FanPost

Why I'm not that worried about the offense

Let's take a step back and look at a few things that have been happening to our underperforming batters (Lee, Soto, Bradley, Fontenot). For those who don't know, here's a brief intro to the stats quoted below. BABIP  is Batting Average on Balls In Play). In general it averages out around .300, though batters with a higher line drive percentage (LD%) tend to have higher BABIPs. IFFB% is the percentage of all fly balls hit by the player that are caught by infielders (basically, popups).

Player BABIP (09) BABIP (Career) LD% (09) LD% (Career) IFFB% (09) IFFB% (Career)
Lee .280 .325 12% 21.3% 17.6% 7.6%
Bradley .200 .322 13.2% 21.0% 26.1% 11.6%
Soto .266 .333 19.8% 20.4% 15.6% 7.6%
Fontenot .222 .317 13.5% 20% 7.7% 5.1%

What does this table tell us? These batters have been exceptionally unlucky, especially Bradley. All four of these players are underperforming their projections, but there's simply no way that all four of them are this bad. Derrek Lee has in fact been heating up lately (.353/.405/.559 in the past 14 days), but these guys' overall numbers are so weighted down by their poor start magnifies any at-bat in which they fail to get a hit.

BABIPs this low are just unsustainable by hitters as good as this. Even Aaron Miles has a career BABIP of .312.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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