Fun with numbers

by Zeke on Aug 21, 2008 11:48 AM CDT

Fun with numbers:

Cubs: 77-49 (36 games remaining / 17 home & 19 road)

Brewers: 73-55 (34 games remaining / 19 home & 15 road)

Cardinals: 71-58 (33 games remaining / 18 home & 15 road)

If the Cubs do no better than SPLIT their remaining 36 games (18-18), that gives them a record of 95-67.

The Brewers would have to go 22-12 to tie that mark.

The Cardinals would have to go 24-9 to tie that mark.

If the Cubs do BETTER than split their remaining 36 games, (19-17, 20-16, 21-15, etc.), it’s a two game swing to the good and forces the Brewers and Cardinals to match that two game swing with a win of their own just to stay even.

And this doesn’t take into consideration the options of the Wild Card. That’s where the real race lies…

And no, I’m not saying the race is over by any means- just that the year-long play of the Cubs have put them in a very enviable position for post season play.

Well done, lads!

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation, Bleed Cubbie Blue, or Al Yellon, editor-in-chief. FanPost opinions are, however, valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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20-16?

Of course, I thought 21-17 the rest of the way before the Reds series began. After splitting the last two games, I’ll say 20-16 for the remainder of the regular season. That would mean the Brewers would have to go 24-10 to tie the Cubs. I see Milwaukee “only” going 22-12 down the stretch. I don’t think the Cardinals have much a chance to win the division but could win the wild card.

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Aug 21, 2008 12:07 PM CDT 0 recs

Just stay sharp,

focused and keep doing what’s got us here. Have enough lead to set up the rotation for the playoffs. It feels good to be where we are but there is more work to do.

This is only the beginning....Lou Pinella end of '07 season and Chicago Transit Authority (the band when they were really good).

by mrcubsfan on Aug 21, 2008 12:27 PM CDT 0 recs

More fun as baseball is all about the NUMB3RS

From Baseball Reference

Most Games over .500: 29 (last on August 19)
Most Games under .500: 2 (last on April 4)

Biggest Lead: 6.0 (last on August 19)
Farthest Behind Leader: 2.5 (last on May 7)

Longest Winning Streak: 9 (May 26 to June 3)
Longest Losing Streak: 4 (June 26 to June 29)

Most Runs Allowed: 12 (July 10 and August 9)
Most Runs Scored: 19 (April 30)

Longest Game: 15 innings (April 9)

Times Shutout by Opponent: 6
Times Opponent Shutout: 6

Month by Month
Split W L RS RA WP
March 0 1 3 4 .000
April 17 9 168 116 .654
May 18 11 148 109 .621
June 15 12 133 122 .556
July 15 11 128 99 .577
August 12 5 98 58 .706

By Season Half
Split W L RS RA WP
First Half 57 38 507 401 .600
Second Half 20 11 171 107 .645

Okay as for series results:
Cubs have played 31 three game series to date (Reds will be the 32nd)
They have won 18 lost 13 but interestingly they have swept 8 series and been swept twice!

They swept one 2-game series and split the other 1-0-1 and split three 4-game series and of course won one, sweeping the Brewers making 10 sweeps to date. Thus they are:

20-13-4 in series this year…..or…..have won 54% of their series but have swepted 27% of them, or have their series wins are sweeps!

If they win this afternoon they will have be 11-11 when series are split 2-1 but 8-2 when there is a sweep.

Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."

by Ivy Walls on Aug 21, 2008 12:54 PM CDT 0 recs

oh and BTW they have 14 games remaining for August with 12 wins in the book

They could easily win 10 out of that 14 and put a 22 win month on the board.

Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."

by Ivy Walls on Aug 21, 2008 12:58 PM CDT up 0 recs

amend that 12 games remaining and put up a 9 win

for 21 wins in a month.

Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."

by Ivy Walls on Aug 21, 2008 12:59 PM CDT up 0 recs

...and I've been to two games this season...

(hey, it’s a long drive from Michigan!). Opening day & June 26. Both losses. Had to leave both games early because of cranky kids. The Cubs had not scored in either game by the time we had to leave.

Is this a good time to bring up I was also at Game 6 of the 2003 NLCS? And we know how THAT one turned out.

SOOOO, based on my “good luck charm” status, I’ll be watching the rest of this season on the tube or listening on XM.

Go Green! Go White! GO STATE! (#13031 on the Cubs season ticket waiting list...)

by Zeke on Aug 21, 2008 2:21 PM CDT up 0 recs

I think that's a very wise choice.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al on Aug 21, 2008 8:38 PM CDT up 0 recs

Well, it's taking one for the team...

Actually, my wife has a worse Wrigley record than I do over the last 25+ years. So she can’t go either… :(

Go Green! Go White! GO STATE! (#13031 on the Cubs season ticket waiting list...)

by Zeke on Aug 22, 2008 11:09 AM CDT up 0 recs

I posted this yesterday

in one of the threads, you plagiarist. Do I get any credit? Noooo. Why do I even bother? Thanks a lot, Zeke. Dumbass :)

Linus: Life is rarely all one way, Charlie Brown. You win some, you lose some. Charlie Brown: Really? Gee, that'd be neat.

by CyberCyclist on Aug 21, 2008 4:15 PM CDT 0 recs

Woah! I honestly did not read your thread post.

If I had, I wouldn’t have even bothered with this. I didn’t mean to upset anyone. I was just noodling around on my lunch hour looking at the standings and thinking: “Hmmm…what if…”

I also can’t tell if you are really ticked off, given the smiley at the end of your post.

In any case, I take plagiarism seriously given my line of work. No harm intended.

Can we chalk this one up to "great minds think alike"?

Go Green! Go White! GO STATE! (#13031 on the Cubs season ticket waiting list...)

by Zeke on Aug 21, 2008 7:45 PM CDT up 0 recs

I'm not angry

I thought it was funny. The dumbass reference was in regards to the pregame thread today.

Linus: Life is rarely all one way, Charlie Brown. You win some, you lose some. Charlie Brown: Really? Gee, that'd be neat.

by CyberCyclist on Aug 21, 2008 9:57 PM CDT up 0 recs

Also

I thought it was interesting that the subject was exactly the same for both of our posts

Linus: Life is rarely all one way, Charlie Brown. You win some, you lose some. Charlie Brown: Really? Gee, that'd be neat.

by CyberCyclist on Aug 21, 2008 9:59 PM CDT up 0 recs

See, great minds DO think alike...

…actually my wife and I do this kind of thing all the time- independently think of the same thing at the same time, finish each other’s sentences, etc. Of course, being married 25+ years will do that I guess…

Go Green! Go White! GO STATE! (#13031 on the Cubs season ticket waiting list...)

by Zeke on Aug 22, 2008 11:12 AM CDT up 0 recs

Not sure why

But I actually think The Cardinals or Phillies might end up getting the Wild Card.

The Brewers have been fortunate to have some good offense lately and better than usual pitching from their #4 and #5.

In many ways Cubs have an advantage playing playoff contenders. You see the weaker teams will be using September call-ups. Brewers don’t know these new guys. If you remember in 2004 that screwed The Cubs when they played the Mets. Even The Reds could do that…wait no, Dusty would rather just play Patterson and Bako.

I’m just saying don’t be surprised if we play The Cards or end up facing Phillies first round (which would be scary).

by ak123 on Aug 21, 2008 8:42 PM CDT 0 recs