It's early, but we might need another SP.
Yes, I know it's early, but besides Zambrano and Dempster, are starters have been really bad. Rich Hill can't throw strikes, Marquis is Marquis, and Lilly seems like players are starting to catch up to him. Although, I still think Lilly will be fine, just not as good as last year. The way Hill has pitched so far and during spring training, I really am a little nervous about him. We all know Jason Marquis is in for some rough outings. In my opinion, it is in our best interest to leave Lieber in the pen and at the deadline I think we should forget about Roberts and go after a starting pitcher. I know there were people saying that we should've been after a starting pitcher all along, but it is much more obvious now. This team will hit, I am just worried that our pitching is weak and our bullpen is going to wear out at the end of the season.
What are some possible options at the break?
Joe Blanton?
A.J. Burnett?
Brad Penny?
Just throwing some names out there...
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.
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77 comments
Comments
Its not going to happen
First off, Z and Lilly are going no where. Dempster has proven to be tremendously valuable. Hill is going to be allowed to have his ups and downs. Really Marquis is the only one on the bubble and if he does go, Lieber has shown that he has a lot left and could be a extremely dependable #4/5 starter. Beyond him Marshall would also get a look.
Cubs aren't trading for a starting pitcher...
DmL
by dmlichte on Apr 10, 2008 10:47 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm not saying...
that Lilly is going anywhere. I was just saying that he is going to regress from last year. I wasn't talking about now I was talking about at the deadline. They could very well trade for a pitcher down the road.
by Rezze21 on Apr 10, 2008 10:52 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry but IMO
A starter is exactly what they are going to get.
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on Apr 11, 2008 9:31 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jon Lieber?
It's gonna happen, folks. He's pitching too well.
by gjdow on Apr 10, 2008 10:54 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I dont know.
But I'll say this. TPTSNBN trade NOT happening leaves bargaining chips on the table to score an SP down the road if needed. And even if the Cubs were undefeated, any team in MLB can always use an upgrade to their SP. Cubs dont need another SP becuase they 'need' an SP. They should get another superstar SP just to upgrade anyway. I think 15+ win pitchers are hard enough to come by these days. If one is out there you go for it.
SOMEONE SHOOT THAT DAMN PARROT!!!
by Keystone80435 on Apr 10, 2008 10:57 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Ok
what I just typed makes ZERO sense after reading. What I mean to say is, if any of the above named arms are on the market the Cubs should go after them. IMO
SOMEONE SHOOT THAT DAMN PARROT!!!
by Keystone80435 on Apr 10, 2008 10:58 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think we have enough in house options
if there was a star pitcher on the market we could get of course id be all for it...but I think it's just a matter of time before lieber is in the rotation....he's pitching really well and needs to get the ball every 5th day. If were still having problems marshall has proven that he can be a decent and consistent starter. So we have two guys who are just waiting for an opportunity.
by cubsmania on Apr 10, 2008 11:17 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I like Lieber in the pen actually
He's showed with the last couple days how valuable he really is out of the pen. Let's be honest, with the exception of Zambrano, all the Cubs starters are going to have their ups and downs. Some games theyll be very good and go 7 or 8 innings but there will be many times like tonight, that they don't.
This team really needs a long man like Lieber. I wouldn't be surprised if maybe Hart makes a couple starts, sometime this season.
" I want to point something out in the quickly-becoming-tiresome Old Media vs. Bloggers debate: most stuff sucks. All stuff. In all forms. Most books suck. Most movies suck. Most magazines suck. Most trees likely suck if you get to know them. Fish, bugs, various metals -- they all probably mostly suck". - FJM 4/6/8
by lemon20pie on Apr 10, 2008 11:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Lieber has been an absolute g-dsend in the pen....he's a fireman of the highest order, so far this season.
by cubsonWGN4ever on Apr 11, 2008 2:11 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Len and Bob
suggested the same during last night's game. Lieber is far too valuable as the long man in the pen to move him into the starting rotation at this point. I don't think we have another pitcher on the staff that could have done what he did, throwing 3 innings Monday and then 4 and 1/3 yesterday.
by gwood on Apr 11, 2008 7:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree...
I never realized how valuable it can be to have a starter in the pen in games like yesterdays. I think they are calling him a "long man" but to me, he is simply a starter that is there to come in and pitch almost an entire starting load if necessary. He is a valuable safety net. I am hoping these other guys are going to come around.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 7:49 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd suggest
the only reason we think Lieber is more valuable in the 'pen is because the last few games have been won. Cool the offense down a bit (which will happen here and there this season) and those games get lost and everyone says Lieber's innings are being wasted.
I think you want your best starting pitchers throwing those first innings of the game. Lieber is one of our top five starters. Therefore...
I also think there are other options for the role Lieber has, so it's not like Carmen Pignatiello takes over Lieber's job if Lieber goes to the rotation. We've got Marshall and Gallagher, both able to take that role, plus other options who may be ready later in the year. I particularly like Marshall in the role Lieber is in because he also gives Lou a second lefty (at least once we've got a first lefty).
by DGU on Apr 11, 2008 8:20 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, but
hart and marshall i think are capable of going long and giving the team three innings if needed. the pen is deep, if a starter is struggling i see no reason not to put lieber back in the rotation.
not really sure how anyone could think we need a starter, when we have two (lieber and marshall) in the pen. thats two more starting pitchers in the pen than probably 85% of the rest of mlb. why waste prospects on a starting pitcher? go get a short stop or center fielder at the break, sp seems far down the list of needs.
Aramis 5 BB - 2 K, he's come close before, I'd love to see a season from a Cubs player with more walks than strikeouts.
by kylejo on Apr 11, 2008 8:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What about Rich Harden?
Phil Rogers mentioned his possible availability in last Sunday's Trib.
But do they have enough chips on the table to deal for both a starting pitcher AND a good lead-off hitter? It won't be easy but I think they're going to need both to have a realistic shot in the post season.
by bluekoolaide on Apr 10, 2008 11:20 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Harden just went on the DL...
....again.
" I want to point something out in the quickly-becoming-tiresome Old Media vs. Bloggers debate: most stuff sucks. All stuff. In all forms. Most books suck. Most movies suck. Most magazines suck. Most trees likely suck if you get to know them. Fish, bugs, various metals -- they all probably mostly suck". - FJM 4/6/8
by lemon20pie on Apr 10, 2008 11:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You won't see any...
...good players get traded for at least 2 months or maybe in to July. No one is going to trade one of their better players during the season unless they are out of the race, and that takes a while.
I said a while ago, that I thought Leiber would wind up being the Cubs 2nd most reliable starter before 08 is in the books and I still think that will happen. If Hill continues his struggles and Marquis is performing poorly, they will plug those holes with Leiber and one of the young guys and ride it out until a decent pitcher becomes available closer to the deadline.
My biggest concerns are - the back of the rotation and what kind of production the Cubs will get out of SS and CF for the next 50-60 games.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
by MPH73 on Apr 10, 2008 11:33 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
CF
is no longer a problem. If Pie doesn't hit then we just start Reed Johnson, at worse he will probably give us what Jacque Jones did last year. Shortstop could be a problem but I don't think Theriot will be a black hole in the line-up if he bats 8th. Not all Marquis, Dempster and Hill are going to struggle at least one of those guys will do well. If two of them actually struggle, then we just put Marshall in the rotation as the 5th starter. But I think these guys track records speak for themselves, and people need to stop freaking out over a subpar start or two. The odds are better we trade a starter before the end of the season then probably trade for one.
by cubsfan25 on Apr 11, 2008 3:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know!
Lets mail Pie to the dodgers for Maddux!
CUBS WIN CUBS WIN CUBS WIN
by GarlicFryCubFan on Apr 10, 2008 11:38 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I mean padres.
CUBS WIN CUBS WIN CUBS WIN
by GarlicFryCubFan on Apr 10, 2008 11:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about
Jon Lieber, Kevin Hart, Sean Marshall or Sean Gallagher?
This is the type of thinking that had the Cubs give up Rocky Cherry and Scott Moore for four starts by Steve Trachsel.
No thank you.
It's a girl! Born 1-18-08. 2246 PST. 8 lbs. 1 oz.
by Josh77 on Apr 11, 2008 12:27 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
rocky cherry and scot moore
So do you really think that these 2 will ever amount to anything at the MLB level? Not saying that was a good trade, because Trachsel is trash but when it's all said and done, I don't think we'll be regretting losing those 2 in the future.
It did hurt the depth of the organization no doubt and considerations for future trades. If the Cubs could land a proven starter who could compete and perform right with Zambrano though, I'm all for it. that certainly wouldn't hurt the Cubs chances of making it to the World Series this year. The Cubs do have good pitching depth but nothing of real significance after Zambrano. I've been saying that for h=ohhhhh 5 months now though so don't listen to me
" I want to point something out in the quickly-becoming-tiresome Old Media vs. Bloggers debate: most stuff sucks. All stuff. In all forms. Most books suck. Most movies suck. Most magazines suck. Most trees likely suck if you get to know them. Fish, bugs, various metals -- they all probably mostly suck". - FJM 4/6/8
by lemon20pie on Apr 11, 2008 1:11 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
I don't think Cherry nor Moore are anything that aren't replaceable. But the point is that they are going to have major league careers and they have value and could have been traded for something we actually needed.
But why give up anything for Trachsel? He's trash by your own words. But isn't he a "proven starter"? I mean, hasn't he been starting in the majors for fifteen years?
But I have no freaking clue what a "proven starter" is, other than a cliché. Any starter worth acquiring is unlikely to be available during the season. Of the three suggestions in this diary, Brad Penny isn't going anywhere. Joe Blanton isn't any better than what we've already got (check out his stats away from the Oakland Mausoleum--5.11 ERA last season) and would cost and arm and a leg. AJ Burnett, he of the injuries and bloated contract, is the last thing I'd call a "proven starter."
I'll repeat--the kind of starters that are available during the season are not the type of pitcher we should be giving up anything for. I'd rather give Gallagher, Marshall or even Samardzija a shot over those guys. Sometimes you have to have some faith in what you've already got.
It's a girl! Born 1-18-08. 2246 PST. 8 lbs. 1 oz.
by Josh77 on Apr 11, 2008 4:23 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Agreed.
You develop young players for two reasons: to trade them for value (which the Cubs didn't in the case of Cherry and Moore) or to have them help you at the amjor league level.
Sean Gallagher, if needed, could do as much for the Cubs this year as Joe Blanton could. Seriously. If someone fails or gets hurt, Gallagher's going to be back.
And mark my words, the Cubs will be very happy they didn't include him in TTTSNBN.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Apr 11, 2008 8:30 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope your kidding
Sean Gallagher will give you as much as Joe Blanton, maybe in a couple of years but not this year. Blanton is a number 3 starter now and at best Gallagher is a number 3 or 4 in a couple of years. Lets be realistic! Blanton is also pitching in the American League with the DH. He is a groundball pitcher which would be perfect in Wrigley Field. Stats don't always tell you everything.
by cubdreamer on Apr 11, 2008 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Read the post above.
Blanton had a 5.11 ERA on the road away from Oakland in 2007. To think he'd do anything different with Wrigley Field as his home park is silly.
I'll take my chances with Gallagher.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Apr 11, 2008 9:15 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Funny thing is, stats tell me Joe Blanton is a flyball pitcher
His career G/F (Groundball/Flyball) ratio is 1.28. He's far from a groundball pitcher which is precisely why he fares so much better in Oakland than on the road and would be a terrible fit for Wrigley.
We have every right to dream heroic dreams. Those who say that we're in a time when there are no heroes, they just don't know where to look.
Ronald Reagan
by snley on Apr 11, 2008 9:32 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Your words have been marked, Al.
" I want to point something out in the quickly-becoming-tiresome Old Media vs. Bloggers debate: most stuff sucks. All stuff. In all forms. Most books suck. Most movies suck. Most magazines suck. Most trees likely suck if you get to know them. Fish, bugs, various metals -- they all probably mostly suck". - FJM 4/6/8
by lemon20pie on Apr 11, 2008 10:42 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The question is have they really been Marked?
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on Apr 11, 2008 10:49 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Boy, he looks like a geek in that bowling shirt.
n/t
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Apr 11, 2008 11:30 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Prior is a complete geek...
bowling shirt or not. And this is not bc i dislike him. I always thought he was a bit of a tool.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, watch it.
Geeks rule the world. *mmph* hehe *snort*
"Confidence is what you have before you understand the problem." Woody Allen
by BlueSox on Apr 11, 2008 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Although I do see the Children's Memorial Pin
he is wearing so whatever he was doing, it was for a good cause.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
completely agreed
i was a little pissed to see scott moore starting at third for the orioles when i flipped on the EI last night. i dont care if he has a career .260 batting average, he was a former top 10 pick who is starting in the major leagues less than a year after we shipped him off for a month of steve trachsels bullshit.
the last thing we need is to throw away more prospects because we think we may need a starter. not trusting our in-house pitchers is what got us into the marquis mess in the first place.
Aramis 5 BB - 2 K, he's come close before, I'd love to see a season from a Cubs player with more walks than strikeouts.
by kylejo on Apr 11, 2008 8:42 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
However, we could send some junk
outfielder in the system to the Padres for Glendon Rusch. Bud Black has seen fit to use him only twice this season. He has had one good outing, one bad outing. Why even have him on the team? Hey, they've got Mark Prior READY to step in in June! Right now, the Pads might take any outfielder. Watching the demise of "Bambi" a few nights ago in AT &T Park was sweet, as he couldn't make one of his 'circus' catches in the 9th inning of a Giants walk-off win. He crashed into the CF wall, unable to come up with a game-saving grab.
This is a team that's now depending on Scott Hairston as their 'star' outfielder. What a joke.
And, I might add, that vaunted bullpen has given up 16 runs since the beginning of the season. Trevor Hoffman, dating back to last year -- has blown 4 of his last 6 saves.
"Trevor's a slow starter' they say...uh huh. 'Guess he was a slow finisher,' too.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Apr 11, 2008 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think Glendon can be traded..
...Until May 1st, I believe. By then Eyre should be ready to go, so the Cubs really don't really have a need for Glendon.
" I want to point something out in the quickly-becoming-tiresome Old Media vs. Bloggers debate: most stuff sucks. All stuff. In all forms. Most books suck. Most movies suck. Most magazines suck. Most trees likely suck if you get to know them. Fish, bugs, various metals -- they all probably mostly suck". - FJM 4/6/8
by lemon20pie on Apr 11, 2008 10:41 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Unless we need someone
to give up homeruns to Bronson Arroyo.
by McRipper on Apr 11, 2008 11:18 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Prior wont be ready until June?? I thought it was May?
...yea right
Felix Pie must play everyday!
by JB 23 on Apr 11, 2008 5:08 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Another starter
Don't we already have a quality starter pitching out of our bullpen who got a win tonight? We also got a starter in Marshall who had a 3.92 era last year in 19 starts. This team isn't adding another starter with all of the good options they have. Most teams would love to have the 7 starters we have right now.
by cubsfan25 on Apr 11, 2008 12:27 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
Lieber, Marshall, Hart and Gallagher can help us.
Plus I think Hill had a good first start, today's not so well. I think if Lilly has a poor outing in the next 2 games it's something we need to worry about though. Marquis, we know what to expect from him.
by ak123 on Apr 11, 2008 12:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
why does penny's name keep popping up?
Devin Hester, you are rediculous! -Jeff Joniak
by ARAM FOR MVP on Apr 11, 2008 12:40 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
because there is no way in hell the Dodgers are trading him.
It's a girl! Born 1-18-08. 2246 PST. 8 lbs. 1 oz.
by Josh77 on Apr 11, 2008 4:28 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you're right.
I think the pitching staff right now is probably good enough for us to win the division, but i dont think its good enough to go deep in the plaoffs.
We need another guy to go with Zambrano. I dont think Lilly really scares anybody considering he might be pitching against Dan Haren or Tim Hudson or Chris Young.
I dont think Blanton or Burnett would be major upgrades but i like the idea of Penny being on the team.
Glenallen Hill hit that ball 600 feet.
by BigDumbFace on Apr 11, 2008 12:54 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Thats not
how the playoffs work though, it's not on paper match ups. Just one example is in 2006 a Carpenter, Suppan and Weaver beat the Peavy, Young and Wells. That pitching staff also beat the Tigers with Verlander, Bonderman and Rogers. Last season the Rockies made it to the WS with Jeff Francis, Ubaldo Jimenez and Josh Fogg, The reason why you can't say this isn't a WS rotation or as good 1-2 as other teams. Is because those aces don't always pitch like aces in there 2-4 starts, and those middle of the rotation pitchers often pitch like front line starters. If you have a good offense, good bullpen you could easily win in the playoffs with a ace, and two number 3's.
by cubsfan25 on Apr 11, 2008 1:09 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since that WS was a total aberration
I don't like when comparisons to that team are made. It might've been the worst team to ever win a world series. They had two 8 game losing streaks that season. Total fluke.
It never hurts to have quality arms. Like I said, the Cubs have good overall pitching depth, but nothing of "quality" after Zambrano. I don't have much faith in the Cubs farm system and if they could add a pitcher of Zambrano's quality, It'd definitely wouldn't hurt the Cubs chances of making to the World Series, this year.
Lilly had a career season last year and many here know how I feel about Rich Hill.
" I want to point something out in the quickly-becoming-tiresome Old Media vs. Bloggers debate: most stuff sucks. All stuff. In all forms. Most books suck. Most movies suck. Most magazines suck. Most trees likely suck if you get to know them. Fish, bugs, various metals -- they all probably mostly suck". - FJM 4/6/8
by lemon20pie on Apr 11, 2008 1:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
we will have no idea
if the staff is good enough to go deep into the playoffs until at least a couple months of the season have been played. hill could easily bounce back, and lilly could realize he was dominating at times just a year ago. its early folks.
Aramis 5 BB - 2 K, he's come close before, I'd love to see a season from a Cubs player with more walks than strikeouts.
by kylejo on Apr 11, 2008 8:43 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
WS rotations
07
Beckett(3.27 era) - Francis(4.22 era)
Schilling(3.87 era) -Jimenez(4.28 era)
Matsuzaka(4.42 era) - Fogg(4.94 era)
06
Verlander(3.66 era)- Carpenter(3.09 era)
Bonderman(4.08 era)-Suppan(4.12 era)
Rogers(3.84 era)- Weaver(5.76 era)
05
Buehrle-(3.12 era)- Clemens(1.87 era)
Garcia(3.87 era)- Oswalt(2.94 era)
Contreras(3.61 era)- Pettitte(2.39 era)
Garland(3.50 era)-Backe(4.76 era)
04
Schilling(3.26 era)- Morris(4.72 era)
Martinez(3.90 era)- Williams(4.18 era)
Lowe(5.42 era)- Suppan(4.16 era)
Wakefield(4.87 era)-Marquis(3.71 era)
*Chris Carpenter 3.46 era but didn't pitch in postseason
03
Beckett-(3.04 era)- Mussina(3.40 era)
Penny(4.13 era)- Clemens(3.91 era)
Willis(3.30 era)- Pettitte(4.02 era)
Redman(3.59 era)- Wells(4.14 era)
So in the last five years, only the 05 Astros,White Sox and 03 Marlins had two starters with era's below 3.80. So say Zambrano has a 3.30s -3.40s era or better like he did from 03-06 and then Lilly and Hill have era's between 4- 4.20. Is that rotation any worse then most of those rotations that played in the WS in the last five years. Plus who knows what kind of year Dempster is going to have, and who knows if Lilly will stay at the level he was last year or not, who knows if Hill will improve or not. Not to mention Lieber could also possibly step in the rotation and have a era around 4.20-4.30 with the way he has pitched lately. So this rotation has potential to be very good, but even if its just Zambrano with Lilly and Hill with era's around 4-4.20 history says thats good enough for the postseason if those guys pitch well. My point is having two stud top of the rotation guys with a good number 3 isn't necessary to win in the postseason. Teams do just fine with a ace, mixed with middle of the rotation guys with a good offense and bullpen.
So fans can be scared of Lilly or Hill vs Haren, Young, Hudson or whoever else. But it's just one game, Lilly or Hill could be on that day, and other guy could have a average or rough day. That happens in the postseason all the time. How many postseason were Maddux, Smoltz and Glavine beat in, by lesser pitchers is a great example.
by cubsfan25 on Apr 11, 2008 2:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
well then..
Why don't we just go ahead and throw Marquis out there against someone like Haren. After all, you just never know when Marquis is gonna be lights out, and maybe Pie will hit a couple bombs off of Haren.
Its obvious that anybody can go out and shut out a team on any night, but the chances of that increase when you have someone more talented out there on the mound. So then, the chances of getting a win would increase. It may not guarantee victory, but it would increase probability.
Glenallen Hill hit that ball 600 feet.
by BigDumbFace on Apr 11, 2008 12:51 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marquis is over .500 in his career, more so than Dan Haren
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on Apr 11, 2008 12:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
So you believe....
Marquis is better than Haren then? I bet you wouldnt really wanna say that out loud. Marquis has more saves than him, too, I think.
Glenallen Hill hit that ball 600 feet.
by BigDumbFace on Apr 12, 2008 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep.
Marquis has one save, Haren zero. Wow! Marquis must be better!
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Apr 12, 2008 1:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My point was that Marquis is valuable
Hes better than most guys run out there in 2006. Of course I am not saying he is better than Haren
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on Apr 14, 2008 10:07 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not saying
I wouldn't mind upgrading the rotation if the right guy was out there. I just don't really like the options who will be on the market. Brad Penny isn't gonna be on the market, and even though the guy was great he wasn't a front line starter in 05 and 06. Joe Blanton isn't a upgrade over Hill or Lilly and his only a minor upgrade over Lieber or Marquis when you factor in he will be leaving the A's pitcher friendly park. AJ Burnett is always hurt, do we wanna empty the farm for a guy who's made 30 starts once in his career? Who says he doesn't get hurt in September and Rich Harden is already hurt.
Plus the other NL teams rotations don't really scare me like some people. Dan Haren has had one ace like season pitching in a pitcher friendly park. In 05-06 he was pretty simliar to Hill and Lilly. Plus he might give up 35-40 HR getting out of the A's park this year. Chris Young is a good pitcher, but the guy isn't a ace away from Petco(4.52 road era last year). So if you face him on the road he's not this stud pitcher either. Hudson/Smotz is a good 1-2 combo but who's gonna pitch game 3 or 4? I like Hill or Lilly over Glavine or Chuck James. Thats always another good example. Some teams might have a better number 2 starter then us. But how many of these playoff teams have a better number 3 then us? Isn't winning game three just as important as winning game two? Sure you would take Hudson, Young, Haren over Hill or Lilly. But would you take Glavine, Maddux, Owings and others over Lilly or Hill? So as much as you don't like our chances in game two you have to like our chances in game three on paper.
Thats were having good depth helps out alot as well. Very few NL teams have four starters as good as the guys we have. Sure they might be better 1-2, but not better overall. So these teams might win game two(on paper), but the odds would be in our favor in games three and four. Because these teams don't have a number 4 starter like we have, so they either have to use a worse starter or pitch the ace on short rest. The success rate is very low for pitchers who pitch on short rest in the postseason, so that would also give us advantage. This is how teams year after year win with simliar rotations do what the Cubs have.
by cubsfan25 on Apr 11, 2008 3:09 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
We are deep enough
at starting pitching right now with Lieber and Marshall but Hill concerns me. And it's not just that he's wild. It looks like they got rid of his high, slow, leg kick on his delivery. Along with that it looks like he is rushing his delivery, causing him to be wild.
But what concerns me more is he only has two pitches. He tries to live on his fast ball and curve. So when he can't get his curve over, they sit on his fast ball. He needs another pitch. I keep hearing he has a change up, but I have never seen him use it. If he is going to be an elite pitcher, which he could be with that curve, he needs to develop a slider. If he had a fb, curve, slider and change up, he could win a Cy Young.
by Rick B on Apr 11, 2008 5:32 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Hill to bullpen
Wittenmeyer suggested this move is a possibility due to Hill struggling so much, but this seems like it would be one of the stupidest suggestions. Hill is a starter, even more so than Marshall. If you are going to move him out of the Cubs rotation, he has to go to the minors (assuming he has options left) to work out his problems, not to the bullpen.
"You don't frighten us, English pig dogs. Go and boil your bottoms, you sons of a silly person. I blow my nose at you, so-called "Arthur King," you and all your silly English K-nig-hts." - French Knight
by gwood on Apr 11, 2008 7:58 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Rich Hill loses it for innings here and there, similar to Dempster. Put them in the 'pen and they are either brilliant or a huge bust. Let them start and they may flop for an inning, but then give you 2-5 more good innings after that.
by DGU on Apr 11, 2008 8:27 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Some reminders
Last year about this time of the season,
...Carlos Zambrano had a 7.88 ERA.
...Jason Marquis had a 2.65 ERA.
...Ryan Dempster had a spotless ERA and would not allow a second hit until April 22.
...Derrek Lee had 0 HRs and would not hit one until the end of the month.
It's too early to make any of these judgments. I've said all along that Dempster and Lieber were going to be better than many people expected - but they've proven nothing yet. We're just a few games in. Rich Hill is going to throw a clunker - that doesn't mean that overall he isn't going to be the same pitcher he was last year.
Sure, it would be nice to have a second shut-down starter, but at this point in the season, the most likely place we will find one of those is on our current AA roster. And I really don't know that there was one available all off-season unless the Cubs really did have a shot at Zach Greinke.
by DGU on Apr 11, 2008 8:40 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
It is early.
Lance Berkman has three times as many SBs as Jose Reyes.
Augie Ojeda's batting AVG is more than twice Prince Fielder's SLG.
Among players with double-digit ABs, the league leaders in OPS are Jason Kendall, Clete Thomas, and Matt Tolbert.
In fact, you can add Miguel Cabrera's OPS to Ryan Howard's and Kendall still beats them.
In Boston, still counting by OPS, Sean Casey appears to be twice the DH than David Ortiz has been.
Aubrey Huff (on the expected-to-be-pathetic, but actually 1st place Orioles) has eleven times as many RBIs as Magglio Ordonez (on the supposedly-powerhouse, but actually last place Tigers).
Pitchers with worse ERAs than Rich Hill by at least a full run include Josh Beckett, C.C. Sabathia, J.J. Putz, Francisco Rodriguez, Justin Verlander, Roy Oswalt, Trever Hoffman, and the above mentioned A.J. Burnett.
Livan Hernandez and Mark Hendrickson lead the league in wins, although they are tied for first place with two Cubs relievers (and several other pitchers).
Two of the best AL pitchers so far this year were guys their teams wanted to trade but couldn't find a deal that worked - Cliff Lee and Edwin Jackson. Their ERAs last year: 6.29 and 5.76.
It is early indeed.
by DGU on Apr 11, 2008 9:07 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Good stuff
Perspective is everything.
"Confidence is what you have before you understand the problem." Woody Allen
by BlueSox on Apr 11, 2008 9:09 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great stuff DGU....
...around the third week of May things will start to look a little different in regards to league leaders etc....(as they do every year)
The cream rises.
Felix Pie must play everyday!
by JB 23 on Apr 11, 2008 9:21 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would like to add the stat given last night
which I hope has nothing to do with context and ALL to do with the way Lou is managing his new lineup is:
the Cubs are tied for the lead in stolen bases at 11 with I think the Astros.
This for me is key. A team that not only gets on base but makes you worry once you are there. SB are crucial to the success of any team in close games. I like the agressiveness of this team so far. If pitching begins to show up, I like the Cubs chances to win A LOT this season.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 10:03 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Very, very nice list DGU
And what all of that says in the biggest of pictures?
Baseball's season is a marathon, not a sprint.
I'd be crazy - though we'd all love it - to think if the Cubs extended their current winning percentage across the season, they'd be 108-54 come September 29th.
by blackhawk24 on Apr 11, 2008 10:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Unless Hendry can fleece their parent clubs
to pry loose Lincecum, Cain, Cueto, or someone like that, I'd be surprised if upgrades to the pitching staff came from anywhere but Des Moines or Tennessee.
Alan Trammell: Assistant (to the) Manager
by northsider on Apr 11, 2008 9:19 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Jon Lieber
I like Lieber in the exact position that he is in right now, I wouldn't mind seeing him in the rotation as a temporary fix but we need another good young strong arm in our rotation....I really wish we could steal Aaron Harang from the reds Ive always liked him and he is extremely underrated but I know thats not going to happen
"We Are Not Fair Weather But Foul Weather Fans, Brothers In Arms In Streets and The Stands." -Eddie Vedder, Someday We'll Go All The Way
by ryanbrixenivy on Apr 11, 2008 9:34 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I 2nd that
in regards to Lieber. It is great to have a couple guys in the pen who can go more than an inning or two. Way too soon to predict who will be available in June/July. I'm sure we'll have a need by then.........it's hard to say wheteher we'll be loking for a Ss, aCF, or starting pitcher.
Kenny Lofton still out there...................................
by plenz on Apr 11, 2008 9:46 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What I said earlier is
forget an inning or two. With Lieber's apparent longevity, he could come in and go 5 or 6 which means Lou can have more freedom to do what I like...forget about players egos and start managing to win all the time.
AlthoughI will say, I felt bad for Pie last night even though BB said it was a strategic move to get more AB's out of CF rather than yanking Pie cause of bad ABs.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I felt bad too
But honestly, it was a perfect double switch.
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on Apr 11, 2008 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know
they cut right to him and he looked a bit disappointed. I just wish this team was good enough that we didn;t have to worry about production out of our CF.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It might be.
Patience.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Apr 11, 2008 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah I know.
But no matter how they play, I think Pie is always going to have the pressure on him that may ultimately cause him to cave. I want him to succeed so badly...I think he can be really good.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 12:41 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
So do I.
But it's never going to happen unless he plays consistently. Getting double-switched out in the middle of a game isn't helping matters any.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Apr 11, 2008 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally agreed.
though whenever Reed Johnson comes in a knocks a double or singles in a run with apparent ease, I undertsnad Lou's angst. Oh well, I hope Felix gets on track consistently soon.
Calm down.
by Kinky Reggae on Apr 11, 2008 3:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
We do need one
it's just not urgent now, there's 153 games to go. We should revisit this in about 14 weeks. The stakes will be higher and the situations for several teams will have changed.
Northsider mentioned a Hendry fleecing, that may not be out of the question. A fleecing could come in terms of a salary dump along the lines of how he acquired Lee and Ramirez. It's not as much of pulling the wool over another GM's eyes as it is the other GM getting "something" instead of nothing if a guy leaves for FA.
And of course Iowa/Tenn may not be out of the question either. I just want to see the Cubs continue to plug along, one game at a time (one cliche'), play at 110% (another cliche') and have a much better record after that famous 53-game mark than they did last season.
by blackhawk24 on Apr 11, 2008 10:52 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Starter options
I think it's inevitable that Jon Lieber join the rotation. We've also got Sean Gallagher waiting in the wings at Triple A. I'm not a big fan of Sean Marshall, so I don't include him in the mix.
Beyond that? Far too early to tell what might be the need and who might be available.
by MDBNIU on Apr 11, 2008 11:09 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Sound conclusion...or assumption
that starting pitching is weak and the Cubs should, therefore, bring somebody in. However, I don't think they are going to go outside the organization for pitching, between now and the end of the season. I would be real surprised if they did.
I think there is a good chance Lieber will end-up in the rotation too. I feel less sure, though, that he would be effective. He doesn’t walk hitters and that I like. It’s going to depend on how the current pitchers in the rotation perform and how Lieber himself holds-up going forward. That said, Lou would first go to the veteran Lieber when and if another SP is needed. A trade in midseason, shipping Marquis out for example, could put Lieber in the rotation.
Long relief, or the necessity for it, is something we don’t want. When forced into extra innings it is good to have the option, or when the rosters expand in Sept. it might even be practical. Otherwise, we don’t want Lieber or any other reliever having to throw 58 pitches in a game, albeit efficiently. A relief pitcher is going to need more days off after he throws a lot of pitches in an outing. It gets to be another way of burning the bullpen.
by AboutTheCubs on Apr 11, 2008 4:00 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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