UPDATE: The 2009-10 Offseason IT'S HAPPENING!!!??? Contest
by ballhawk on Jan 31, 2010 3:06 AM CST
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PrintRemember this FanPost? Last Out to First Pitch – The 2009-10 Offseason IT'S HAPPENING!!!??? Contest
Well, 8 out of the original 15 possible events listed have been resolved one way or the other, so I figured now would be a good time for a scoring update.
Just to refresh your memories, here were the 15 possible events:
THE FIFTEEN BIGGEST EVENTS THAT MAY (or may not) HAPPEN THIS OFF-SEASON:
__ - Milton Bradley is traded or released by start of Cubs Convention.
__ - Cubs sell naming rights for entire Wrigley Field, e.g. Walgreens Park at Wrigley Field.
__ - Randy Wells finishes higher than Colby Rasmus in the ROY voting.
__ - Cubs lower ticket prices on some seats.
__ - Milton Bradley is traded for player(s) only, i.e. Cubs will NOT eat any of his contract.
__ - Cubs make an official announcement on a new Spring Training location (Az or Fla).
__ - Ryan Theriot is starting shortstop for Cubs on Opening Day 2010.
__ - Cubs’ broadcasting team stays intact - Len & Bob on TV; Pat, Ron, & Judd on radio.
__ - Milton Bradley is traded and Cubs WILL eat some portion of his contract.
__ - Cubs install additional scoreboard facilities, e.g. ribbon board.
__ - Aaron Miles is on the Cubs 25-man roster on Opening Day.
__ - Cubs offer arbitration to Rich Harden.
__ - Milton Bradley is on the Cubs 40-man roster on Opening Day.
__ - Cubs hires top-level executive, e.g. a "baseball guy", to oversee Hendry.
__ - MLB expands instant replay capabilities.
and the challenge was to arrange them in order of likelihood of happening, most to least. Weighted scoring so most likely was worth 15 points, next likely 14, etc. all the way down to least likely being worth 1 point.
I took all the entries from the original post and put them in a Google Docs spreadsheet which you should be able to view here. The first set of numbers represents everyone's original rankings. The second set reflects everyone's scores to date (1/30/10), based on the 8 events that have been resolved. The third set reflects - and I hope I did this right - the maximum scores that folks could still get if the remaining events all went their way.
As of 1/30/10, Sobenergy is leading with a score of 49; AndrewJStone and Trey2317 are next with 44; and brook and zambranofan have 43. FWIW, I check in at 45 but I've ruled myself ineligible to win.
As for possible maximum scores, Sobenergy leads here as well with 101, but carmen fanzone is close behind with 99, and Al is next with 98.
BTW, here's a BCB composite ranking, sorted most likely to least with average point values for each.
12.59 - Cubs’ broadcasting team stays intact
12.49 - Ryan Theriot is starting shortstop for Cubs on Opening Day 2010
12.00 - Milton Bradley is traded or released by start of Cubs Convention.
11.95 - Milton Bradley is traded and Cubs WILL eat some portion of his contract
10.73 - Cubs make an official announcement on a new Spring Training location (Az or Fla).
8.62 - Randy Wells finishes higher than Colby Rasmus in the ROY voting
8.11 - Cubs offer arbitration to Rich Harden
8.05 - Cubs install additional scoreboard facilities, e.g. ribbon board
7.38 - Aaron Miles is on the Cubs 25-man roster on Opening Day
7.05 - MLB expands instant replay capabilities
6.30 - Cubs lower ticket prices on some seats
4.57 - Milton Bradley is traded for player(s) only, i.e. Cubs will NOT eat any of his contract
4.43 - Cubs hires top-level executive, e.g. a "baseball guy", to oversee Hendry
3.32 - Milton Bradley is on the Cubs 40-man roster on Opening Day
2.41 - Cubs sell naming rights for entire Wrigley Field, e.g. Walgreens Park at Wrigley Field
Events in bold have been resolved, and those in bold italics are the scoring events, i.e. they've been resolved positively.
One final point: Never in my wildest dreams did it occur to me that Hendry would be on the receiving end of $ in the Bradley deal. So the "Milton Bradley is traded for player(s) only, i.e. Cubs will NOT eat any of his contract" event is slightly inaccurate as it wasn't for player(s) only - there was $ involved. But the second part of that event is accurate as the Cubs did NOT eat any money. And IMO, that's what best reflects the original intent, so I'm treating it as a scoring event.
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.
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Real quickly….
In the first part of your post you list “Cubs sell naming rights for entire Wrigley Field, e.g. Walgreens Park at Wrigley Field” twice.
You fixed it in the secondpart and replaced it with the MLB expanding instant replay.
Cool idea. Cool post. I enjoyed it. Will you be doing one for the 2010 CUBS season?
Now that would be interesting. I’m all for trading Soriano… that’s got to be on the list for sure!
_ – Milton Bradley is traded or released by start of Cubs Convention.
_ – Cubs sell naming rights for entire Wrigley Field, e.g. Walgreens Park at Wrigley Field.
_ – Randy Wells finishes higher than Colby Rasmus in the ROY voting.
_ – Cubs lower ticket prices on some seats.
_ – Milton Bradley is traded for player(s) only, i.e. Cubs will NOT eat any of his contract.
_ – Cubs make an official announcement on a new Spring Training location (Az or Fla).
_ – Ryan Theriot is starting shortstop for Cubs on Opening Day 2010.
_ – Cubs’ broadcasting team stays intact – Len & Bob on TV; Pat, Ron, & Judd on radio.
_ – Milton Bradley is traded and Cubs WILL eat some portion of his contract.
_ – Cubs install additional scoreboard facilities, e.g. ribbon board.
_ – Aaron Miles is on the Cubs 25-man roster on Opening Day.
_ – Cubs offer arbitration to Rich Harden.
_ – Milton Bradley is on the Cubs 40-man roster on Opening Day.
_ – Cubs hires top-level executive, e.g. a “baseball guy”, to oversee Hendry.
__ – Cubs sell naming rights for entire Wrigley Field, e.g. Walgreens Park at Wrigley Field.
by Hurricane.Ditka on Jan 31, 2010 4:01 AM CST reply actions
Dang nab it....
Only: __ – Cubs sell naming rights for entire Wrigley Field, e.g. Walgreens Park at Wrigley Field.
was supposed to be in bold…. oh well….
by Hurricane.Ditka on Jan 31, 2010 4:02 AM CST up reply actions
Hey Al...
… i’m guessing a BOLD tag needs to be closed in Hirricane.Ditka’s comment or all the comments before it will be bold as well.
Just an FYI!
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:22 AM CST up reply actions
Hmmm.
Too late — you can’t edit comments.
So this part of the thread will be in all bold.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
They'll be bold when you leave this page and come back.
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:35 AM CST up reply actions
It has to do with how the commenting system is parsing the code.
It reads your comment as an individual entity when its “new” on the page… once you leave and reload the page, though, it’ll read your comment’s code in line with the rest, and will carry over unclosed tags between them.
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:37 AM CST up reply actions
I may be able to close it....
By trying this?
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:43 AM CST up reply actions
No dice...
… maybe this?
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:45 AM CST up reply actions
Third try's a charm...
… maybe?
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:45 AM CST up reply actions
Nevermind...
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 8:46 AM CST up reply actions
he is just padding his post count Al
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
I just figured it was because Ditka started this thread
Da Coach was never afraid of making a bold statement…
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
Good catch, Coach. Thanks.
There was bound to be a mistake or two – I’m not used to 3am posts…
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
Cool. Thanks for updating, Ballhawk.
I’ve still got a shot. :)
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
Many people can still win
You’re really close, along with some others. Anything can happen still. Good luck to you.
"The finish line is just the start of the next race."
And you as well!
If only i’d had this much dumb luck on standardized tests. You’d be looking at AndrewJStone, PHD right now!
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jan 31, 2010 9:40 AM CST up reply actions
I have a chance of winning this thing?
That comes under the category of “snowball in you-know-where”. I never win contests.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
But didn't you win
guitar a few seasons back? That wasn’t exactly a contest but more of owning a winning ticket right? Still pretty cool though.
OK I don't know shit about basketball.
by SoulEater7 on Nov. 5, 2009 9:51 PM CST
True enough.
That was a scratch-off at the ballpark.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
i won two tickets to Carnival at Derby this year
no its not a carnival, but this
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
...and bringing up the rear is (wait for it):
ZEKE.
Oh well, nothing ventured, nothing gained…
Now only 12,859 on the "Cubs Season Tickets Waiting List"...
Not true
Remember – while the winner gets an official major league baseball, the last place finisher gets one really scuffed up, grass-stained minor league ball.
So, you got that going for ya…
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
Thanks, ballhawk
I was wondering about this. Great work with the spreadsheet and all.
Fontenot (fon-te-no): Cajun for "scrappy"
These results just made my day!
I thought this contest was so cool that I not only filled out my answers, but I asked my husband to try it as well. His answers were so different than mine that I started second guessing myself. Instead of submitting my own entry, I submitted a compromise of a combination of both of our answers. I kept our original answers though just to see who’d really do better. I am kicking his butt!!!! So far I have 35 and he has 26! I can’t believe it. I will try not to gloat, but….
"Fasten those seatbelts"-Pat Hughes
naming rights
i believe there will always be a wrigley field,fenway park, and yankee stadium. just too historic to change.
Since the topic of contests has been brought up...
… thought I would update everyone on the BCB Free Agent Frenzy contest, based on the MLB.com contest with the same name.
As of today three of the 15 free agents on the list are unsigned:
Erik Bedard
Johnny Damon
Jermaine Dye
If you believe this article, Bedard might not pitch till midseason or later.
I’ll update this around March 1 if there are still unsigned players from this list — the MLB.com contest ends then, even if there are still unsigned players.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Al, can you update those 12 who HAVE signed and where they signed?
Then I can compare how ugly my original guesses were on the Dirty Dozen…
Now only 12,859 on the "Cubs Season Tickets Waiting List"...
Here you go...
… for you, and anyone else who wants to keep track, here’s the entire list, including the FOUR unsigned (I forgot about Russell Branyan being on this list):
Jason Bay, Mets
Erik Bedard, unsigned
Russell Branyan, unsigned
Aroldis Chapman, Reds
Johnny Damon, unsigned
Mark DeRosa, Giants
Jermaine Dye, unsigned
Chone Figgins, Mariners
Vladimir Guerrero, Rangers
Rich Harden, Rangers
Matt Holliday, Cardinals
John Lackey, Red Sox
Hideki Matsui, Angels
Miguel Tejada, Orioles
Jose Valverde, Tigers
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Huh... not a single Yankee signing on that list - so much for BLou's entry...
and now that they have Winn, there’s no need for Damon or Dye. No place for Branyon. Maybe they’ll gamble on Bedard but I doubt it.
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
I've scored a whopping two points in that contest.
Thank you, Vlad Guerrero, for allowing me to not get shut out.
Harry Caray: Marshall is going back to LA to get cocaine for his injured foot.
Steve Stone: Harry, that’s Novocaine.
by Julio Zuleta's Voodoo on Jan 31, 2010 3:29 PM CST up reply actions
God we should totally take a risk on Erik. I love me some Bedard.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Oh, heavens, no.
With his injury issues? Been there, done that.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
He's great, Al, com'on.
His K/9 is good (9-ish), his FIP is good (3.5ish), he’s never had a ERA+ below 100, and his curve ball may be top 5 in the game. Buy low.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Prior, Harden, Bedard
seems about right, we should have an idea by now how to handle fragile pitchers
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
And he’ll be out till midseason. Still want him?
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
could be a late season addition?
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
I don't see what damage it could do...
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Gee...
I didn’t think I’d be as high as I am in the standings. And here I thought I’d be in the running for last place. Well, it’s not opening day yet!
Thanks for the update and the spreadsheet, ballhawk!
"Pinky, are you pondering what I'm pondering?"--The Brain
YOU ERICHANNA'D THE COMMENT SECTION!
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jan 31, 2010 10:12 PM CST reply actions
Not just the comment section... everything in the right side collumn as well!
I’ve never seen such excitement over there.
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Feb 1, 2010 11:03 AM CST up reply actions
Interesting.
You’re right. I sent this to SBN support so they can have a look at it.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
HAHA
BOLDNESS FOR THE WIN I CANT BELIEVE THAT I DONT KNOW HOW TO USE PUNCTUATION LIKE COMMAS PERIODS AND SEMICOLONS YOU SHOULD JUST STOP TRYING TO READ MY COMMENT YOU ARE NO MATCH FOR BOLD WORDS IN CAPS LOCK
by Hurricane.Ditka on Jan 31, 2010 11:22 PM CST reply actions
Well it's almost official now
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
LOL...if its any consolation...I...more than you :(
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
TW....oh nevermind
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
You are a bad boy for even thinking about... (need I continue)
Non of this changes the fact that I am the proud cellar dweller of the current rankings:
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
move over, I'm jumpin in
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 2, 2010 10:40 AM CST up reply actions
Now this could be fun... Your dungeon or mine, and who's bring the munchies and/or beer?
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
I know it's not a category in Cubbie-Tim's BCB Awards fanpost...
…but I have to believe that this fanpost is without a doubt – THE BOLDEST FANPOST EVAH!!!
I am humbled and unworthy of such attention but who am I argue with the will and wishes of the esteemed BCB readership. Seeing as how today is Oscars nomination day, I’ll stay in the movie theme as I try to express my feelings towards all of you. Quite simply, let me just paraphrase the last lines from Prof. Keating in Dead Poet’s Society….
“Thank you, boys & girls. Thank you.”
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
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