Mesa City Council Approves Cubs Spring Training Plan
By a 7-0 vote, the Mesa, Arizona city council tonight approved the Memorandum of Understanding between the city and the Cubs (you can find the entire MOU as a link on this East Valley Tribune article), providing the first step in building a new spring training facility for the Cubs that would include a 15,000-seat stadium, practice fields, team workout facilities and offices, and a "Wrigleyville West" that would provide a year-round tourist attraction in Mesa.
I'll have more details and analysis tomorrow morning, but wanted to get this posted right after the vote was taken.
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Watched some of the meeting,
good news, let’s get this finished.
This is only the beginning....Lou Pinella end of '07 season and Chicago Transit Authority (the band when they were really good).
Great job Mesa!
Great first step. Look forward to it being finalized and signed by the Cubs.
There are a few more legislative hurdles...
… but those should be passed without too much trouble.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
My favorite bit of news today
was that the new Mesa Cubs ST facility will include a “nutrition center”.
No word if it will be named for Geovany Soto.
I wanna know what diet he went on
sheesh..If I could just lose ten pounds in that amount of time
Start Sean Marshall!!
Looks like the Cubs may be staying in Arizona after all
For someone who isn’t really able to follow Spring Training in person, I personally could care less,
Start Sean Marshall!!
Great news!
If they build next to the Phoenix-Gateway airport, that would be closer for me than near Falcon Field. But, either location is fine, the important thing is that they are staying!
"WGN, Channel 9 Cubs Baseball, Excitingly, Importantly, Dramatically Yours." - Jack Brickhouse
Here's a link to one of many articles that explain
what folly it would be for the citizens of Mesa (who are also citizens of cash-strapped Arizona) to approve this deal. The tax-payers get screwed on deals like this and the politicians use bullshit data at best to back up their claims. As I said a few weeks ago, I spent a couple of years helping community groups fight the morons running their towns and counties from being sold a bill of goods on everything from stadiums to convention facilities.
http://article.nationalreview.com/389191/foul-balls/charles-fountain
I guess I should be somewhat happy that corporate welfare is flowing to my favorite team but to have been involved with similar deals it’s just amazing that this crap gets repeated over and over again.
Thanks for offering your utter B.S.
Even the most cynical Mesa residents should find positives in this agreement. The Cubs would be biting-off a significant portion of the expense. Plus, I love the strategy of giving the Rickett’s family ownership of planning & developing Wrigleyville. This will facility will become an amazing boon for Mesa and the entire state of Arizona.
actually I know of an economist/financial professional writing about this very subject
Never…repeat never has a sports stadium development ever returned the projected income to a community (tax base). Now there are added benefits, intangibles as in civic pride, identity, et cetera which are important to the fabric of a community’s cultural makeup which cannot be measured directly. It is kind of like a WAR analysis but with a local stimulus package.
It is nothing but corporate welfare, but alas they can do it, do it effectively and since corporations are artificial persons, conceived and consumed only because of a bank account why not.
Now corporate welfare has a long history in the US, dating back to toll roads, ship yards, toll bridges, ferries, ports, railway right of ways, to now airports, highways, TIF’s, broadcast signals, telephone lines, sports stadiums, et cetera….the issue is honesty…
what really is the cost/benefit, not the bull
Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."
It's not just a stadium.
It’s a complex with hotels, restaurants, shops and residences which will be a year-round attraction.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
still corporate welfare
if you say that the city of Mesa is an investor and will get a development partner return than you can start making the case——but that is communism.
Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."
That's exactly what is happening.
The Cubs and Mesa will partner in this development.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I think partner
in the sense that Mesa retains the right to review and approve/disapprove any proposed development through the zoning process.
I don’t think they are partners in any financial sense, other than the fact that they will accrue tax revenues, developer fees and other fees that result from any development of vacant land by a private developer.
oh BTW
the greatest return on investment of public funds in building capital assets are schools, starting with university facilities—-economic engines that are extraordinary in paying back to the community over and over again—-next up building and rebuilding secondary and elementary schools——those assets have a 50-year lifespans (and then continued half life spans), with pay back to property owners and businesses that measure in 10 year spans.
When communities allow their school footprints to mature beyond 50 year spans they then degrade, yes it is hard to sell the public on building new when you have already a high school, but the cost/benefit is clear.
The thing about sports facilities is that the cost versus usage and cost versus effect.
Cubs will fully use Mesa for what 8 weeks out of 52? Sure they will use it partially 48 weeks. But a university facility is used fully 36 weeks a year and partially 48 weeks a year. It reaches far more people, more employees, generates greater non zero sum value at a exponential multiplier. The same can be said for a new high school or elementary schools….
Sorry it is the wrong use of public funds.
Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."
You do not understand the nature of this development.
The Cubs want a year round facility — it’s not used “8 weeks out of 52”. The Cubs already host extended spring training, and participate in the AZ summer league and the AZ fall league. The complex will be in use year-round, and have things other than just baseball for visitors.
I’d think you’d want to do a little research before you slam this.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Oh, BTW
there is also talk of an expanded version of the Cactus League Historical Museum which debuted last year. Possibly to include a history of all Spring Training – so collect up those photos of ST on Catalina, the museum people may want to talk to you!
I have already heard about that...
…. and have been in contact with the Mesa Historical Museum people.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Well, you can't use monies
generated by a surcharge on all Cactus League tickets and a surcharge/bed tax on rental cars/hotel rooms to finance universities, high schools and elementary schools. It just wouldn’t fly.
In the case of High Schools and Elementary Schools, those are financed by a secondary property tax. In other words, they are paid for by the users of those facilities…in both cases. Just as it should be.
Actually
if the author of this particular article had addressed this deal the city of Mesa is proposing to the Cubs, he would have to conclude, using his own arguments, that it is a great deal.
First of all, unlike the figures he cites for Florida, Spring Training attendance in the Cactus League set a record last year…up 20%, despite the bad economy. Of course, they added two teams last year (another one this year), but still…
Also, his point about the operating expenses being a loss….that is true. That is why the Cubs offering to make this new complex a year round facility and to assume all operating expenses is a great deal for Mesa. Saves them a couple of million a year.
After many years of data, it has become obvious that the winter tourist season in Arizona has two major bumps…one is in late December/early January during the college football bowl season and the other is in March. Many hotels/restaurants/tourist related businesses in this area will tell you that this is where they make most of their profit. There is no way to overstate the importance of these two bumps to these businesses.
As far as the Cactus League is concerned, this article completely fails to make the point that you seem to imply it is making. If there are other articles that do…bring them on. I hope they do a better job of addressing the Cubs/Mesa situation than this one, which does not apply to the topic at hand at all.
So many of these faulty studies presuppose that without baseball,
no one from a cold climate would visit Arizona or Florida in March. That there would be nothing but empty hotel rooms, unrented cars and shuttered restaurants. That isn’t true. Many people visit the area in the winter that have no interest in baseball. Some, as the article points out, are in the area visiting for a week, take in a game, are surveyed and then counted as week-long spring training tourists. Other tourists who don’t want to deal with fans at all avoid the area all-together taking their tourism dollars to California or other parts of Florida. Locals also avoid restaurants they would normally frequent.
It was claimed by one of these studies that the NY Yankees impact on the local economy of Ft. Lauderdale was $100,000,000 every spring. So when the Yankees moved to Tampa, Ft. Lauderdale’s economy should have taken a $100,000,000 hit and Tampa’s should have gotten a boost in the same amount. But when the restaurant, hotel, entertainment etc. dollars were added up, no such loss to Ft. Lauderdale nor boon to Tampa’s economy had occurred.
And as for the year-round complex – who cares? That area is as unbearable half the year as Chicago is. It’s just a different half of the year.
What it comes down to is this – the greater Phoenix area is a massive suburb that hasn’t done a very good job of addressing issues of public transit, water, air pollution etc. Combined with a state government that is billions in the red, it is pathetic that politicians spend their time beating the PR drum for and giving a sweetheart deal to a major league baseball team worth a billion dollars.
As I said, I did this for a couple of years. Garbage data in, garbage out. I’m sure your politicians will produce an unending number of “studies” in the months leading up to the vote in November. Believe who you want. I’ve done this and I promise, it’s a bad deal every single time for the tax-payers.
Looking at the overall situation in Arizona;
they’ve spent an awful lot of money luring teams from Florida to Arizona.
If they don’t keep the Cubs, who are overwhelmingly the biggest ST draw, what was the point?
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Jan 25, 2010 9:40 PM CST up reply actions
Even if the Cubs were to leave
the Cactus League is and would be much healthier than it was even just a few years ago. The addition of the Reds, Indians and especially Dodgers was HUGE. The Dodgers immediately became the #2 draw in the Cactus League, and last year they really weren’t that far behind the Cubs. Being that it was their first year here, and that the Dodgers new park got mostly rave reviews, I would anticipate they will do even better in the coming years.
very good points
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
A really good snapshot
of what it would be like in Mesa without the Cubs is late January/February. Ask any restaurant or hotel owner how he would like it if his March business was the same as his February business, and see what his response is.
I have lived here most of my life…trust me, there are PLENTY of people who come here specifically for ST and if the Cubs were in Florida, they simply would not come. I have never heard of people avoiding the area because it is a busy time of the year. In fact, there is a buzz of excitement and activity that is very appealing to baseball fans and non-fans alike.
Most people I know have relatives and friends who visit during spring training…even though many of them are not baseball fans, they are very glad that they have friends that are baseball fans that come to visit them once a year and they recognize that if it weren’t for ST they likely would not see them annually.
People either like baseball and come here specifically for ST or they don’t and they could care less about ST. There are not, from my years of observation, a bunch of people who are non-committal and who take in a game while they are here just to have something to do.
And the ultimate refutation of your argument lies in the fact that, for the most part, the hotels and restaurants operate at max capacity during March. If there really are people avoiding the area because it is too busy, then it is just as well, because there would be no room for them anyway.
The year round complex aspect is pretty important. Despite your portrayal as unbearable 1/2 of the year, which is patently false, even during the hottest months, you will see people outside enjoying recreation. Maybe not at noon time, but in the mornings and evenings when it is cooler. And as far as the Cubs are concerned, there are the Instructional Leagues, the Fall League, and year round training and rehab.
Since no general fund money is to be used, the state deficit (which is not “billions in the red”) is a red herring issue. This will not affect the state budget in any way.
No sweetheart deal, either. This could not be a better deal for Mesa, and in fact, whatever financial risk is involved, is mostly borne by the Cubs.
Your portrayal of the Phoenix area not addressing water, mass transit, pollution…well, it just goes to show how little you know about the area. Tremendous strides have been made in every one of those areas, which is amazing given the tremendous growth rate in the area over the past 50 years.
by azjazzman on Jan 25, 2010 9:50 PM CST up reply actions 3 recs
I just made my plane reservation
and I am counting on you and Al to give me a ride to some of the games.
FYI I stay in Scottsdale because it is a better location for me but do my part to contribute to the economy of the greater Phoenix area.
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
by Doggie Stalker on Jan 25, 2010 11:53 PM CST up reply actions
Good luck Jazz, fight the good fight!!!
After months of hearing how the "evil Cubs" are extorting millions from Arizona and the City of Mesa we are now learning the truth. Yes, the Cubs would receive an elite Spring Training facility but it would not be a free gift. Frankly, I was shocked at the level of investment to be shouldered by the Cubs. The team would be required to procure land for the stadium/practice facilities, pay the annual operating expenses, and purchase the land for the proposed “Wrigleyville” shopping area.
However the real jewel in this agreement is the Cubs’ ownership of planning and developing "Wrigleyville." The Cubs brand and marketing expertise would attract 3rd party investors like a swarm of bees to honey. Sales tax dollars that previously escaped to the surrounding communities would stay in Mesa. Assuming the Cubs buy-in this would be an amazing coup for Mesa and the State of Arizona.
Okay, I'll take your advice
I’ll believe the report generated by Elliott D. Pollack & Company which refutes virtually all the B.S, you’re spewing. Of course now you’ll proceed to slander the motives of this independent consultin firm? Dude, nobody is buying your “champion of the taxpayer” disguise. You wanted Naples and you lost. Be a man and admit it, otherwise go cry to somebody who cares.
Dude. Yeah, you, dude.
As I said, I did this full time for two years and still consult now and then. This is a loser for all tax payers. I don’t give a shit where the Cubs train. Personally, I never plan on being in Florida again in my life, so dude, my champion of the tax payer is not a disguise. ’Kay, dude?
Nobody argues this much...
Without a dog in this fight. You’re a jilted Naples supporter. It could not be more obvious.
They do when they're passionate about the subject.
I have actually been in this fight in real life many times and the way business and politicians combine to screw regular citizens pisses me off like almost nothing short of Dusty Baker’s handling of Mark Prior.
Oh and Chuckhead… that’s… funny… or something.
Just for giggles
Let’s pin you down to specifics. How much of the total price of this initiative are you anticipating will be born by Mesa residents through tax hikes?
Yeah, let me just pull a number out of my ass.
That’s how it’s done. It would take weeks to come up with a reliable number. Your understanding of how economics works is astounding.
Better than your Chuckhead
joke, I’ll give you that.
Seriously, I'm not trying to be a jerk
But what’s your point? You have a “strong suspician” the Mesa taxpayer will get screwed? If you can’t quantify your argument where’s the gravitas?
BTW, I withdraw my Chuckhead comment. It’s an inside joke anyway.
And how much tax money Mesa would lose if the Cubs left.
Hosting the Cubs every spring is something like 10 percent of their total tax base.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Jan 26, 2010 6:24 AM CST up reply actions
And I will slander their methods, absolutely.
Their figure of the Cubs meaning 52 million a year to the local economy is as poor as the one that said the Yankees meant 100 million to Ft. Lauderdale’s economy. The economic ripple effect that firms like this use in their models don’t exist in the real world. Firms like this are more PR than economic. You want to hear some real numbers, talk to an economist who isn’t being payed to come up with his or her numbers. Firms like this are payed to come up with rosy scenarios. If you don’t realize that you’re just uninformed or naive.
How unfortunate..
The City of Mesa wasted thousands of dollars on an independent economic impact study when they could have solicited your unparalleled expertise for nothing.
No, I actually charge for my expertise.
The supposed independent firms are hired to come up with results that back what the politicians want in the first place. You want the idea shot down you can go to any number of academic economists who will destroy the studies of these firms by using actual economic models.
Nobody is disputing that
when the $52M figure was first thrown out there, I immediately cast doubt on it.
But, there is no disputing that the number is in the many millions of dollars. Let’s say it is only $20M.
If $16M of the $20M is spent in Phoenix, Scottsdale and Tempe and not Mesa, and you are presented with an opportunity to turn that around, make it $16M spent in Mesa, and it basically costs you nothing…in fact, you can save a couple of million out of your annual budget at the same time, while gaining the tax revenue on the $16M, plus more besides, due to additional development in an undeveloped area, would you do it?
Of course you would.
I can't do this anymore.
Go read the book that Tucsoncubsfan is reading. I haven’t read it but just judging from the title and what tucsoncubsfan says, it will make the same argument I have and no doubt in a clearer way with referenced studies.
I hope some of you guys treat people with actual experience and expertise in a field with more respect in real life.
Hey nth
I have been reading off and on a book called “Major League Losers”, “The Real Cost of Sports and Who’s Paying for It”, “What Governments and Taxpayers Need to Know” by Mark Rosentraub, Published by Basic Books. I’m only a quarter of the way into the book but it backs up what you are saying. I’m glad the Cubs are staying in Mesa but a bit leery on how good the deal really is for Mesa based on this book. Obviously the book does not address the Mesa deal but it covers all sports and most if not all the deals are bad for the taxpayers.
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings. ~Earl Wilson
by tucsoncubsfan on Jan 25, 2010 10:06 PM CST up reply actions
sounds about right
the tax will be on visitors, which means it would be taxed on hotels, restaurants, cabs, airfare, car rentals, things of the sort. Good thing locals use none of these…hmmm….
am I missing something?
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
Simply put....
you’re right, there will always be people visiting Arizona in the winter and early spring who have no interest in baseball. Would the Phoenix area continue to make money during this time of year without the Cubs there? Sure. But they will make a hell of a lot more money WITH the Cubs there. You offer a lot of anti-government propaganda that we, “the unenlightened masses”, could apparently never understand as well as the “educated, intelligent elite” such as yourself. So forgive us for taking this simple, common sense approach to the situation: the overwhelming majority of Cub fans want the Cubs’ spring training base in Mesa. It appears that they are staying in Mesa, and this is a good thing. So go back to campus and organize a protest. Meanwhile, it’s less than a month to pitchers and catchers reporting, and I have spring fever!!
"Don't complain to me about the stormy weather, boys. Just bring the ship into port." --Steve Stone, September 2004
Yes
and the per game average WAS down, although with more teams, more games and a rotten economy, that was expected.
What I find most interesting is that 6 of the top 10 attended Cactus League games of ALL TIME occurred in 2009, and all of them involved the Cubs…although half of them were not at Hohokam.
indeed
I just felt that your bringing up the 20% increase in Cactus League and the record set last spring was, well, disingenuous. Factually it was true, but you left out a lot of context that explained the increase.
Well, I was just regurgitating
what the Cactus League put out in their press release, which had a headline “Cactus League attendance up 20% in 2009”.
Disingenous? Perhaps…but you can’t blame them for putting a positive spin on it. What it really was is a tough year due to the economy, but only a snapshot in an overall upbeat period for the Cactus League.
What is most interesting when you look at it is that all the teams, including the Cubs, were down in their per game attendance…but when the Cubs played the White Sox or Dodgers (no matter where) or played a Saturday home game at Hohokam – no matter who the opponent, the games were sold out. Which I think is pretty amazing. No wonder they want 15,000 seats in their new park.
I'm not blaming them...
…I’m blaming you for bringing that statistic into this conversation and using it as though it spoke of an increase in popularity of the Cactus League. You made it even more blatant by couching it in the specter of the economic downturn.
As I’ve said before, and I’ll say again, i don’t care where the Cubs train. I just don’t like it when people engage in discourse but do so using dubious statistics.
Are you joking?
You cited a fact that pretty easily is shown to have zero validity and I’m the one who makes a stupid post? Try being honest in your arguments… this isn’t debate camp, it somewhere that people come to have an honest discussion about baseball.
Did you even read the article?
There are a million more. As I said, I’ve done work on the inside in this field of snake oil sales. What is your particular expertise when it comes to this aside from gulping down some hack Arizona politicians’ PR KoolAid?
Well, azjazzman actually lives in Mesa.
So I’m guessing he’s pretty familiar with local politicians, “hack” or not, and I’d quibble with your description, as the city of Mesa seems pretty well-run and organized.
I’ll let him respond more fully.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
If anything
the local politicians in Mesa have tended to be the other way…too conservative. They turned away the proposed new stadium for the Arizona Cardinals, partly because, they argued, it would cause too much “disruptive traffic”. That was a howling error and the stadium has been a boon to Glendale and the entire West Valley.
The current regime in Mesa is much more attuned to economic development and I think the leadership shown by Mayor Scott Smith, City Manager Chris Brady and the council by taking on the challenge of putting together a proposal that will hopefully keep the Cubs in Mesa every spring has been very impressive.
I can’t over emphasize…the Cubs conducting Spring Training in Mesa is a BIG deal, economically, image-wise and culturally. As someone pointed out the other day, when Mesa is recruiting companies to relocate here, one of the first things that always comes up is “Mesa, AZ…home to the Cubs”.
The stadium in Glendale is not an economic boon to anything.
How many times is the place filled in a year? Even less than the number of days of spring training I’ll bet. And how much do the jobs service jobs pay inside and outside the stadium on the few days a year it is in use? What amount of public money was raised, bonds sold etc. that could have gone to actual infrastructure that could help citizens every day of every year instead of the companies that own a few chain restaurants nearby?
I do agree that the Cub name is good image-wise for a town. Probably one of three that really mean much in all of baseball. But companies that move to towns also get sweetheart deals and even those usually turn out to be losers for the local tax-payers. The most outrageous example being Daley’s deal with Boeing.
Have you been to Glendale?
that town has been totally transformed in the past five years.
There is NOBODY, not even the most cynical, anti-stadium AZ politician, that doesn’t now concede that Glendale hit a home run with the University of Phoenix stadium.
By the way, UOP was also funded by the “tourist tax”, via the Tourism and Sports Authority, plus a healthy amount kicked in by the Cardinals and the NFL.
A tourist tax can also be used
to raise money for more needed projects or to try to balance a horridly out of whack budget.
The LA Times reports that as of late November, 2009 Arizona was 2 billion in the red. It is set to increase to 3 billion this year. Of the 35 states with severe budget problems, AZ is second only to California.
The projected deficit in 2010
is $1.4B. The deficit for 2011 is anybody’s guess at this point.
And that is the real bottom line here. If the money for the new stadium were coming out of the general fund (which it isn’t) and if keeping the Cubs in the Cactus League had no significant positive economic impact (which it does) then the money spent would STILL be a good thing, because at least there would be something to show for it, as opposed to most of the cockamamie nonsense the legislature generally wastes money on.
To assume that the money would be spent on necessary and sensible projects is pure fantasy.
Oh, and also
it is generally thought that taxing tourists for things like stadiums and other amenities that get heavily used by out of state visitors is fair. To tax them for things that are exclusively for local benefit is not fair.
That is why they don’t, and never will, do it.
Hmm you almost sound like a Cub fan with these posts.
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
by Doggie Stalker on Jan 26, 2010 9:26 AM CST up reply actions
Sorry, not buying
1. Cubs buy the land for the stadium & practice facilities.
2. Cubs pay year-round operating expenses for their portion of the facility.
3. Cubs buy the land for the “Wrigleyville” shopping area.
4. Cubs own the design & development of “Wrigleyville.”
The city will float a bond for expenses related to stadium construction. The bulk of the remaining costs will be shouldered by ticket surcharges together with tourist, hotel, rental car fees. In short, this is a tremendous ‘win’ for Mesa a should guarantee a huge revenue stream long after the 25-yr term expires.
Assuming the agreement is signed & approved the Cubs ain’t moving anywhere.
maybe 10 years ago
I might have believed this was snake oil, and there might have been a point made about policitians just signing off on whatever deal the teams proposed. But now now, not in this climate and economic situation….you bet that these guys are going over every bit of the deal, and if the people don’t like it they’re going to let them know.
Good luck with that.
The “guys” going over every bit of the deal just voted 7-0 for the deal. So if the “people” are going to get any real information about the deal based on real economics, they’d better get it somewhere other than the firm throwing around bogus impact numbers like $52,000,000.
Studies
All these studies done by pencil necked geeks who were always picked last for sports teams and hate sports.
Fact is the Cubs arethe biggest single part of Mesa’s tax base. They leave the taxpayers get screwed even more.
We’re learning this in Illinois. Companies are being driven out of Illinois to business friendly states. So the people who decry business incentives to stay in state just don’t get it.
I know 9 people whose jobs have left Illnois and not to other countries but to other states in the last few years. Actually should say 9 companies 11 people as in 3 cases I knew 2 people who worked at the same company. 5 went with their jobs, And it’s even worse for companies who are in Cook County. My job just moved to Lake County in December.
My Dad is selling his company. Even local interest has it moving headquarters to another state. Tough decision for my Dad as he doesn’t want to hurt his employees. (Actually he’s considering giving them a time frame to come up with financing to buy the company themselves).
I apologize to Al if this is a tad political but putting a local perspective on things like this.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
To the people who actually live in Arizona
In the months ahead, a person, a group of people or groups of people will come forward with data that says using tax money on a facility that is used extensively only six weeks a year is a loser for the tax-payers. They may be fiscal conservatives, libertarians or progressives or combinations of the above who are tired of seeing citizens’ tax money underwrite the risk of private businesses.
They will be called anti-business and their data will be called into question by both the politicians and the PR firm they have hired. The PR firm, better funded and glossier in its presentation will probably prevail. They usually do. It’s far easier to appeal to people with empty boosterism than with cold hard facts.
But do yourself a favor and give the supposed “anti-business” people a hard listen. Their studies will be the result of work done by actual economists who have zero stake, financial or ego-wise in whether the Cubs train in Mesa or Alaska. They will be the only ones watching your wallet.
Why
Why are their arguments and PR firms and publicity any better? Why isn’t their funding or ideals suspect.
What gets me about the anti business people is their lies about corporate welfare.
I worked for a company that got help from the government of Illinois when Illinois wasn’t heck bent on driving companies out of the state.
We were going to take 400 jobs to Texas.
The local media went crazy on us saying we laid off 80 people despite the help from the state.
Yes we did but with they didn’t say 320 jobs were kept in the state. And by the way within 6 months 50 of the 80 were rehired.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Jan 26, 2010 8:14 AM CST up reply actions
Answer to your question:
The studies and “facts” presented by the “anti corporate welfare” folks are just as biased and suspect as those put forth by the Pro factions. Their “consultants” are just as prone to give the people who are paying them the numbers they want to see as anybody else.
Reality and the truth lies somewhere in between.
BTW
Elliott D. Pollack & Company would object greatly to being called a “PR Firm”. The consulting firm was founded by a couple of respected economists who have special experience and knowledge of the economy of the state of Arizona.
I don’t care who the “Vote No on the Cubs” hire for their study, they will not be more respected or qualified than Elliott Pollack, so you can put that part of your argument to rest.
I also thought it added to the credibility
of the Elliott Pollack study when they used a photo of Gregg Maddux on the cover.
BTW, it has been widely, and erroneously reported that the Pollack study concluded that the Cubs impact on the local economy is $52M. That is not exactly what the study set out to do and not what it said.
The Study was intended to measure what the City of Mesa would lose if the Cubs were to be replaced by an “average” team…i.e., a team that is not the Cubs. The $52M figure is what would be lost if the Cubs were replaced by, say, the Baltimore Orioles.
To quote the study:
“Economic and Fiscal Benefit of the Cubs to the State of Arizona of the most popular team in the Cactus League”
"The Cubs have a disproportionate economic and fiscal benefit to the State of Arizona compared to a “typical” Cactus League team. To measure this disproportionate impact, the Cubs above-average attendance was compared to the attendance of an “average” replacement team. The analysis, completed by Elliott D. Pollack & Company, assumes that the “average” replacement team participated on the same schedule as the Cubs in the 2009 season.
Overall, Cactus League attendance would have been almost 144,000 attendees fewer, representing a 9.1 % loss in attendance. (Attendance at the replacement team’s home games would have been lower and attendance at the replacement team’s away games would also have been lower.)
Many of the lost attendees would have been out-of-area visitors and so in addition to the game related spending that would result from the lower attendance, there would be a loss in travel related spending, including lodging, food & beverage, transportation, etc. In total, over $31.1 million dollars of Cactus League generated spending would be lost.
The over $31.1 million in directly lower spending would impact the overall state’s economy by over $52.2 million dollars as hotels, restaurants, retail stores, and other businesses would have less activity and in turn lower their payments to suppliers. Lower amounts of spending support fewer employees who spend money in the economy, so the losses become even larger.
In total, the losses (including direct, indirect, and induced) would translate into over 650 lost jobs in the State of Arizona and over $21.1 million in lost wages.
The loss of jobs, wages, and economic activity by replacing the Cubs with an “average” team would also mean lower state tax collections. Lower sales tax collections, lower bed tax collections, lower gas tax collections, lower income tax collections, and others would total over $2.0 million per year. Over a ten year period, the loss would exceed $20 million.
by azjazzman on Jan 26, 2010 1:41 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Sweet Jesus. The Elliot D Pollack "study" again?
For the last time. Firms like this are hired to validate what the city already wants. Figures like the 52 million are not even dubious at best – they are BS. Go read the book tucsoncubsfan recommends and see how these figures are invented. I’m sure the author does a better job than I can.
As I said, when the Yankees moved from Ft. Lauderdale to Tampa there was supposed to be a $100 million dollar loss to the economy of Ft. Lauderdale and the same gain in Tampa. Nothing of the kind occurred in either place. That is an actual case where an iconic team actually moved and then real numbers were added up and it was discovered that the “economists” that had been retained before the move were throwing around numbers that came about from using pathetically flawed methods. Same kind of methods used, no doubt, by the good people at Elliot D. Pollack. How do I know? As I said, I have done this before and numbers like these are simply absurd. They are to put it mildly, based on bad math and at worst, simply lies.
But by all means, turn the above stats pulled from a Pollack “study” green. They agree with Al’s win-win scenario. Christ, Al, you’re so bizarrely excited about this it’s like you own the two lots the Cubs are talking about building on.
I'm a little confused...
It sounds like you certainly respect Elliot D. Pollack & Company and agree with much, if not all, of the report. But you started off your comment with the following statement
I also thought it added to the credibility
of the Elliott Pollack study when they used a photo of Gregg Maddux on the cover.
I think using a photo of one of the Cubs best players sounds more like pandering than establishing credibility. It gives a distinct appearance of no sense of objectivity. That certainly doesn’t jibe with being well respected or qualified.
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
Well, I wasn't when I wrote that because I thought you were serious
Not that you don’t have a sense of humor, but given your comment was fairly long, in depth, and covered a lot of details, I saw no reason to doubt the seriousness of your opening statement. Glad to see that you were joking.
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
I think the Maddux reference was a joke intended for me.
azjazzman had the good fortune to go to Maddux’s 300th win with me ( I needed somebody to make sure I did not leap out the 2nd tier when Farnsworth almost blew the game).
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
by Doggie Stalker on Jan 27, 2010 1:32 AM CST up reply actions
They used Maddux on the cover?
Well at least they have very good taste.
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
by Doggie Stalker on Jan 27, 2010 1:29 AM CST up reply actions
Excellent.
I’ve been called both anti-government and anti-business in the same thread.
As to why studies done by real economists using actual economic models are better than those of a booster-hired PR firm, I suggest you go read the book mentioned above by tucsoncubsfan.
All those studies
All those studies those anti business people use don’t talk about what losing the Cubs or such would cost the city/state.
How do you think Mesa would make up the tax dollars? By hitting the taxpayers!
So the paid economists by the anti business people and their PR firms have more credibility because they agree with you.
The people that do those studies have their own agenda and own PR firms and get paid to come up with what they come up with.
If I paid someone enough money they’d come up with a study saying the Cubs are the most winning organization in history.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Jan 26, 2010 8:39 AM CST up reply actions
Ironic that many of use thought the Cubs were toying with Mesa
and just using them to get a great deal in Florida. I would be pretty sure that the Cubs could have gotten more
a “better” deal finanically in Florida in terms of how much the state would put in up front. I thought Kenny and others would use that to justify leaving AZ after nearly 60 years. This seems like a VERY good deal for both sides. That does not happen often in sports so kudos to both sides here.
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
Not sure what you mean
by “how much the state would put in up front”.
My sense is that financially, the Cubs got exactly what they wanted from Mesa. They wanted the land/development deal and they wanted to operate the ballpark and get all the concession/parking money. That is what they got. The fact that Mesa was glad to fork over those things was just an ancillary benefit to the deal…that is why this is such a win-win….everybody gets what they wanted.
The Cubs would not have gotten the land/development deal in Naples, the partnership with the private developer would have precluded that. Also, the Florida deal was a lot more iffy, since they had not identified a location for the ballpark and land cost and availability is a LOT bigger issue in Naples than it is in Mesa.

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