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Sullivan takes a stab at the 09 lineup

Sullivan offers his Opening Day lineup for 2009 

2B Aaron Miles

CF Joey Gathright

1B Derrek Lee

3B Aramis Ramirez

RF MIlton Bradley

LF Alfonso Soriano

C Geovany Soto

SS Ryan Theriot

SP Carlos Zambrano

 

The top of that order just oozes intimidation.  Sullivan still sees Lee has a viable number three hitter and places Bradley in the 5 hole, after his most successful season ever in which he batted cleanup for Texas.

Things I liked:

-Soriano batting 6th; now whether or not that would be beneficial to him, and whether he has the patience to acclimate to that role (I suppose we could say the same about Lou) remains to be seen, but I think Soriano not batting leadoff is worth a shot, although there are arguments to keep him there.

-The bottom half- Soriano being protected by Geo seems reasonable, and Theriots patience behind Soto should also help, but how many times will Soto be stranded on base with Theriot-P-Miles behind him? Perhaps another argument for Fonzie staying at no 1.  But as Sullivans is constructed, 4-7 contains a lot of power.

Things I didnt like

-Lee in the three hole.  Ramirez would seem perfect for this role, he can hit for power and average and has ample plate discipline

-Bradley batting 5th- If this holy quest for a left handed hitter is to be fulfilled, why not go R-S-R in the 3-4-5 spots; Ramirez-Bradley-Lee/Soriano?

-Joey Gathright- I was under the impression they were using a Reed Johnson/Kosuke Fukudome platoon in CF- so Sullivan has 15M dollars worth of Outfielders riding the pine on opening day

 

And I sincerely hope Aaron Miles isnt our starting second baseman, think of how much better that lineup would look with Roberts in there.

So whats everyone elses take on Sullivans lineup?

 

 

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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Strange

Its strange that I like our chances 6-7-8 more than 1-2-3. I’m excited to see how much Soto will progress going into next year. So having said that, I’d rather see Joey Gathright dropped to 7, and everybody shift one up to…

2B Aaron Miles

1B Derrek Lee

3B Aramis Ramirez

RF MIlton Bradley

LF Alfonso Soriano

C Geovany Soto

CF Joey Gathright

SS Ryan Theriot

SP Carlos Zambrano

Whether this is an upgrade from last year remains to be seen.

by trefrog66 on Jan 2, 2009 9:35 AM CST reply actions  

Gathright shouldnt even be playing

Why on Earth would he be starting over Fukudome or Johnson is beyond me

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 10:15 AM CST up reply actions  

He won't be.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 2, 2009 10:18 AM CST up reply actions  

precisely unless there are injuries

Gathright was a back up in KC

With this unsettled roster I see

Fontenot
Fukudome (1st half version)
DLee
Ramirez
Bradley
Soriano
Soto
Theriot

Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."

by Ivy Walls on Jan 2, 2009 10:57 AM CST up reply actions  

Only way

Only way that happens barring injury is if Gathright has naked pictures of Lou.

Barbara V. October 14, 1941 - December 19, 2008. A great lady who was a friend to all and like a second mom to her children's friends (she was my best friend's mom)

by puckishcubsfan on Jan 2, 2009 11:52 AM CST up reply actions  

Supposedly,

as long as you hang out at Nordstrom, it shouldn’t be all that hard to get some juicy pics.

by dakoose on Jan 2, 2009 12:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Sullivan once again

proves he’s the village idiot of baseball.

by cubswin on Jan 2, 2009 5:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

Agreed completely. In Sullivan’s fictional universe he’s putting this line up against the ’95 Brewers.

by trefrog66 on Jan 2, 2009 10:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Sullivan conveniently ignores the fact...

… that Lou isn’t likely to move Soriano from leadoff.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 2, 2009 9:41 AM CST reply actions  

Sad, But True

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Jan 2, 2009 10:11 AM CST up reply actions  

You know, I can really see a lot of creedence in keeping him there

Like I mentioned, having him come up to bat with sixth, seventh or eighth hitters on base is more ideal than depending on Miles or Gathright to drive in runs.

The problem that would cause would come playoff time-is it wise to switch his spot so quickly?

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 10:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Soriano's numbers by order in the lineup

http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=soriaal01

If you’ll notice, he has put up much better numbers batting 1st. Now, some of that may be small sample size, but in the three positions he’s batted a number of games in, his OPS for those positions is

1st .893
5th .821
3rd .761

by dr stabbingworth on Jan 2, 2009 11:24 AM CST up reply actions  

those numbers in the 5th arent too bad

The bulk of his ABs are in the leadoff, so take it for what its worth I suppose. The only way I can see him being moved down would be if they acquired Roberts

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 12:29 PM CST up reply actions  

And

And Al I think Soriano is our best option at leadoff unless Miles gets some playing time and is performing.

Barbara V. October 14, 1941 - December 19, 2008. A great lady who was a friend to all and like a second mom to her children's friends (she was my best friend's mom)

by puckishcubsfan on Jan 2, 2009 11:48 AM CST up reply actions  

Amazing

That maybe one of the worst configurations I can think of. Only a few minor shifts in Sullivan’s line up and we could insure the at bats are increased as production decreases. Brilliant!

"Baseball is like church- many attend, few understand." ~ Leo Durocher

by The Lip on Jan 2, 2009 9:50 AM CST reply actions  

My take? It is incredibly stupid

Did he just randomly generate that? The worst two hitters at the top of the lineup? Is he assuming that Gathright beats out Fukudome for CF? Do people realize how bad Gathright is? His career slugging is .304. He “slugged” .272 last season. For comparison, Theriot last season was .359. Juan Pierre in his one season as a Cub slugged .388. For his career, Pierre is slugging .371.

Also no way do you bat Soriano 6th. Soriano will still likely be leadoff with Miles second if not Theriot, Fontenot or even Fukudome.

by rlpete on Jan 2, 2009 9:54 AM CST reply actions  

Yup, this pretty much sums up my feeling as well.

Sullivan should have either provided some explanation for this ghastly lineup or not published it at all.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 2:12 PM CST up reply actions  

You should never

trust a guy who has no lips and crappy hair. :D

by sue369 on Jan 2, 2009 11:35 PM CST up reply actions  

At the risk of repeating myself...

…I believe I once described Paul Sullivan as “a guy who looks like he needs a Vitamin B12 shot and a hooker.”

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 3, 2009 8:04 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm glad Sullivan is not tasked with writing the lineup card...

because that is a TERRIBLE approach to the lineup. I’d also be extremely surprised if Miles and Gathright were regular starters on the team next year.

I really hope that Hendry and Piniella don’t envision that starting lineup for the Cubs next year. If they do, we’re going to be a significantly less effective offense.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 9:57 AM CST reply actions  

Where's Fukudome?

I’m guessing first game of year would be against Roy Oswalt. Gathright or Fukudome eh I’d prefer Fukudome

by lexmarklover on Jan 2, 2009 10:10 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah thats what I was wondering, but I assume Oswalt would be the opening day starter

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 10:16 AM CST up reply actions  

If so, Fukudome starts in CF, not Gathright.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 2, 2009 10:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Gathright in the starting lineup is beyond far-fetched

Center field will be patrolled by a platoon of Johnson and Fukudome. At least that’d be my guess.

by Wreckard on Jan 2, 2009 10:11 AM CST reply actions  

And Gathright as a #2 hitter...

… would be the second coming of Neifi.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 2, 2009 10:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Gathright

I doubt he’ll get as many as 250 plate appearances.

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Jan 2, 2009 10:33 AM CST up reply actions  

Well, I could see him getting 100 or so...

… as a late inning defensive replacement who might come to bat once in a while.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 2, 2009 11:50 AM CST up reply actions  

True,

I can see that happening. But 250, that’s be enough to make my head explode.

by dakoose on Jan 2, 2009 12:00 PM CST up reply actions  

150 - More Likely

I think 250 is the limit. I believe it’s more likely he’ll get more like 150 plate appearances. That would give him less than one plate appearance per game. I really doubt 250.

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Jan 2, 2009 12:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Are you taking Gameboard's injury history into account?

We would all prefer that Gathright get no more than 100 PAs, but it’s likely that he and RJ will platoon in RF when Gameboard is on the DL. It’s not like Lou can just move DeRo to RF…

"I've never complained about it. I'm thankful to have a jersey." Mark DeRosa, 22 Aug 2007

by DeRoMyHero on Jan 3, 2009 6:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Wow.

I think if you blindly drew names from a hat to determine the batting order, you’d have something that’s more realistic.

by kanderber on Jan 2, 2009 10:16 AM CST reply actions  

I wouldnt mind seeing...

Soriano
Miles
Ramirez
Bradley
Lee
Soto

as the 1-6, or even Theriot at the 2 and Fontenot behind Soto

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 10:18 AM CST reply actions  

My lineup

RH LH
Soriano Soriano
Fontenot Johnson
Ramirez Rammy
Bradley Bradley
Soto Soto
Lee Lee
Dome Onedec SS
Miles SS Miles 2B

"I played with one of the best pitchers in history, Greg Maddux," Zambrano said"

by fischisgod on Jan 2, 2009 10:24 AM CST reply actions  

So no Theriot whatsoever?

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 10:42 AM CST up reply actions  

that just

made my day.

"That’s the great thing about baseball, you never know what’s going to happen till you get the final out." — Lou Piniella

by drewishdrewid on Jan 2, 2009 12:03 PM CST up reply actions  

come on, he cant for avg and get on base decently

again wishing he was our second baseman instead, but hes not as bad as he’s made out to be by some fans

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 12:18 PM CST up reply actions  

well.

I would have shed no tears had it been him traded to Cleveland for 3 minor league pitchers. DeRosa had some actual value. To me, Riot has very little.

"That’s the great thing about baseball, you never know what’s going to happen till you get the final out." — Lou Piniella

by drewishdrewid on Jan 2, 2009 12:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Right, but then we'd be stuck with Cedeno as our everyday SS

some might like that, but he hasnt shown much at the plate so far

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 12:30 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Fontenot should hit second

Soriano
Fontenot
Aramis
Bradley
Lee
Soto
Dome/Johnson
Theriot
Ted Lilly

Let the Blaine Gabbert era begin.

by nji232 on Jan 2, 2009 10:36 AM CST reply actions  

Looks good to me

Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.

by bren on Jan 2, 2009 10:43 AM CST up reply actions  

I could see that as well...

although I suspect Miles will play at 2B against LHP. In that scenario, I might bat Theriot 2nd and Miles 8th.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 10:46 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah Theriot would be good for the two hole if Miles is the other option

Hopefully Fontenot gets a few chances to try and hit leftys this year. I would like to have him as an everyday possibility in the future.

Let the Blaine Gabbert era begin.

by nji232 on Jan 2, 2009 11:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I like this.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 2:02 PM CST up reply actions  

What I Think Lou's Lineup Will Be

This wouldn’t be mine.

1.Soriano
2.Theriot
3. A-Ram
4. Bradley
5. D-Lee
6. Soto
7. Fontenot
8. Fukudome/Johnson
9. Pitcher

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Jan 2, 2009 10:39 AM CST reply actions  

that's not a bad guess...

I could also see Piniella going with:

Soriano
Fukudome/Johnson (or Theriot)
Lee
Ramirez
Bradley
Soto
Fontenot/Miles
Theriot (or Fukudome/Johnson)

It depends on how well Fukudome bounces back of course. But I could see Piniella wanting a lefty bat in the #2, #5, and #7 spots, to fully split up the righty bats.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 10:43 AM CST up reply actions  

I think this one is more likely...at least at first.

Lou will probably want to put off as long as possible bruising DLee’s ego by dropping him in the lineup. Not that DLee has a big ego, but to go from a team’s perennial No. 3 guy to lower in the order could sting a bit.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 2:04 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd like to see Lee in the 2 hole

Fukudome/Johnson
Lee
Bradley
Rameriz
Soriano
Soto
Fontenot
Theriot
Pitcher

But most importantly I hope that Miles and Gathright don’t start many games and are primarily used for defensive replacement and give the starters occasional breaks.

"There are no curses here...Games are won and lost on the baseball field" - Lou Piniella

by El Borto on Jan 2, 2009 10:48 AM CST reply actions  

Lee would hit into more double plays than last year

if he were to hit in the two hole. Johnson/Fukudome are both singles hitters who won’t steal all that many bases. Lee’s newfound ground ball ways would be a terrible fit for the two hole.

by dakoose on Jan 2, 2009 10:59 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm still hoping that the increase in double plays

was a statistical fluke that won’t be repeated.

"There are no curses here...Games are won and lost on the baseball field" - Lou Piniella

by El Borto on Jan 2, 2009 11:26 AM CST up reply actions  

I would throw up in my mouth

if Miles is our opening day second baseman. There is not one good reason that Fontenot shouldn’t get the bulk of the starts at second base next year. He’s better defensively and not only does he mash right handed pitching, he’s probably better than Miles against left hander’s as well. Why Hendry gave half of the savings from DeRosa’s contract to Miles is beyond me, as we already have Cedeno on the roster.

by dakoose on Jan 2, 2009 10:53 AM CST reply actions  

My guess is that it will be a straight platoon

Even though Miles is about even in his splits, Fontenot isn’t, so that would help his line.

I think Fontenot playing every day would overexpose him a bit. His stats were inflated last season by only facing righties (only 21 AB against lefties).

That would grant your wish though – Fontenot would see the bulk of the playing time in this scenario.

by Wreckard on Jan 2, 2009 11:06 AM CST up reply actions  

that's what i did when i saw

the lineup posted… oh my god Miles and Gathright to leadoff the top of the order, that might be worse than CPat and Neifi….

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jan 2, 2009 11:23 AM CST up reply actions  

I'll admit, I don't think I have opened read anything of Sullivan's in months,

but it’s hard to believe that something this dumb could have been produced by someone who makes a career out of his supposed knowledge of sports. Assuming that ha believes this is the best possible lineup, he wants to give Aaron Miles(career .329 OBP) and Joey Gathright(career .328 OBP) the two top spots in the batting order. The least he could do is follow up that little excel chart with some type of explanation, but that would assume he has one.

by dakoose on Jan 2, 2009 11:30 AM CST up reply actions  

I missed the part

Where he lists the injuries that forced this lineup to be submitted.

Otherwise it reminds me of when I am playing rotisserie baseball and I pick up a new guy or two, and excitedly put them in my lineup right away, even if they aren’t the best options. Seriously, if we lead off with a guy like Miles and then hit Gathright right after, that’s gross. I only want to see that in the second half of a doubleheader in the middle of 20 days played consecutively.

by JodyDavis on Jan 2, 2009 10:58 AM CST reply actions  

Bradley

looks like a shoo in, but, IMO he will get hurt, be pissed off and slam more helmets than Lou has in a lifetime.
 Gaithright shouldn’t start unless our whole outfield is on the DL.
Needless to say this offseason IMO has sucked.

"Have You heard of the Boom on Mizar 5?"

by Grockcubs on Jan 2, 2009 11:35 AM CST reply actions  

If indeed...

…the Cubs get Bradley, it would open up a whole bunch of options/directions Lou could go with this thing. Also, there is no clear “leadoff” guy that would be on the roster, and that may mean Soriano is not surplanted in that spot. The real wild card here could be how Fukudome responds, and that could really change this up dramatically.

If I had to make out a lineup today, and knowing each players history, I would do this:

Against LH:

Soriano
Theriot
Bradley
Ramirez
Lee
Soto (may switch with Lee)
Johnson
Miles

Against RH:

Soriano
Fukudome
Bradley
Ramirez
Fotenot
Lee
Soto
Miles

Lou is going to be doing a boatload of experimenting if this is what he has to start 09. ST if fine, but you find out a lot more once the real games begin. They may not be able to settle on a fixed LH/RH lineup until mid-May or so.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 11:36 AM CST reply actions  

Gathright and Miles are utility players

Mike fontenot stats not including his 33 times as a ph, avg obp slg ops
                                                                                                   319 412 533 945
                                                                scoring position 323 430 600 1.030
                                                scoring position two outs 281 395 531 926

Milton Bradley was pitched around in texas he needs to hit in front of Ramirez
also Josh Hamilton was the guy hitting in front of Bradley, Josh did pretty good.

by louwants on Jan 2, 2009 11:44 AM CST reply actions  

#9

I wouldn’t be surprised if the 9th slot is wrong. You can make a good argument Dempster deserves to be the opening day starter.

Barbara V. October 14, 1941 - December 19, 2008. A great lady who was a friend to all and like a second mom to her children's friends (she was my best friend's mom)

by puckishcubsfan on Jan 2, 2009 11:46 AM CST reply actions  

I think that argument,

at least in Lou’s eyes, went out the window after Game 1 of the NLDS.

I think that barring injuries (or trades) Z will start on opening day in 2009.

"...the internet is not something you just dump something on. It's not a truck. It's a series of tubes." - Sen. Ted Stevens

by bobby h on Jan 2, 2009 12:50 PM CST up reply actions  

I was going to make much the same point.

I have this hunch somebody else starts on Opening Day this year. I’m just waiting for spring training to get underway to figure out who.

Bleed Cubbie Blue: Like Drāno for your internet tubes.

by znohitter on Jan 2, 2009 1:45 PM CST up reply actions  

Really we have 3 guys that could take the ball on opening day

I think who ever is having a hot Spring and is the healthiest among Z, Demo and Harden will take the mound opening day.

"There are no curses here...Games are won and lost on the baseball field" - Lou Piniella

by El Borto on Jan 2, 2009 2:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Fukudome

Count me among the people that would not be surprised if Fukudome has a good 2009. Not maybe up to our original expectations but I wouldn’t be surprised if he winds up playing very well.

Barbara V. October 14, 1941 - December 19, 2008. A great lady who was a friend to all and like a second mom to her children's friends (she was my best friend's mom)

by puckishcubsfan on Jan 2, 2009 11:47 AM CST reply actions  

I would not be surprised by anything Fukudome does this year...

with the exception of him hitting 25+ HR. That would surprise me.

The guy had a solid first half of the season (strong OBP, good defense, doubles power) and a terrible second half. He could do either one next year and I’d not be surprised.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 12:04 PM CST up reply actions  

My lineup

vs. a RH starter

Fukudome RF
Fontenot 2b
Lee 1b
Ramirez 3b
Soriano LF
Bradley CF
Soto C
Theriot SS
Pitcher

vs. L
Miles 2b
Fukudome RF (could switch with Bradley)
Lee 1b
Soriano LF
Ramirez 3b
Soto C
Bradley CF (could switch with Fukudome)
Theriot SS
Pitcher

In the middle of a good time, Truth gave me her icy kiss. Look around, you must be joking. All that way, all that way for this? -Oysterband

by Ross on Jan 2, 2009 11:49 AM CST reply actions  

Wouldn't you play Reed Johnson instead of Dome against a LHP?

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 2:08 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't see the need... yet...

I would give Fukudome every chance to play against rh and lh. And, I would keep him in right field as he is arguably the team’s best defensive outfielder and has a year of experience playing there. Bradley is capable of playing center, and when (not if) he gets hurt, Johnson will get a lot of playing time.

In the middle of a good time, Truth gave me her icy kiss. Look around, you must be joking. All that way, all that way for this? -Oysterband

by Ross on Jan 2, 2009 3:31 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree...

Fukudome’s splits weren’t very different. If he figures out how to hit like he did in the first half, he probably should be in the lineup regardless of the matchup.

The concern would be the other scenario. If Fukudome continues to hit more like he did in the second half, then a platoon becomes necessary. And honestly, depending upon how bad he struggles, the Gathright/Johnson platoon may make more sense.

I suspect Fukudome will bounce back though, and I’d say Fukudome would be the everyday guy. Johnson would serve as the primary backup for all three OF. He’ll probably get plenty of time subbing for Bradley.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 3:41 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm mulling the theory that...

…Dome’s main problem was, plain and simple, fatigue. And, as such, Lou is going to approach Kosuke much like Reed Johnson and Fontenot – use him as a platoon player, put him in situations where he’ll most likely succeed and get the most production out of him that way.

It’s not an ideal situation. Like many Cubs fans, I was doing backflips when Dome was signed, and I was hoping he’d finally be the solution in right field that we’ve all been longing for since You-Know-Who ducked out of Game No. 162. But I think Lou has given up on Dome as a full-time player – at least for the time being. Maybe Kosuke can earn back that privilege, but it’s going to be tough when his role is likely to be limited to begin with.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 4:04 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

+1

Bleed Cubbie Blue: Like Drāno for your internet tubes.

by znohitter on Jan 2, 2009 11:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Why would you have Miles lead off?

He’s a pretty bad hitter. I’d bat any number of guys ahead of Miles in terms of leading off.

Regardless, I suspect Soriano will lead off again next year.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 2:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, me too...

…and I’ve heard Lou say as much in a recent off-season interview. I think only a proven, veteran lead-off hitter could budge Alfonso from that spot in the lineup. I suppose if Dome really rebounds – I mean hits (and walks) with absolutely remarkable consistency – he could maybe supplant Soriano as the lead-off hitter at some point (with Soriano dropping to the five-hole), but I doubt that happens.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 2:19 PM CST up reply actions  

Fukudome is the only guy I could see replacing Soriano...

And I’d say that’s unlikely. I think Piniella would simply move Fukudome to the #2 spot and keep Soriano at leadoff in that scenario.

With the lineup we’ll have, it’s not imperative to move Soriano down in the order. Lee, Ramirez, Bradley, and Soto make up a solid 3-6, especially if Lee bounces back from his down year in 2008. And if Fontenot can hit in the #7 spot, there’s really no pressure at all to move Soriano down.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 2:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Except that Soriano is not a table setter...

Soriano is just not a top of the lineup hitter. He is simply not Rickey Henderson, despite all his attempts to be so. Let’s move him down the lineup where his K’s won’t derail an inning from the start and his long fly outs might produce a run. I wish Piniella would stop coddling him

Fukudome makes sense at the top of the order, if he can get back to the fundamentals (If he can’t, then he is pretty much useless regardless of where he plays). There is no way he belongs in the five hole. I like Fontenot in the two spot because he has gap power and is a good bat handler. He isn’t Chase Utley, but maybe Todd Walker with a better glove.

In the middle of a good time, Truth gave me her icy kiss. Look around, you must be joking. All that way, all that way for this? -Oysterband

by Ross on Jan 2, 2009 3:38 PM CST up reply actions  

I mostly agree with what you'd like...

HOWEVER, Piniella doesn’t view the leadoff spot as necessarily a tablesetter role. As such, it will take a LOT for him to move Soriano down in the order. And the team just doesn’t NEED him to move down. As such, I suspect Piniella will feel more comfortable just sticking with Soriano there.

The five spot is out of the question for Soriano, Fukudome, and Fontenot. It’s going to be Bradley. That leaves the #1, #2, and #6-7 spots. I don’t see Piniella moving Soriano down that far in the order. Thus, I think he’ll either put Fukudome or Fontenot in the #7 spot, Bradley in the #5 spot, and Fukudome or Fontenot in the #2 spot behind Soriano.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 3:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, you're probably right about the five hole...

…even though that’s the only other spot in the lineup where Soriano has a fairly high number of ABs and has seen some success. And I further agree that Lou probably wouldn’t drop Alfonso below the six hole unless Soriano really, really collapsed offensively. IIRC, Lou did try Soriano in the two-hole for a while early this past season, but it didn’t last long.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 3:58 PM CST up reply actions  

I really like the idea of

Soriano in the 6 with Soto behind him. Would prefer to see Dome (if his OBP is working) leading off with Fontenot/Miles behind, followed by Aramis, then Bradley (assuming he’s coming), Lee, Soriano, Soto, Theriot.

I want Soriano in a comfortable spot where he can swing away and drive in runs, but not in the 3/4/5 as a rally killer.

by N Oakley on Jan 2, 2009 4:06 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd like that lineup a lot...

…ESPECIALLY in the postseason, where Soriano’s approach at the plate seems to hurt the team the most.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 4:10 PM CST up reply actions  

I know.

I keep thinking about it and with Bradley hitting in front of Lee, with Bradley’s homers and doubles, it helps negate the GIDP issue and let Lee get on base/go yard, etc.

LOU! ARE YOU READING THIS LOU?!?

by N Oakley on Jan 2, 2009 4:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Agree....

…and more than likely, if Soriano does not leadoff at some point, the guy who takes his spot is currently not on the roster.

I do think Fukudome could rebound in 09, and I would love to see him get significant AB’s in the 2 hole if he does.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 2:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Miles

Miles is kind of there by default against lefties. I suppose you could leadoff Bradley, or even Fukudome. I just don’t want to see Soriano in the leadoff spot. He isn’t Rickey Henderson and does not deserve to be treated as such.

In the middle of a good time, Truth gave me her icy kiss. Look around, you must be joking. All that way, all that way for this? -Oysterband

by Ross on Jan 2, 2009 3:33 PM CST up reply actions  

He's a better choice than Miles...

Bradley is going to bat 4th or 5th. Fukudome will likely bat 2nd or 7th (depending on Fontenot). Soriano certainly isn’t ideal at leadoff, but Piniella is comfortable with him there. Miles should not bat anywhere near the leadoff spot (unless you count backwards, and bat him 8th or 9th).

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 3:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Sullivan is amazing

How someone manages to write with the body configuration of his head being up his rear end is amazing.

Barbara V. October 14, 1941 - December 19, 2008. A great lady who was a friend to all and like a second mom to her children's friends (she was my best friend's mom)

by puckishcubsfan on Jan 2, 2009 11:49 AM CST reply actions  

Perhaps we know why the Trib is in bankruptcy...

Paying guys like Sullivan shows a total lack of intelligence in management.

"I've never complained about it. I'm thankful to have a jersey." Mark DeRosa, 22 Aug 2007

by DeRoMyHero on Jan 3, 2009 6:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Call me weird

Call me weird but I firmly believe the following 3 things. 2 are Cubs one off topic.

1. Fukudome is going to have a good year. Not a great year but a good year. Not up to our original expectations but a good year.

2. This is going to be more power from Lee this year and less DPs.

And my non Cubs prediction

Rex Grossman will have the better career than Kyle Orton but it wouldn’t have happened here.

Barbara V. October 14, 1941 - December 19, 2008. A great lady who was a friend to all and like a second mom to her children's friends (she was my best friend's mom)

by puckishcubsfan on Jan 2, 2009 11:51 AM CST reply actions  

Grossman and Orton both suck

And Grossman is too short to ever have any success in the NFL. Orton will have the better career, but neither will be starters in 2 seasons.

by Wreckard on Jan 2, 2009 12:06 PM CST up reply actions  

The only way Rex succeeds in this league

is if he plays behind the league’s best offensive line, and seeing how it will take an injury to get for him to get into the game, odds are his team’s lineman aren’t that good.

by dakoose on Jan 2, 2009 12:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed...

Grossman is just fine as a QB if he has great protection that can pick up the blitz. His problem is that he can’t read a blitz to save his life, and as soon as a team puts pressure on him he craps the bed, resulting in either a wildly thrown ball that can get picked off or Grossman running backwards and getting sacked for a big loss. Maybe someday that will change. But as long as that’s the case, I don’t see Grossman being of much value.

Orton has the advantage of being at least more comfortable in the pocket and better at managing the game. Last year, he threw the ball downfield a bit better (until the injury). I’d say he’s the more likely of the two to be an effective QB long-term.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 12:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Sid Luckman

After all these years, he’s still the best quarterback in Bears history. He passed for more yards back in his day than any Bears QB has since.

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Jan 2, 2009 12:17 PM CST up reply actions  

If Orton

hadn’t gotten injured, I think we’d be in the playoffs right now.

"That’s the great thing about baseball, you never know what’s going to happen till you get the final out." — Lou Piniella

by drewishdrewid on Jan 2, 2009 12:29 PM CST up reply actions  

We'd be out again

by Monday morning tho.

Formerly NO100

by jerry morales rules on Jan 2, 2009 12:35 PM CST up reply actions  

It wasn't just that.

It was the poor coaching decisions that lost the Atlanta game. That was mindboggling.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 3, 2009 8:18 AM CST up reply actions  

Has Lovie

worn out his welcome? I think he gets one more year and if they don’t have a better season he’s gone.

by sue369 on Jan 3, 2009 2:59 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree.

He needs a better staff of assistants, too.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 3, 2009 3:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Lovie needs to realize...

…his coveted cover 2, is easy to game plan against when your front 4 don’t get pressure on the QB. The Bears have made very averge QB’s look like the second coming of Johnnny Unitas, and thats a problem.

Not unlike the Cubs, the Bears have suffered from poor player development (drafting, scouting, etc.) and it has hurt them. The bigger problem is the McKaskey’s don’t like to eat contracts and both Lovie (and especially Angelos) aren’t going anywhere for a while.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 3, 2009 4:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Beyond that...

… Lovie seems to suffer from a case of Dusty Baker disease, and when I say that I mean this:

Dusty fell in love with certain players and ways of doing things when they worked once — but continued to do those things over and over again even when they stopped being successful.

Lovie does this all the time, continuing to run the same offensive and defensive sets even when:

a) they don’t work and

b) he no longer has the personnel that he had when they DID work, and

c) there’s no one on his staff who is willing to stand up and say, “Um, Lovie? This ain’t working any more.”

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jan 3, 2009 4:48 PM CST up reply actions  

You nailed it!!

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 3, 2009 9:11 PM CST up reply actions  

I feel the same way

about Fukudome. His collective effort last year sucked. But I think he’ll be better than he was in the 2nd half. Maybe not as good as he was in the first half, but probably somewhere in between and consistent.

"This is an environment of welcoming, and you should just get the hell outta here." --Michael Scott

by Reddevil on Jan 2, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions  

+1

I voted for Fukudome as the Cubs’ MVP for the first half of last season. I’ll go out on a limb and say he’ll bat .285 next season with an OBP of .385.

"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray

by memphiscub on Jan 2, 2009 1:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Seems reasonable..

I wouldn’t be shocked by those numbers at all. I wouldn’t be shocked by much of anything Fukudome does next year.

by SouthernCub on Jan 3, 2009 11:59 AM CST up reply actions  

I wouldn't blame his effort...

…as I believe a variety of circumstances participated in his dismal 2nd half. Not unlike most Japanese players, effort usually is never the issue. This is the same reason I think he will bounce back, because he is willing to give the “effort” to do what he needs to do.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 1:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Effort is a common misconception...

Effort is rarely (if ever) the problem in terms of hitting. Fans frequently complain about effort when it’s the results that are the problem. I’d argue that trying harder at the plate may actually lead to worse results (pressing). I suspect that trying too hard at the plate has been the problem for the Cubs during the last two playoffs. The team pressed to try to do too much up there rather than being patient and producing.

I don’t know whether it was a problem of fatigue or getting figured out for Fukudome (I’d be more inclined to believe the latter), but I don’t think it was a problem of effort. I think it’s reasonable to expect him to bounce back to close to his first-half numbers. I wouldn’t be surprised by that at all.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 1:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Agree...

…and the big question in regards to the Cub’s playoff (hitting) performance is why they did press so much? It’s not like they had a young inexperienced team, and you would hope they could play with a little more confidence and not squeeze the bat.

You need to be confident in your abilities when you step up to the plate. When you are, it automatically allows you to relax and perform at a high level. The entire Cub’s team played with a lack of confidence (unlike Dempster’s opinion of them being “over confident”).

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 1:57 PM CST up reply actions  

To clarify

Instead of “effort,” it would’ve been more accurate of me to say “his cumulative numbers over the course of the year.”

I’d be willing to wager that memphiscub’s crack at numbers will prove pretty close to reality. And hopefully his first & second half splits will be similar.

"This is an environment of welcoming, and you should just get the hell outta here." --Michael Scott

by Reddevil on Jan 3, 2009 10:49 AM CST up reply actions  

Did Sullivan...

…forget what it was like when the Cubs had Patterson and Neifi in the one and two slots? Probably the worst OBP from one and two hitters in the history of the game. The lineup he lists, has the same potential.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 1:44 PM CST reply actions  

Agreed...

Unless something goes terribly wrong, I’d be VERY surprised to see that lineup trotted out for opening day.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 1:47 PM CST up reply actions  

I have a feeling...

…you won’t see the semblance of a set lineup until sometime in May.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 1:52 PM CST up reply actions  

Given Piniella's tendencies, I agree...

He loves tinkering for a day or two. He’s never patient enough to wait to see if a lineup will work out, though. Hence the variety of lineups used last year.

That, along with the uncertainty in CF and 2B and the health concerns with Bradley, I suspect you’re right that we’ll see lots of lineups thrown out there.

by SouthernCub on Jan 2, 2009 2:15 PM CST up reply actions  

If there is another...

…major U.S. newspaper that has worse baseball writers than the Tribune, I’d love to know who that is.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jan 2, 2009 1:50 PM CST reply actions  

The Wall Street Journal.

Bleed Cubbie Blue: Like Drāno for your internet tubes.

by znohitter on Jan 2, 2009 2:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Actually, the WSJ has a guy who writes a baseball column once in a while...

…and he’s not bad. I’ve posted a couple Fanshots of his stuff.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 3:14 PM CST up reply actions  

+1000000

Sullivan is a hack! He’s just filling space………………….IMO……..neither Miles or Gathright will be every day starters….and if they are…………………..God help us!! What a moron!!1 I saw that article yesterday…….my 12 yr old son was ready to puke when he saw it………..

by plenz on Jan 2, 2009 3:08 PM CST up reply actions  

sullivan's lineup

is like one of the lineups you’d grown about in the past couple years when you went to wrigley to find out cedeno, murton, and pie were all in it.

by cubsmania on Jan 4, 2009 7:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Is Dusty the manager

again?

SORIANO! YESSSSSSSS! JIMBO!!!

by CubFaninCA on Jan 2, 2009 3:16 PM CST reply actions  

No, just ghost writing for Paul Sullivan.

It is the holidays, after all.

Yes, yes ... winter is indeed a pond upon which all of us must skate, braving frostbite and runny noses in the hopes that our cars will start and we shan't embarass ourselves slipping on a patch of black ice. Spring is more a quagmire of cold mud and slush, and fall is a pile of fallen leaves that may or may not hide a pile of doggy doo-doo. But summer, ah summer is an oasis of endless green that disappears all too quickly beneath our feet as we rush through its warm, glorious bliss.

by daver on Jan 2, 2009 4:05 PM CST up reply actions  

won't happen

I could see Miles in the one or two hole, but Gaithright won’t be starting. Here’s my guess for opening day (if we face a right-hander).

Soriano
Fukudome
Ramirez
Bradley
Lee
Soto
Fontenot/Miles
Theriot

Against a lefty:

Soriano
Johnson
Ramirez
Bradley
Lee
Soto
Miles/Fontenot
Theriot

by elgato on Jan 2, 2009 5:29 PM CST reply actions  

Doubt it

I think it’s Lee and Ramirez in the three and four holes again. Lee could be moved if he has an awful year, but I doubt that will happen. Ramirez likes hitting fourth, and Lou likes him there. Lou also likes a lefty in the five spot. So I think it’s:

Soriano
Fukudome
Lee
Ramirez
Bradley
Soto
Fontentot
Theriot

and vs LHP, all bets are off. He might just swap Dome and Theriot, but I bet he platoons Johnson and Miles to some degree. But the big three of Soriano, Lee and Ramirez would stay in place, where they (and Lou) are comfortable.

"Who's Bob Brenly? The guy that used to be the manager for Arizona?" ~ Alfonso Guilleard Soriano

by JohnM on Jan 5, 2009 7:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Paul Sullivan at it again

He’s useless. Always has been. The only thing I can think of is that he is nephew of the Tribune editor or something.

by BLou on Jan 2, 2009 10:31 PM CST reply actions  

Close enough

He was Royko’s secretary for years, and Royko was pretty close to Tribune royalty.

"Who's Bob Brenly? The guy that used to be the manager for Arizona?" ~ Alfonso Guilleard Soriano

by JohnM on Jan 5, 2009 7:53 AM CST up reply actions  

lineup

im sure fontenot will split time with miles at 2nd.the job is his to lose.gathright will be a role player not a starter. im starting to get worried.

by NOMAR on Jan 3, 2009 4:52 AM CST reply actions  

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