On the Cubs OF
Just a few general comments on the Cubs OF
First off, Milton Bradley. He's struggled, we all know that, but he definitely picked things up in May, and if health permits, I still see him being a great addition to the Cubs. However, one thing stands out to me when I look at the numbers: he has a .303/.378/.485 line from the right side and a .186/.320/.349 line from the left side. Over his career, he has a 303/.387/.503 line from the right side and a .267/.361/.434 line from the left side. So he's clearly a better hitter from the right side; would he be better off hitting there permanently? Maybe it's a crazy idea spawned from Zambrano's HR the other day, but I'm throwing it out there.
Now Fukudome. Personally, I think this was a terrible signing right from the get-go. Giving a $48 million contract to a guy on the wrong side of 30 who's projected to hit fewer than 20 HRs a year is not a good deal in my opinion. That said, now that he is here, I'm pulling for him. However, he is definitely showing signs of slipping. His numbers this year: .338 in April, .277 in May, .214 in June. For comparison, in 2008, he hit .305 in April, .293 in May, and .264 in June. Now this year, he obviously got off to a tremendous start and wasn't gonna keep it up forever, and the June stats are a very small sample size, but given his track record, I'm worried.
I'm not gonna cover Soriano, because there was just a post on him, but his struggles have been well documented. Bottom line, all three Cub OFs have been underachieving lately, and we can't afford that with Ramirez out. Also, considering all three of them have big contracts with multiple years left, we may have a big problem if these guys don't right the ship.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.
16 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
With regards to MB's switch-hitting...
One thing I’ve heard about the idea of a switch-hitter reverting to just one side is that after a career of seeing RHP deliveries from the left side of the plate, suddenly seeing them from the right side can be a difficult adjustment to make. I have no idea how true that is, it’s just something I’ve heard before.
Of course, there are cases where that doesn’t hold true, like when Zambrano felt he wasn’t getting a good look at Owings and turned around, or when Blanco felt discomfort from one side and switched.
For Fukudome, I’m really pulling for him, too, but I don’t think hitting third is the best for him. I’m pretty sure most of that hot April was spent at #2 in the lineup (someone correct me if I’m wrong), and when A-Ram went down and Dome took over a lot of the #3 duties, he slowed down.
Agreed on Fukudome
Put him in the 3 or the 7 hole and take some pressure off of him. That way he will take his walks and poke his singles around the field. I feel that he over swings when he bats third.
He's BEEN hitting third.
He’s probably better suited to 7th.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Can't believe I'm saying this
But with DLee getting hte groove back I’d say put him back at #3 and move Fukudome down to 6 or 7. We need someone that can hit down the order as well.
I can’t believe I just posted that DLee should bat #3 again.
Welcome back from the dark side my young padawon.
"Hats for bats.....keep bats warm." - Pedro Cerrano
"Hey bartender, Jobu needs a refill !!!!!!!" - Eddie Harris
by willie mays hayes' gloves on Jun 8, 2009 8:17 AM CDT up reply actions
Nice post, but...
I would’ve liked to hear your thoughts on Reed Johnson and Micah Hoffpauir. Given Bradley’s track record with injuries, one would have to assume that these guys will be given substantial playing time.
Fukudome just looks different to me this year, and I really think he’s going to turn out to be a decent signing. Bradley, on the other hand, I just don’t feel good about.
"Yes, dear. You're right. I'm sorry." -Bob Brenly
I think the OF production will get better...
You’re looking at Soriano toward the end (hopefully) of one of his prolonged slumps. He’ll bounce back with a monster few weeks. On aggregate, he’ll be better than he has been so far.
I think Fukudome’s May is indicative of what I’d expect from him moving forward. .270-.280 average, .400ish OBP, .400-.420ish SLG. I think his April was overperforming and the second half of last year was underperforming. But I do see the trend downward continuing – but just to a productive hitter level, not falling off the face of the earth again.
The Bradley stats are interesting. He’s basically on par with his career norms from the right side, but down substantially from his norms from the left side. Unfortunately, he gets a lot more AB from the left side. The good news is that hopefully it’s just an aberration and will get better. I expect him to play better once healthy.
So on aggregate, I think the OF will go up in performance, with improvements from Soriano and Bradley more than offsetting the (relative) decline in production from Fukudome.
I really hope you're right.
Because this isn’t a this-year issue. Like it or not, Soriano-Fukudome-Bradley is the OF for the next two years. Their contracts are too big to move. If they don’t pick it up, the next two seasons go down the drain.
Kosuke has 19 at bats this month...
I know you admitted the sample size problem, but it seems pretty silly to even mention his stats over that period.
Agreed...
he’s not going to OPS under .500 for a substantive amount of time. However, I think his May is more illustrative of what to expect from him – more in the .800-.820 OPS range rather than the .900+ OPS range or the <.600 OPS range.
Agree with your agreeance.
Too many people are too focused on batting average.
I've committed to tweeting about the Cubs for the rest of the season. (Does that sound as ridiculous as I think it does?) Anyway, if you're on Twitter, you can follow me here.
I am worried about Fukudome
If you go back to May 19, he’s hitting .171 (7/41). Still a relatively small sample size, but cause for concern. What worries me more though, is the way he’s starting to exaggerate spinning out on the ball. I know he always does that to a certain extent, but it looks to me like it’s getting out of contraol, like it did last year when he started to slump. After last year, I doubt Lou will cut him much slack. I think if he hits less than .250 in June, he’ll be in Lou’s doghouse and will get very limited at bats the rest of the year – unless our other outfielders keep going down with injuries.
by CubbieFaninOhio on Jun 8, 2009 10:00 AM CDT reply actions
That's an interesting point about Milton's splits.
But Milton’s gonna do what Milton’s gonna do. Something tells me he wouldn’t respond well to Lou or Gerald Perry telling him to pick a side of the plate and stick with it. Oh, and, naturally, he’ll need to get back on the field before it matters at all anyway.
As others have pointed out, it’s a little early to read too much into Dome’s June numbers. He had an astounding March/April (1.052 OPS) and a May that was a little more in line with what we should expect from him (.830 OPS). If he can just stick somewhere between those two numbers, I’ll be happy with him – especially when you factor in his defense.
I've committed to tweeting about the Cubs for the rest of the season. (Does that sound as ridiculous as I think it does?) Anyway, if you're on Twitter, you can follow me here.

by 


















