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Baseball Prospectus: Cubs Will Finish Below .500

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I just saw this on the local news ticker - Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA system has the Cubs finishing 80-82, nine games behind STL. That's up from 77 games predicted a few weeks ago - I suppose that the Nady signing helped? Anyway, it looks like PECOTA has changed its mind about some of our 2009 underachievers, who they loved last year. This is the lowest predicted finish for a Cubs team that PECOTA has ever had since it started in '03.

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