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Cubs 2007

The following is not based on Average, Earned run average, or on base percentice. In a nut shell no statistics involved here. As fans, as anyone who loves baseball, and it's stats, I offer the following. Stats are are a great way to judge players. But what seperates the best from the also rans is a gut feeling for the game. For instance.  The manager that calls upon the .220 hitter to pinch hit in a game winning situation. And that player comes through with a hit to win the game. Why would he call upon that lowly hitter in a clutch time of the game? This has been repeated time and time again in the history of this great game. I am referring to the feeling that comes from within one's self. A gut feeling.  I have been a surfer and a part time poster of this site for about 7 months. I get frustrated at the continued reliance on stats alone. Gee if this guy in AAA had a OPS of .888 he for sure will have a .798 in the bigs. Come on. I use this ONLY as an example of the banter on this site. Numbers are thrown around as if they were, how shall I say this, as facts. I would not argue against the usage of stats for the better or worse. What I will argue for is the following. On a given day you can throw the numbers out the window. Therefore, for what it is worth, I offer my gut feelings on the Cubs this year.

Soriano-Mistake hitting leadoff.
Murton-Up and comer. Maybe not a break out year, but no later than 2008. Hopefully with the Cubs.
Lee-Nice ballplayer. Should have a solid year
Ramirez-Will benefit with Lee beside him all year.
Barrett-Not sold on him. Better than most at hitting for the position he plays. But give me a catcher that will stop the running game and I will take him over the hitting Barrett provides.
Jones-Not a very smart ballplayer. Not the RF you need for a championship team.
Izturis-Will susprise most. Fine glove and will hit well. Should be 2nd in lineup
Derosa-? Not sure of this signing. I am fearful he is a Jeff Blauser.
Theriot-I would have him as my 2b. Think very highly of his play.
Prior-Out of baseball with in two years
Wood-Starting by years end
Marquis-Will shut up all the naysayers as season goes on
Lilly-Breakout year
Zambrano-Not a fan, but will provide us fans with solid year.
Ward-Remember when we signed Harris? A former good pinch hitter, but did little with the Cubs.
Dempster-Will start and close as the saver
Hill-Like him very much. But will not have the year many of us hope for.
Floyd-Gut tells me he is on his final legs. Will not offer us much.
Pie-Will bust as Cubs player.
Cedeno. We all forget last year was his FIRST year. Do not give up on him!

I offer these comments only as my gut feeling of this years Cubs players. In the end the Cubs win the Central but will not make the series.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

0 recs  |  Comment 15 comments

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I dont understand your thinking
How could you not be a fan of Carlos Zambrano? Who'd you rather see as the #1?

Izturis being the #2? If that happens the Cubs will lead the league in double plays, no thanks.

Dempster and Wood Starting? whose in the Bullpen? How does Wood stay in once peice?

Im not even going to touch the Cedeno peice with a 10 foot pole.

Please explain to me how you came up with these predictions or whatever your calling them, because Id love to have some of whatever your smoking.

Of course im a CUBS FAN What other Chicago baseball team is there?

by Galvan316 on Mar 13, 2007 10:09 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Had to read the Dempster thing twice
but pretty sure he meant that he will be the closer at the beginning and end of the season.  

by DTJchris on Mar 13, 2007 10:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Beat me to it.
Glenallen Hill hit that ball 600 feet.

by BigDumbFace on Mar 13, 2007 10:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he meant..
that Dempster will start the year as closer and finish the year as closer. Its just not worded very well. It took me a few times to realize what he meant.

At least thats what i hope he means.

Also.. Kerry Wood has stated several times that he WILL NOT start this year, and maybe never again. Thats no stat. Thats a fact.

Glenallen Hill hit that ball 600 feet.

by BigDumbFace on Mar 13, 2007 10:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Numbers thrown around as though they were facts?
They... they are facts! They are a record of what a person has accomplished in their plate appearances/innings pitched/etc.

Let's ignore all the fancy "sabermetric" stats, like the newfangled on-base average (a stat that's been around longer than the sacrifice fly stat), let's just look at the Triple Crown stats. How about the gold standard, the batting average? Good old venerable batting average. And let's give the stage to that venerable old catcher Crash Davis (from the movie Bull Durham, for those keeping score at home):

"You know what the difference is between hitting .250 and hitting .300?  I got it figured out. Twenty-five hits a year in 500 at bats is 50 points.  Okay?  There's 6 months in a season, that's about 25 weeks--you get one extra flare a week--just one--a gork, a ground ball with eyes, a dying quail -- just one more dying quail a week and you're in Yankee Stadium!"

One extra hit a week is what seperates a .250 hitter from a .300 hitter. You want to tell me you can tell the difference between the guy hitting .250 and the guy hitting .300 without ever seeing a box score or a stat sheet? No, you want to tell me that you don't think Carlos Freakin' Zambrano is that great of a pitcher.

I'm about to lose my mind here, if you didn't notice.

by cwyers on Mar 14, 2007 12:37 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Honesty compels me to say,
that my gut disagrees with your gut on a couple of these, but I won't get into that. I just hope that we don't have so many gosh-darn-gut-wrenching losses this year!!!
Hey Lou, we're long overdue.

by deadcatbounce on Mar 14, 2007 7:32 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Gutless
I can't comment on your predictions because I'm gutless.  But I can't help be reminded on the line:

"Well, I've been listening to my gut since I was 14 years old, and frankly speaking, I've come to the conclusion that my guts have shit for brains."

(Don't take it either as acceptance or criticism--it's just what I'm reminded of)

"Don't think; it can only hurt the ball club."

by Jesse Guam on Mar 14, 2007 9:23 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Classic
;-)
Here's to a new year!!

by santo for prez on Mar 14, 2007 10:05 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You and George Bush are alot alike...
....you both have no need for fact, science, etc.....and you both have really, really bad "guts".  I'd have to say that your "gut" decisions here are almost as bad as the President's--almost.  Thank god, you're not in charge of The Cubs....you might be an improvement on the President, however....ever thought of running?

Btw.....Zambrano is THE man.....FACT.

CARL CRAWFORD, PLEASE!!!

by southerncubbie on Mar 14, 2007 2:43 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

thx
"Damn the torpedos, full speed ahead"

by wild bill on Mar 16, 2007 8:42 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

cedeno
I agree that we should not give up on him. But I don't think he is major league ready. Remember this guy named Maddux who didn't have a good first season

by roach on Mar 14, 2007 3:38 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks all
Judging by the reply's, this confirms I am a total bonehead. All this was meant for was to have a little fun. I had to chuckle with some of the responses. Can't argue with them. Let me make something clear though. Want I meant with the Zambrano reference was more that I am not as big a fan as most. I think he is a helluva pitcher as well as a very good all around player.
Again thanks, I enjoyed the comments.
"Damn the torpedos, full speed ahead"

by wild bill on Mar 15, 2007 9:05 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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