Theriot
I am just curious what BCB readers think about Theriot and the pending arbitration. Who will win? What does Theriot deserve? Why neither side will settle on $3M... this is pure curiosity on my part. I know the Cubs have not gone into arbitration for 17 years and I am sure the hearings are not pleasant. I imagine going to aritration can certainly create some bad blood between the player and the organization. I know Theriot isn't your prototypical SS and he really is playing out of position, but he has been a 2-1/2 - 3 year starter (right?) and fairly consistent. I'm interested in what BCB readers think - and I apologize if this has been discussed in other threads. I sustained a concussion a few weeks ago - that is my excuse if this has been discussed before!
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.
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The latest, confirmed by Bruce Miles, is that he may very well go to a hearing.
If that happens, I would expect that 2010 will be the last year Ryan Theriot will be a Cub. He’s not free-agent eligible after this year, but I’d be almost certain he’d be non-tendered after the season.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I imagine they would try to trade him not just let him go.
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
by Doggie Stalker on Feb 6, 2010 10:19 PM CST up reply actions
Maybe.
But if not, non-tendering is a likely outcome.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Yeah...
That $3.4 figure clears the way for the Cubs to potentially have to deal with a $4.5 million-plus figure next season, which I can’t see them paying.
by Damen Jackson on Feb 7, 2010 8:15 AM CST up reply actions
that would seem extreme
i think they’d tender him and then try to trade him if they weren’t comfortable paying him that much. He’s been worth over 12 million dollars each of the last two years according to WAR and while you may not like that measurement, other teams would think he’d be a bargain on a 1 year 5 million dollar deal
it would be really stupid to non-tender him next year
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 9:33 AM CST up reply actions
Why?
He’s probably going to be past his usefulness, and has little trade value.
Just because Fangraphs says he’s worth $12 million, doesn’t mean that should be paid to him in real life.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
i don't disagree
he shouldn’t be paid just whatever fangraphs says he was worth but he should be paid something in the ballpark of what he’s been worth
its ridiculous to think we’d start cutting corners on a million dollars here when we’ve been so quick to throw millions of dollars away on players who have far less impact on the game than a starting SS.
Theriot’s not a great long-term option at SS but he’s fine for now while we wait for Castro and even if Castro’s ready he’s a viable trade asset on a 1 year 5 million dollar deal next year
A guy like Orlando Cabrera who you railed against the Reds signing for 5 million, Theriot’s been a better player than Cabrera the last few years. Someone will be willing to trade for him at that contract value based on how he’s played the last few years. Just cutting him is getting rid of an asset that others would want, it would be stupid
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 9:41 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Well, I dunno about Theriot's trade value.
Obviously, if he has a good year, he’d be worth trading, or maybe even keeping.
If he has another year like his 2009 — I think non-tender is a likely outcome.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
another year like 2009
is a good year, as much as we rail against his defense, he’s been an above average defender at SS the last few years. That along with a .340-.350 OBP is worth a 1 year, 4-5 million dollar deal. It will be every single year and the Cubs just cutting ties with that type of production instead of exploring the market for its value (especially when we have more financial flexibility next year, would be mystifying)
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 9:49 AM CST up reply actions
I'd like to see a year more like his 2008 season.
The OBP he put up in 2008 (.387) would make him a very good #2 hitter, or leadoff when Fukudome sits vs LHP.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
i'd love to see that too
but no matter which theriot we get, he’ll likely be worth a 4-5 million contract for just 1 year
he’s been worth more than 6 million every year he’s been in the league full time and if we’re stupid enough as an organization not to realize it, i’m sure some other organization would be smart enough to realize it
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 9:56 AM CST up reply actions
Then he'd be trade bait.
I’d be OK with that.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
yeah that's my point
i’m not saying we need to keep him, especially if Castro is ready, because i agree if he’s slotted as our utility INF we shouldn’t be paying him that much
however that doesn’t mean we should just cut ties with an asset that others would likely deem valuable.
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 9:59 AM CST up reply actions
i suppose
if the assumption is he’s going to perform worse than he’s ever performed in his entire career
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 10:10 AM CST up reply actions
Theriot days or months are numbered
he will journey around
Piniella: "This is a tougher job than I thought it would be, I'm going to be honest with you."
This is kind of the point I was making earlier in the off-season
while 2008 is still in reach and seems possible, and while he’s cheap, Theriot has trade value; next year, he could be J.J. Hardy redux, which is to say – valuable on paper, but not so much in baseball reality, especially as other teams see we’ve got better, cheaper options for any position he could play.
I wish we had traded Riot, signed Tejada to be the RBI man, and gone young in CF.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 2:06 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Tejada at SS ?
No thanks
"I am not ashamed to say I love Greg Maddux" - Jim Hendry
Me either Jim
by Doggie Stalker on Feb 7, 2010 6:10 PM CST up reply actions
Who are the average/below average
Shortstops you’re elevating him above? I can’t think of anyone in the majors who starts everyday who is not as good as Theriot. Or should I say, which 13 Shortstops is Theriot better than?
Yes'm
here
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=ss&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=6&season=2009&month=0
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 11:09 AM CST up reply actions
Which 13 or 14 starting Shortstops
is Theriot better than? I don’t think there’s anyone who plays every day at SS who is not as good as Theriot
Yes'm
he's not an above average defender
defensive metrics are crap.
by John T. Unger on Feb 7, 2010 9:49 PM CST up reply actions
they're not crap
but there’s things they don’t measure well. I think UZR doesn’t measure Riot’s lack of range well.
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 7, 2010 10:47 PM CST up reply actions
or his paper-airplane throws to first
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 8, 2010 12:23 AM CST up reply actions
if one clutch is good
a DOUBLE CLUTCH is better, right???
You make the baby panda sad…
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 8, 2010 9:32 AM CST up reply actions
Little trade value?
C’mon…the guy hits around .290 to .300 every year, plays adequate infield, can steal bases, and is tough to strike out. He’s gritty at the top of the order and plays hard. What is it with you and the others on this board who are against players who try hard and love being Cubs? Completely ridiculous.
Pay the guy his measley $3 plus million (c’mon, we overpaid the same for Marlon Byrd, who will be less productive this year) and stop kicking contributing players in the teeth.
can steal bases?
I usually see him getting thrown out.
by salparadise23 on Feb 7, 2010 10:42 AM CST up reply actions
"Best" only because he leads the team.
He’s not a very good base stealer or baserunner.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
that speaks more for the teams slowness
than theriots baserunning abilities
by jesus christos on Feb 7, 2010 1:27 PM CST up reply actions
exactly
with the current Cubs make up, saying he is a good base stealer is like being the tallest midget
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
I thought
that was Miles.
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 7, 2010 2:22 PM CST up reply actions
plays adequate infield?
He’s so clutch there that he double-clutches a lot.
Who cares if he's a Cubs fan? This is a football forum! He is a PACKER fan as well. So, from now until March, I’m sure he’ll dedicate a lot of his time here. In late March, then we can be enemies during the baseball season. Besides, the Cubs have perhaps the most loyal baseball fanbase in the country. You have to respect that.
Go Pack!
by Jabooty on Jan 25, 2010 2:58 PM EST
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Feb 7, 2010 11:23 AM CST up reply actions
I give him credit for his average...
…but everything else is mediocre at best.
To date, he hasn’t been exposed as badly as I thought at SS, but maybe this is the year it catches up with him.
He has decent speed, but he is an absolutely horrid base runner with terrible instincts. I really don’t think he scares too many pitchers when he is on base.
Maybe the young guy will help the Cubs get stronger up the middle after this year and Theriot can go on his merry way.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
by MPH73 on Feb 7, 2010 12:32 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Well, if he can't run or steal bases...
And he has the most on the team, than someone in charge (Hendry) isn’t doing his job to try and get someone with speed. Theriot has had the most SB the past few years, so he’s the best that we have in that category. At least he tries.
Trying to build a roster around speed reminds me of trying to become more lefty
Of course any team would want a few guys who can steal some bases, just as any team would hope for a lineup of 4 righties and 4 lefties. But unless your team already has those guys, odds are its going to cost more than its worth to acquire them. SBs in particular are pretty overrated based on most metrics for value. You have to be successful on 75% of your attempts before you break even. Yet a guy like Carl Crawford is going to cost you plenty extra because of all those steals, despite the barely valuable 76% success rate.
I’d rather pay for a guy who gets on base more often or hits the double rather than the single in the first place, personally.
by madcow256 on Feb 7, 2010 2:50 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Exactly!
This is why I cringed when I heard Lou say last fall that he thought the team needed more “speed”. Another “we’re not lefthanded enough” moment.
Fortunately, they didn’t go that way. If guys get on base enough, runs will score. The 2008 team is proof of that — they finished eighth in the league with 87 SB (below the league average of 93), but led the league in runs.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Teams can be successful using a lot of different strategies
Speed, power, valuing on base percentage, lineup balance, great defense, great overall starting pitching, great 1-2 starters followed by crap, spending $192m and buying whoever you want, etc. Look at successful teams over the past decade and you will see a lot of different ways those teams got to where they were.
I think the key for any organization is realizing what you’re good at and working with it. If your farm system or the market provide opportunities to move in the direction you want to, take advantage. If whatever skillset your roster has is currently overvalued and you can take advantage in trades, sell. What doesn’t work is breaking up a good thing just because it’s not your preferred strategy. The lefty thing or the speed thing both came across as a manager who was looking to make excuses for some fluke-y losses, and thankfully Hendry didn’t overreact to it again this season.
i see your point
but I for one love s fast team. Speed kills, unleash the greyhounds so to speak, but evaluate the speed I dont want a team of car jumpers who cannot get on base or field a ball. Kenny Lofton is the perfect example of speed that I would love to find again
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
Well said...
…and although you don’t need a team full of track guys, speed (along with good baserunning skills) at the top of the order does and will get in a pitchers head.
03 was the last year the Cubs had this component, and they really haven’t had anything close to it since.
Balance is the absolute key and balance tends to be most beneficial in the playoffs when you are facing good pitchers and need to pressure the pitcher in every way possible.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
(Sarcasm) Juan Pierre
(Sarcasm) Look at all the great things the speedy Juan Pierre did for the Cubs!
"The big possums walk late." - Harry Caray
I don't think...
…Hendry has done a good job shoring up the top of the order for several years now, and it reared it’s ugly head at the end of 04 and the playoffs in 07 and 08.
More times than not, pure power guys are prone to be shut down in the playoffs against top flight pitchers. If your top of the order guys are these type of streaky hitters, it can really put you behind the 8 ball.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
Non-Tendered = Not Likely
I doubt the Cubs would non-tender Theriot after 2010. Not with 2 more years of arbitration left. I don’t see that as their operating model.
by RiskyBusiness on Feb 7, 2010 11:00 AM CST up reply actions
And although we have had many threads about Theriot....
… this is a current topic (the arb hearing) and thus (IMO) worthy of a new post.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I don't think Theriot is being unreasonable
Nady is being paid that much and he’s a fourth outfielder. Given the service time he’s had as starting shortstop, I don’t think the money he’s asking for is unreasonable. This is also coming from one of the few Ryan Theriot fans on BCB.
And the eighth and final rule: if this is your first time at Fight Club, you have to fight.
by Ace Venom on Feb 6, 2010 10:13 PM CST reply actions 3 recs
+1
"The more i practice, the luckier i seem to get" -Yogi Berra
by ChiCubsFever on Feb 6, 2010 10:42 PM CST up reply actions
The difference between Theriot and Nady
is that Nady was a free agent and Theriot is not.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
Don't forget that Nady also has a stonger arm than Theriot.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 10:53 PM CST up reply actions
Yes
Nobody cares about your fantasy baseball team
by carmen_fanzone on Feb 7, 2010 9:01 AM CST up reply actions
During
"Enough foreplay- let's get crackin'"- Fred Garvin
by davidalanu on Feb 8, 2010 5:56 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Rec
You’re right about this…and plus, just think, he’d probably be making more if Dusty Baker wouldn’t have made him rot on the bench for over a year while he played Neifi Perez and his .180 batting average at the top of the order.
Lest it be said that I always disagree with Grinch...
… he’s 100% right here. (Although Neifi hit a little better than .180.)
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Guess we'll have to have a post arbitrator decide.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
You are not alone.
I appreciate what he brings. If Dunston could be the starting SS for the Cubs for a decade and be loved by Cub fans, why the heat on Theriot? He’s far from perfect (lack of range, less power, rough baserunning choices) but he’s very solid. Lots of teams would take him over what they have.
"I'm not much of a chemistry guy. Chemistry to me is a pinch-hit double with the bases loaded." -Jim Frey
sign him
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 10:46 PM CST up reply actions
::giggling like a schoolgirl::
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 10:48 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
::tickling SWL::
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
Some players never get over their sense of betrayal by the team
on hearing the reasons they aren’t worth their asking price. So if Theriot can bear hearing things like, “Ryan gives DLee nice practice on pop-ups when he throws to first,” and, “Runs the bases like a blind man born centuries before the invention of baseball,” he should come out of it alright.
Of course the Riot could counter with, “Why in God’s name have you not found a shortstop so I can play second?” and, “Thanks for making me a switch-hitting lab rat in the minors for a couple of seasons.”
why have we not found a shortstop ao he could play 2nd? just asking?
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 10:58 PM CST up reply actions
Because we've been too busy signing outfielders.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 10:58 PM CST up reply actions
Hendry tried to sign Furcal
What is it, four years ago now? Had him all but signed and Furcal blinked at the last moment and went to the Dodgers.
Haven’t been too many quality shortstops on the free agent market since then. Because of that, to trade for one would cost an arm and a leg IF any teams would want to trade their young, quality SS.
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Feb 7, 2010 12:42 PM CST up reply actions
Can't he use metrics to prove he's really not that bad at SS?
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 10:58 PM CST up reply actions
what if we dont sign him....who do we have???
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:02 PM CST up reply actions
A shortstop with more range
and a better arm!
I think the real question here is what if we DONT sign Theriot???? please educate me
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
We only win 73 games instead of only 76.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 11:09 PM CST up reply actions
whew....what a relief!
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:10 PM CST up reply actions
but our CS will go down, does that offset the 3 loses?
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
I think I was just kidding
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:18 PM CST up reply actions
and I dont even know what a CS is
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:19 PM CST up reply actions
If you've watched Theriot on the bases
you’ll figure it out.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 11:20 PM CST up reply actions
caught stealing???
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:21 PM CST up reply actions
see, you figured it out.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 6, 2010 11:23 PM CST up reply actions
lol
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
He's just too honest to be a good base thief
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
Theriot does not go to free agency.
He will be a Cub, either for $3.4 million or $2.6 million. The arbitrator must choose one of the figures; he cannot split the difference.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I agree, but...
… apparently Theriot isn’t willing to budge.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
and he shouldnt......its absurd that the Cubs arent willing to give him $3.4m
…..he has been an incredible bargin for the team.
An extra $.4m this year, $.6m next year, $.8m the year after that
Not to mention the reduced leverage with every other Cub facing arbitration. Look at the bigger picture, buddy.
Any player not willing to come down AT ALL on their arbitration number is not what I would call a team player. But that’s just one guy’s opinion.
This
The problem is not the .8MM this year, it’s what happens down the road. They are really arguing about his free agent value, and While Theriot is saying he’s worth 8.5MM on the market, the Cubs just dont agree with that. And I don’t really see how he’s worth 7.5MM either, which would be where the 3MM meeting in the middle puts him.
I have heard.....
both sides are unwilling to budge.
Where have you seen the Cubs will meet him in the middle?
by timeforachange2009 on Feb 9, 2010 4:20 PM CST up reply actions
I always thought it was stupid the arbitrator couldn’t meet in the middle.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:27 AM CST up reply actions
That's what arbitrators do.
They hear arguments and choose one side or another. It’s the job description.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I know but I always thought it was stupid.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:33 AM CST up reply actions
what i dont like about it
is basically the Cubs have to bash Theriot to explain why he is worth less (not literally bash, but you get the drift) and that is not Hendry’s style. He is respected by players for being the opposite of that, and I fear how this can disrupt the Cubs relation with Theriot. THeriot may not be the best SS in the game, but he has been better than most give him credit for.
One thing about Theriot I do like is he is healthy, how many SS moss games, while he doesnt. (2007 148 2008 149 2009 154). It is hard to help or hurt your team if you are sitting on the DL or bench. Scrappy, over rated, under rated, however anyone wants to describe him, he is durable.
When it comes to replacing Theriot at SS like so many ask for, keep in mind sometimes the devil you know is better than the devil you dont know.
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
miss games***
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
The "bash the player" thing is exactly why teams don't like to go to arb hearings.
Nothing good can come out of them.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
It's because they're already seeing Castro as the second coming of Ozzie Smith.
It’s called, putting all of your eggs in one basket. What I possibly see is Starlin Castro not panning out and being stuck with Andres Blanco for the next several years at SS (hitting .250). I mean, I’m all for Castro succeeding and for Theriot eventually moving for 2B but you can’t just burn your bridges. Hendry should know better after the mess he made last year.
Are you serious?
Lets say Castro DOESN’T work out (and we’ve seen nothing to indicate that to this point). How would we then be stuck with any one guy for several years? Are there not other SS anywhere in the world that we could aquire via free agency, trade, or bring through our farm system?
We get it. You like Riot. But this sort or reasoning won’t convince anyone.
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Feb 7, 2010 12:00 PM CST up reply actions
Castro didn't exactly impress in his last stop, where he hit .180.
I said “possibly see”. I hope he does succeed, but what I said was that you shouldn’t bank on a prospect until you see what they can do in the major leagues. If he goes out there in spring training and lights it up against major league pitchers (not minor league ones), shows the speed and great defense that we have been hearing about, then it will be extremely encouraging.
I said you shouldn’t kick Theriot to the curb before figuring out what you’re going to do. The Cubs did that with Mark Grace when they had Hee Seop Choi, and how’d that turn out for them?
...
The Cubs did that with Mark Grace when they had Hee Seop Choi, and how’d that turn out for them?
Um, pretty good seeing as how Choi turned into Derrek Lee
.
that's an interesting point ...
but it’s not an open-and-shut issue, IMO. Grace’s last season with the Cubs was 2000. Lee didn’t show up until 2004.
The 2001 season — in which the Cubs were in first until August and ended up winning 88 games — could have really used Gracie. I’ve always wondered if the Cubs would have made the postseason that year if Grace is at first instead of Coomer/Stairs/McGriff.
And had Grace stayed for another year or two, Choi could still have been traded for Lee in the 2003-04 offseason.
In 2001...
… Cubs first basemen hit .251/.348/.454 (.802 OPS) with 29 HR and 106 RBI.
Grace, who played 145 games in 2001, hit .298/.386/.466 (.852 OPS) with 15 HR and 78 RBI. Slightly better, with more SLG (31 doubles to the Cubs 1B’s 27), but fewer HR.
Probably about a wash. I’ve been critical of Grace, but they probably should have kept him that year.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
they also did it with Barrett and Kendall for Soto
and that worked pretty well in 2008 (and I believe it will return closer to 2008 than 2009 for Soto).
It happens with every team at every position. you take a gamble, and see what happens.
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
this is why I want
Darwin Barney to play a bunch in the spring. The team needs to find out if he’s ready to contribute. If so, he should be an early option if someone gets hurt. If not, send him to (Pittsburgh?) in June with a pitching prospect or two for Zach Duke (or whatever).
But I don’t want to let Theriot go. He has value.
Cubs play with no Shortstop
Use 4 outfielders instead. Lowest double play total in MLB history. No noticeable improvement in outfield defense.
Sounds like an Onion spoof
by RiskyBusiness on Feb 7, 2010 11:04 AM CST up reply actions
or maybe a repeat of 2006
Dustyball rides again
Blue mountains high .. Blue valleys low
I don't know which way we will go ..
One summer dream .. one summer dream ..
coda
ELO, 1975
Back to the Clogger
No. 1, I’ve let most guys hit 3-0 (in the count). That’s one reason. . . . I think walks are overrated unless you can run. If you get a walk and put the pitcher in a stretch, that helps, but the guy who walks and can’t run, most of the time he’s clogging up the bases for somebody who can run.
and Baker’s still on that delusion
by RiskyBusiness on Feb 7, 2010 3:32 PM CST up reply actions
for those who dont know
How Baseball Arbitration Works
for those who wont click and read all the details, this is what Theriot/Cubs have to look forward to
The Arbitration Procedure and the Arbitration Hearing
Arbitration works as follows: In January, the player and the club each submit a salary figure to a three-person panel of professional arbitrators. hearings are conducted between the 1st and 20th day of February.
At the hearing, each party has one hour to present its case to the panel, and then has an additional 30 minutes for rebuttal. The player must attend the hearing, but is usually represented by his agent. A club executive or attorney usually represents the team.
The arbitration is a "high-low" proceeding, during which each side presents its case for why the player should be awarded the requested salary in the upcoming season. In deciding to award the higher or lower salary, the panel may consider the following criteria:
(1) the player’s contribution to the club in terms of performance and leadership;
(2) the club’s record and its attendance;
(3) any and all of the player’s "special accomplishments," including All-Star game appearances, awards won, and postseason performance;
(4) the salaries of comparable players in the player’s service-time class and, for players with less than five years of service, the class one year ahead of him.
The parties may not refer to team finances, previous offers made during negotiations, comments from the press or salaries in other sports or occupations.
The panel, without opinion, awards the player a one-year, non-guaranteed contract at one salary or the other. If the player is cut within 16 days before the season begins, he is entitled only to 30 days’ termination pay. If the player is cut during spring training but after the 16th day before the season begins, he is entitled only to 45 days’ termination pay.
I have also read before that arbitrators CANNOT take the current economy into consideration
based on the awards clause, shall we vote an all rookie scrub team for the AL and NL this season to force some interesting arbitration hearings in the future /sarcasm
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
Can anyone think of which SS's this would include
To compair to Theriot?
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Feb 7, 2010 1:07 PM CST up reply actions
Theriot is 30 years old.
I think he knows he is as good as he is going to get as a player. He is trying to get as much as he can, while he still can. Eventually, he will be moved to second, which the Cubs already have two players platooning.
HELLO....No one has answered my question yet .....are we in trouble if we dont sign The Riot?????
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
You mean after he becomes a FA?
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
IDK...if we dont sign him in arbitration does he go to FA?
my ??? is what if we loose him …who do we have to replace him?
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:39 PM CST up reply actions
I'm no expert, but I believe that you are forced to sign somebody in arbitration.
If i remember correctly….actually, it says all of this stuff up in Cubbie-Tim’s post.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
maybe we could move Soriano to SS
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
Don't even joke about something like that. Lol.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
well, it would eliminate a double clutche
and replace it with a hop….maybe if we are lucky there could be a double hop
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
LOL
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:54 PM CST up reply actions
Guess-fielding hack
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.

Blue mountains high .. Blue valleys low
I don't know which way we will go ..
One summer dream .. one summer dream ..
coda
ELO, 1975
Those things make me sick.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
They always remind me of 2008.
Everytime I saw one of those I thought to myself, “OK, people. Are you serious? Don’t get ahead of yourselves…” Ugh….
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
They make me twitch
B-b-bartman and AGon and Prior — oh my!
I cant read your post tonight....will do in the A.M.....if you know what I mean :)
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 6, 2010 11:46 PM CST up reply actions
Oh boy....
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
great, now you are gonna start the rumor mills
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
who gives a f@$#
baseball.........is Kool Aid the remedy, or the cause of my desire for it
by cooliogirl47 on Feb 7, 2010 12:09 AM CST up reply actions
not me :=)
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
As Al mentioned above if it goes to arbitration
he will be a Cub and paid either $2.6M or $3.4M. He will not be a free agent.
We have already signed Theriot - it's just a matter of how much...
Either the team and Theriot will come to an agreement before arbitration, or arbitration will decide how much he’s paid for 2010. But regardless, Theriot will be playing for the Cubs in 2010.
he won't be not signed
either the arbitrator will rule for the Cubs, and Riot will play for the $2.6 mill, or the arbitrator will rule for Riot, and he’ll play for $3.4 mill. And next year, he’ll be off the team.
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 7, 2010 2:30 PM CST up reply actions
Damen, you need to publish your posts to Twitter.
I know you have a big audience, but everybody needs to read what you write. Rec’d.
Well thanks man...
I’m looking at a few options – including a redesign – that might spur the readership a bit. I’ll keep you informed.
by Damen Jackson on Feb 7, 2010 9:52 AM CST up reply actions
Rec'd
I think the perspective that this is more about his 2011 price than his 2010 is probably right. If I was the Cubs I’d want him to be cheap enough to be a 300-400 PA guy in 2011.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 2:24 PM CST up reply actions
Al your first reply
was spot on. This most likely will be Theriot last year in the blue. Curious if there will be any market for him. Caberra signed with the Reds for 5 Million I think, I guess you can say Theriot is worth 3 million. The ceiling is reached on Theriot, he is what he is.
I just hope the Cubs don’t expedite the movement of Castro in the system just to move Theriot on his way.
Expediting....
… would mean Castro starting THIS year. I don’t see that, but I’d think he’d be ready for 2011. Watch his play in ST games this year.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
That’s what I’m looking forward to more than anything in spring training this year.
But the plan is to move Theriot to 2nd when Castro is ready.
Going down for 9 days this year. Can’t wait. But some of the time is to be in a wedding in Scottsdale so otherwise it would be about 6 days.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:43 AM CST up reply actions
who has this plan?
Cub fans talk about it, but I have never heard the Cubs talk about it. The plan we discuss here on BCB and other sites DOES NOT mean that is the plan for the Cubs.
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
despite
all the theriot hate around here he is a valuable part of this team. and he knows it. its the owners who decided to shower these crazy salaries on the players so why not get some. i still think hendry will avoid arbitration. he usually does. i think this team wil start getting younger in the next few years.
Ryan Theriot is at the zenith of his earning power
He knows that, and he is asking for a higher sum then might otherwise be assumed. I think Theriot understands that the rest of his major league career will be devoted to utility infielder status, and that he will forever be operating on one year contracts and the distinct possiblity of moving from team to team. Not a bad gig if you can get it, but certainly a downgrade from the “status” of being the everyday shortstop…and being paid in accordance.
The Blackhawks and the Stanley Cup in 2010.
by BLou on Feb 7, 2010 8:57 AM CST reply actions 1 recs
If this proves to be true
He can just start following Adam Kennedy around and pick up a few million here and there. Which by the way is a better reference to the money being discussed than say Cabrera.
There goes one over the fence...a Tru-Link fence.
by truelinkfence on Feb 7, 2010 9:17 AM CST up reply actions
Yep
Beyond the 2010 season Ryan Theriot is probable going to be competing for jobs that the Adam Kennedys of the world chase. One year contracts for maybe $1.5 million max, and where you hop from team to team.
Ryan Theriot DOES have value. But that value isn’t in being a viable everyday major league shortstop…after this season. Therefore I don’t fault him in the least bit for trying to maximize his immediate earning power. He is being smart if you ask me.
The Blackhawks and the Stanley Cup in 2010.
How ridiclous.
He is the starting SS on a team that has won 2 division itles and 83 games in a third year.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:30 AM CST up reply actions
It's not "ridiculous".
In fact, it’s one of the better things BLou has said here, and quite true.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
No he’s not to say he’s a career utility infielder is silly.
Is he among the best SS? No. He’s more of a second baseman who works his butt off to try and make himself a decent SS.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:41 AM CST up reply actions
You can disagree
if you like, but it’s hardly silly.
by Damen Jackson on Feb 7, 2010 9:47 AM CST up reply actions
Name the 60 better shortstops or second baseman in baseball then since you are saying he’s the 61st at best.
Because he can play both positions.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:30 AM CST up reply actions
What did Theriot ever do to you besides not hit 30 homeruns?
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:31 AM CST up reply actions
Rec'd
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 2:26 PM CST up reply actions
This signals the need for financial flexibility
IMHO. Given the last years total breakdown of any consistant production due to bad years or injuries. There must be alot of wait and see going into Spring Training. Aramis is the big question. If he comes out healthy and durable then maybe we deal one of these other vets who had a good spring for a more multi dimensional BU infielder. If Aramis cant catch a liner over his head or to his left then we have a real problem.
There goes one over the fence...a Tru-Link fence.
Why all the Theriot hate
The hate of Theriot by some here is beyond ridiculous.
People saying after this year he will only be a utility infielder prove they don’t know a thing about baseball. Anyone who thinks there are 60 better players in baseball at shortstop or 2nd base doesn’t know a thing about baseball.
It’s the whole homerun or nothing philosophy of most fans.
To say the Cubs will get rid of him after this season if he wins in arbitration is just plain goofy. It will depend on what kind of season he has.
Some have made it clear they root for Theriot to fail which means they are not Cubs fans. If you root for any player on the team to fail you are not a fan of the team.
Is he perfect? no,
Thinking a player isn’t good is one thing but all this overthetop stuff is ridiculous.
But there are fans who think that homeruns are a be all and end all and wish we had Dusty Baker still because getting on base clogs the bases.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
None of this is "hate".
I really wish you’d stop using that term. Theriot is who he is. And the organization is NOT happy with his salary demands or refusal to negotiate between the arb offer and the demand.
Thus, he will likely be gone after 2010. That’s not “hate”, that’s simply a fact.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
YOu are insulting Jim Hendry and others to say he has already made a decision on Theriot at this point.
I’m sorry but the anti Theriot stuff bandied about overall has gotten beyond ridiculous. People claiming he is no better than a utility player are saying there are 60 better players in the majors at either short or second better than him.
I really doubt the organization is all up in arms over his salary demands. In fact before and after this he is being put forth very much in appearances and such.
It is not a fact he will be gone after 2010. It is an opinion. I really doubt Hendry and others have made a definite decision to not keep him. And the same people who are making the decisions now may not even be here,
And I also think Hendry knows the refusal to negotiate if this is even true is more the agent than Theriot.
I really doubt the Cubs are up in arms over 800 thousand. And a lot of arbitration is resolved the day of the hearing. I think a guy on the Sox I believe a few years ago was literally in the building of the hearing on his way to it when he got a call from his agent with one final offer and he accepted it.
I hope the Ricketts family is not this stupid to let a contract problem make them get rid of a player who otherwise has supposedly been a stellar teammate and good guy.
If they got rid of every player who ever had a problem in a contract negotiation probably we’d have 3 players/
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:39 AM CST up reply actions
No, I'm not insulting Jim Hendry.
I’ve heard exactly what I posted: that the organization is not happy with his salary demands and refusal to negotiate before the arb hearing.
Believe what you want, but I’m simply posting what I’ve heard from reliable sources.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
If they got rid of everyone they weren’t happy with during salary stuff they’d have no team.
I’m not doubting that they are not happy with the hearing stuff possibly it’s been exaggerated by some but I’m doubting that they will get rid of a player because of it.
I hope Hendry and co aren’t this stupid and sensitive.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:49 AM CST up reply actions
I assumed it was her, since her mailbags provide us with so much useful "insider" news that no one already knows about.
I guess that's supposed to be a putdown.
Nice try, though.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
And your sources have been proven to be right but chances are they are exaggerating the gravity of the situation.
I always wonder if these things are more the agent than the player too.
Players give all their trust to their agents.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:35 AM CST up reply actions
Wow..
I’ve read this post a couple of times now, and it seems the only person that’s actually resorted to hateful comments is you. I think we can have this conversation without personal attacks.
by Damen Jackson on Feb 7, 2010 9:49 AM CST up reply actions
I’m not reacting to the anti Theriot stuff in this thread. It has been a continuing thing here for awhile.
But this is the homeruns first who cares about on base percentage fandom many have become.
When someone says he’s at best a utility infielder that’s so over the top it’s not even funny.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:52 AM CST up reply actions
You need to respect
that while you don’t personally feel this way, other do, and can certainly make a reputable case otherwise. It’s not silly, it’s a difference of opinion. Let’s agree to disagree.
by Damen Jackson on Feb 7, 2010 10:04 AM CST up reply actions
getting on base is a very important part of baseball
probably the most important, actually
by jesus christos on Feb 7, 2010 11:58 AM CST up reply actions
It's that there are 60 better players per dollar paid.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 2:31 PM CST up reply actions
No hate here
Just a changing team.
There goes one over the fence...a Tru-Link fence.
by truelinkfence on Feb 7, 2010 9:41 AM CST up reply actions
And people think we will win the world series if we get rid of Theriot who apparently is the cause of all the problems not only with the Cubs but the whole world.
And the same people mourn the leaving of Reed “Mickey Mantle” Johnson.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 9:47 AM CST up reply actions
just remember
if Theriot does everything he should, we will win the series.
He’s an adequate SS. The point is, we shouldn’t pay him too much, and we shouldn’t overvalue him.
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 7, 2010 2:37 PM CST up reply actions
I'm assuming you were making reference to his earlier comments?
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
yup
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 7, 2010 5:20 PM CST up reply actions
Twas what I thought.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
Look at Felipe Lopez.
He just had a great season, but he wasn’t even offered arb as a Type B guy. The bats on these guys just don’t get good enough for teams not to try and save money with cheaper options.
I’m looking around at the 30 clubs, and I’m not seeing a buyer for Lopez.
Similar story – same position – Kelly Johnson was a valuable player, but just cut by the Braves who are going cheaper with Prado. The lifespan of a ML 2B not named Utley is short.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 2:30 PM CST up reply actions
the idea
that we’d be happily willing to give John Grabow a LHRP who has very little impact on most games nearly $4 million and we’d gripe about giving Theriot who has an impact on every game just $3.4 million is amazing to me
Theriot’s been worth almost $13.5 million a year the last two years and is projected to dip down to around $10 million. Grabow’s been worth about $0.25 million a year the last 2 years
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3811&position=SS#value
http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1848&position=P#value
Grabow’s just an example, a guy like Nady who is worth about 1 win, aaron miles who was projected to be worth about 0.5 wins. We were happily willing to pay these guys as much as Theriot’s asking for and they’re far inferior players. Theriot’s not the answer at SS long-term, but he’s certainly worth a 1 year contract at 3.5 million this year and something like 1 year 4.5 million next year
Theriot’s one of the few positions around the diamond we’re projected to make a profit on in terms of what we’re paying and what we’re getting
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 9:46 AM CST reply actions 3 recs
I'm sorry, but...
that’s just crazy. I like Theriot as a player. I think he’s got his value, and the hate he receives on this site just boggles my mind. But it’s very, very hard for me to take any system seriously that says he was a 13M player last year.
Kander your absolutely right
any system that uses STATS to decide a player’s value is ridiculous!
For the 1 millionth time
Free Agency and Arb are not the same things – nowhere near the same thing. You’re comparing a FA pitcher to a 1st time Arb eligable player. Apples and Oranges.
I just wish
I just wish I agreed with some here that getting rid of Theriot is the key to being a dynasty.
Theriot is not going to be the reason you win the world series but it’s highly unlikely he will be the reason you don’t.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
I challenge you...
… to find a single post, here or anywhere on this site, that has said “getting rid of Theriot is the key to being a dynasty”. That’s just silly.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
All the over the top bashing by some has gotten so ridiculous.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:15 AM CST up reply actions
I don't see "over the top bashing" here.
Except by you, toward other posters.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
If it was just this post I was reacting to it would be one thing. But it’s a constant thread around here and other places.
I mean it sometimes will seep into conversation completely unrelated to Theriot.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:23 AM CST up reply actions
I have to say I agree with the sentiment that
the dislike of Theriot is “over the top” sometimes here. Maybe not in this thread, but there are times I’m afraid to admit I like him. “Hate” may be too strong a word, but the double clutch jokes have run amok.
"Fasten those seatbelts"-Pat Hughes
No its actually the overthetop bashing that is building a mountain out of a molehill.
And this whole the organization is all up in arms over this is 99 percent sure building a mountain over a molehill,
Or I hope it is. I hope Hendry and such aren’t such babies that disagreement over salary would make them want to get rid of player no matter how he does in 2010.
This reminds me of people claiming Lou would retire after 2009 unless he changed his mind and now they claim he did despite every reason they stated he would want to leave was even worse last year.
Hey I could claim Derrek Lee was going to become a cancan dancer after 2009 but he changed his mind.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:17 AM CST up reply actions
What will happen
What will happen if Theriot is kept after the 2010 season? What are people going to come up with to try and say they didn’t exaggerate at best how upset the Cubs were.
This reminds me of Bruce Levine reporting a few years ago the Cubs were hours away from announcing a major trade involving an outfielder.
First it didn’t happen because Hendry’s mother died so he couldn’t complete the trade. She did actually pass away that day. But in that case MacPhail was still here and would have finalized the deal.
Then Mark Prior broke his elbow wo supposedly the Cubs were going to wait to see how long he was out and how the team did before making a major move.
I was expecting to hear the next excuse was Mark Priors mother broke her elbow.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
I want Hendry fired
I want Hendry fired now if he really is that sensitive about a salary situation that he’d get rid of a player no matter how he does in 2010.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
If the Cubs don't make the playoffs...
…I don’t think it would matter. Hendry will probably be shown the door, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he wasn’t.
And the eighth and final rule: if this is your first time at Fight Club, you have to fight.
A
I just had a thought.
Hendry has been around 14 years. This would be the 1st arb hearing he’s been to so maybe this is part of his ovrereaction.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 10:30 AM CST up reply actions
I just have one question...
Why are you SO against an upgrade at SS, especially if it comes along with 3MM in savings?? Let’s be honest here for a second:
Theriot is at best league average at SS. He does not have the tools or talent to ever be a better than average hitter, or the range to be an above average fielder, or the speed or instincts to be an above average base runner. By demanding 3.4MM this year, that means next year he would be looking for 5.1MM based on a 40/60/80 scale.
Now, along the same lines, we have a SS in the minors who will be 21 years old in 2011 (as opposed to Theriot at 32), has a ceiling well above anything Theriot can sniff, and has a floor probably about where Theriot is sitting now. Why would we not look to move Theriot, regardless of his 2010 if we can improve the SS position, save 4.7MM, and get something useful in return??
Also
Also maybe feelings are high right now but it’s February 7th. Lots of time to make up between Hendry and Theriot.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
Reality does not equal Hate
I like Ryan Theriot. I’ve been in his corner too. But stating that he is in line to be replaced at shortstop, or that his future beyond 2010 is likely as a utility infielder type, doesn’t mean hate for the ballplayer.
The Blackhawks and the Stanley Cup in 2010.
by BLou on Feb 7, 2010 12:17 PM CST reply actions 11 recs
BLou is gonna be pissed...
… when he gets home and discovers you playing with his BCB account, Mr. Reasonable BLou Impersonator.
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Feb 7, 2010 12:23 PM CST up reply actions
One more, please.
Turn his post green. It’s exactly right.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
rec'ing a blou post feels wierd
but i guess i can do it…
by jesus christos on Feb 7, 2010 1:28 PM CST up reply actions
my world just flipped
nolq sopnʞ ’ʇsod sıɥʇ ɔǝɹ ı ˙ʇı ɟo ʇno sʇlnsuı puɐ ǝʇɐɥ ǝɥʇ ʇɟǝl ǝɥ ʇnq ’sǝop ǝɥ sǝɯıʇ ʎuɐɯ pıɐs ǝʌɐɥ ı ɥɔıɥʍ ’sʇsod ǝlqısuǝs ƃuıʞɐɯ sı nolq ’uʍop ǝpısdn
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
How did you do that?
Write everything upside down?
Who cares if he's a Cubs fan? This is a football forum! He is a PACKER fan as well. So, from now until March, I’m sure he’ll dedicate a lot of his time here. In late March, then we can be enemies during the baseball season. Besides, the Cubs have perhaps the most loyal baseball fanbase in the country. You have to respect that.
Go Pack!
by Jabooty on Jan 25, 2010 2:58 PM EST
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Feb 8, 2010 9:17 AM CST up reply actions
¡ʎɹǝʇsʎɯ ɐ s,ʇı
Dum spiro spero... | Follow me on twitter or else: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Feb 8, 2010 12:53 PM CST up reply actions
Anyone want to pass the word along to those of us still in the dark?
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Not really
ɹɐqʎɐɹƃ sɐ unɟ sɐ ʇsoɯןɐ sı sıɥʇ
Oh OK…since you asked. I don’t know how the others did it. But I did a search of “how to type upside down” and found this.
"Fasten those seatbelts"-Pat Hughes
It that a Chinese site?
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 8, 2010 2:21 PM CST up reply actions
˙sɹǝʇʇǝן ןɐʇıdɐɔ dıןɟ ʇou sǝop ʇı ’ɥƃnoɥʇןɐ ˙ƃuoןɐ ʇı ƃuıssɐd ɹoɟ sʞuɐɥʇ ˙sʞɹoʍ ʇɐɥʇ ’ןןǝʍ
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
uhho I started a trend lol
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
¡ʎpoqʎɹǝʌǝ ʎǝɥ
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
Very nice.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
I'll have to wait until I get home to see this.
All I see are boxes.
Who cares if he's a Cubs fan? This is a football forum! He is a PACKER fan as well. So, from now until March, I’m sure he’ll dedicate a lot of his time here. In late March, then we can be enemies during the baseball season. Besides, the Cubs have perhaps the most loyal baseball fanbase in the country. You have to respect that.
Go Pack!
by Jabooty on Jan 25, 2010 2:58 PM EST
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Feb 8, 2010 8:20 PM CST up reply actions
Funny thing about Theriot "hate" on here
Is that it’s probably been at an all time low on BCB in the last year. Some of you might be newer here but there were anti-Theriot posts almost every week on here.
If it wasn’t for this arbitration issue there probably wouldn’t be any posts about him until the season starts.
The fact is, he’s been solid, a core part of the team, healthy, and a fan favorite in Chicago.
Let’s just see how this pans out over the next couple weeks and throughout the 2010 season.
Maybe the Cubs
Will present Theriot-hate thread from BCB as evidence that he needs to be paid less.
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Feb 7, 2010 1:10 PM CST up reply actions
LMAO
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
The reality of Ryan Theriot
A. Theriot did a standup, quality job for the Cubs in 2008 and 2009. He had no business impersonating an everyday major league shortstop, especially on a ballclub with fat financial resources. Yet he rose to the ocassion and performed.
B. Theriot is a below average defensive shortstop. It’s not from lack of effort.
C. Theriot’s highest and best use in the major leagues is as a utility infielder and spot player with a nice bat. It’s a job description he will begin filling just as soon as Castro or Lee is ready to challenge for a major league job, or Jim Hendry can identify a more suitable veteran option shoud the hierarchy decide Theriot is hurting the team more than helping.
D. Next year at this time chances are good that Theriot is playing in another uniform. And chances are that in 2012 he is playing in yet another uniform, and so on and so on.
The Blackhawks and the Stanley Cup in 2010.
by BLou on Feb 7, 2010 12:36 PM CST reply actions 10 recs
My take on this:
A. True.
B. Correct.
C. Absolutely.
D. Spot on.
Wait, where am I?
"Only a mediocre person is always at his best." ~W. Somerset Maugham
Oh, good heavens.
BLou being quite reasonable and accurate. What’s this site coming to?
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
did I wake up in opposite land?
BLou the voice of reason?
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
i'll disagree and agree
with some of this.
I think the problem with evaluating Theriot is how we group players based on what they will be for much of their career. Some of the buckets we commonly use are: HOF, All Star, Above Average Player, Solid Regular, Utility Guy, Bench Player, Replacement Level, etc
So Theriot has always fallen into the “Utility Guy/Bench Player” grouping when we look at his skill level, his minor league track record, etc. This grouping is accurate when looking at the majority of his career. When we look back at Ryan Theriot that’s how he’ll be thought of, and for someone who didn’t reach the majors until 26, its likely accurate.
With that said, a player in that grouping can elevate to “Solid Regular” during their peak years. This is what we’re experiencing with Theriot. At age 27, 28, 29 he’s produced average to above average production, largely because of his slightly above average defense at a premium position.
Now as he gets into his 30’s, which he’s entering this season, he’ll likely decline and most likely do so more rapidly than others since much of his value is tied up in his defense which is tied up in his footspeed. As a result he’ll likely settle back into the utility/bench IF role that you suggest.
So I agree that for his career path it doesn’t look like he should be the starting SS on a high budget team. But given the need for low-cost options (due to spending heavily in other positions), he was a necessity. In addition I’d suggest his defense has been average to above average, rather than below average (as he gets into his 30’s I assume it will regress to average to below average).
I agree with the assessment that he’s best used as a utility infielder and I agree its a job description he should be filling once we have another viable option. I’m not sure this will happen next year as I’m not sure how quickly Castro will continue to move, but I’d suggest based on Castro’s path that it is likely Theriot becomes overpaid for what the Cubs need him to do and perhaps they can trade him to an organization that needs another stop-gap for 1 year (which Theriot probably will have left in him. He’ll probably be a decent stop-gap for 2 more years before falling off a cliff)
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 1:04 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
When you're not hating on us
You make some valid points. Rec.
I believe he is trying the "positive" approach out.
Green’ed
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
Acceptance is the first step to recovery, BLou.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
BLou making good points on a regular basis?
I must check, am I in an alternate reality? Or has Hell frozen over?
Who cares if he's a Cubs fan? This is a football forum! He is a PACKER fan as well. So, from now until March, I’m sure he’ll dedicate a lot of his time here. In late March, then we can be enemies during the baseball season. Besides, the Cubs have perhaps the most loyal baseball fanbase in the country. You have to respect that.
Go Pack!
by Jabooty on Jan 25, 2010 2:58 PM EST
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Feb 8, 2010 9:18 AM CST up reply actions
according to that dumb old joke-
hell freezing over would be a good thing!
"Fasten those seatbelts"-Pat Hughes
What seems odd
Is that Theriot and his agent would submit a bottom-line figure to open up the bidding. That doesn’t seem to be how the pre-arbitration period works. I’d guess that nearly 90% of these cases meet roughly half-way before the hearings.
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Feb 7, 2010 1:05 PM CST reply actions
I'll start really caring about this situation
When Theriot makes a stupid comment in the media about his value and so forth. I’d like to think he’s professional enough not to, but then again he was the first guy who openly spoke on the radio about how miserable of a person Milton Bradley was.
I wonder if there are issues other than salary,
which are bringing Theriot (very close) to arbitration. The two numbers are not “that” far apart, and as a player, while not a superstar shortstop, he has had good value for the team.
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
by eths on Feb 7, 2010 2:48 PM CST via mobile reply actions
I think the issue is the 3 M threshhold
It’s very important for Theriot to get above that and important to the Cubs to keep him below it. The difference here is not so much the money as it is the principle.
I’d further suggest that this principle is behind the debates about Theriot here on this board – people who’ve argued he’s a stopgap playing over his head v. people who’ve argued he’s a great SS, even All-Star worthy. It’s about identity, which is by definition, personal.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 2:52 PM CST up reply actions
Why is 3M so special?
And why the need to keep him below a sum of 3M?
I’m not sure that I see why this principle should be so important in Theriot’s case.
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
@Twitter as @brommmietze
by eths on Feb 7, 2010 3:20 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
best answer is to read Damens link above
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
I'm not sure why that's the benchmark.
It just appears to be a benchmark.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 4:14 PM CST up reply actions
Who is not giving in
With Theriot not wanting to settle in the middle, as indicated above, then he is risking being $800,000 out in order to get about $400,000 more than the Cubs are willing to commit to. I originally thought it was the other way around where the Cubs were not budging from their $2.6 million offer. Theriot and his agent should be pretty darn sure they can will in arb, otherwise what they are doing isn’t worth it.
The range of salaries for players doesn’t make enough sense to tell within $800,000 what he should get (IMO). I also can’t believe the team is sensitive to $400,000 in budget difference on a 1-year deal. Rather, I think it is more about a conflict of convictions and, possibly, the team’s thoughts about what is a better position to be in if they want to trade Theriot. What else could it be?
The Riot's daze may be numbered in Wrigleyville
.. and if so, may he make 2010 his career year .. given the roster shuffling Lou’s gonna do.
Blue mountains high .. Blue valleys low
I don't know which way we will go ..
One summer dream .. one summer dream ..
coda
ELO, 1975
It's the Super Bowl
Ryan Theriot is a huge Saints fan and wants to deal with all this after the Super Bowl so his agent has been talking to the Cubs.
Maybe he has counted on his agent a bit too much in this.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
Hah
I’m laughing because I think you really believe what you just wrote.
Actually the hearing hasn’t happened yet. He is probably communicating with his agent.
And he was on the radio talking about the Super Bowl as well.
Hendry doesn’t act like a 2 year old. He’s not going to get rid of a player because of a screwed up arbitration.
Players tend to rely and trust their agents sometimes to their detriment.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
by puckishcubsfan on Feb 7, 2010 3:40 PM CST up reply actions
PArt of the reason the Cubs haven't on in the last 102 years
Part of the reason we have a 102 year drout is people not respecting players who get on first base. The Cubs have always relied on the 3 run homerun.
Yes we play in a small ballpark. But it’s one that when the wind blows in the fences might as well be 500 feet away.
Is Theriot great? No. Does he work his butt off? From everything we hear he does. Does he get his butt on first base? Yes.
This idea that he at best would be lucky to be a utility infielder on another team is crazy at best. He was an underrated contributor to a team that has won 265 games over the past 3 years.
If you give him all the blame for the playoff losses you have to give him all the credit for the wins in the last 3 seasons.
2/18/2010 B&B become a We
your love for theriot
is reaching thegrinch-jake fox levels
by jesus christos on Feb 7, 2010 3:43 PM CST up reply actions
i wouldnt go that far
Fox has produced much less, and is not even remotely close to being the glove man Theriot is
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
The problem with your logic here...
is that Theriot isn’t all that great at getting on first base. He got on base at a very well in 2008, and was maybe slightly above average at it in 2009. But he was terrible at it in 2007.
He’s okay at getting on base. But that’s the extent of his offensive game. And if all you can do is get on base, you should do so at a higher rate than 35 percent of the time.
by SouthernCub on Feb 7, 2010 3:56 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
what was league average last season?
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
baseball-reference.com is your friend.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 4:19 PM CST up reply actions
ty
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
The average SS
was at .327
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 4:33 PM CST up reply actions
And
Theriot’s CS cut into the value of his OBP.
If Theriot is a .380 OBP player he’s valuable. If he’s a .330-.340 OBP, then that’s nice, because SSs can get much worse than that, but it’s nothing to sing praises about.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 4:17 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
really
102 years because of alleged disrespect for scrappy middle-infielders who thrive on poking singles through the right side?
Is Theriot great? No.
And THAT’s why he shouldn’t be the starting SS for the Cubs in 2011. We need a GREAT shortstop.
Forget all that other stuff. I gotta believe.
by drewishdrewid on Feb 7, 2010 4:15 PM CST up reply actions
It's not that he hits a lot of singles....
it’s that he’s not a great base runner, which makes double plays in key situations more likely.
The real reason the Cubs haven’t won is it’s tendency to hold onto fan-favorite players, whether or not they’re average or not. I like Theriot as much as I like any other Cub, but the fact is, we can either hold onto him because we like him despite him being an average player, essentially turning guys who might be better into bench players, or we can experiment a little.
2011 will most likely bring up Castro and admittedly, he might not be great and he might turn into Joel Guzman. If we don’t give him a shot, we might be passing on an Ozzie Smith just to keep a guy we like who happens to be an average player in a position that isn’t his natural one.
I don’t think it’s Theriot hate, I think it’s trying to discuss what’s best for the team.
Here's an interesting way to see it
Here are the exchanged Arbitration Figures.
R. Theriot = 1st year of arbitration and asking for $3.4MM. 2009 Win Shares = 17
M. Izturis = 3rd year of arbitration and asking for $3MM. 2009 Win Shares = 17
E. Aybar = 1st year of arbitration and asking for $2.75MM. 2009 Win Shares = 20
B.J. Upton = 1st year of arbitration and asking for $3.3MM. 2009 Win Shares = 13
S. Schumaker = 1st year of arbitration and asking for $2.75MM. 2009 Win Shares = 18
S. Drew = 1st year of arbitration and asked for $6.25MM. Settled for $3.4MM. 2009 Win Shares = 16
Given the Comps, I think Theriot over-reached a bit. His agent saw Drew settling at $3.4MM on 1/19, the filing day, and shot for that.
by RiskyBusiness on Feb 7, 2010 4:10 PM CST reply actions 6 recs
Can I rec this 3 times?
Or is there a way to make this the first post in the thread?
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 7, 2010 4:20 PM CST up reply actions
I find it interesting that
The timestamp on the MLB article for Drew’s settlement is 01/19/10 3:38 PM EST. The timestamp for the arbitration filings article is 1/19/2010 5:30 PM ET. I’m sure a lot of agents wait as long as possible to see agreements like Drew’s and use them as comps.
The game outside the game…
by RiskyBusiness on Feb 7, 2010 4:34 PM CST up reply actions
well done
on the research
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Feb 7, 2010 5:58 PM CST up reply actions
$3m would seem to be a reasonable compromise point.
The Cubs might be willing to go there, but it’s my understanding that Theriot won’t budge — thus, the impasse.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Right, but Drew is a better player with more upside than Theriot.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Oh, I agree.
But, for all those wondering why/how Theriot and his agent came up with that $3.4 million figure, I’d suggest looking at Stephen Drew as Exhibit A.
Can we try to be objective about Theriot's value?
If all of a sudden all ML contracts were declared null and void and 30 baseball teams re-drafted all players, all of whom would make only 400k, what would be our draft order for a SS?
I don’t think there’s much debate that Riot wouldn’t be in the top ten: Hanley, Tulo, Reyes, Rollins, Jeter, Yunel Escobar, Bartlett, Asdrubal Cabrera, Andrus, Stephen Drew.
Then, the next group, I can’t see taking Riot over either: Erick Aybar, Scutaro, Alexei Ramirez, Alcides Escobar, Furcal, Maicer Izturis, Brandon Wood, (maybe Brignac).
Riot seems to fall in the next group who look fairly similar: Riot, Ev. Cabrera, Or. Cabrera, Guzman, Hardy, Desmond, Infante, Lowrie, Ryan.
Am I right or wrong in a ranking like this?
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
That may lead Theriot to a bigger payday
Looking at your grouping and I noticed JJ Hardy in the same group. Hardy re-signed with MIL twice (avoiding arbitration) and was then traded to the Twin. Where Hardy resigned for $5.1MM.
by RiskyBusiness on Feb 7, 2010 10:53 PM CST up reply actions
Hardy
He has more service time and a higher ceiling than Riot.
The point of my listing is not to determine what Riot should be paid, so much as what quality player he is.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 8, 2010 6:27 AM CST up reply actions
I like your rankings
And agree with your conclusions. Theriot would definitely be in the bottom half of SS’s drafted if all contracts could be equalized. A lot of the people on your list are already better players than him, or show much more potential (especially considering his age). Yet he’s asking for a 1st year arbitration number that would pay him a FA number (using the 40% extrapolation) well above his caliber of player.
I like what he’s done for us the last few years. I know he’s held his own surrounded by a lot of guys making a lot of money. But he is ultimately a lot more replaceable than the majority of those people and should be paid as such.
Theriot will cave in at the last minute
and settle around $2.85 mill, plus the All Star bonus (withhold laughter). The Cubs dont need to meet him in the middle. If it went to a hearing, I think the Cubs would win-and pay $2.6 mill
BCB Challange
IF he has a bonus for ASG, lets all vote him in to start
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
no
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Feb 8, 2010 6:30 PM CST up reply actions
yes
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
How would you feel
if Theriot got caught stealing in the All-Star game, leading to the AL winning home field advantage, and the Cubs losing the World Series for lack of that advantage?
Oh, wait, was that over-the-top Theriot hate?
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 8, 2010 7:13 PM CST up reply actions
No. That's being realistic.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
Honestly, I can't remember a worse
performance than Dan Uggla in 2008.
Hey, it's a new century!
by cowsarecool220 on Feb 8, 2010 10:25 PM CST up reply actions
Oh dear God.
It was painful to watch.
Some men learn through what they read. Some men learn through what they're told. Some men have to piss on the railroad tracks. And some men keep on pissin'.
No wonder the Marlins couldn't trade him
(semi) sarcasm
"If I were playing third base and my mother were rounding third with the run that was going to beat us, I'd trip her. Oh, I'd pick her up and brush her off and say, 'Sorry, Mom,' but nobody beats me." ~ Leo Durocher
truthfully
I want to see the two worst teams that can be voted to start on the field, I want to see players that would make us with we were watching Ronny Cedeno and David Kelton to make a point about how stupid it is to allow the fans to vote, and let it count for WS Home Field
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
wish not with
Wait for it....POUND SAND Without me this board is Al Yellon talking to himself.....................by BLou
I don't think...
…we will have to worry about Theriot being caught stealing (or picked off) in the all-star game. We will have to worry about that during the Cub’s schedule though.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
I think we'll even see Theriot get caught stealing
in his arb hearing.
"What a lot of people don’t see is the tremendous amount of progress that has been made in the organization over the last few years. We have a lot of very talented guys coming up through the system. Jim has built an incredible scouting organization." - Tom Ricketts
by DGU on Feb 9, 2010 2:07 PM CST up reply actions
To be fair
He deserved to be on that final ballot over Christian Guzman last year…
Schumaker agrees to deal with Cardinals
Given Schumaker’s signing and Win Share value and Drew’s, I think we have what should be a good range for Theriot.
But I don’t think he’s going to sign before arbitration.
"On offense, your most precious possessions are your 27 outs" - Earl Weaver

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