2008 Community Projections: Ted Lilly

by Al Yellon on Feb 24, 2008 7:29 AM CST in Community Projections

Last year, a lot of people made comparisons between Ted Lilly and Bronson Arroyo -- a lefthander who had had middling success in the NL East, and guessed that Lilly, as did Arroyo in 2006, would do better coming over to the "easier" NL Central.

That's exactly what happened -- Lilly became one of the top lefties in the NL. Now, we are hoping that he doesn't regress in 2008, as Arroyo did in 2007 for the Reds.

One of the key things for Lilly is to keep his walk count down, as he did last year. Ted set career bests in innings, strikeouts, WHIP, and ERA. His 55 walks ranked sixth among all qualified (162+ innings) pitchers in the NL.

G 33
GS 33
IP 202
H 182
ER 90
BB 58
SO 170
W 14
L 11
ERA 4.01
WHIP 1.19

Ted Lilly's career stats at baseball-reference.com

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Lilly

G 35
GS 35
IP 231
H 210
ER 90
BB 89
SO 203
W 14
L 12
ERA 4.60
WHIP 1.20

"You can't take life to seriously, you don't get out of it alive"

by wild bill on Feb 24, 2008 9:30 AM CST reply actions

I will eat my hat....

if lilly throws 231 innings.

by Thelonious on Feb 25, 2008 2:20 AM CST up reply actions

I had to think

Someone would notice that. I thought a little high as well. All my projections are based on a computer simulation. I painfully (out of love) updated all ML 2008 rosters.

It took me a few weekends to update. I think what went wrong is I did not turn on my over usage option. For example I have Pie with 600+ AB. Lilly with too many innings, and a few other irregularities.

FYI, the Cubs did go 93-69. I can only hope they can do this in real life.

"You can't take life to seriously, you don't get out of it alive"

by wild bill on Feb 25, 2008 7:48 AM CST up reply actions

Lilly Thoughts

One has to project some sort of regression to his norm, but I really think he firmly learned the mental approach to effective pitching last year. I expect a solid season.

G 34
GS 34
IP 219.0
H 207
ER 100
BB 65
SO 180
W 15
L 10
ERA 4.11
WHIP 1.24

by Qixotl on Feb 24, 2008 10:25 AM CST reply actions

Lilly

G 33
GS 33
IP 198
H 186
ER 87
BB 62
SO 165
W 16
L 9
ERA 3.95
WHIP 1.252

"There are no curses here...Games are won and lost on the baseball field" - Lou Piniella

by El Borto on Feb 24, 2008 11:16 AM CST reply actions

thoughts about stuff

G 32
GS 32
IP 185.2
H 179
ER 88
BB 71
SO 160
W 13
L 11
ERA 4.27
WHIP 1.35

by Thelonious on Feb 24, 2008 11:24 AM CST reply actions

a little regression from '07

G 33
GS 33
IP 204
H 196
ER 94
BB 65
SO 181
W 13
L 8
ERA 4.15
WHIP 1.28

by socalbob on Feb 24, 2008 12:31 PM CST reply actions

Lilly

Decent numbers for a guy who's a number 4 or 5 starter. Thank goodness the Cubs are going to get a Cy Young-like performance out of Zambrano and a super 20 win season out of Hill

G 33
GS 33
IP 198
H 198
ER 91
BB 70
SO 145
W 11
L 11
ERA 4.5
WHIP 1.35

by frustratedfan on Feb 24, 2008 4:04 PM CST reply actions

Ted Lilly

G - 33
GS - 33
IP - 203
H - 186
ER - 88
BB - 62
SO - 164

W - 16
L - 9

ERA - 3.90
WHIP - 1.22

by Ayralin on Feb 24, 2008 5:15 PM CST reply actions

Lilly vs. Arroyo

I don't mean for this to be a discussion on a projection thread but Arroyo was figured out after he got through the league a couple times in '06 and lost 5 straight decisions after starting 9-3 with a 2.47 ERA, and finished 14-11. Lilly put together a much more complete season, so I expect him to fair a little better than Bronson did in '07.

by morgane on Feb 24, 2008 7:08 PM CST reply actions

Lilly-hammer

G 33
GS 33
IP 210
W 15
L 10
ERA 3.98
WHIP 1.05

by MDBNIU on Feb 24, 2008 7:43 PM CST reply actions

Please include SO, BB, H

The spreadsheet we are using requires all fields to be filled out.

Thanks

"Harlem Furniture......You'll like our style!"

by Imtrejo on Feb 25, 2008 1:33 PM CST up reply actions

I don't expect last year's brilliance,

but I don't expect a total collapse, either.

G-31
GS-31
IP 201
H 189
ER 88
BB 90
SO 190
W 14
L 10
ERA 4.37
WHIP 1.38

"I've always felt that starting pitching is the most important part of the rotation." - Joe Morgan, Sunday Night Baseball 8-12-07

by gary varsho on Feb 24, 2008 8:13 PM CST reply actions

Lilly

G - 32
GS - 32
IP - 209.3
H - 175
ER - 92
BB - 78
SO - 186
W 15
L 9
ERA 3.98

by louslovechild on Feb 25, 2008 12:41 AM CST reply actions

tony412

G 32
GS 32
IP 197
H 178
ER 86
BB 52
SO 168
W 16
L 11
ERA 4.25
WHIP 1.25

"We're going to turn this team around 360 degrees." -Jason Kidd

by tony412 on Feb 25, 2008 8:10 AM CST reply actions

Lilly

G 32
GS 32
IP 197
H 173
ER 84
BB 49
SO 154
W 16
L 10
ERA 3.84
WHIP 1.13

by McRipper on Feb 25, 2008 8:30 AM CST reply actions

Teddy "Ruxpin" Lilly

G 31
GS 31
IP 187
H 174
ER 88
BB 61
SO 164
W 17
L 11
ERA 4.23
WHIP 1.26

As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.

by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 25, 2008 11:15 AM CST reply actions

I am somewhat

disappointed. I figure you to have a picture of the Ruxpin character

"You can't take life to seriously, you don't get out of it alive"

by wild bill on Feb 25, 2008 11:48 AM CST up reply actions

OK...

As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.

by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 25, 2008 11:53 AM CST up reply actions

You are an

evil person.

"You can't take life to seriously, you don't get out of it alive"

by wild bill on Feb 25, 2008 12:08 PM CST up reply actions

Lilly

G/GS-33
IP-200
W-15
L-10
SO-160
BB-78
H-175
ER-92
ERA-4.14
WHIP-1.27

"Harlem Furniture......You'll like our style!"

by Imtrejo on Feb 25, 2008 1:42 PM CST reply actions

lilly

G 29
GS 29
IP 189
H 176
ER 87
BB 64
SO 155
W 13
L 10
ERA 4.14
WHIP 1.27

by SleepyLaBeef on Feb 25, 2008 2:38 PM CST reply actions

Da Prez

Like most of y'all (sorry, read a Blender piece on Britney Spears this morning), I'm predicting some regression for Lilly this season. But his numbers last year were so remarkable that I have to believe he's really found himself with the Cubs and will give us another solid season. Better yet, any regression Lilly suffers will be compensated for by another PROgression from Rich Hill. Ah, the sweet yin yang of those crafy lefties. Anyhoo...

G: 33
GS: 33
IP: 200
H: 195
ER: 91
BB: 60
SO: 169
W: 13
L: 10
ERA: 4.09
WHIP: 1.27

Ladies and gentlemen, your 2008 Chicago Cubs starting outfield: Soriano-Pie-Fukudome. Let it be.

by daver on Feb 27, 2008 1:03 PM CST reply actions