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Why The Cubs Need Ryan Dempster

This site's #1 Greg Maddux fan, Jessica (aka Doggie Stalker), who regularly scans Atlanta news sites for info about her favorite player, sent me this Atlanta Journal-Constitution link today.

Most of it is about Jake Peavy and the Braves' fruitless (so far) pursuit of him. But then the writer, Carroll Rogers, tells us this story about Ryan Dempster:

photo via www.cubbiesnation.com

In the meantime, I throw out a personal vote for Ryan Dempster because this is my blog (for the moment) and I can say what I want. He’s still available after the deadline passed for teams to negotiate with their own free agents. My honorary cousin Phil Rogers of the Tribune says the Cubs offered him $48-$50 million over four years.

But here’s the personal part: I went into the Cubs clubhouse in spring training in 2004, unknown to most everybody in the room except for Greg Maddux, whom I was waiting to interview about spending his first spring training away from the Braves in 12 years.

And Dempster, seeing me standing there by myself, probably looking a little bewildered, came up and introduced himself. Yes, "Hi, I’m Ryan Dempster." And he asks me where I’m from and what I’m working on.

Unreal. I’m telling you, that doesn’t happen in clubhouses. You’re supposed to know who these guys are, for one thing. And I did. But what an impression that made.

See? It’s years later and I’m still talking about it, and thinking he’d make a great addition to the Braves clubhouse. And OK, OK, there’s got to be a baseball part too. Seems to me he’s on the upswing. Just put up a 17-6 season with a 2.96 ERA for the Cubs in his first year back in the rotation since 2003 with the Reds.

Laugh if you will, tell me this stuff doesn't matter. I tell you that it does matter. Good clubhouse guys aren't easy to find, and when you have one like Dempster who gets it, in addition to being dedicated to his craft and staying in shape so he can continue to perform at the high level he did in 2008, you keep him.

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my blog for the moment??

al you leaving??

Dear Santa:: All I want for X-mas this year is an official 2009 Jake Peavy Cubs Jersey. Oh and a Beimel one too. I've been a real good guy for the most part!!!

by cubsluver22 on Nov 17, 2008 5:25 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

It's a quote from the linked article...

… not from me.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 5:52 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You keep him..

… but for a certain amount of money. IMO, $50m over four years is TOO much money, especially in light of the fact that Jim Hendry has really boxed this team in financially. With the albatrosses given to Soriano and Fukudome along with other really big dollars given to Ramirez, Lee, Zamrano, Lilly and Marquis, the Cubs cannot afford to make a financial mistake. Its great that Dempster did so well last year but the odds of him maintaining that level of performance over the next 4-5 years, considering his career numbers, is not great. The Cubs cannot afford to have another contractual white elephant. They can’t.

I have long been a fan of Dempster, before this season, during his up and down tenure as closer. I really like having him around. But he is a bigger risk than many other pitchers on this market. I believe Dempster, signed at or more than the rumored dollars that Hendry has offered, just adds to the fiscal mess that our GM has created.

by dmlichte on Nov 17, 2008 5:30 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

I completely agree with this.

CUBS WIN! CUE THE ORCHESTRA!

by Keith on Nov 17, 2008 5:41 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree wholeheartedly with you Al.

We need Demp for his arm, his baseball smarts, his work ethic & also for his clubhouse presence.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 5:31 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

PLEASE SIGN RYAN DEMPSTER

WITH WOOD GONE, WE NEED A GUY LIKE THIS MORE THAN EVER

Evey Hammond: Vi Veri Veniversum Vivus Vici. V: By the power of truth, I, while living, have conquered the universe.

by dtpollitt on Nov 17, 2008 11:55 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I too want Dempster

How far are the Cubs willing to go? First offers are usually a starting point, however with the endless sale of this club who knows what money is available for Dempster.
 He is worth the risk. Any feel what he wants? 5 years 60 is that the Dempster starting point?
 If he leaves along with Wood, I feel it would hurt there chances dramaticaly to get into the playoffs.

"Have You heard of the Boom on Mizar 5?"

by Grockcubs on Nov 17, 2008 5:32 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Can't Lose Both Dempster and Wood

With Kerry going elsewhere, the Cubs really need to hold on to Dempster. How many guys would be so willing to go to the starting rotation after being a fairly successful closer? He has done everything the Cubs have asked of him. Pitchers like Dempster are hard to find.

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Nov 17, 2008 5:36 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I'm not saying that good clubhouse guys are useless,

because they aren’t. But what exactly has all of Ryan’s cheeriness and kindness done to ease the pain of not winning a WS since 1908. He has been here for five years now and we have very little to show for it. Ryan is a good pitcher and I would very much like to have him back, but at the right price. If retaining him means going five years and at least sixty million, then Hendry should say thank you and goodbye, and make good use of those two draft picks he would get.

by dakoose on Nov 17, 2008 5:36 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I seem to recall

the Oakland A’s of the 1970’s couldn’t stand each other, but they went ahead and won 2 World Series, nevertheless. The ‘77 Yankees seemed to thrive on controversy. I think talent is more important than ’good clubhouse guys.’ It’s nice to have great chemistry, but talent wins out.

All you really want from your team is to play hard, be professional, and not quit when things go bad. (Right, Lovie?)

by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Nov 17, 2008 10:41 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So you've given a couple of examples...

… of teams that won despite not liking each other. (Never mind that the teams you mentioned had tremendous talent.)

Most modern teams cite good clubhouse chemistry as one of the factors behind them winning.

Yes, talent is of primary importance. But it doesn’t hurt to have both.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Do the teams cite that?

Or do the press seek that storyline out?

The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.

by DGU on Nov 17, 2008 10:48 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, no question the media ask.

But the teams of the 70’s mentioned above made a point of telling the media they didn’t like each other.

That hasn’t happened in recent years.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:52 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

you're getting it backwards

WINNING BREEDS GOOD CHEMISTRY

not the other way around

a bunch of terribly nice guys doesn’t guarantee anything

by DartmouthCubsFan on Nov 17, 2008 10:54 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I think it's a little of both.

You’re right, a bunch of nice guys doesn’t guarantee anything.

But it can’t hurt to have a clubhouse leader, and Dempster is one.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 18, 2008 9:05 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Al-given this sentiment, I'm surprised you're not advocating keeping Edmonds for another year

he’s got experience winning, hit 19 hr, .250 for the Cubs last year, hits left handed, and showed some “clubhouse leadership”. I’m just curious why you’d argue for Kevin Millar but not Jim Edmonds.

Don’t interpret this as me necessarily advocating keeping Edmonds. I’m just curious about your reasoning. I’m sure it has something to do with Edmonds having nothing left- I just don’t see how Kevin Millar has any more left

by philadelphiacub on Nov 18, 2008 10:12 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually...

… I’m kind of on the fence about Edmonds. Even if you do that, I think you sign Millar to both be a good clubhouse guy AND spell Fukudome from time to time in right field.

Yes, you could do both.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 18, 2008 1:21 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks for replying

what do you think are the chances the Cubs actually do bring Edmonds back? I assume they’d only consider that after exhausting other options, i.e. FA and trades. But if he can do what he did last year, I don’t see how he doesn’t fulfill the perceived need for a lefty slugger.

by philadelphiacub on Nov 18, 2008 3:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I think that's a big "if"

He was considered washed up by two teams when the Cubs picked him up. His bat had been in rapid decline for a few straight years, and he was showing signs of age and injury.

Granted, he bounced back and had a very solid season as a Cub. The question is whether his body can hold up for another full season (he hasn’t been able to do so in a long time, including last year) and at what point the bat finally goes. There is also the question of at what point he stops being an adequate defensive CF, given the age and injuries.

by SouthernCub on Nov 18, 2008 3:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Those are all valid questions.

If the Cubs don’t sign anyone else, I’d think they might look to Edmonds as a one-more-year fix.

Remember, that his body DID hold up for a full season in 2008 in a platoon role. He wouldn’t be doing anything more than that in 2009.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 18, 2008 4:31 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

it can hurt

if the player does not perform anywhere close to his salary

a bunch of overpaid under-performing nice guys don’t mean anything.

If you could guarantee me Dempster would perform as he did last year (which i just don’t think is a fair assumption given all the previous data we have), then i’d agree signing him over someone comparable like Lowe the good clubhouse guy stuff might be a nice tiebreaker

but its certainly not the primary reason you start handing out massive contracts

the entire evaluation of his signing should be based on his likelihood to live up to the dollars he’s paid and that’s it. “Chemistry and Good Guys” and all that stuff is a bonus, not a necessity for his signing

by DartmouthCubsFan on Nov 18, 2008 10:36 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Dempster is another case just like Wood.

We can speculate all we want that other teams are going to throw big money at Demp, but I just don’t see it. This past year was his first year back as a starter, and he needs to show that he can maintain his level of performance. Demp is valuable not only as a starter though… he can also pitch effectively out of the bullpen. I am of the opinion that Demp will find that no other team will give him the money he/his agent really want, and he will come back to the Cubs for 3 yrs guaranteed, and a mutual option for a fourth year. Any deal with Demp will have to include generous incentives for innings pitched, complete games, wins, etc., etc…

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 5:38 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

i will be the nicest person in the world in the clubhouse

for the league minimum and i’ll do it for however long you’d like me too. I have a background in psychological brain sciences and sociology and can create unity amongst people

that way you can save the 60 million on Dempster and re-allocate it in a smarter manner

deal?

by DartmouthCubsFan on Nov 17, 2008 5:46 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, as long as you can go 17-6 with an ERA under 3 each of the next four years.

It’s not JUST the clubhouse presence, it’s that PLUS performance.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 5:53 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

…who on God’s green earth expects Dempster to post sub-4 ERAs in 200 IP the next four years?

by cwyers on Nov 17, 2008 8:57 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I do.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 8:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Why?

It’s clear to me that Dempster has reinvented himself. He completely changed his workout routine; he is in the best shape of his career and is healthy. He pitched consistently well all year.

What evidence can you give me that he’s suddenly going to regress to what he was six years ago?

For an example of a recent pitcher who did exactly what Dempster did — reinvent himself mid-career — click here.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, please.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Firstly, I fail to see the comparison with Schilling...

Schilling was unbelievable in 1992 (his first year as a starter). He had two average years his next two years, and then was consistently great from 1995 through the remainder of his career (excluding a year in which he was seriously injured in 2005). Frankly, I think that’s a terrible example for support of your argument. In no way is what they’ve done exactly alike.

Dempster, on the other hand, had one good year early in his career (in a pitcher’s park mind you) and then was TERRIBLE for the next several years before getting a serious injury. He came back and was inconsistent as a reliever. He did work hard this past offseason prior to a contract year at a crossroads in his career. That’s something he hasn’t been known for in the past, which makes me concerned about it happening in the future once he gets paid – bad habits are easy to revert back to, even for nice guys like Dempster.

The result was a season in which his HR and BB rate dropped precipitously. Now, that could be a result of systematic improvements in his approach – or it could be a bit of a fluke. The OPTIMISTIC view would be to say it’s all his approach. My view is that it was a bit of a fluke.

So my evidence is threefold:
(1) his previous career trends
(2) my lack of confidence that he’ll continue to put in the kind of work he put in last winter
(3) my concern that his great 2008 season was buoyed by a lot of good fortune.

I’m not saying he can’t do it. I’m just saying it’s very optimistic to think that one good year is evidence that he’s suddenly become a sure-fire sub-4 era guy for the foreseeable future.

by SouthernCub on Nov 18, 2008 6:58 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think he was "inconsistent" as a reliever...

… he had two good years as a closer, one of which was for a really bad team; his high ERA in 2007 was skewed by two or three really horrific outings.

Why do you have a lack of confidence that Dempster won’t work hard again? I have a pretty good read on the type of human being he is — and I think he will.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 18, 2008 9:06 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

ERA is a poor measure for relievers...

Dempster’s WHIP in 2005 was 1.43. He was fortunate to have such a low ERA that year. His WHIP in 2006 was 1.50. His ERA was in line with what his WHIP would indicate. In 2007, he had a 1.34 WHIP. His ERA that year was inflated as you said. He was, therefore, either inconsistent (one bad year, one year in which he looked better than he really was, and one year in which he looked worse than he really was) or consistently mediocre (with WHIP ranging around 1.43).

My lack of confidence that he’ll continue to work as hard as he did last winter is based on human nature, which is generally to take the path of least resistance. That seems to be the path Dempster has historically taken in his career. However, he was at a crossroads last year, with a huge payoff coming from hard work. That led him to really bust his butt. The payoff is now at hand. It’s possible that he’ll continue to work that hard moving forward, but human nature would suggest otherwise.

by SouthernCub on Nov 18, 2008 10:12 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

why didn't he

work that hard before then????

by DartmouthCubsFan on Nov 18, 2008 10:37 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

That's a very good question.

I don’t know the answer. Let’s say he’s had an epiphany. Possible, right?

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 18, 2008 1:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Possible, sure... but that's optimistic...

That’s my point. It’s certainly possible that Dempster will continue to put up great numbers over the next four years. I just think that’s a very optimistic viewpoint based on the best case scenario of what has transpired in Dempster’s career.

by SouthernCub on Nov 18, 2008 1:39 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Shall we put MORE meals on this?

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Why not?

He does. He has the potential to pitch <4ERA over a good number of innings for a few years, at least as good of odds as any of these other options that everyone is salivating over.

Tommie Agee was out.
"This field, this game, is a part of our past. It reminds us of all that was once good, and it could be good again." TM

by Weeghman Park on Nov 17, 2008 9:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Not me !!!

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 9:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Nobody is going to give Dempster 5 yrs., and certainly not $60 million...

Now, if everybody is beating down Demp’s door with big checks, (which I just don’t see happening), then you don’t even try to sign him. On the other hand, if the offers are similar to what the Cubs offered, Demp will most certainly be in blue pinstripes next year.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 5:57 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I get the sinking feeling he's lieaving...

But to say a pitcher is on the upswing at age 31 is a bit far fetched.

I think youre right, a guy like this does matter, for the simple fact that the season is so long, someone who can bring some levity is a welcome addition.

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Nov 17, 2008 6:01 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Or even Leaving

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Nov 17, 2008 6:02 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

$52 million plus to bring back Ryan Dempster is insanity

Al, with all due respect, I’m beginning to scratch my head over your fierce embrace of all things warm and fuzzy with the Cubs. Seems that objective analysis has been thrown out the window in deference to drippy sentimentality over various players. The objective is to WIN baby !! Not make sure we keep everybody’s favorites. Heck, we needed to invite Dr. Phil to run an encounter group because the masses around here were in danger of harming themselves having received the news Matt Murton was gone in the Oakland deal.

Cubs will live to regret the day they handed Ryan Dempster $12 to $13 million a season for four years. I FAR prefer taking a flyer on a Brad Penny type or even Ben Sheets versus committing $52 friggin million on a pitcher that I am not confident can have an ERA under 4.50 ever again in his career. Dempster is a swell guy. A pitcher I would like to have. But not at these prices. Good God no.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 6:10 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Let's see.

Your choices include signing Ben Sheets or Brad Penny? And yesterday, you mentioned Carl Pavano. Haven’t we gone through the injured pitcher thing enough?

Me, I’d rather have a productive pitcher who’s also a good clubhouse guy.

Oh, and $13 million? That’s only $3m more than Jason Marquis is making in 2009. It’s about market value for a pitcher of Dempster’s ability.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 6:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I strongly disagree

If the option is giving Ryan Dempster $52 friggin million over several years versus investing 1/3rd of that on Brad Penny assuming of course Penny checks out medically?? Choice is VERY easy for me.

What are you going to say next year when Dempster’s big walk totals come back to bite or when the wind blows out during more of his Wrigley starts and his checks in with something like a 10-13 record and 4.50 ERA??? How you going to like that $52 million investment then? To go along with the $136 million bust in left field and the multi-millions devoted to a Japenese import who has little run production value and may never hit .250 again??

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 6:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

But Penny's not going to settle for that.

I’d rather have Dempster. And I disagree with your analysis of his future performance.

We can disagree as long as we do so reasonably. (I happen to agree with your take on Fukudome; I hope I’m wrong, but I fear you’re right.)

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 6:24 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well...

All I can do is cross my fingers and hope some other team swoops in and steals Ryan Dempster from our clutches. Don’t worry Al. You’re going to get your wish. Dempster IS going to sign with the Cubs.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 6:26 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Good.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 6:43 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well how bout Halladay & Hudson ?

Didn’t you assure us they would be traded at the trade deadline. I mean we shouldn’t need more pitching because
Harden is going to light out and healthy like you also promised ? Also you believe Gregg/Marmol is better than Wood/Marmol so you will excuse me if I don’t trust your predictions.

"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Nov 18, 2008 9:15 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I love your posts Mike...

…you have a knack for balancing everything out and going against the grain. Despite all of the criticism, this objectivity is necessary to see both sides of the issue.

"Just win tonight" - derv

by derv on Nov 17, 2008 6:18 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i think he's right...

a long term contract to Dempster is a MASSIVE risk, given the history

you’re paying for the next 4 years based on just his last 1 year and ignoring the previous 7

by DartmouthCubsFan on Nov 17, 2008 9:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Because last year was when he completely changed his approach...

…. to working out and to the game itself.

I would, in fact, argue that his previous incarnation as a starter is completely irrelevant to his future.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

so as i said

you’re ignoring and assuming Dempster basically never cared to get in shape the previous 7 years

why after signing a big fat contract would he be motivated to work like he did last offseason when he wasn’t the previous years?

by DartmouthCubsFan on Nov 17, 2008 10:55 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

While I agree with your point...

.. I think Dempster is a character guy who will give it all for this organization and his teamates no matter his contract situation.

That being said, no matter how hard he works or how much his presence makes a difference in the clubhouse, the fact is when we needed him to come through the most last year he had his worst performance of the year. That alone merits a reason to skeptical about signing him to a long expensive contract.

However, I do believe we should offer him 4/50 mil and if he says no to that, get the draft picks and walk away.

by dlee25 on Nov 18, 2008 12:12 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Demp

I love Dempster almost as much as I love Kerry.

But I’m waiting to see what kind of money people give him,

Thngs of worth are worth fighting for regardless of the odds.

by cubstoseriesby100 on Nov 17, 2008 6:28 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Dempster is not a need. He's worth pursuing to a point, but we don't need him.

The Red Sox won many, many games for two thirds of 2008 with what appears now to be one of the most dysfunctional clubhouses in recent history. They traded Manny Ramirez, cleaned up the clubhouse, and… didn’t get back to the World Series.

I like to root for players like Dempster and I appreciate that he does bring something to the table. However, these guys are professionals paid 6-8 figure salaries; they should be able to produce no matter what the clubhouse chemistry is.

Rather than focus on Dempster himself, we should focus on what brought Dempster to the Cubs and what made his 5 years here so special to watch. Dempster was a guy many doubted, even just this time last year. Jim Hendry, however, believed in Dempster – first to be a closer, then to be a starter. Dempster lived up to that belief.

Rather than bet than Demp can keep this up over the next 3-5 years, Jim Hendry should follow the same hunches that led him to Dempster. We’ve got Harden, Zambrano, and Lilly. Maybe we can even add Randy Johnson for less money than we’re paying Marquis. I’d like to see Hendry follow his hunches with that last rotation spot. Bring in someone we here at BCB are going to groan about — just like we groaned about Dempster last year.

The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.

by DGU on Nov 17, 2008 7:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

If he really thinks he deserves more than 4/52 per year...

… he needs to remember how he threw when it counted most, Game 1 NLCS. He choked. The grand slam to loney set the tone for the rest of the series.

by dlee25 on Nov 17, 2008 7:46 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I think we need him,

I agree with Al. While 50 million to me isunthinkable money, that’s the market we’re in. If he can get more that thatOK, but we still need top of the rotation guys and I’ll put my money on Demp having four more pretty good years.

This is only the beginning....Lou Pinella end of '07 season and Chicago Transit Authority (the band when they were really good).

by mrcubsfan on Nov 17, 2008 7:49 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Bruuuuuuuuce Levine Reports....

… that Dempster will sign in the next 48 hours. But no details as to where?!?

If he is going that quickly, especially before the GM meetings in early December, that’s gotta be a good sign, right?

In Hendry We Trust

by initram on Nov 17, 2008 8:15 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Where did you hear that?

If Bruce Levine is reporting that… I think it’s a good sign that he will sign back with the Cubs.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 8:17 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

My Father Heard It On...

…sports radio. Likely the Score or ESPN.

In Hendry We Trust

by initram on Nov 17, 2008 8:18 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Hendry made the smart move by not signing Wood long term and

I hope he is just as smart about Dempster. The great clubhouse guy that said we were going to win the WS choked in the biggest game of his life. How many did he walk? 7? I question anyone who thinks he can come anywhere close to last years performance. And to think he can do it after turning 31? Please Jim, be smart.

by Rick B on Nov 17, 2008 8:17 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Since when did 31 become old?

Demp spent most of ’04 preparing to pitch in the last half, or quarter of the season. If anything Demp has less on his bionic arm than most pitchers his age.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 8:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You rest your case? What are you, an attorney?

Choked in the biggest game of his life? Demp was getting squeezed in game one of the NLDS, in turn he seemed to be trying to be too fine with his pitches. Remember he was 0-2 on both the batter before Loney, and on Loney. The benefit of one or two pitches going Demps’ way, and game one is a totally different story.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 8:47 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Wanna See Silliness?

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/82881-latest-jake-peavy-to-chicago-cubs-trade-rumbling has the proposed trade:

To Cubs – Jake Peavy SD, Khalil Greene SD and Jermaine Dye CWS.

To White Sox – Kevin Hart CHC, Kyle Blanks SD. Plus other prospects from both sides.

To Padres – Josh Vitters CHC, Felix Pie CHC, Donald Veal CHC, Ronny Cedeno CHC, John Ely CWS, and outfield prospects from the White Sox.

In Hendry We Trust

by initram on Nov 17, 2008 8:21 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Sounds like someone had too much fantasy league on the brain.

That’s so ridiculous it’s not even worth talking about.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 8:46 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

As you would say, Al, LSA

He is a class act and a very hard worker, not to mention hilarious. I love the guy and hope to see him back next year.

"I'm not an athlete, I'm a baseball player"
-John Kruk

by thinskull on Nov 17, 2008 8:44 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Are we signing a frontline starting pitcher or opening act at Zanies?!?!

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 9:04 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Carl Pavano

is funnier than anyone else…And he is a guy you said you would target…

Brian McRae's 5 o'clock shadow

by PurpleLineToWrigley on Nov 18, 2008 9:48 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

my bad

forgot good pitchers are tightasses. please send me the other rules about ballplayers, since apparently you are the source.

"I'm not an athlete, I'm a baseball player"
-John Kruk

by thinskull on Nov 19, 2008 5:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The Dempster signing will go down as a regrettable move

I cannot get comfortable with a 4 year deal in this dollar neighborhood. Dempster has a career year in 2008 that included a lot of good fortune. Those of you who embrace bringing him back had better damn well not be the first in line to bitch when he is sub .500 pitcher with an ERA in the mid 4’s.

Blank Check Jim is about to strike again. Ugh.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 9:03 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

yup

Signing Dempster to a deal like this is exactly what the Yankees did a few years ago when they gave long term deals to Pavano and Jaret Wright. We’ve seen so many other teams dish out long term prize deals to pitchers based on one year and said that it was a bad idea. I think the Cubs are walking into this trap big time here.

by dmlichte on Nov 17, 2008 9:10 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I like the risk with Dempster better than with those guys (of course hindsight...)

I’m willing to go a certain distance for Dempster. I’d rather pay less for Freddy Garcia or Koji Uehara.

An interesting question would be – who, over the course of their respective contracts, would you expect to give you more value both in innings and ERA – A.J. Burnett or Dempster?

The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.

by DGU on Nov 17, 2008 10:19 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So, he was lucky to have such a good year? Understand this: you make your own good fortune...

by working hard & preparing; (both of which Demp did). Those of you decrying the imminent signing of Demp back had better damn well not be the first in line to bitch when he is a better than .500 pitcher with an ERA in the mid 3.00s. I suppose you were one of the ones who bitched for years that the Cubs should spend like a major market team? Now that they are spending like a major market team, you don’t want to pay the going rate for a guy that just proved his value with a great ’08? Oh, I forgot you know more about being a GM than Hendry… Must be those years of college baseball, and watching it all your life!

Maybe we should just cobble together a team for ’09… Forget spending any significant money on any significant players? Give it a rest already!

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 9:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You are basing a LOT on the assumption...

that one very good year is proof that he’s worth a long-term investment. I am one who wanted the Cubs to spend like a big-market club. But the key is spending WISELY, not just spending. You obviously are assuming that Dempster’s 2008 performance means he’s going to be a great pitcher moving forward. I think that’s a BIG gamble given his history. It is certainly possible that Dempster will earn every bit of the money he gets this offseason. That said, I wouldn’t bet the farm on it.

by SouthernCub on Nov 17, 2008 9:45 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not assuming anything...

First of all:I don’t think anyone is going to offer Demp 4/52. I’m not simple enough to believe that one good year is proof that Demp is worth a long-term invesment. This is why I think he will be back with the Cubs for less money & years.

 Who knows what Demp will do moving forward? Who knows what anyone will do moving forward? What I do know is that a starting pitcher of Demps’ ilk goes for roughly 10 mil. a year. I also know that Demp has proven he knows how to pitch effectively as a reliever & a starter in the NL & at Wrigley Field. Now, you don’t want to pay the going rate for a guy who has already proven himself to the Cubs? Perhaps we should just sign Mike Mussina or an over the hill Randy Johnson? Both of which have no first hand knowledge of how to effectively pitch at Wrigley.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 10:08 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

What does "no firsthand knowledge of how to effectively pitch at Wrigley" mean Professor??

Randy Johnson and his 294 wins, 5,000 strikeouts, 5 Cy Youngs, 2 no-hitters and 1 World Series Championship wouldn’t be able to figure out how to pitch at Wrigley? Mike Mussina and his 270 wins are too stupid to know how to pitch at Wrigley?

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 10:11 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

What do I mean?

It’s simple, Demp has been with the Cubs and made numerous starts and appearances at Wrigley. He understands the way that Wrigley plays, how to pitch to the park so to say. Mussina, (an AL guy), has probably pitched once at Wrigley, maybe twice. Randy Johnson has pitched many times at Wrigley, but not as much as Dempster in a much shorter career- simply becuase Johnson has never played for the Cubs.

I never said that either Mussina or Johnson couldn’t figure out how to pitch at Wrigley. What I did say is Demp doesn’t have to figure it out, he already has.

You can take your snarky “professor” comment and eat it… I’ll put up my knowledge of baseball up against your swollen head any day.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 10:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Dempster sure knew how to pitch at Wrigley as a craptastic closer in 2007, huh??

One off the charts career year does not a $50 million pitcher make in my book. If it does in yours, then so be it.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 10:33 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You are quite possibly the most egomanical know-it-all I have ever come across...

My mother warned about people like you who continue to put two & two together and keep coming up with five.

Craptastic closer in ’07? Hardly.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 10:53 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You need to learn how to read.

I clearly stated the following in an earlier post regarding Dempster; First of all: I don’t think anyone is going to offer Demp 4/52. I’m not simple enough to believe that one good year is proof that Demp is worth a long-term invesment. This is why I think he will be back with the Cubs for less money & years.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 11:00 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know why you'd say that...

considering the contracts offered to guys who have shown less productivity than Dempster’s one year.

I certainly hope you’re right, but I think it’s optimistic to think that he won’t get offers in the neighborhood of 4/52 (unless he decides not to explore the market and takes an early offer from the Cubs a la Ramirez).

by SouthernCub on Nov 18, 2008 7:02 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

There are other starting pitchers I have zero problem dishing out $50 million, $60 million and beyond

One name is Jake Peavy. But Ryan Dempster? No, no a thousand times no.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 9:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Again..

… I point you to pitchers like Pavano, Jaret Wright and many many others who did whatever hard work and preparation to have a fantastic season, only to sign a big contract and fall apart. It happens all too often. Don’t look at people who feel this signing is a big mistake like we’re totally off base. Disagree if you wish, thats fine. But MLB free agency is littered with starters who got big paper after one great year and never came close to that one season again.

Look, I think Dempster is a fantastc guy and great teammate. I believe he may have a few really good seasons too. I also think that if the Cubs didn’t have the contracts they do, many of which are back loaded and impossible to move, I’d be okay with signing Dempster long term. But with the job that Jim Hendry has done creating a fiscal mess on the North Side, the Cubs cannot afford to take this risk.

by dmlichte on Nov 17, 2008 10:18 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Dempster’s unabashed supporters need to look at his year to year statistics since coming into the league in Florida. What they will see is a pitcher who has always given up a crapload of hits and walks. When healthy that is. Also, Dempster logged the big bulk of his 17 wins at Wrigley.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 10:31 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Why is something that happened six years ago...

… still relevant?

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 17, 2008 10:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Look at ALL his years in the league...

Look at the WHIP most notably. Dempster gets hit and he gives up walks. It is extraordinarily hard to be the brand of pitcher he is and chalk up two sub 4.00 ERA seasons in a row. The Cubs are already saddled with too many contracts that make me cringe. Why on earth add another? Go out and sign a Randy Johnson for a year or empty the farm system and get a much surer thing in the ace caliber Jake Peavy.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 10:36 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Oh yeah baby! Does everybody see this! Blue Mike used WHIP to support his argument!

I’m rec’ing this post, not just because BM is using one of those sabermagician tools, but because I agree with the sentiment that this signing carries a significant amount of risk. I’m not completely against it, I’m just aware that there is a significant amount of risk.

by philadelphiacub on Nov 18, 2008 10:46 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think you are totally off base. In fact, if you read my posts regarding Demp...

… you will see that I don’t think anyone is going to offer Demp 4/52. My comment on preparation & hard work was a directed comment on Blue stating that Demp was the beneficiary of much good fortune, implying that he didn’t exactly earn full credit for the great year that he had, after reinventing himself in the off season. Every signing, every trade is a risk. Signing Demp back, at less than what everybody seems to think he’ll get, is a smart move. Much smarter, in my estimation, than signing a 45 yr. old, with a serious history of back problems.

Jimmyeatworld

by Jimmyeatworld on Nov 17, 2008 10:34 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Good clubhouse guys are needed, but not sure whether it dictates even more money or longer

terms for Dempster. He seems like a great teammate, it’s too bad that the Cubs are now tight on money. I think he’ll have a harder time being as effective of a SP in 2009 then Wood will have as a closer, so if I were told I could only make a run for one of them then I choose Wood. It’s too bad that our budget situation and the decision that Marmol is the closer are driving these two guys out of town.

The Cubs will need to pick up both better players and good teammates to replace Wood & Dempster.

by DudeVf11 on Nov 17, 2008 9:04 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I see where Doug Melvin criticizes the $140 million offer the Yankees made to Sabathia

Gee Dougie, what did you expect was going to happen with CC Sabathia? For the rest of baseball to roll over for the benefit of the Milwaukee Brewers.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 10:08 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

+140 million

"Chicago baseball fans, who are composites of scar tissue and mortifying memories..." - George F. Will

by eswan9 on Nov 17, 2008 10:12 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

And I’m sure that criticizing the offer went a long way towards encouraging CC to re-sign with the Brewers.

The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.

by DGU on Nov 17, 2008 10:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Brewers are in a heap of crap

They’ve got to find two starting pitchers AND build a near entire bullpen. I’m surprised they haven’t actively dangled Prince Fielder. Lets face it, chances are strong that Fielder won’t sign a long-term deal to stay in Milwaukee. Plus the guy is well on his way to being over 300 pounds. If I were Dougie Melvin I’d be talking to the Angels about Fielder.

BCB, home of the insidious campaign of the clueless to "Dustyfy" an outstanding manager in Lou Piniella.

by MDBNIU on Nov 17, 2008 10:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

He may not find much of a market for Fielder until Teix is signed

and the Yankees putting Swisher at 1B, means there are probably more teams now thinking they have a chance at Teix.

The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.

by DGU on Nov 17, 2008 10:47 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm a little surprised at some of you.

You are who you are in baseball. We have seen enough of Dempster to know who he really is. And yet some of you, who I respect, are ready to annoint him after a career year and completely ignore his history. I have to agree with Mike on this one. Cub fans will dread the day they give Dempster a 4 or 5 year contract. if they sign Dempster to 4 or more years, they better get Peavy. At least then, the great clubhouse guy can be a 4th or 5th starter.

by Rick B on Nov 18, 2008 10:52 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Looks Like Dempster Just Signed . . .

  . . . and for basically the number that was being thrown around.

Good luck, Demp! I sure hope you don’t need it for the next 4 years.

"From childhood's hour I have not been as others were - I have not seen as others saw." - Alone, Edgar Allan Poe

by Edgewood on Nov 18, 2008 12:49 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

this contract is going to bite the Cubs in the ass

he is coming off of a career year. The first season he was a full time starter since Tommy John Surgery, he will regress next year.

All the good guys in the world doesn’t matter for a team. The Reds had Sean Casey for 8 years, and only had 2 winning seasons. Yeah it is nice to to personally like the players on your team, but I would take a team of assholes who win, over a team of nice guys who lose.

"It is a damn poor mind indeed which can’t think of at least two ways to spell any word."-Andy Jack

by justin007000 on Nov 18, 2008 3:09 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Well...

… Sean Casey’s production fell off pretty fast, didn’t it?

Dempster’s not being signed just because he’s a nice guy. He’s being signed because it appears, at age 31, that he’s finally figured out what it takes to be a good rotation starter in the major leagues. It says here that he won’t regress.

And I could have done without the profanity.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Nov 18, 2008 4:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I've often thought that is a large, unspoken factor . . .

 . . . of being a Cubs fan, especially for those who might have been rooting for the Cubs for a long time.

I think (and I’m by no means saying THIS IS THE WAY IT IS, I’m just speculating here) that there’s a very deep running sentiment throughout the hearts of a lot of Cubs fans that they DON’T WANT to win it by being . . . well, the word you used . . . I’ll just substitute in the phrase ‘the White Sox (attitude) or the Yankees (maybe payroll AND attitude)’ instead.

By cutting nice guys who aren’t terrible players, showing no loyalty, increasing payroll into the stratosphere, and just generally behaving like, as they might say, ‘all the rest’, I think there would be a feeling of loss in much of The Nation, that the Cubs didn’t achieve the moral victory, that they sort of ‘sold out’. I’m not sure that the romantic part of me doesn’t agree.

And yes, I’m aware (and to some extent agree with) that attitude can be a difference maker, and if you could finally win with a bunch of jerks, attitudes, and team turmoil – well, you’d still win, wouldn’t you, so why not?

I’m just not sure a lot of Cubs fans would be comfortable making that trade.

"From childhood's hour I have not been as others were - I have not seen as others saw." - Alone, Edgar Allan Poe

by Edgewood on Nov 19, 2008 1:08 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

WHOA!!!

Ok, so as everyone probably knows, I rarely post on this site. I mainly stick to reading (this past season I became a much more avid follower of all things bcb, checking the site at a borderline unhealthy rate haha). In any case, since the season ended, I’ve been trying (unsuccessfully) to distance myself from this site and baseball in general. That being said, I keep finding myself checking back in every few days or every other week, perhaps out of habit or possibly just because deep down I can’t wait for another shot at it next spring.
When I read this post my jaw dropped (hence the ‘WHOA!!!’ subject—sorry I’m taking so long to get around to it). The reason for said jaw drop was because during the summer of 2006 I worked as an intern in the sports department at WMAQ (NBC for anyone not from Chicago) and had almost the exact same encounter with Mr. Dempster.
As a sports dept. intern I got to get some good experience and have some memorable stories (bears training camp in bourbannais (sp?), watching the entire twins roster hit on a sports reporter who will remain nameless during pre-game warmups, etc…).
However, by far the most memorable moment came before a game I went to help cover at Wrigley. I’m standing there along the first base line with a reporter, eyes as wide as saucers at the fact that I’m standing there ‘working’ among my favorite team and players, watching big z take bp and knock balls out from both sides of the plate, watching the seats fill up around me, all the while trying to look ‘professional’ and like it was all no big deal to me.
And then, out of nowhere, Ryan Dempster walks straight up to me and holds out his hand and says, “Hi, I’m Ryan Dempster.” And then proceeds to ask me my name and what I’m up to (as he had never seen me there before since it was my first game working at Wrigley). It blew me away. He immediately became one of my favorite Cubs, and it was instantly crystal clear why so many players and coaches rave about what a great guy he is.
I was so thrilled to see him have such an amazing season (although I wish Lou had pulled him when he CLEARLY didn’t have his control in the playoffs!!!), and just as happy to see we signed him to a 4 year deal! Here’s to 4 more great years with Demp! Cheers!

by gocubsgoradio720 on Nov 19, 2008 8:11 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

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