FanPost

The numbers don't lie. We are a .500 team.



For all intents and purposes, our playoff chances are gone. Our mathematical odds are now down to 1%. The common belief is that our offense was the cause of our failure. And while there certainly was a fall off from 2008, our numbers are actually league average by most widely accepted standards.  Here are some comparisons showing the 2009 team number, league average and 2008 team average,

 

                                    2009 Cubs   2009 league avg.   2008 Cubs

OPS                                 .741                    ,741                      .797

Runs/game                     4.37                   4.44                       5.31

BAbip                                .294                   .298                       .321

Slg                                    .412                   .410                        .443

Power/Speed Num        68.6                    95                          118.1

BA/RISP                           .245                   .268                        .278

 

Clearly, our team has not hit the ball like last year, and that is the comparison many of us make. However, we are at league average in most categories. The one huge drop has been in team speed, or the use of team speed. Measurably we are worst in the league whereas last year we were well above average. As an example, we have not had a stolen base the past 15 games and have been caught 4 times.

 

The one question we do have to ask is whether this team is a .500 team offensively or we can expect a significant bounce back to above average performance. Finally, I have not yet tried to evaluate the numbers for our pitching staff. I'll publish that later.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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