PECOTA projects Zambrano

by false cognate on Apr 13, 2007 11:12 AM CDT

Mike Pindelski over at Beyond the Box Score takes a look at the PECOTA projections of Carlos Zambrano:

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/story/2007/4/13/81153/7909

They are a little pessimistic about workload and control, noting that Carlos is one of the most overworked pitchers of the last few years. I've been wondering about this as well, especially about control. He hasn't shown any sign of being able to rein in his walk rate (4.84 BB/9 last year, 4.12 BB/9 career through 2006), which doesn't compare favorably at all to many other power pitchers of note.

That's why (I'm sure I'll get booed for this) I think Hendry should be careful in considering length of contract and compensation. I know contract talks have quieted down with the impending sale of TribCo., but I wouldn't want. to sign Z to anything longer than a 5 year contract considering his previous workload and control issues.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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No booing...

But I couldn't care less. Anything short of resigning Zambrano would be a marketing/PR fiasco. Especially after the Woodprior debacle. The rumored deal is 85-90 million over five years, which is supposedly all done but the signatures. At that price, signing him has no downside.

by Damen Jackson on Apr 13, 2007 11:55 AM CDT reply actions

good post

While listening to the game today on mlb.radio, I was intrigued by the play in the fifth inning. I haven't gone back and researched it, but it seemed like a ball fell just short of Fonzi's reach and Carlos may have thought he shoud have gotten it.... then Carlos falls apart. Any thoughts?

by wrigley on Apr 13, 2007 11:00 PM CDT reply actions