It's Official: Cedeno And Olson For Heilman
by Al on Jan 28, 2009 12:21 PM CST
in News
492 comments
From the Cubs' official release:
The Chicago Cubs today acquired right-handed pitcher Aaron Heilman from the Seattle Mariners for infielder Ronny Cedeno and left-handed pitcher Garrett Olson.
Heilman, 30, has gone 22-33 with nine saves and a 4.24 ERA (212 ER/450.1 IP) in 305 appearances (25 starts) in all or part of the last six seasons with the New York Mets. He has limited opponents to a .245 batting average (413-for-1687) during this time, including a .241 mark (227-for-940) by righthanders and a .249 average (186-for-747) by lefthanders. Heilman has struck out 395 batters in 450.1 innings, an average of 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while his 69 holds since the start of the 2005 season rank third in the National League.
The righthander recorded three consecutive seasons with a 3.62 ERA or lower starting with his first full major league campaign in 2005 when he went 5-3 with five saves and a 3.17 ERA (38 ER/108.0 IP) in 53 appearances, including seven starts. Starting in 2006 when he went 4-5 with a 3.62 ERA (35 ER/87.0 IP) in 74 appearances, Heilman has pitched exclusively in relief and averaged 78 appearances in each campaign.
Heilman turned in his strongest season in 2007 when he went 7-7 with one save and a 3.03 ERA (29 ER/86.0 IP) in 81 outings, setting career bests in wins, ERA and appearances. He ranked third in the National League in relief wins, fifth in appearances and tied for eighth with 22 holds. Heilman stranded 21 of his 29 inherited runners, including his first 16 of the season, and finished strong by posting a 1.85 ERA (8 ER/39.0 IP) in his final 36 outings starting July 22.
I have to say, I hate this deal. Essentially, it boils down to Pie and Cedeno for Heilman and Henry Williamson -- I'd have expected a better return for those two. There isn't much Heilman can do that Angel Guzman can't -- or, for that matter, Mitch Atkins.
Unless this is a precursor to another deal, I'm mystified.
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I'm with you, Al
Unless they are planning to throw him into the #5 starter mix. I suppose this could be a precursor to a deal that includes Marshall.
Still, I think that the Cubs destroyed Pie and Cedeno’s trade value more than the players themselves did.
Well, let’s wait and see. I suppose Hendry has earned that.
Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true! --Homer J. Simpson
by Shanghai Badger on Jan 28, 2009 12:24 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
What mystifies you about trading two players who are out of options?
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:24 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
the lack of talent in return?
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:25 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not a huge secret they were out of options.
I don’t think you get much for two guys who have been given chances (albeit limited) and not performed.
An MLB pitcher and a live minor league arm is decent, and Heilman isn’t expensive (1.65 M).
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd argue that....
….Olson is, what 25?, and would have been a lock for a spot on the pitching staff, so him being out of options doesn’t really matter.
Heilman was AWFUL last year. Him straight up for Olson would have been a bad trade.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:35 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
+1
It wasn’t Pie and Cedeno, it was Olson and Cedeno. We should have kept Olson.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not sure we get rid of Cedeno if we don't part with Olson.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Then release him, instead of forcing a bad deal
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
So get absolutely nothing for him?
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You could say that just happened with this trade....
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, if you think an MLB pitcher (Heilman) is "nothing"
There’s not a hell of a lot I can tell you.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
We needed a LHP, not an RHP
It’s almost like we had to throw in Olson in order for them to take Cedeno. I’m saying they should have kept Olson and released Cedeno.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Look at his stats from last year....
…..and get back with me on the whole “he’s a MLB pitcher” argument.
ESPECIALLY now that we’re even considering him as our 5th starter. Ugh.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If we're using that kind of logic,
then take a look at Olson’s stats last year.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:49 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Everything I've read...
…has said that Olson was rushed to the majors and abused by the O’s because, well, they had no one else.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If you're giving Olson the benefit of the doubt
…why not Heilman?
He was good every year until last year, when he was reportedly battling a knee injury all season.
by Wreckard on Jan 28, 2009 3:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
His starting pitcher stats....
25 starts
5-13 W-L
5.93 ERA
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 4:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Well thats not even one full seasons worth of data
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 4:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It's enough for me...
…..to put Marshall in there instead.
Marshall’s last 26 starts:
10-12 3.91
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 4:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
For comparison's sake
Jason Marquis’ last 26 starts: 11-9, 4.38
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Jan 28, 2009 4:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
In Heilman's defense
those starts all came in his first 3 Major League seasons.
Now, either the Mets decided he couldn’t start, or they never gave him a fair shake at it.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 4:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
in Marshall's defense
those starts came in his first 3 mlb seasons
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 5:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
When are we going to learn?
Win/Loss is a bad stat to judge pitchers. Team defense affects that, and same goes for ERA. Here are some splits for Marquis and Heilman.
SO/9 H/9 BB/9
Marquis 4.4 10.1 3.1
Heilman 8.3 8.6 5.5
Twice the K’s means half the scoring opportunities for the other team to score. Plus Heilman had and impressive PRAA every year but last. Not crazy about the guy, but he has more going for him than Marquis. I like Marshall better, and this guy will probably be in the pen. Pie and Cedeno were not going to have an impact on this club and that was a factor for their falling value to other teams.
by DEEEIP on Jan 29, 2009 2:36 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
when are you going to learn
comparing relief pitching stats to starting pitching stats is NOT comparable…
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jan 29, 2009 7:54 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Thats very unappealing but,
Olson’s stats were
26 starts
9-10 W-L
6.65 ERA
by nick_reny on Jan 28, 2009 9:57 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
???????????
Lock for a pitching spot?
Lilly
Zambrano
Harden
Dempster
Marshall
Shark
Olson
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, pitching spot...
…didn’t say “starting” spot.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not impressed with this deal either.
Maybe Heilman will be trade bait in another deal. We’ll just have to wait and see.
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings. ~Earl Wilson
by tucsoncubsfan on Jan 28, 2009 12:25 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Nah
Heilman is a Hendry guy. He’s a Cub now.
by Cubinator on Jan 28, 2009 12:34 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hendry has raved about Heilman
since he was at Notre Dame
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That makes him the pitching version of Michael Barrett.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Jan 28, 2009 3:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
So Heilman can't take a punch either?
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 28, 2009 3:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
where is the pic?
"Just win tonight" - derv
by derv on Jan 28, 2009 3:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
not eveything requires illustration...
the human imagination is a fantastic tool, we all should use ours more often.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 28, 2009 3:48 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree --
We should all use our tool more often.
Oh, you meant imagination . . .
Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true! --Homer J. Simpson
by Shanghai Badger on Jan 28, 2009 4:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I have observed the the task of which you have just completed.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 28, 2009 4:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
TWSS
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 4:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yep
this makes Hendry feel better about his drafting Grant Johnson.
by socalbob on Jan 28, 2009 3:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
and its no wonder why he drafted smardizjia
he is fightin irish through and through
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 4:02 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
We keep saying that
“Maybe Heilman will be traid bait in another deal”
But I doubt it. i think we’re all hoping that this isn’t the conclusion because these deals suck. We traded Pie away for nothing, and now we have a more expensive, inferior backup in Gathright. And on top of it, Olson was a decent enough arm to begin with.
But I just don’t believe Hendry has anything else up his sleeve. This isn’t a precursor to some other deal. Heilman is a Cub, for better or worse.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
my focus is shifting to hoping Heilman can put 2008 behind him and return to 2005-07 form
by Cubinator on Jan 28, 2009 12:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And there's nothing wrong with that
Heilman put up three straight years of outstanding relief work in 05-07. I mean really, really good work. What everybody’s bitching about I have no idea. Ronny Cedeno is a talented but baseball stupid ballplayer. And he’s not talented enough to compensate for his lack of baseball intelligence. He wil provide sparks to tease, but that’s it. A decent pitcching prospect and a 25th man for, outside of last year, a solid major league reliever at a reasonable price. He had a bad year last year, which is why he was available for so little.
"Enough foreplay- let's get crackin'"- Fred Garvin
by davidalanu on Jan 28, 2009 7:00 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
+1, all the crying here about this trade makes no sense,
its not like we gave up a lot of talent to get this guy
Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living."
by DC Cubbie on Jan 28, 2009 7:53 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
you bite your tongue
Cedeno and Olson, all-stars* in two years
*(all-stars in the PCL)
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 29, 2009 12:00 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Everybody is crying because this dashes any chance of a Peavy deal
Everybody thought Olson was going to SD. I think people are taking their frustrations out on Heilman because he’s the signal we’re not getting Peavy.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 29, 2009 8:04 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
"I like coconuts, you can break them open and they smell like ladies lying in the sun" Widespread Panic
by Cubbie-Tim on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't get it...
But all of this MUST be a pre-cursor for something! Almost all of the pieces seem to be gone that would help us get Roberts. I guess Peavy must be on the radar screen for real!
by HomerInTheGloamin' on Jan 28, 2009 12:25 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
how do you figure?
We just traded 2 players the Padres wanted….
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
the Peavy trade is officially dead
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:27 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Not officially
but probably
"This is an environment of welcoming, and you should just get the hell outta here." --Michael Scott
by Reddevil on Jan 28, 2009 12:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yep
It MUST be a pre-cursor. Because that is the only way in the world that these moves make one iota of sense.
by TheHawk5 on Jan 28, 2009 12:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
We've been saying that for years.
There is never a precursor with this organization. What you see is what you get. There’s nothing behind the curtain, no great chess game leading to acquiring Jake Peavy or Brian Roberts or another useful player.
What we do have is a GM who will wait years and move mountains to get some player he inexplicably liked from the Creighton days or Maineri’s days at ND.
If Garrett Olson were really a precursor to a Peavy deal, Hendry would have taken care of the whole thing in one fell swoop as a 3-way trade.
MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown
by D98 on Jan 28, 2009 1:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
word is Heilman will be put in the 5th spot
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:26 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
source?
That doesn’t make any sense unless Marshall is gone.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
source was post on ESPN
i think the cubs powers like marshall in the position he currently holds, long relief
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ugh.
I’d rather have it the other way around. Marshall starting, Heilman long relief.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Speculation, At Best...
… he may compete for a spot… in San Diego.
by initram on Jan 28, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
he may compete for spot in san diego...
… speculation at best
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't get the Bako and Uribe
interest. The LH bat for a backup catcher? Get real. Bako can’t hit his way out of a paper bag and they are going to sign him for the same money Hank White signed for with SD? What?! Then they’re interested in that hack of a hitter Uribe? Isn’t he just an older and pricier version of Cedeno? Please let this not go through and more moves be coming after Heilman.
Sweet Lou for Mayor in '11.
by blackhawk24 on Jan 28, 2009 12:28 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
We should just let
Hoff catch when Geo needs a day off!
by jbertram on Jan 28, 2009 12:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Or Jake Fox, or Koyie Hill, or maybe even Wellington Castillo
Jim Hendry continues to confuse and enrage me.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Unfortunately
I think Cubs brass have decided that Fox can’t catch at the Major League level. Though he his putting himself in position to be a super utility-type player with pop off the bench.
If the Cubs don’t sign Uribe or Aurilia, Fox might not be a terrible option to backup at LF, RF, 3B and 1B (and emergency catch).
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 12:50 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And yes
Uribe is an older, more expensive, and worse SS than ONEDEC.
by jbertram on Jan 28, 2009 12:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
older, more expensive yes
worse, not hardly. He’s a better and smarter fielder, and has more power, while not being any worse at getting on base (read: they both suck at it).
"Enough foreplay- let's get crackin'"- Fred Garvin
by davidalanu on Jan 28, 2009 7:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 29, 2009 10:52 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Those two,
two years back seemed liked they had promise/value. Did the Cubs hold onto them for too long? I still think Pie was never given a decent shot at the CF job.
I say it’s a precursor, Peavy will be coming…
I'm finally moving on...
by slocs55 on Jan 28, 2009 12:28 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
What do we offer SD now?
I don’t see how trading 2 players SD wanted is being taken as a precursor for Peavy. Seriously.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:30 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
San Diego...
… was not interested in Pie. I thought they were with Cedeno, but perhaps they prefer another arm instead.
We just don’t know yet.
by initram on Jan 28, 2009 12:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
2 players SD interested in: Cedeno and Olson.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Interest in ONEDEC
had to be limited. I know they needed a SS, but really? ONEDEC for a lock for starting sounds like a horrible idea…then again they are the Padres…so maybe you are right.
by jbertram on Jan 28, 2009 12:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Padres are cost cutting....
….I’m thinking someone like Cedeno would be a good option, given that.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps What Was Better...
… was the salary of Heilman as a starting pitcher?
by initram on Jan 28, 2009 12:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
As opposed to Olson's?
Not sure what you’re saying….
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 12:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
As opposed to free agent starters
who might be looking in the area of $4 million +
Heilman is affordable, if nothing else. Personally, I like having him on the team; I don’t like what they gave up for him.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
maybe towers actaully looked at Olson's stats
and became not interested
just a thought
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know who SD wants,
I just don’t see Hendry making all of these small questionable moves without more to come.
I'm finally moving on...
by slocs55 on Jan 28, 2009 12:53 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Well...
get ready to wait for nothing.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 12:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
alright fishbone
I'm finally moving on...
by slocs55 on Jan 28, 2009 1:04 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If it happens...
I will admit that I was wrong. I think the deal died at the Winter Meetings and with this trade, tells me it is still dead.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Goodbye Onedec
Hope you can turn it around in Seattle.
Old Style is the nectar of life.
by Mordecai on Jan 28, 2009 12:29 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Onedec turning it around?
That would make him Cedeno.
by Rev Gunia on Jan 28, 2009 2:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Mariner fans love this deal. Sure, Olson will help them, but wait till they see Ronny actually play.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Jan 28, 2009 3:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
AUGH!!!
Right away “The Cubs, unsure of whether they will land Padres right-hander Jake Peavy,”
Even the Mariners are talking about Peavy and the Cubs lol
"I like coconuts, you can break them open and they smell like ladies lying in the sun" Widespread Panic
by Cubbie-Tim on Jan 28, 2009 6:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Henry Williamson
Better be pretty god damn good some day!
by jbertram on Jan 28, 2009 12:29 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Another move
I just do not understand. Gartright, Bradley, and this. Tradiing De Rosa. I am not happy with this off season moves.
"You can't take life to seriously, you don't get out of it alive"
by wild bill on Jan 28, 2009 12:31 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I don't get it either...
but this pisses me off less than DeRo or Wood.
by jbertram on Jan 28, 2009 12:31 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Last trade made sense to me. THIS one? Nope. I'm also mystified.
Wait a minute... who am I here?
by malicedoom on Jan 28, 2009 12:34 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Nothing is making sense right now
But how long must we wait before it does start making sense?! We’re running out of offseason!
Fire Ron Turner!!!
Fire Angelo!!
by GallopingGhost on Jan 28, 2009 12:34 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Don't Worry (Joking)
(Joking) Mike Stanton is going to win a roster spot with the Cubs in spring training and prove to be that electric lefty that the team needs in the pen.
I don’t understand why the Cubs traded for the righty Heilman. The Cubs are losing a lefty, Olson, in the deal.
"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray
by memphiscub on Jan 28, 2009 12:36 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
i really hope Jim sees something we don't
this off season puzzles me to say the least
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:37 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Big overstatement
I don’t like this trade either but this is way over the top:
There isn’t much Heilman can do that Angel Guzman can’t — or, for that matter, Mitch Atkins.
How about – stay healthy? I like Guzman’s arm, but you can’t count on him to stay healthy. And Mitch Atkins hasn’t pitched at the ML level. Lou wants proven veterans and Heilman is better than Kevin Gregg.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 12:38 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
That's a good point.
Depending on players like Angel Guzman is what gets people fired.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 12:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Then
why didn’t he trade away Kevin Gregg for Heilman?
Kwa...Ki...Sur...Pee...Nee...Ku?
by Kinky Reggae on Jan 28, 2009 12:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Because Kevin Gregg is making 4 times what Heilman is.
You can’t trade Gregg away; you can only hope he manages to be a Type B free agent and we get a draft pick.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 12:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Wasn't Heilman hurt for part of last year?
Or if he wasn’t out, could that explain his crappy numbers?
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Jan 28, 2009 3:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That's possible but I don't know the scope of the injury.
He could have just had a bad year.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 4:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'll take a wait & see attitude
First of all, it might indeed be a precursor to another trade – if SD got cold feet on Olsen because of his abysmal numbers and liked Heilman better (or one of the other recently-obtained prospects) we could see a Peavy deal done still. Plus Heilman is a better pitcher than Olsen and Hoffpaiur’s bat off the bench is better than Cedeno’s.
Furthermore, Heilman’s 2008 looked nothing like the previous three. If he has a great spring and pitches well at the tail end of the rotation he’ll be an upgrade over Marquis. We’ll see on this one, there’s still plenty of time for trades before the season starts.
by eamus-catuli on Jan 28, 2009 12:39 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
You would think the Cubs ended in last place
and the rest of the teams in the NL Central were at the top of the pack.
The Cubs are the only team in the division that is making moves. The rest of the teams in the NL Central seem to be sitting out the off-season.
It will be interesting to see the impact Hendry’s moves and the non-moves of the rest of the teams in the division.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 12:39 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Major Moves By Other NL Central Teams
I know about the Cardinals getting Khalil Greene and the Brewers getting Trevor Hoffman. Other than that, I can’t think of any major moves by competitors in the division.
"The big possum walks late." - Harry Caray
by memphiscub on Jan 28, 2009 12:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That is what is so puzzling about the off-season.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 12:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I guess Hendry is trying to build a team that can win a playoff game
If the Cubs don’t win the division, it will be a monumental failure. So Jim is doing what he thinks is best. Unfortunately, I don’t agree with his vision.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Which is why noting makes sense
Heilman is going to help in the playoffs? changing back up catchers is going to help in the playoffs? getting rid of wood and derosa is going to help in the playoffs?
Your starting 8 fielders, plus 8 or so pitchers, play in the playoffs. Other than Bradley, Hendry has changed none of these. I’ll acknowledge Bradley, but nothing else seems to be targeted toward the goal of winning a playoff series.
by TC Cubby on Jan 28, 2009 4:14 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You cant rely on Guzman
with his injury history, so its a false assumption to assume he can a contributor this year at the level of a Heilman (as low as that might be)
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 12:40 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
This is a terrible move, Heilman's era was already awful in seattle
Its only bound to go up in Wrigley, hopefully Lou is smart enough to just use him as a reliever
Lets Go Hawks!
by CubsBall2202 on Jan 28, 2009 12:40 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
he never played in Seattle
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 12:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
My bad, forgot he was in that deal with the mets
Still i wouldn’t call Shea a hitters park by any means
Lets Go Hawks!
by CubsBall2202 on Jan 28, 2009 12:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
nope
it’s a park for choke-artists :)
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 12:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
um, maybe Heilman will fit right in?
The Mets couldn’t close the deal to get to the postseason the last 2 years and the Cubs couldn’t win a game in the postseason the last 2 years.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 12:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think Hendry is shedding salary for Yu Darvish
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 12:46 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
If He Even Posts...
… didn’t he say something like he wanted to win 200+ or 250+ games in Japan?
by initram on Jan 28, 2009 12:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Is this sarcasm?
I can’t tell…
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 12:48 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but I hope he comes over at some point
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 12:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I don’t understand this deal. Maybe just maybe its a precursor or at least I hope.
I dont care who the new owner is as long as he/she/them come equipped with a Jake Peavy and a Joe Beimel!!!
by cubsluver22 on Jan 28, 2009 12:51 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
what....what....what?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!
You have to be freaking kidding me. What is Jim honstely doing with this move? After he traded away Pie, DeRosa, and Ceda it looked like he was making moves to rebuild the farm system somewhat and get younger prospects. Ths move completeley goes against that philosophy. Why couldn’t we have just traded Marquis for Heilman straightup when he was a Met? Now we have Heilman for basically Felix Pie and Cedeno, which I honesty think is the worst thing he could have done. Heilman and Vizcaino in the same pen together? yuck..
Forget about Peavy coming to the Cubs. Two players who would have gone there are no longer. I honestly am speechless right now. Hendry, what the hell are you doing?!?!
So this off season is basically:
Lose: Mark DeRosa, Kerry Wood, Jason Marquis, Jim Edmonds, Henry Blanco, Daryle Ward, Felix Pie, Ronny Cedeno
Gain: Aaron Miles, Milton Bradley, Aaron Heilman, Luis Vizcaino, Paul Bako, Rich Aurelia
Good work Jim, in your efforts to rebound from your mistake of giving large contracts with back end deals, this is what happens. I have always been a Jim Hendry supporter, but the moves of this off season have shaken that support..
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 12:52 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
So this off season is basically:
Lose: Mark DeRosa, Kerry Wood, Jason Marquis, Jim Edmonds, Henry Blanco, Daryle Ward, Felix Pie, Ronny Cedeno
Gain: Aaron Miles, Milton Bradley, Aaron Heilman, Luis Vizcaino, Paul Bako, Rich Aurelia
When you put it that way, how can you NOT be pleased with it?
by cwyers on Jan 28, 2009 12:54 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
take a look, which group of players would you clearly want?
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 12:57 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The one that has Milton Bradley and doesn't have Jason Marquis.
by cwyers on Jan 28, 2009 12:58 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
well in the wake of everything else
couldnt they have just waited for the new owners payroll approval and kept DeRosa while still signing Bradley. If its true MB only wanted to come here, couldnt he have waited another three weeks?
If you believe that Ricketts has approved the 63M for Peavy, then wouldnt he have approved 30M for Bradley plus keeping DeRosa? (assuming the Peavy deal is now dead)
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 1:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If you make a lot of unwarranted assumptions about new ownership...
…and Bradley’s willingness to wait, and assume that trading DeRosa at the peak of his value wasn’t a good idea, then maybe. I think that trading DeRosa was the right move regardless.
by cwyers on Jan 28, 2009 1:12 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
peak value
implies peak return
i think we sold at peak value but got mid-level return back
that’s not selling high
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jan 28, 2009 1:14 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Do you think the return for DeRosa
was greater than collecting the two draft picks in a year? Perhaps I’ve underestimated their quality. It seems to me that we “sold high” on DeRosa without getting anything more back than we could have if we’d sold low.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:14 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
DeRo turns 34 next month........
……..and has really been a regular just three seasons in his pro career. What can you expect to get in return?
"Happiness? A good cigar, a good meal, a good cigar and a good woman - or a bad woman; it depends on how much happiness you can handle." ~ George Burns
by tville on Jan 28, 2009 2:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
that's certainly
the pessimistic viewpoint on him….
good lord, he was 18th in the national league last year in WARP
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jan 28, 2009 3:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And had a very nice 1 year contract.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 4:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see Rich Aurilia on the roster yet.
Or is there something you know that we don’t?
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
by Al on Jan 28, 2009 3:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ricketts can't approve anything until
it’s OFFICIAL. If something happens in that process there is a chance that Rickett’s deal falls through.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, you forgot Kevin Gregg.
And I’ll take the AL leader in OPS, kthxbye.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:58 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
who happened to play DH last year?
Not to mention hasn’t played in over 100 games and actually playing the field since 2004! Yeah, sure, lovely acquistion
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
...and Hendry is not done yet
Think that’s what so many folks are hung up on right now. Every move in a vacuum. Jimbo is not done yet.
This doesn’t mean a certain #44 SP from SD is coming here, nor a certain leadoff guy that plays near the Chesapeake Bay is coming here. But Jimbo is not done yet. There’s more to go before/during ST and there’s more to go by 7/31 and 8/31.
The economic climate and which teams are out of contention by the ASB will have a HUGE impact on Hendry’s moves.
Sweet Lou for Mayor in '11.
by blackhawk24 on Jan 29, 2009 8:14 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget about Gregg
But I still don’t like it, either.
Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true! --Homer J. Simpson
by Shanghai Badger on Jan 28, 2009 12:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah and Gathright too, but thats missing the point
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 12:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, don't worry
I tend to agree with you
Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true! --Homer J. Simpson
by Shanghai Badger on Jan 28, 2009 2:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And, we don't have Rich Aurelia or Paul Bako yet.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 12:58 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Its looking like those are going to be our only options
plus any in house option we have for backups is worse anyway..
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 12:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
you forgot
Howry
"I like coconuts, you can break them open and they smell like ladies lying in the sun" Widespread Panic
by Cubbie-Tim on Jan 28, 2009 1:03 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He's easy to forget
If you had to choose just one characteristic that would get you through life, choose a sense of humor.
by Clutche on Jan 28, 2009 1:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
and how(ry)!
"Truth does not do as much good in the world as the semblance of truth does evil," - Duc de La Rochefoucauld, Maxims, 64.
by Emelie on Jan 28, 2009 1:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Like the deal
Now I still think getting Olson in the first place was stupid but Heilman is a massive upgrade over Olson. Olson is a pitcher that relies heavily on command and hasn’t yet been able to find it in a ton of innings already in the bigs. For everyone crying about contenders don’t let players play through mistakes there’s no reason Olson would ever see the field. I still think Ronny got a poor shake but whatever. This deal, in itself, is good. Maybe the preceding deals weren’t but this one is good.
by uwbadger on Jan 28, 2009 12:55 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
what role was Olson supposed to fill?
He has had zero success at the big league level and has average stuff. He has been absolutely crushed on top of walking the park and not striking anyone out. I’ll take a proven reliever over a 25 year old with avg stuff and no command any day of the weak.
by uwbadger on Jan 28, 2009 12:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see how they lack money
when they dump DeRo and Pie and add Miles, Gaithright and Heilman. I like Heilman better than Pie & Olsen, and can’t see SD having interest in Heilman’s, who’s a little too old and expensive.. Maybe Marshall and Theriot are added to the SD deal? I just see Cedeno as having little value.
SORIANO! YESSSSSSSS! JIMBO!!!
by CubFaninCA on Jan 28, 2009 1:00 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Heilman makes 1.65 M this year.
Not. Expensive.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And he's f-ing 30.
Not. Too. Old.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
SD will prefer someone under $1 million
add mid 20’s..
SORIANO! YESSSSSSSS! JIMBO!!!
by CubFaninCA on Jan 28, 2009 1:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
IF they don't move #44
the entire remaining roster must be at the MLB minimum to stay under $40M. They’ve already committed >$34M to the 9 or so players under contract.
Sweet Lou for Mayor in '11.
by blackhawk24 on Jan 28, 2009 1:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
if Theriot
goes, then Miles is our starting SS?
Now I don’t feel very good.
"That’s the great thing about baseball, you never know what’s going to happen till you get the final out." — Lou Piniella
by drewishdrewid on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Theriot = Miles
Beyond the nickname, I don’t see much difference.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:03 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Theriot gets on base much more than miles.....
by cubsmania on Jan 28, 2009 1:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Theriot got on base more than Miles in '08.
What will they do in ’09?
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think the riot will still have him beat in that category
Okay, just so I understand it... in your wildest fantasy, you are in hell. And you are co-running a bed and breakfast with the devil.
by bren on Jan 28, 2009 2:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Theriot plays better SS
ask STL fans about Miles at SS… my friend said:
If you want to see a terrible SS then put Miles there
Out with the Old and in with the Nucleus The Tortured Fan Base welcomes our new owner.
by Andre Fonseca on Jan 28, 2009 1:23 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Or
a free agent?
SORIANO! YESSSSSSSS! JIMBO!!!
by CubFaninCA on Jan 28, 2009 1:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
We need to remember the bottom line here:
And that is a Peavy deal isn’t going to happen until Ownership is OFFICIAL. Rickett’s only won the right to negotiate exclusively with MLB. All the paperwork and that is hopefully supposed to be done at the END of Spring Training. No one is going to approve a increase in payroll until this happens.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:01 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
The bottom line is we do NOT have the pieces to get Peavy
It will be centered around Vitters and Marshall, which I honestly don’t want to do now..
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 1:04 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+100
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Cedeno and Olsen for Heilman
OK, how is this suppose to HELP the club? Heilman was awful alst year…I do not understand what this deal is suppose to do. I trust Hendry has some Bellicheck-type reason for making this trade. On the surface, it makes no sense!
by cubprofessor on Jan 28, 2009 1:03 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Many players who were awful the year before are good the year after.
See Dempster, Ryan.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:04 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yep
sounds like Heilman had knee troubles. I like that he can start.
SORIANO! YESSSSSSSS! JIMBO!!!
by CubFaninCA on Jan 28, 2009 1:06 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And many players who sucked one year, continued their suckage a year later...
See Jones, Jacque.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Different situation
We didn’t have to give up players to have that good year from Dempster last season.
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 1:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The point is that a guy who struggled one year can become good.
Jim Hendry has managed to pull a ton of formerly-good players off the scrap heap. Jim Edmonds, Jason Kendall, etc.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yes, for litte money or little to spare
I mean after all we traded Bowen for Kendall. This would be a much better analogy if we signed him from FA
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 1:29 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Look, I've said I don't like the trade.
But I’m also contending that of all our non-Dempter-Bradley acquisitions this off-season, Heilman is probably the best (in terms of helping us win in 2009).
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
i can agree to that
but it doesn’t say a whole lot about our off season
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 1:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
wow...
i think i officially hate everything we’ve done this offseason….
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jan 28, 2009 1:04 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Im confused....
Why trade cedeno and olson for heilman, and then talk about signing uribe????
Why not keep cedeno instead of uribe, and have olsen instead of heilman? I think we would defenitely be better off that way.
by cubsmania on Jan 28, 2009 1:04 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Lou didn't like Cedeno...
On or off the field.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I can understand that...
but I don’t think he’ll like uribe either…..
by cubsmania on Jan 28, 2009 1:08 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree.
They have some depth issues.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yea and i dont like the fact they replaced olson for heilman...
We have plenty of right handed arms in the bullpen…atleast olson was another lefty to mix in.
And I don’t buy that heilman with be the 5th starter.
by cubsmania on Jan 28, 2009 1:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't either.
However, Marquis or Heilman? I’d gamble on Heilman.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:14 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
last thing the Cubs clubhouse needs is a murderer
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 1:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Sigh
In October 2006, Uribe was alleged to have been involved in a shooting in his native Dominican Republic. Despite claims from a district attorney that there was no firm evidence that Uribe was involved in the incident, a judge decided to press forward with the case. Although a defense motion to bar him from leaving the country was rejected, it was ruled on January 5, 2007 that Uribe must appear before a court on the 15th and the 30th of every month until the case is resolved. Uribe, who has denied any involvement in the case, has suggested that he may not play baseball until the legal proceedings are concluded. He is confident that he will win in court and will be free for spring training. 11 It was reported on February 22, 2007 on SportsCenter that Uribe will no longer have to appear in court on those dates. The following day his name was cleared of any involvement with the shooting.
by dr stabbingworth on Jan 28, 2009 1:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
LOL, yeah, let's forget that he helped...
…the White Sox get to the playoffs last year when Crede went down. He could go on a shooting spree in the clubhouse.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 1:20 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ask Sox fans their feelings on Uribe
2 in my office were giggling at the prospect of the Cubs getting him
The journey is the reward!
by wicubfan on Jan 28, 2009 1:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That's because they're looking only at his hitting...
…and not his defensive abilities. He anchored their infield last season. Again, I freely admit he’s an awful hitter, but as a defensive backup, he could really pay dividends.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 1:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
we will have to put a metal detector in the clubhouse
uribe could be packing
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 1:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, Fontenot's an avid hunter...
…maybe they could compare firearms. See? Another reason to pick him up – clubhouse chemistry.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 1:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
HA!
just dont let then get a ride t the game by LaRussa. Not good to mix alcohol and firearms
"I like coconuts, you can break them open and they smell like ladies lying in the sun" Widespread Panic
by Cubbie-Tim on Jan 28, 2009 1:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You're right...
… about Uribe. He settled in nicely to his role last season and played an excellent 3rd base.
Juan Uribe will forever have my respect for his contributions to the 2005 Sox 99 wins and 11-1 record in the post-season. Uribe clinched the last couple outs with superb plays at SS.
Thank you Juan Uribe!
by DrCrawdad on Jan 28, 2009 8:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I seem to recall Uribe...
…going into the stands to catch a pop fly for one of the final outs in one of the ’05 World Series games. The fans sitting there – Astros fans, IIRC – graciously leaned back out of his way. As a Cubs fan, I found the irony rich and compelling.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 29, 2009 10:55 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yup...
but everybody I was told before would reach for the ball. Yeah right.
Uribe’s play was shown countless time on SportsCentre. He did a good job catching that bad boy and was just a little lucky he didn’t get hurt.
Sweet Lou for Mayor in '11.
by blackhawk24 on Jan 29, 2009 12:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hendry
Is just making moves for the sake of change….maybe he took Obama’s theme “Time For Change” too serious
"I like coconuts, you can break them open and they smell like ladies lying in the sun" Widespread Panic
by Cubbie-Tim on Jan 28, 2009 1:04 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
i got the same feeling
he reminds me of a rookie fantasy GM making trades just to make trades.
I normally support Hendry’s moves, and I really dislike Cedeno, but I just can’t understand what happened here.
Out with the Old and in with the Nucleus The Tortured Fan Base welcomes our new owner.
by Andre Fonseca on Jan 28, 2009 1:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
if people are going to hate on this offseason
this is the last roster move people should be complaining about.
by uwbadger on Jan 28, 2009 1:06 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
well its the cherry on top, I think
Erm, well if we are going to call Milton Bradley nicknames, mine is Fischer Price: yes, you heard it here first..
by Chanman25 on Jan 28, 2009 1:09 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
ah, Cherry was moved in 2007....
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 1:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd argue it's possibly our WORST move this offseason...
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Then I'd argue you don't know what the hell you're talking about.
The pieces involved:
Backup SS (out of options)
LHP (5th starter at best, long reliever maybe, AAA starter maybe)
Possible 5th starter/long reliever
Yup, there’s a lot of volatility there. Worst move ever.
It’s akin to pissing and moaning about a backup catcher. These players are going to be the difference of what, 2-3 wins? If anything, in Heilman, we got the best upside guy for this year.
The Cubs should win the Central by better than 2-3 wins.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 1:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Bildo, dude.....
…you can disagree with me. That’s fine. But, seriously, chill the fuck out.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:21 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, get a helmet.
Nothing I said was that bad.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 1:25 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
"that bad" being the operative phrase....
…but, hey, whatever.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:30 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Seriously
You act like he attacked you personally. He’s just saying we gave away nothing but hope. if Olson and Cedeno were never mentioned in Peavy deals no one would care. and for the record Derosa was the worst deal. A championship caliber team shouldn’t be trading a guy of that importance for 3 prospects.
by gocubs526 on Jan 28, 2009 2:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks for your input...
..but you missed the whole point.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 3:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Before you all start ledge-jumping over this deal...
Yes, Heilman was lousy last season. 81 ERA+, 1.592 WHIP, 1.739 K/BB and all that. Fine. But from 2005-07 he was a damn good reliever. In fact, his ERA+ and peripheral stats over those seasons look an awful lot like… Jake Peavy’s! Seriously, look it up. When you put his 2008 season up against the rest of his career, one word comes to mind: FLUKE. I don’t think this is a great trade, mind you, but I’d much rather gamble on Heilman returning to his previous form than gamble on Olson, Cedeno, or Pie actually having a positive impact on the team.
"I see great things in baseball. It's our game - the American game." - Walt Whitman
by hip2bsquare on Jan 28, 2009 1:09 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Exactly right.
Heilman had knee problems last year and didn’t exactly like his situation anyway.
Not a blockbuster trade by any means. But nothing to bitch and complain about getting rid of an out of favor out of options back up SS and a 25 year old that posted a plus 6 ERA last year.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 1:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
if he put up those #'s w/ the padres
think what he could do w/ a contender like the cubs
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 1:13 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
comparing starter's ERA+ to relievers ERA+
is not apples to apples
nor is pulling Heilman’s relief stats and assuming they’ll continue as a starter in a more difficult park to pitch in
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jan 28, 2009 1:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree that the comparison was flawed...
But my main point still stands – Heilman is a far better pitcher than last season’s stats showed. How he might fare in a potential move to the starting rotation, I can’t predict. But it seemed to me like everyone was just looking at how he did last season and then b*tching about the trade, which is just plain silly.
"I see great things in baseball. It's our game - the American game." - Walt Whitman
by hip2bsquare on Jan 28, 2009 1:33 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, that's reasonable
My main objection is that I want Heilman to be a SP in a pitcher’s park . . . .
Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's even remotely true! --Homer J. Simpson
by Shanghai Badger on Jan 28, 2009 2:20 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
A reasonable assessment. This deal is hardly a blockbuster, but Aaron Heliman was a bullpen guy. They have good years, they have bad years. They have good luck, they have bad luck. I’m not doing backflips at the thought of him in a Cubs uniform, but he could turn out to be a decent return for Cedeno.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 1:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
just ask bob howry about good years and... well...
by SamuraiMike50 on Jan 28, 2009 1:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, let's ask him about...
2006, when he pitched over 76 innings for the Cubs and had a 71:17 K:BB rato. Or 2007, when he pitched over 81 innings and had a 72:19 K:BB ratio. Like I said, all but the most elite bullpen guys go up and down year to year. Heilman’s an experienced MLB arm – Hendry could’ve gotten a lot less for Cedeno, such as a couple of go-nowhere minor leaguers or, well, nothing. Cedeno was done with the Cubs anyway.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 1:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You guys are making me scratch my head
Do you really think we could have gotten more for Pie and Cedeño? Cedeño is a lifetime .639 OPS guy in 904 major league at bats, who loses some of his defensive value because of mental lapses and stupid errors. I won’t discuss Pie because that’s been done to death already. In the end we are talking about two guys who are out of options and have performed pretty terrible at the ML level. Heilman was a very good reliever from 2005-07, and is a guy you can put in the starting rotation if you need it (and at a very reasonable price too). If you think Pie and Cedeño should get you more than that, then you should change your job and get into the GM business.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 1:15 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
I think people are looking at it as...
Olsen was supposed to be part of a Peavy trade and the chances seem to have slimmed on him being a Cub.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree...
I don’t think Hendry would actually trade away a guy or guys that he could have swapped for Peavy. Would anyone be that stupid? Meaning, there is nothing on the Peavy front and if there is, these guys weren’t going to be in that deal.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." - Alvin Dark
by Fishbone2 on Jan 28, 2009 1:20 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Again, +1
At least Hendry got something for Cedeno. Many people seem to be assuming that Ronny was San Diego bound, but there’s simply no guarantee of that.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 1:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, I do think we could have gotten more.
SS is a terribly thin position right now. Cedeno is a true SS, who has issues, but has shown an ability to hit right-handed pitching in the MLs. He had value.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 1:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Huh?
Cedeño is a lifetime .680 OPS hitter against RHP, with a sparkling .304 OBP. Is that what you call “ability to hit right-handed pitching in the MLs”?
Just because the Cubs lack depth in the position doesn’t mean other teams are going to give up more for a guy who has shown very little in the majors.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 1:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Cedeno was bad under Dusty and that skews his lifetime #s.
Last year he hit .282/.351/.379, which is not too far from what Theriot did v. RHP.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 2:03 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Clutching at straws?
So you’re telling me that you’re going to dismiss all his 2006 campaign because Dusty was the manager, and that as evidence to you claim you are going to use his 2008 numbers against RHP, which consist of a sample of 103 at bats with a .337 BAbip?
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 2:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If you adjust his 2008 numbers against RHP for BAbip you get
.245 AVG
.314 OBP
.342 SLG
for a .656 OPS. Basically the same Cedeño that has never hit in the majors.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 2:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
No, I'm looking at the fact that he was 23
and playing under a manager who did not want him to succeed at Neifi’s expense.
You can adjust Ronny’s stats all you want. CHONE predicts a .281/.332/.412 2009 and that has value with average SS defense behind it.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 2:28 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Holy crap...you're seriously saying this? Really? About Ronny Cedeno?
And last year Miles hit .317/.345/.407 vs. RHP….and as for playing SS, Cedeno isn’t that good at it.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 28, 2009 2:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He was the best defensive SS on the team
Better than Miles or Theriot.
by Wreckard on Jan 28, 2009 3:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This is true....
and almost meaningless. The entire Cubs organization is a black, empty hole at the SS position.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 28, 2009 3:58 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Cedeno is a maddening player. That doesn't make SS any less thin in the MLs right now.
And CHONE’s prediction is CHONE’s prediction. Believe it or not. (There, I left you an opening for a crazy Ripley’s pic.)
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 4:14 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think GM's around the league are going to look at CHONE's prediction of Cedeno...
and equate that with value.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 28, 2009 4:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Sure, the GMs have better programs than CHONE
but I cited it to counter Luis’ suspect devaluing of Cedeno’s real stats by an unexplained method of reducing it by BABIP. If Luis was right, CHONE, who knows all about BABIP and such, wouldn’t give Ronny that nod.
Ronny Cedeno is underrated by Cub fans because we saw him do too many bone-headed things. He was as good last year as Orlando Cabrera, whom some Cub fans wanted to be our new SS.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 4:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Predictions are partly based on
Minor league numbers. I would bet that if CHONE predicted Cedeño’s numbers based only on his major league numbers you’d get a much less favorable prediction.
And all I did was adjust his numbers to a .300 BAbip, which is basically the average for any given year in the majors. Your argument that he hit RHP based on a sample of 100 or so at bats with an almost .340 BAbip is a lot more bogus that me adjusting his numbers based on an outcome that is agreed by basically everybody to be mere luck. Now, if you want to argue that a .340 BAbip is based on Cedeño’s talent, then go ahead.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 4:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Luis -
There are a number of things here.
1. There’s a reason why good projection systems take into account minor league numbers – because more often than not minor league numbers are good for projecting major league performance.
2. Pitchers’ BABIP tend to normalize, but hitters’ not so much. Your method is suspect. But perhaps you can provide me with a link that will explain why doing what you did is better at projecting a hitter’s future perfomance than CHONE’s method.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 5:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
........
When did I say I was projecting Cedeño’s numbers?
I said Cedeño has never hit in the majors. You said he hit RHP in the major. I countered that claim based on the fact that your whole evidence is 100 at bats with a .337 BAbip. For whatever reason you decided to being up his projections for the 2009 season, which had nothing to do with what we were arguing, which was actual performance at the ML level so far.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 5:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
See below, Luis.
You can discount his 2008 as being 100 ABs. Fine, I amend my point. Ronny hit RHP for 100 ABs last year.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 5:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
He did no such thing
He was lucky in those 100 ABs. The fact that you are even arguing this is just incredible to me.
With that logic you can devise any type of splits (i.e., games started at 1PM versus games started at 2PM) and come up with evidence of “hitting”.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 5:20 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I guess my response would be...
…the Cubs got back exactly how much value you can get for a line like that – a used bullpen arm.
Consistent. Championship. Tradition.
by dat cubfan daver on Jan 28, 2009 4:11 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You are funny
I thought we were arguing if Ronny has ever hit in the majors. Your point was that he hit RHP. When it became apparent that your argument that he has hit RHP doesn’t hold much water, you turn to CHONE predictions. Whatever.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 4:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Funny as in "Ha-ha"?
1. I argued that he has hit RHP.
2. To prove this, I quoted you stats.
3. You then lopped a number off those stats to say that he was lucky.
4. I assumed that you were talking, then, not about what he did, but about what he would do, and quoted a respected projection system.
5. Now, you’re arguing that you actually proved Ronny didn’t hit.
6. So, to respond now, and also to remain “funny” I’m going to argue that Ronny’s BABIP + his Fpct multiplied by his RC divided by his PO as a LF is an imaginary number, and thererfore, I am able to imagine his real triple slash stats however I want.
7. Therefore he did hit RHP.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 5:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Let's just make it clear for the record
That you think the following line of .282/.351/.379 with a BAbip of .337 is evidence of being “able to hit” in the majors. That should put into light any further discussions.
The fact that Cedeño has a career .300 BAbip in the majors should make it even clearer that those numbers (marginal to begin with) are highly skewed by luck… but I guess that’s just not clear enough for you to see it.
by Luis on Jan 28, 2009 5:18 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Luis
You need to decide what you are arguing.
Either you are arguing Ronny’s ability to hit in the MLs, in which case, his CHONE projection is relevant or you are arguing whether Ronny did hit in the MLs, in which case his basic 2008 stats are relevant.
The author of this post is not a certified scout, doctor, agent, statistician, manager, or journalist, nor was he ever a very good player, though he tried very hard to be like Ryne Sandberg and was about as scrappy as it gets (in T-ball). Any opinion expressed above should in no way be confused with fact, truth, or reality and is hereby qualified in the following ways: 1) The author does not know as much about baseball as Lou Piniella. 2) The author does not know as much about baseball as Jim Hendry. 3) The author does not know as much about baseball as either Dusty or Darren Baker.
by DGU on Jan 28, 2009 7:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Who's more likely to repeat their 2008 season?
If Heilman (who comes with a ready-made nickname for the drinks of Old Style), moves into Marquis’ role as the 5th starter, then my question becomes who is more likely to repeat their 2008?
I don’t see Heilman continuing to regress, especially if the knee is sound. Additionally, this will be his first time put into a rotation on a consistent basis (he has made 25 starts, none since 2005).
Marquis on the other hand, had a strong 2008, filling in to the No. 5 spot effectively.
However, given the option entering 2009, which would you rather have?
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 1:15 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Another thing to consider
is the years the team has control of a player. Marquis will be a free agent after the 2009 season. I believe Heilman won’t be a free agent until after the 2010 season.
I would say Heilman has more upside than Marquis. It will be interesting to see who has the better year in 2009.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 1:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
According to Cot's
Heilman will be a free agent after 2009, same as Marquis.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 1:20 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
No he is not an FA till 2010 according to the wires
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
by Doggie Stalker on Jan 28, 2009 1:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Cot's says his ML service time is 4.123
which would mean he would be a free agent after 2010 (after he’s accumulated 6 full ML seasons of service time).
He is arbitration eligible so his current contract is for 2009 but he’s under control in 2010.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 28, 2009 1:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough. Thanks for clearing that up.
So, in the interests of payroll, Heilman is a decent deal, especially if he matches or beats Marquis’ production.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 2:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Seems we are not only xconfused about this trade itself, but the service time and FA status after 2009. Here is what I find
http://www.mlb4u.com/profile.php?id=626
Proper Name: Aaron Michael Heilman
Born on: November 12, 1978
Birthplace: Logansport, IN, USA
Height: 6.0
Weight: 220 lbs.
Pronounced: HIEL-man
Bats: R
Throws: R
Pos: RHRP
College: U. of Notre Dame
Age: 30
Service Time: 2.123
Agent: Mark Rodgers
Signed thru: 2008 season
Free Agent After: 2010 season
"I like coconuts, you can break them open and they smell like ladies lying in the sun" Widespread Panic
by Cubbie-Tim on Jan 28, 2009 7:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
His service time has to be more than that
I would venture to guess that Cot’s has it much closer in terms of contract and service time.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 29, 2009 11:14 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Marquis...and I was NOT a Jason fan.....
….but you gotta factor in salaries, sad to say.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:18 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
So Heilman makes less and is a FA after 2009 (according to Cot's)
so wouldn’t that put him ahead of Marquis, in terms of contract?
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 1:21 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, if we figure in contract, absolutely....
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
So then it becomes who would have more value this year
based upon contract and performance. I’m leaning towards Heilman on that front – I just think Marquis is a more likely candidate to regress statistically.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 1:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
..and I guess I'm looking at....
…the fact that Heilman hasn’t been a starter in 3 years.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Understandable.
it’s a risk, but if Heilman is able to start (and I think he can), I see him projecting better than Marquis.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Trey2317 on Jan 28, 2009 1:40 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And for over 6M less.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
by Bildo1805 on Jan 28, 2009 1:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
who knows
Like everything if we win next year and these guys do well its a great move, if we dont then these moves suck. so in my expert views……these are good moves or they suck
Let go cubs
by cubsfaninkc on Jan 28, 2009 1:17 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
the good news, I guess
Is that NONE of the Central Divison seems to want to be stronger than last year, even with some key losses.
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Jan 28, 2009 1:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
There isn't anything Heilman can do that Atkins and Guzman can't?
Al, you can’t really believe that. Heilman was pretty bad last year, but before that he had three consecutive very good years in a Major League bullpen. Atkins has never been a reliever, much less a major leaguer. Guzman has had very limited success as a ML reliever, but can’t stay healthy.
There’s a huge difference between Heilman and Atkins/Guzman.
by AceCubbie on Jan 28, 2009 1:19 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
except having been there and done that
Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."
by Ivy Walls on Jan 28, 2009 1:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I know one
Heilman can stay healthy. Guzman can’t. I’m not saying that the deal was anythign great but the Cubs absolutely positively should not count on Guzman for anything.
As for Atkins, who knows.
by rlpete on Jan 28, 2009 1:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Some of these posts are a little ridiculous.
All the Henry Blanco love is great. I never saw a lifetime .227 hitter loved so much. And Heilman did have three great years before last year. Some of the same people who bitched about gettong Olson are now complaining about losing him. And don’t get me started on Cedeno. Why can’t you just wait until the final roster is set before you go nuts? Hendry obviously had a plan going into this offseason. Let him execute it. Their will be plenty of time to critcize the guy that brought you the last two division titles.
by Rick B on Jan 28, 2009 1:20 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
you're evaluating
pieces of the puzzle
people complaining here are confused about the whole puzzle
We were told Olson, Cedeno, etc were targets for Peavy, instead we get Aaron Heilmann
We were told we had a great prospect who couldn’t be included in a Brian Roberts trade because he was our CF of the future, he was now just shipped out along with another piece for Aaron Heilmann