs of committing to Pie in CF this season, because Fukudome could man down CF this season if need be and Pagan and Murton could platoon in RF.
Pagan...
I'm not sure you could count on him in a platoon role.
Pie's ready. He has been mashing AAA pitching for a year and a half. If you'll look through his career, he has always struggled when moved up to the next level, then adjusted and raked. He'll be 23 in March. It's his time. Remember that last year he never really got consistent time actually in the lineup for more than a few days at the major league level.
It's time to either give him the job or trade him. His value in trade will never be higher. Personally, I'd just put him out there in CF and let him start.
Pagan
I"m not so sure that the Cubs are at the point where they let Pie sink or swim yet. He's still only 23 years old and if he's working on things with his swing in Winter ball, than maybe it wouldn't be such a bad idea to let him solidify those changes in AAA for a bit.
But I agree that that's best case scenario because the Cubs might not have anyone other than Pie to play CF next season.
Man I hope you're right and every other Cub fan that is about Pie, because I'm not so sure Pie is the real deal and the Cubs CF of the future. Looks like, we'll find out one way or the other in '08. Hope I'm wrong.
Are we forgetting someone?
with Pie for the starting job in spring training . May the the
best 5'10" nice Jewish boy win. Just kidding. I like Pie and his
arm is fantastic but he needs to work not only on his bat but
on his baseball I.Q.
by jessica on Dec 1, 2007 12:41 PM CST up reply actions
why on earth
last season minor league #'s
Fuld (AA, age 25) .290/.372/.388 in 335 ABs
Pie (AAA, age 22) .362/.410/.563 in 229 ABs
at a higher level Pie posted significantly better numbers
why on earth would this even be a comparison....
i understand we like Fuld because he's the underdog gritty little guy who made a nice defensive play in RF in 1 game....
but c'mon.... Felix Pie is a SIGNIFICANTLY better player RIGHT NOW than Sam Fuld will likely ever be
by DartmouthCubsFan on Dec 1, 2007 1:43 PM CST up reply actions
It's because
But you are exactly right with what you say.
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 2:10 PM CST up reply actions
Just want to point out, for the record...
That is all.
Seriously?
.258/.298/.414
Theriot career:
.276/.341/.379
Yes, I'm aware that Patterson has nearly five times as many career AB. Looks like a wash to me, though.
Oh, come on, Jessica.
There's no way Fuld wins the starting job. Want to owe me some more Big Gulps? Let's bet, shall we?
I agree
This Fuld/Pie talk is really what you would expect from a GM before they start trying to make deals. What's he going to say, we are screwed in CF?
According to "Vineline"
(This, at press time of Vineline.)
Quoting Solar Sox infielder Joe Simokaitis:
So, the experience Fuld picked up at the tail-end of last season, and the glimpse of talent he displayed shouldn't be discounted. Maybe he needs another year at Iowa, but he could be one to watch. Or, at the very least, valuable trade material for another need.
The kid may be able to play.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Dec 1, 2007 3:06 PM CST up reply actions
wow
oh wait the arizona fall league is filled with rehabbing pitchers and low level guys.... and EVERYONE their rakes....
and Fuld is 6 and 7 years older than all these players....
by DartmouthCubsFan on Dec 1, 2007 3:16 PM CST up reply actions
Thanks for the sarcasm, DCF
What I IMPLIED is that the talent in the system shouldn't be discounted. To use a Bill James axiom, 'players tend to have career years at 27 or 28.' The career year for a star would be HUGE -- but for a guy like Fuld, enough to get a couple of years of MLB service, at that age, he might be able to possibly be used as a role player.
Or, as I said -- trade bait.
Ease off -- sorry to have irritated you so.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Dec 1, 2007 3:23 PM CST up reply actions
and
the vast majority of the pitchers pitching in the Arizona Fall League are not advanced guys, so its not a great league to evaluate a 27 year old
by DartmouthCubsFan on Dec 1, 2007 3:25 PM CST up reply actions
Fuld is 26.
Fuld will go to spring training with a chance to make the team. I think he's earned at least that.
If you want to see his AFL stats as fluke
A. He has lost two seasons to injury and B what the hell difference does it make because he was hitting against the same
pitching and he was better. So yes maybe the AFL was some sun stroke aberation in Fuld's career but is not some crap league that any player can just hit .402 in. Fuld already has a great arm,
great speed and the best intangible he is a smart player ( and not because he went to Stanford).
Odds are he will end up a bench player but don't be surprised if
he gives Pie a real competition for the starting job.
by jessica on Dec 1, 2007 4:34 PM CST up reply actions
few things
- we're talking about 109 AB's
- here's the list of pitchers on the Solar Sox (as an example)
Jim Bartheimer
Justin Berg
Mitch Boggs
Tim Dillard
Daniel Haigwood
Kyle Jackson
Brad James
Dave Johnson
Grant Johnson
Hunter Jones
Jason Motte
Josh Muecke
Chris Perez
Stuart Pomerantz
Chad Reinke
Rocky Roquet
Mitch Stetter
Jose Vaquedano
there isnt a "top" prospect in the bunch
top pitching prospects arent sent to the AFL unless they were hurt and hadn't pitched much, because most teams don't want to overextend their top prospects. So the pitchers in the AFL are usually low level guys or guys organizations want to take a look at to evaluate a bit more before they decide to protect them in the rule 5 draft
a quote from John Sickels about the AFL in 2001 (granted its dated)
"The level of hitting in the league is very strong this year, but the pitching is weak. This is a chicken-egg thing of course, and the problem has gotten bad enough that the league instituted a "10 Run Rule" like in Little League: if one team is ahead by 10 or more runs in the seventh inning, the game ends. I saw four games, and the rule was invoked twice."
3) all other OF's on the Solar Sox were born in 85 or 86, Fuld was born in 81
with the exception of guys that were injured throughout the season, the league is filled with 21-23 year old players.
Now is it an impressive 109 AB span for Fuld, yes it is. But i'll take the longer history of his minor league career and the comparisons to all other minor leaguers posting similar statistics at similar ages to draw a very simple conclusion that Fuld is no better than a 4th OF for his career and shouldn't be considered a competitor to Pie for the CF job
of course this organization has done some silly things in the past.... so maybe there's a chance of it happening
by DartmouthCubsFan on Dec 1, 2007 5:50 PM CST up reply actions
Maybe we could platoon Fuld
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 6:54 PM CST up reply actions
And again
Al's thoughts about equivalent players to Fuld is where I really think this guy is going to end up.
Or he's going to be a "4A" guy. But still, if a guy dominates what you describe to be a 'weak' league, it means something -- it probably means that he's far and away too good for that league.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Dec 1, 2007 7:22 PM CST up reply actions
I saw Fuld in the AFL about 6 times...
Only thing I can think of is that CF in Arizona is brutally harder than anywhere else.....anywhere. Many times pop flies dropped due to CF losing the ball in the high skies and maybe didn't want to expose him to that??? Then again, the Cubs do have ST in AZ so that really doesn't make sense.
Naturally I was impressed with Fuld in the AFL but again I took it with a grain of salt, because this years crop overall was really poor. Like Jessica mentioned, in years past the AFL has seen some of the best prospects in the game and I believe I read somewhere that last years All Star game included something like 23 players who played ball in the AFL. The thing though that impressed me about Fuld, is he had a not great arm, but a very good arm and all his throws I saw were bullets and very accurate.
The arm...
Pie played consistently in June
I hope he's the greatest player to ever put on a baseball uniform but if he tanks this time the Cubs won't even have a JJ quality back up on the bench. He'll be playing without a net and it could be ugly.
by TR on Dec 1, 2007 2:20 PM CST up reply actions
The net
Honestly, when you look at their minor league numbers, Cub fans should be more confident that Pie will succeed than you are that Soto will.
Over the course of one month last year, ROTY candidates...
Delmon Young hit .257/.276/.396
Chris Young (AZ) hit .196/.245/.392
James Loney hit .244/.303/.344
Dustin Pedroia hit .182/.308/.236
Troy Tulowitzki hit .244/.340/.390
Reggie Willits hit .231/.337/.269
Josh Fields hit .218/.274/.333
Growing pains are part of the game. Of course, then there's also your "established" stars who never struggle:
Again over the course of one month and about 100 ABs:
Ryan Zimmerman hit .236/.288/.327
Vernon Wells hit .221/.277/.298
Carlos Beltran hit .238/.267/.436
Alex Rodriguez hit .235/.361/.422
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 2:44 PM CST up reply actions
Agreed Al
I just hope he's taking Perry's advice seriously and working on getting on base, hitting the ball to left etc.... If he can do that the rest will come around. I wouldn't expect to have him hitting in the top of the lineup but that's okay too. Just give him a chace and hope for the best.
I'm really scratching my
Izzy
But you're right, Izzy could be the 2008 version of Bo Hart. The cardinals treat 2B/SS like most NFL teams treat kickers....dime a dozen....and somehow it usually works out for them.
by Ghost of Fred Merkle on Dec 1, 2007 8:56 AM CST up reply actions
A middle IF of Izturis and Adam Kennedy
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 1:06 PM CST up reply actions
Maybe LaRussa could
Mozeliak
Although the Cubs
Ticket price increase
Don't tell us, tell the Cubs
I think it was a big PR mistake to include a comparison to the Boston Red Sox in their price increase rationale. Huge mistake. About the only thing we have in common with the Red Sox is an old park. Well, that and Julian Tavarez. I think there have been enough good things in the Cubs recent history, i.e. last couple years, to justify a price increase on its own without mentioning the Red Sox. This assumes of course, that you can accept the high prices of these tickets to begin with.
I mean, c'mon, we all knew this was coming. So it's not so much what they're doing as it is how they're saying it. And by invoking the Boston Red Sox, they're just scratching a huge scab and making trouble for themselves.
That's not their job. It's our job. ;-)
Prior to the Padres?
Looks like he wants to pitch for San Diego. The article says that the Cubs have inquired about three different players in the SD farm system in a possible deal for Prior.
just posted a diary about this
Yankees blink first; include Hughes in offer
<< After two days of internal discussions among front-office executives, the Yankees swallowed hard Friday and decided to offer Phil Hughes to the Twins as part of the trade package they hope will land them Johan Santana.
"We're going for it," was the way one club source put it. >>
Now it's Boston's turn - it will be very interesting to see if they blink as well, and include Ellsbury.
I'd rather see that certain pitcher from the Twins in a Red Sox uniform than Yankees, but if he does end up in the Bronx, I think that pushes Jeter down to 3rd place on the salary list, maybe 4th if Clemens comes back for full year (doubtful I think). Could we be seeing Bronx Zoo II?
If that is true
Zero chance Ellsbury is part of any deal..
Yeah, now the latest intel seems to say
What I got out of the Lou quotes
- "Fukudome can play CF" lemon20pie is right that with Fukudome's versatility, Pie will have a chance, but the Cubs like the idea of a lefty bat that can play CF and RF so that they can fall back to Fukudome in CF if Pie bombs. Good plan.
- "If Fukudome goes elsewhere the bat would have to come by trade." Can we scratch Brad Wilkerson, Milton Bradley, Aaron Rowand, Sean Green, Andruw Jones, Geoff Jenkins, and Trot Nixon off the list now? Lou is not as careful in what he says about the Cubs trade/sign plans as Jim (remember, "get me someone that can catch the...ball"). So, who are the options by trade with Church gone? Josh Hamilton can play both CF and RF, but that's in-division. Maybe the fact that we helped the Reds acquire Hamilton in the first place would make a trade more likely. Throwing names out there which I haven't heard before - if the A's are going into fire sale mode, any chance Nick Swisher could be available? He'd be expensive.
- "If you hit left-handed and have speed we're interested." Ok, so with KazMat and LuCast gone, who is there? How much speed does this person need? And if he's just a bench player what is wrong with Eric Patterson having that role (is what they're really looking for a platoon partner for Theriot and that's why Eric's not an option?)
- All this open talk of Fukudome being THE OPTION - they must think they are frontrunners if not The Frontrunner if he comes to America. Of course, that doesn't mean the Giants won't swoop in and offer 18 mill a year.
- Samardzija had a set # of changeups he had to throw. Is it MPH73 who I remember really pushing for the Cubs to do exactly this with all their pitchers. I'm bullish on the ND PITCHER (not WR and not just a THROWER either).
- DeRosa as super-utility guy "that was the intention when we signed him a year ago" - is that news to DeRosa? He seemed to think the Cubs had promised him the full-time 2B job. So, maybe they aren't necessarily looking for a SS, but a 2B. Brian Roberts seems more and more likely, to me.
- "If Demp wants to start, we'll give him the chance in SPRING" The leash is short and Dempster will have to beat at least Marshall to win the job.
Yes, it was me
Hopefully they come around and get this going in the right direction.
Regarding CF; Piniella, Hendry and the gang are saying what they should be saying, and that is they feel the team is ok with either Pie or Fuld. Beyond that, would they jump at the opportunity to upgrade with a proven player in CF, I would think they would but it may not be something they can do. Fukudome is becoming more important as each day goes on. If they can't get him, it could be scramble time to load up some prospects in a trade. Fukudome only cost them dough, so it's clearly what they want to do.
Scramble time
How much do you think it would cost to get Hamilton from the Reds to play RF/CF?
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 1:39 PM CST up reply actions
At this point
Yes, but
Reds - Hamilton/Griffey
A's - Buck/Swisher
Jays - Lind (can he play RF?)
Red Sox - Drew
Yankees - Matsui (the good one)/Abreu
M's - Balentien
Rangers - Catalanatto
D'backs - Quentin
Royals - DeJesus/Teahen
And if someone beats the Cubs out for Fukudome, I'm expecting it to be the Giants, which would mean Winn should be available (although his splits heavily favor him hitting as a right-hander, so he's not quite what we're looking for).
I also think that if the Cubs miss Fukudome, they should just forget about "balancing the lineup" and look to upgrade at SS, which gives us a whole other batch of trade options.
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 2:26 PM CST up reply actions
options not that great....
and as you can see from a lot of these trade rumors floating around this year that the Cubs aren't involved in... we dont have a lot of SIGNIFICANT pieces. We have a lot of B or C level pieces. We have quantity for the most part and not as much quality
so cross off: Buck, Swisher, Lind, Balentin
contending teams without excess arent in the business of trading away key pieces unless the contract is HORRIBLE
so cross off: Matsui, Abreu
so now we're down to dejesus, quentin, jd drew, griffey, and catallanotto
Griffey comes with some significant injury concerns, which we've all re-hashed here before and the other guys well.... lets just evaluate them offensively with another Cubs mystery player
Player OPS/OPS +
Dejesus .723/89
Teahen .763/98
quentin .647/63
drew .796//105
mystery cub .790/100
i think the mystery cub would deserve a chance at playing.... as oppose to using current assets to acquire potential players that arent even as good as the current guy we have...
but maybe thats just too crazy of an idea
by DartmouthCubsFan on Dec 1, 2007 3:17 PM CST up reply actions
From what I've read recently...
Fukudome's not a "great" option
Reviewing your comments from bottom to top - Quentin, DeJesus, and Drew all had down years and on each I'd bet for them to improve in '08 rather than stay where they are or regress. Your citing their OPS+s is deceptive. Is there anyone who would bet for Murton to have a better career than Quentin? Quentin is also better defensively in RF.
Teahen I won't bet on, but I know a lot of people think that was a down year from him. With Teahen, Drew, and DeJesus, you can platoon Murton.
Griffey with Murton as a backup who spells him regularly could be extremely productive.
Matsui/Abreu were being talked about as being on the trading block prior to Melky getting included (supposedly) in the Yankees Santana offer. If Melky stays, the Yanks will at least listen on Matsui/Abreu and may even shop one.
Balentien is blocked in Seattle and the M's need pitching. Lind just got blocked in Toronto. The price may be too high, but those teams will at least listen, and there's a chance the price goes low, if they like what the Cubs are offering. Remember what Seattle gave for Horacio Ramirez last year. Why wouldn't Sean Marshall be worth more than that?
I doubt Buck would be traded and Swisher is admittedly a longshot that would be very expensive.
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 4:08 PM CST up reply actions
Based on Murton's stats and Japanese trends...
I'd be okay with a Griffey/Murton semi-platoon, provided the trade cost is not too great. Griffey is a patient, diciplined hitter with terrific power, and would be a plus defensive player in RF. And he'd fill the #5 hitter role pretty much perfectly. The question would of course be what it would cost to obtain him.
Griffey couldn't stay healthy...
I was for a Griffey trade last year, but it really is too much to ask for him to stay healthy for a full season anywhere and especially at Wrigley.
*10 games at Wrigley.
The cost is an interesting question
I realize both have big health question marks, but if you believe Murton is plenty fine as the RF, then getting an injury-risk, high-reward player for that spot makes sense enough.
I'd rather have Griffey play only 50 games and Murton get a chance to shine then Geoff Jenkins play 150 games.
Anyway, the biggest problem with dealing with the Reds is that you would have to give them pitching and that's really hard to do in-division.
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 9:07 PM CST up reply actions
I would think it would cost more...
Hamilton has much more upside than Griffey, who is on his last leg literally and figuratively. I don't think there is a question on who is more injury prone between Hamilton and Griffey.
Then there's Griffey's contract, which would lower the level of prospects you would have to give up for him.
If the Cubs don't sign Fukudome, than Griffey is certainly an interesting option, albeit a very riskiy option and would strictly platoon. That's a lot of money to pay for a platoon player however.
As B.Levine stated today:
by TheEman on Dec 1, 2007 7:42 PM CST reply actions
Interesting.
I'd guess that'd make Mark DeRosa a supersub. Or traded. Too bad, I like DeRosa.
Unless they think Roberts can be converted into an outfielder... hmmmm....
I don't think Roberts
Roberts is a hard worker and would be a great addition to the Cubs if we have to have a lefty-speedy IF. He's one of the few I'd be glad to see.
by DGU on Dec 1, 2007 8:55 PM CST up reply actions
I think Roberts may be an upgrade over DeRosa...
That would allow DeRosa to be a super-utility guy, filling in at 1B, 2B, 3B, and RF (probably spelling doom for Murton if it happened). I wouldn't have agreed with the move if it had been Matsui replacing DeRosa, but with Roberts we wouldn't be taking a step backwards.
That said, it would depend greatly on what it took to get Roberts via trade. There doesn't seem to be a reason to want to move him on Baltimore's part: he's productive and I don't think they have a better player to replace him at 2B. The only reason I could see would be to try to get young pitching or if they're afraid they'd lose him to free agency.
Al - no way
No way. Absolutely Mark DeRosa would stay as an incredible super sub. You've seen hi, play 3B! Think A-Ram is going to play every game?
I would think IF Roberts came over, DeRo would still play 4X a week or more.
He is "cheap" by this years' standards, too.
I would be truly surprised if he went in a deal - he is very valuable, terrific production, TEAM player. After his 2007 Playoff GIDP, I think he'd do what he'd have to...
by TheEman on Dec 1, 2007 10:18 PM CST reply actions
Hypothetically
If the Cubs did get Roberts in a trade, Derosa becomes expendable and even a nice piece to a trade to address another position.
Having said that, I think it's a long shot the Cubs trade for Roberts.
If the Cubs traded for Roberts
In my mind, to trade for Roberts you probably need to get some prospects by trading DeRosa to flip to Baltimore in order to be able to pay the price. I'm imagining a three-way trade with Philly, where they get DeRosa for 3B, the Cubs get Roberts, and the O's get an appropriate haul of prospects from both teams.
Cabrera good as gone?
Can't post a link, my right click on my mouse seems to have died.
The GM meetings should be good
Chone Figgens, then?
by TheEman on Dec 2, 2007 10:51 AM CST up reply actions
AL - Fukudome??
by TheEman on Dec 2, 2007 10:52 AM CST reply actions
No news, unfortunately.
HIGGY: If you're reading
by TheEman on Dec 2, 2007 10:54 AM CST reply actions

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