Proper Utilization of Resources
People retire these days early, some of them without the benefit of Manny-sized paychecks. How can they do that? They properly utilize their resources. They live beneath their means, and invest in the future. What does this have to do with baseball? Glad you asked.
The Cubs are faced with a four for two decision today or tomorrow. Between Gaudin, Guzman, Patton, and Samardzija, only two can make the opening day roster. Before I tell you what I want to happen, I will give you five words to think about: Good decisions precede great results.
"The Yankees were so lucky in the nineties and early 2000's. They had all the money and could buy anyone they wanted." Y'mean when they drafted and developed Derek Jeter, Bernie Williams, Jorge Posada, Mariano Rivera, Andy Pettite, and others.
"But what about the Red Sox, they...." Dustin Pedroia, Jonathan Pappelbon, Jacoby Elsbury.
The Cubs farm system is poor. One of the reasons we couldn't get (fill in the blank) recently is due to a lack of artillery at the minor league level. Good decisions precede great results.
I cannot fathom one good reason to bring Jeff Samardzija to Houston on Monday. He doesn't have a defined role. He needs to upgrade his game. He wasn't very good in the spring. He has options left. In that order, I think. He should go to Iowa and remember how to get hitters out. Start, relieve, don't care. Show me an ERA below 4. Then I'll reconsider.
As for Gaudin, I'm ambivalent. If he's going to be terrible, trade him, but I hope we don't trade him for a low grade corner outfielder or a reach second baseman. We have enough of those. Get a shortstop or a centerfielder that might wear the Cubs pinstripes in a few years and I'd be good with it. Good decisions precede great results.
Now, the crux of it. I haven't invested as much in Guzman as most of you. When he was at his best, I was paying more attention to the NASDAQ than the Cubs. So sue me. I hope we have legit offers for him. I wouldn't mind us keeping him, if only to trot him out as bait. If he performs well in April, I think Hendry could get more than he is being offered now. I wouldn't be brokenhearted if we deal him, but do not release him. We have to get something for him. I will defer to (Josh and) others as to whether we get enough, but don't release him. Good decisions precede great results.
David Patton. If he stunk it up this spring, I would have no problem sending him back to the Rockies. Colorado will see him plenty of times, in an opposing uniform. I'm not predicting greatness from Patton, but there are lotsa bad bullpens. He will make it through '09 in Chicago, or Pittsburgh, or somewhere. But I strongly recommend keeping Patton, at least initially.
He throws stirkes (unless against Japan), has a spring ERA under one (yeah, that's kinda good), and isn't in Lou's doghouse yet. Hang on to him at least to start the season. And he's cheap. Many of those Yankee/Bosox draft picks played well as cheap talent. With a posting on the site wondering what would be required to not win the division by ten, I really don't think keeping Patton for at least a month will do us in. We could be five out in June and (injuries pending) still be the favorite to win the NLC. Not that I want that, but Patton has earned his keep. The only way I would approve anything but keeping him is to get wads-o-cash or trade to get us bait (preferably a ss and/or cf prospect). A twelfth reliever shouldn't cost you more than two games, and we need to get much better at utilizing our resources.
Good decisions precede great results.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.
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I want to keep Gaudin because he can spot start.
We’re going to have injuries to our rotation, no doubt. Maybe two guys at the same time. Shark could come up and start for one injury, but we really do need a guy like Gaudin in case we have two injured starting pitchers at the same time. Yes, Heilman is a fine starter, but I think we’ll need him in the bullpen.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
(my vote--since it wasn't clear--was to keep Gaudin, Shark to AAA, try to keep Patton and trade/release Guzman)
But, I like that our big worries right now are those last few bullpen spots.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
if there is one trade offer on the table
that would be a better option than releasing him. it’s sad enough that we didn’t even get picks for wood (and howry?). someone’s gotta have a corey patterson-type that they’d kick to the curb for guzman. hopefully we can do better. but i see no upside in releasing him.
? Picks for Wood ?
He was a free agent that we chose not to resign for a very high pricetag.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
Type A player
Had the Cubs offered him arbitration, there was a possibility that they would receive a first round pick and a sandwich pick in the draft.
by dr stabbingworth on Apr 1, 2009 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions
Or, as much as I like Kerry,
have to pay him $10M for the season.
if this was still new to me, i wouldn't understand
And,
Releasing him is certainly a last resort. As long as it’s a cost-controlled trade, I don’t really care who we get.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
valid point
guzman for (three days ago) gary sheffield, not wise.
If there is one thing that the Cubs do have
it is depth in starting pitching. I don’t think that this is a reason to keep Gaudin. You have Hileman and Shark that could spot start as well as Hart. Keeping Gaudin because he might be needed to spot start is not a good reason. You already have depth there. You keep the better pitcher or the pitcher with more potential. That is certainly Guzman.
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
I might buy Shark.
I spoke to Heilman.
Hart? Come on.
I’m tired of hearing about Guzman’s potential. I know, I know, he’s been hurt. But even when healthy he hasn’t produced anything but filthy looking stuff that gets hit a long, long way.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
Because Shark will probably head to Iowa to start...
… and remember, the Cubs ALSO have Mitch Atkins there, I don’t think they need Gaudin.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
My point is
that you are talking about keeping Gaudin in case two starters get hurt.
1. The odds of that happening at the same time are LOOONNNGGGG.
2. Even if it does, the odds of it being more than one or two starts are even longer.
So why keep a guy like Gaudin for a contingency when the event is very unlikely to happen. Keep the better pitcher for the future. The Cubs should be 5-10 wins better than the rest of the Central this season. They can afford Guzman and Patton on the roster even if it does cost them a couple of wins if they will provide value in the future.
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
I'll give you
that the Cubs will need someone to spot start this year. Probably a few times. However, having two pitchers down at the same time? I think Harden will stay relatively healthy with the way the Cubs baby him. He will be out for a few, but all of the other starters haven’t been injury risks at all really. So for two of them to be out at the same time for any significant amount of time…improbable. IMHO at least. I may well be proved wrong, but I hope not.
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
good point.
That is exactly my view on the situation. I rather have Guzman for his potential. I am not worried about keeping Gaudin for spot starts either because Heilman, Samardzija, and Atkins can handle that.
Agree - but there will be no trades
Shark to AAA, that’s a no-brainer. The three remaining have no Cub options, so we choose the best two and loose the other. No team will trade for someone who we will be forced to waive in a couple of days. My vote is we keep Patton based on merit in ST, and then between Guzman/Gaudin its a toss up.
I'll agree with this.
I want Gaudin to stay. But, the way he’s been pitching…oof.
It really IS a toss up between Guzman and Gaudin. I guess I’d just like to go with the one least likely to get hurt: Gaudin. Two years younger, better injury history.
"Thank god I threw out my belt & shoelaces."-Bernies Mustache Wax on Evil BCB, 7/31/08
Guzman is probably much more tradeable
in any case………….they will get next to nothing IF they can work a trade for either one. IMHO………Gaudin is simply bad………he showed nothing last year when he was here and nothing so far in ST. It would’nt bother me a bit if he’s released.
Teams will trade
if they feel that there are others out there who would pick up the waived player before he gets to them. Remember, there is an order in which teams get to claim waived players. IIRC it goes in reverse order of record from the year before for your league and then the other league. So all NL teams starting with the Nationals would have a shot a whoever the Cubs released and then all AL teams starting with Seattle. A GM might want that guy (granted, more likely with Guzman than Gaudin.) and be pretty sure that he wouldn’t make it through waivers all the way to where his team picks. So if an AL GM (or an NL team with a good record last year) wants one of them, they might be willing to trade something, knowing that Guzman (for example) would have to have all NL teams pass on him before the GM got a shot to claim him.
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
I'd be surprised if the Nationals didn't gobble up Gaudin or Guzman
So that may place the onus on a team that needs pitching like the Rockies to strike some sort of deal.
by dr stabbingworth on Apr 1, 2009 11:46 AM CDT up reply actions
they like gobbling guys that start with g
didn’t they
wait for it
gobble up gobble
i'll use guzman as an example
if we think washington and pitt both want him, and have floated interest, talk to the one who has second option on waivers.
if we ‘needed’ to keep kevin hart and (say) atlanta were releasing someone with injury history plus upside, i’d let loose mike brenly (f’rinstance) if i thought the guy were better than we had, and not going to be available due to waivers.
I think the Cubs can delay the decision for a bit
Send Samardzija to Triple-A.
Put Gaudin on the DL (simple explanation to Chad: would you rather hit the open market after posting a 10+ ERA this spring, or stay in extended spring training and continue to work things out?)
Keep Guzman and Patton on the Major League roster. If they falter, relievers will be readily available, either from Iowa (Samardzija) or on the market.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
While not said, are you implying they would try to trade
Guzman while Gaudin on the DL?
if this was still new to me, i wouldn't understand
That hadn't crossed my mind, to be honest
But by allowing Guzman a month or so to see if he can find a rhythm and success with the Cubs, they could find out if he’s going to be able to contribute to the bullpen.
If they felt that Gaudin would benefit them more, then they would have effectively showcased Guzman in big league games for a month, which isn’t a bad thing, either.
And once Gaudin was ready to come off the DL, then the Cubs would make a roster move – trading/releasing Guzman, trading for Patton’s rights or trading/releasing Gaudin (which would be highly unlikely since he would be coming off the DL).
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
One other option
would be to DL Hardin for 15 days at the beginning of the season. Due to the way the schedule works out, they probably wouldn’t need a 5th starter until then anyway. They can keep both Gaudin and Guzman for a little while then and try to scoot them through waivers at that point.
Don’t think that this will happen or that it is a good option, but it is just a different one that I hadn’t seen floated yet.
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
Sorry
Would allow Hardin some more time to get his stamina built up and keep him from pressing when tired early in the season. There is some concern about his FB velocity out there right now anyway…
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
Interesting
I read this today in the Tribune:
Sean Marshall could switch with Rich Harden in the rotation the second week, with Marshall facing Colorado on April 15 and Harden getting an extra day’s rest and starting April 16 against St. Louis.
So, it looks like the Cubs will once again be juggling the rotation to give Harden more rest, especially early in the year. That said, I don’t think he’ll be DL-ed by any stretch (plus, the resulting media outcry over Harden being on the DL would remind us all of the Employee and Woody Show).
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
send Guzman to whatever team wants him
he has been the next coming for how many years? and if you want to say “he was injured…blah blah” that is one more reason to move him, he has had how many injuries?
thanks for your time Angel, best wishes
Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.
And keep Gaudin?
Why would you want Gaudin instead of Guzman?
"Manny Trillo is coming in to pinch run. You know, for a lot of teams, you would pinch run for Manny Trillo." - Harry Caray
Gaudin has proven more in MLB
why would you keep Guzman over Gaudin?
Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.
how many years are we going to keep saying this about him?
Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.
ok i see your point
but he still has it though. and you can hope that hes finally healthy and hope that he can excel in the relief role. I don’t know, I just Guzman providing much more upside IMO
and much larger injury risk also, right?
Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.
Not necessarily.
Much of Guzman’s injury risk was related to the long outings required for a starter. He’s much less at risk pitching limited outings as a reliever.
"That little kid at second base - he is after a job, isn't he?" ~ Lou Piniella, 3/9/09
Well, if he pitches a full year out of the bullpen...
…this will likely be the last one. Again, because of his injuries, we just don’t have a large sample of outings to go on for Guzman.
"That little kid at second base - he is after a job, isn't he?" ~ Lou Piniella, 3/9/09
The Cubs have cut a lot of ties to highly touted prospects recently
It may be time to dump one more. As you say, Gaudin has MLB experience, and did a nice job spot-starting for the first half of 2007 (kind of fell off in the second half, though).
I suspect though that Gaudin may be the odd man out given Lou’s love of the “doghouse.”
by dr stabbingworth on Apr 1, 2009 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions
If only we could get a CF prospect with potential.
Then we could send him to Baltimore for absolutely nothing, and then trade that pile of nothing, along with a few other young players, for another right-handed middle reliever.
MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown
Better yet,
Ship off a grossly underperforming and overpaid former superstar for a less than mediocre player slated as a starting second baseman and get a farmhand thrown in to become said starting second baseman at a later date.
if this was still new to me, i wouldn't understand
I'm very curious to see how Pie pans out this year
Either way, the resulting firestorm of childish “I told you so” posts is going to be highly entertaining.
Let’s just hope he gets enough at-bats so people don’t cry “small sample size.”
by dr stabbingworth on Apr 1, 2009 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions
He's apparently starting in left field.
I’d be shocked if he didn’t outperform Gathright, and at a fraction of the cost, and with some upside. And, as a homegrown prospect, demonstrating to the other players in the system that their work can and will be rewarded.
Really, the entire situation makes me sick, regardless of how it turns out for Mr. Pie.
MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown
I burned myself out on this topic in the gamethread yesterday.
I’d still rather gamble on Guzman’s considerable upside than Gaudin’s well-established inconsistency – no matter how flexible Chad and his wonderous goatee might be. But whatever. Gooz might be more tradeable. In either case, I’d still love to see Patton make the team. To paraphrase a great 80s movie, sometimes you just gotta say what the frak.
"That little kid at second base - he is after a job, isn't he?" ~ Lou Piniella, 3/9/09
If Gaudin had shown anything resembling a competent major league
pitcher, I would say go with him, but as yet I haven’t seen it. I keep hearing about how good he was in Oakland and how he can spot start, but if Harden or Z went down, would you put him in the rotation? It’s amazing how some people are willing to throw DLee under the bus after last year, but are willing to hang onto Gaudin after his performance with the Cubs so far. The mind boggles.
"Hats for bats.....keep bats warm." - Pedro Cerrano
"Hey bartender, Jobu needs a refill !!!!!!!" - Eddie Harris
by willie mays hayes' gloves on Apr 1, 2009 12:59 PM CDT reply actions
What about his numbers in Oakland?
Remember how good he was when he first came over here last year? The point is, Gaudin is the only one that’s proven that he can pitch in a regular season game against good hitters. Patton hasn’t thrown in a single major league game and Guzman has, but it’s been injury ridden and not great. My final opinion, take Gaudin for his experience and ability, and Patton because of his great spring. Send Guzman and Shark to AAA.
"Check the magic of a winning season and there are always reasons beyond the talent." Ned Colleti
by wrigleyrocker12 on Apr 1, 2009 10:08 PM CDT up reply actions
guzman can't get optioned
he would go on waivers, and would get claimed.
he is a no option guy, or noogy?
Guzman has proved that, too.
He pitched well as a reliever in ‘07 and he had some good outings as a starter in ’06. Patton is the one with no major league experience. And, as tim815 mentioned, Guzman can’t be sent to Triple A. That’s a huge part of this problem you seem to have finalized your opinion on.
"That little kid at second base - he is after a job, isn't he?" ~ Lou Piniella, 3/9/09
Yes that's my bad
I forgot he couldn’t be optioned. But Gaudin had a larger sample size. From now on, I’m just gonna sit back and let Lou do the work.
"Check the magic of a winning season and there are always reasons beyond the talent." Ned Colleti
by wrigleyrocker12 on Apr 2, 2009 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions
This is how you do a fanpost.
I really enjoyed this one, it was well-written, an interesting subject, and isn’t a hot-button issue that’s going to generate an angry or excessively long thread. Good for serious discussion. Nicely done.
I have to agree with your take on Patton. If there’s one thing I trust in Lou Piniella, it’s his talent evaluation instincts. He makes his mind up pretty quickly when he sees something he likes, and I think it was clear from comments he’s made that he really wants to give this kid a shot.
I think it’s the perfect storm for Patton. The Cubs bullpen is kind of a question mark and an opportunity right now. Guys’ roles are still being defined, and this kid should get a chance to prove something IMO. If he doesn’t look good, I imagine Lou will yank the leash. But he doesn’t look like a worse option than Guzman, at least to me.
"I've got an idea...an idea so smart my head would explode if I even began to know what I was talking about." ~Peter Griffin
by Goodie1969 on Apr 1, 2009 7:00 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Here's another reason to keep Patton and Gaudin, send Shark to AAA, and send Guzman packing.
Think about the spot we’re discussing for Gaudin/Guzman here. This role will never have a big impact on a game. This player will pitch in blowouts, whether a big Cubs win or loss.
That’s why I like Gaudin. He could give us 2-3 innings in that mop up role. Guzman? I’m afraid his arm would fall off. Plus, Gaudin has started in the past (Guzman, too—but in the minors and between injuries…not the same thing). Guzman could develop into a starter, he’s 26.
Who has the potential to be the best one batter pitcher? Guzman, no question. When healthy, Guzman is filthy. Who would I bank on to be the best overall pitcher (including health)? Gaudin, no question.
X
oops...
I meant, “Gaudin could develop into a starter, he’s 26,” in the last sentence of the second paragraph.
We should release them both, too many “G” names.
X
After last year's dumpster incident...
… I’m not so sure Gaudin is 100% healthy. He has not pitched well since then. Maybe they can stash him on the DL.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx
extended ST and leave him behind?
Friendship is like peeing on yourself: everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling that it brings.
"This role will never have a big impact on a game."
You never know who will have a big impact. Last year, who would have thought that Samardzija would be more reliable in high-leverage relief than Bob Howry. Any one of our players could fall off a cliff this year and give us nothing – that’s why we want to get as many high-upside options to counter-balance. It’s happened more than a few times that the last man in the ’pen ended the season as the set-up man.
Happy Opening Day!
by DGU on Apr 5, 2009 1:13 PM CDT up reply actions
thanks all for the ideas
hendry will soon make this all past tense. if gaudin will take a dl assignment, that would clear up quite a bit.
monday night get here.
Colorado was interested in Gaudin
and oddly enough if we don’t keep Patton, he goes back to Colorado. So trade Gaudin to Colorado for Patton. We’d have to pay Gaudin’s salary but we’d have to do that if we released him. This way we can send Patton to Iowa or Tennessee, and keep Guzzy and Shark. I, for one, think Guzzy is worth keeping. Let’s not forget the Cubs have a long history of giving up on young pitching way too early (Joe Niekro, Donnie Moore, Burt Hooton, Jim Colborn, Bill Stoneman, Bill Caudill, Jamie Moyer, Juan Cruz, Todd Wellemeyer, etc.)
"We gotta circle the bandwagons." - Devin Hester
If the Cubs have to do that with Gaudin...
… it’s worth it. Gaudin hasn’t been the same since dumpster diving, and I too like Guzman.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

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