Hill vs. Pie
Is there a double standard here?
The numbers Hill put up in the minors were astounding, specially in AAA. Those numbers alone "should have" given him a free ticket to pitch at least a year in the majors regardless of his performance. Yet as I recall many people here didn't complain when he was demoted to the minors after his lack of performance in the majors (I'm refering to the 2006 season) He was labeled a AAAA pitcher and Hendry was criticized for not selling high on him when he had the chance.
Now we have Pie, who has less credentials than Hill and I see a lot more people questioning the Cubs for not giving him the job for *at least* 2 months to see what he can do. I don't get it.
IMO, minor league numbers are a guide but not a guarantee. They earn you playing time but not a free ticket. A lot of times it's just not performance but how you look. Pie has struckout around 30% of his at-bats and has look completely lost in the majority of them. He takes fastballs down the middle and the swings at balls way outside. His swing looks out of whack to a lot of people, including me.
The Cubs have chosen to sent him down and try their luck with Edmonds, who is a no risk given they only had to pay a quarter of a million to get him. This is not the Cubs of the past who give money to an over-the-hill star. Those teams PAID for those guys. If Edmonds doesn't produce you can simply cut him and there is no harm done.
Hill didn't have anything to prove at AAA when he was demoted yet when he came back he was a different pitcher. It's obvious that Pie has important things to work on in his swing and his approach. Like I said before I just don't get all the criticism that is being handed out at the Cubs for their handling of Pie. I understand it even less when I look back at the Hill situation.
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41 comments
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Note what Hill did when HE first came up...
Both had extremely good minor league careers. Both struggled mightily in their first two trips to the majors. Both were the topics of heated debates regarding whether or not they’d pan out and whether or not they should have been given a chance.
In Hill’s third real shot in the majors, he seemed to stick. He finished 2006 VERY well, and had a very strong 2007. He’s hit a bump in the road, but hopefully will bounce back. We’ll see what happens with Pie in his third try.
But I don’t see a double standard here.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 8:29 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Maybe I didn't explain myself well
I mean a double standard in the criticism here concerning the Cubs. IMO the handling by the Cubs of Hill and Pie has been consistent, but the criticism has not been. I recall much less complaining when Hill was sent down as compared to the situation with Pie now.
by Luis on May 15, 2008 8:32 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I disagreed with both decisions...
so maybe I’m not the person to be discussing this.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 8:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You are asking for consistency from a blog?
I remember posts saying Sam Fuld should be the starting CF’er, Daryle Ward should never had been signed, the Lilly signing was good, the Lilly signing was bad, Cesar Izturis is another Ozzie Smith, Kyle Lohse is actually good, the Cubs should sign Zito and Schmidt, etc., etc.
You get my drift.
by rlpete on May 15, 2008 10:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well said...
it’s a fan site. To expect rational thought from everyone on a fan site is, well, irrational.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 10:50 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think your argument works.
Hill was very obviously struggling as a STARTING PITCHER. When you walk the first four batters in a game, that’s a big problem. This was after two or three other bad starts.
Pie is a great defensive player, and his offense had actually been starting to improve, with very limited playing time.
Hill needed to go down and work on his problems. Command issues for a pitcher can be resolved in the minors.
Pie needs to hit against major league pitching to become a major league hitter. That can NOT be resolved in the minors.
That’s why sending Hill down was a good idea, and sending Pie down - after benching him for most of the season - is a bad idea.
2008: The year we put it all together.
by drewishdrewid on May 15, 2008 12:01 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
he struck out the first batter on 3 pitches
FWIW
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on May 15, 2008 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
ok.
four of the first five, then. It certainly wasn’t a quality start. :D
2008: The year we put it all together.
by drewishdrewid on May 15, 2008 12:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Both decisions suck
It shows Lou’s lack of patience with young players who struggle but there are major
differences. Pie is being replaced by a guy whose numbers are so bad he was released
by the team with worst record in baseball but the biggest issue is you can’t sit a struggling starter on the bench. I personally think Hill was not nearly that bad and should
have been given support even if yes he is a head case.
by Doggie Stalker on May 15, 2008 8:32 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
More explaining
I guess I wasn’t very clear. I meant to compare it with the handling of Hill in 2006, not now.
And btw, Theriot, and to some degree Fontenot, have struggled and Lou has stuck with them (both young). They may not be ‘many people’s choices to stick with but that goes against the argument that Lou has a general lack of patience with young guys.
by Luis on May 15, 2008 8:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excuse me for a second while I beat my head against the wall.
Ryan Theriot is young in much the same fashion that I am the sitting queen of the United Kingdom – he isn’t. He’s older than Cesar Izturis. Every time someone calls him young, God kills a kitten.
Please, think of the kittens.
by cwyers on May 15, 2008 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Relax
He was 27 during last season and had very little experience. That is generally refered to as young. The 22 year old superstarts are not the only ones to be called as young. Obviously if you break into the majors at that age you will not be refered to as young when you reach 28 or so. But for other guys it’s commonplace.
by Luis on May 15, 2008 11:15 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
27 is the peak year of a baseball player, normally.
Theriot may have had very little major league experience, and he may have been a rookie, but he wasn’t young in any sense of the word in baseball terms. He was at the peak of his condition, had played organized baseball for quite some time, and came out of a college program. If you can find me other 27 year old baseball players referred to as young half as frequently as Ryan Theriot, I’d love to hear about them.
There’s two points I’m trying to make here:
1) Theriot’s development path won’t be that of a kid that broke into the majors at the age of 23 or 24. He’s pretty much peaked at this point. This is what we mean when we say “low ceiling.”
2) Theriot was finished developmentally when Lou came to the Cubs. Lou didn’t have to try to refine Theriot, or improve Theriot – he got a developmentally complete baseball player. We can (and I do) argue over how to value that baseball player, but it’s not like Theriot needs a lot of nurturing to be Theriot. To point to that as an example of Lou helping young baseball players develop isn’t very accurate.
by cwyers on May 15, 2008 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Same can be said of Soto...
whatever adjustments Soto made, he made them in AAA. He went from being a light-hitting defensive catcher to a force offensively in 2007, BEFORE joining Piniella. Once again, Piniella didn’t have to nurture Soto. Soto just was Soto.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 3:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It is possible
that organizational philosophy changes trickled down from Lou to the farm system and had an effect on Soto’s hitting approach. Others may be able to answer that better than I can. Josh?
by DGU on May 15, 2008 3:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I've heard it attributed...
to his offseason weight loss and a focus on driving pitches more. Whether that’s attributable to Piniella, I don’t know. But he came out of the gates hitting immediately last year, which makes me suspect that it wasn’t due to Piniella. I just don’t believe that with so many other holes to address that Piniella had time to focus on the minor league hitters’ approaches prior to the start of last season. I could be wrong though.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
A lot of people
refer to rich hill as being young…...he’s around the same age as theriot.
by cubsmania on May 15, 2008 8:00 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pitchers age at a different rate than hitters...
I could be mistaken, but I believe that hitters reach their prime sooner than pitchers. So while they may be the same age (roughly – I think Hill is younger still), they aren’t the same age in baseball years, if that makes sense.
by SouthernCub on May 16, 2008 8:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apples, Oranges, Pie, Hill
Well, first, we’re comparing a pitcher to a hitter, so right off the bat (or out of the glove), that’s an issue.
But here are a few things:
1) Pie never had a chance to get his timing down and to put into practice the things the coaches were teaching him. Jim Hendry says this in the latest Bruce Miles article on the send down: “It’s virtually impossible to try make some of those adjustments on a consistent basis when you’re getting maybe 5 to 8 at-bats a week.”
2) When Pie did get hot from Apr 21-24 (hitting .500), he was benched for a cold Reed Johnson and didn’t start again until Apr 29 and didn’t stay in the whole game.
3) The alternatives to Pie, even at this poor level, are even poorer, especially considering his defensive talent.
Hill on the other hand:
1) He got 5 starts where he was master of his own destiny.
2) He can work on command in AAA as easily as in MLB (whereas Pie is going to have difficult adjusting to superior pitch movement in AAA where he won’t see it).
3) There are nice alternatives to Hill. Hindsight’s 20/20, but before Lieber’s start, I think we all thought Jon’d do well in the rotation given his relief #s.
Finally, this is an intuition I have reading the interviews and articles, but I’m getting the impression that Rich Hill is definitely a part of the Cubs future plans, but that Felix Pie is on the knife’s edge, with some in the Cubs wanting him to be a part of our future and others (led by Lou) ready to discard him. Lou wants an established lefty stick in the lineup and he’s willing to replace DeRo or Pie with that stick. DeRo was the odd man out before the season when we pursued Roberts. When that failed, Pie became Lou’s new target to replace. That’s my intuition and I can’t establish it without going back through dozens of things I read. Maybe others will respond and see if they’ve gotten a different feel to things.
by DGU on May 15, 2008 8:39 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
A couple of things
I agree that in the last weeks Pie should have played more than Reed (swap the ABs from one to the other). However that is beside the point, which is, wether Pie should have been given months of playing time regardless of performance or how he looked. I think the Cubs made the right move in sending him down and looking for alternatives. If the alternative doesn’t pan out Pie will probably come up again and will get another shot.
Your argument of Hill is flawed to some extent. Working on command in the minors is not as easy as in the majors because the hitters there are probably less patient. He had shown great command already in AAA before he sucked in the majors.
Like I said previously, given Hill’s numbers in AAA people should have been furious when he was sent down in 2006 and I didn’t get that. Granted, comparing a pitcher and a hitter makes the argument more complex but not without merit, IMO anyway.
by Luis on May 15, 2008 8:49 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree that your argument has merit
I only mentioned the pitcher-hitter thing because it’s important to recognize the difficulty at the outset – not to end debate – but to allow for potential problems.
One of the big differences is precisely at that point – that a pitcher who has command problem can work on that with even a little leaguer at the plate unless the problem is mental and specifically connected to being in the Show. Hill is still walking people in AAA so I don’t think the problem is connected to being in the Show. Yes, the hitters are less patient, but the Cubs and Hill know what he’s working on, so even if he ends an outing with 1 ER, it’s the 4 BB that Hill and the Cubs are upset about.
But Pie has no trouble with AAA pitching. His problem is in recognizing where a ML pitch is going to end up when it gets to him. He won’t see many ML grade pitches in AAA. The movement is too weak.
Finally, you say, “Pie…will get another shot.” I don’t think he’s gotten a shot yet and I don’t think he will unless the Cubs acquire a Furcal or a Roberts.
by DGU on May 15, 2008 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
now that I think about it – it would be irresponsible to put a Little Leaguer at the plate v. a ML pitcher with command problems. His parents would sue whoever did that after all the nasty beanings the kid would get. It’d be like that Big Z video on YouTube.
But, I think my original point stands in principle.
by DGU on May 15, 2008 9:12 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hate to reference a sports radio guy,
but Mike Murphy of the score has said ad nauseum that much like Patterson, Pie wasn’t instructed on his way up how best to use his skillset. He was allowed to be a free-swinger, and for the most part flourished with that style on his way up. At the big-league level his weaknesses are exposed- constantly.
Piniella doesn’t want Pie trying to adapt to a new swing and approach at the major league level. Let him go down for a month or two to get comfortable with what they’ve been trying to teach him. I really don’t see what the problem is with that.
As for Edmonds, he’s a throwaway. I have no concerns that Piniella will keep running him out there if he keeps stinking up the joint.
by davidalanu on May 15, 2008 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with you
although Ill give you some advice, dont take what Mike Murphy has to say seriously. He is like MDBNIU, Marriotti and every other bandwagon jumper
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Swung on belted!!!"---Chip
by Hammer on May 15, 2008 12:46 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with this theory...
...and have said for a long time, that the minor league instructors should have noticed the flaws in his swing even with him doing well at that level. Also, Pie did not know how to bunt for a hit when he got to the big league level, and with his speed, that was very short sighted.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
by MPH73 on May 15, 2008 12:47 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Hendry comment is illuminating.
I think that’s a veiled way of Hendry saying that it’s Piniella pushing for Edmonds and sitting Pie and if he (Hendry) had the choice, he’d push Lou to start Pie more often.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on May 15, 2008 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Isn't Hendry Piniella's boss?
Seems like he could push that a little harder if he wanted to do so.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Though I guess Piniella has built some cache with the fans...
that Hendry does not have after the Baker era.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 8:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He could, but...
... apparently Lou has Hendry’s ear when it comes to certain player acquisitions.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on May 15, 2008 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well said...
The other difference is that Pie has long been the top prospect in the organization, whereas Hill was a surprising emergence before being called up.
I do think you’re basically right about the “established LH bat” thing. I think Piniella has it ingrained in his mind that the lineup can’t succeed without a power LH bat somewhere in the middle of the lineup. It is why Murton was benched in favor of Floyd. Piniella thought that Fukudome would provide the LH power in the middle of the lineup. He though he needed a LH speed guy, which is why we pursued Matsui and then Roberts. Now, he sees Fukudome as the LH speed (and OBP) guy, but feels he needs a LH power bat. So, since Pie is the only spot on the field in which it might be possible to find a replacement that fits the need, he’s the odd man out.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hill's hardly a AAAA pitcher
Last year in his first full year he had 183Ks and a sub 4 ERA, if his run support was better, he couldve won at least 12 games.
I think he can be a #3 guy, he just has the yips apparently, he should be fine, I think he’ll be an integral part of the teams success going forward.
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on May 15, 2008 8:50 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Very few...
...pitchers have earned a full year in the starting rotation regardless of performance, especially when you are talking about a team that is expected to win. Look at Zito in Frisco and add the fact that Hill has a much shorter track record than he. If you are hurting your club on the mound, you can’t expect a club to throw a guy out there 25-30 times and hope he figures it out.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
by MPH73 on May 15, 2008 8:55 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm extrapolating the argument for Pie
I don’t believe a pitcher should be given a year in the rotation regardless of performance. I’m just using the Pie argument backwards. If Pie “should” get months of playing time regardless of performance then Hill “should” have gotten a year based on what he did in the minors.
And btw, I’m refering to 2006 (I just edited the post to make it more clear), a year in which the Cubs sucked and winning was much less of a factor than it is now.
by Luis on May 15, 2008 9:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But there's a huge difference here.
If Pie doesn’t hit his weight, this lineup can still thrive, and Pie can still provide near Gold Glove defense. If a starting pitcher continually gets lit up, there’s no hiding him. I still think that as long as it was for the right reasons, sending Pie out is probably a good thing, but I believe your argument here has some holes.
by davidalanu on May 15, 2008 4:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right...
especially when the other options aren’t hitting much better. With Hill, if he can’t throw strikes, he is a big liability. With Pie, even if he hits .200 for the season, it’s only 30-40 hits less than mediocre (considering he was a platoon player anyway). And he makes up for some of that with his glove, which is among the best in baseball.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 5:44 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
No one says to give a free ticket for an entire year for a pitcher. You have to take into accout the alternatives. A 2nd baseman prospect right now probably shouldn’t get two months since Derosa is an above average 2nd baseman. But the alternatives to Pie are Edmonds and Johnson. Thats why we need to try Pie for a consistent amount of time. We really don’t want to have to resort to below average ball players if we have a good prospect to try out. If a team has a terrible staff, then it wouldn’t be wrong to let a pitching prospect in for a whole year.
by ecbc on May 15, 2008 4:48 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pie needs AB's
and he is not getting them in Chicago. So who do we want out there? Sure, Reed Johnson, he has been a great pick up…...where would we be without him? So, Pie goes to Iowa for AB’s while we now have another option in Edmonds, my personal most hated player in all of baseball. But that’s how it goes. One comment that I hope comes true is Edmonds wants to stick it to the Cardinals. That’s all I need to hear to get behind him (a ways back though). If Pie gets hot, Edmonds does not, I fully expect to see Pie after the all-star break platooning with Johnson.
This is only the beginning....Lou Pinella end of '07 season and Chicago Transit Authority (the band when they were really good).
by mrcubsfan on May 15, 2008 11:23 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I never thought they should've sent Hill down in the first place.
He still had a 4.00 ERA.
by wrigleyrocker12 on May 15, 2008 3:24 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
That ERA is a bit misleading...
I doubt it would have stayed so low had he continued on the path down which he was going. His walk rate was just abysmal. It could be argued he was really fortunate to have such a low ERA given the amount of baserunners he was allowing.
Now, I don’t know if he would have settled down with more starts, but Piniella didn’t feel that way about it. There was clearly something going on, because he was walking way too many people at a consistent pace.
by SouthernCub on May 15, 2008 3:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

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