Lilly, Soriano Lead Cubs To Win With Timely Hitting And Solid Pitching
Teams supposedly are coveting Ted Lilly as the 2010 trading deadline approaches, and after last night's 3-1 Cubs win over the Pirates, you can see why.
Ted throws strikes, mixes his pitches around, and works quickly. Last night, Harry Pavlidis tweeted:
I'm going to miss Ted Lilly. What ever the Cubs end up doing, just get plenty in return, please.
Not so fast, Harry. While Ted will be 35 in January, he seems completely recovered from his offseason shoulder surgery and I don't see any reason why the Cubs shouldn't try to keep him. If the Cubs do indeed wind up moving Carlos Zambrano somewhere before the end of this month, getting some salary relief (I assume they'd be able to save some of Z's money, not all of it), they could then afford to keep Ted on, say, a two-year deal or maybe two years with a vesting option.
Ted owns a home in Chicago, only a few blocks from Wrigley Field. He clearly likes it here. He and Ryan Dempster are close friends. Why would you want to lose a pitcher like that in exchange for a couple of maybes? If nothing else, offer arbitration at the end of the season. He is one of Jim Hendry's best free agent signings.
Another amazing Ted fact, tweeted by The Cub Reporter last night:
At no time this year, spanning 86 2/3 IP, has Ted Lilly been on the mound with a lead of more than two runs.
Ted's 3.12 ERA now ranks 16th in the National League, despite the abysmal run support, and he has posted quality starts in 11 of his 13 outings. For a while on a quite cool late June evening (65 degrees at game time, and many in shorts began to leave around the seventh inning), it looked like Ted might be able to finish up. Not only that, but the game appeared headed for a sub-two-hour time, until the Pirates wasted time with a mid-inning pitching change in the seventh. Heaven forbid that the dangerous Ryan Theriot face a lefthander. Brendan Donnelly was brought in to face Theriot, who decided this was the time to work the count. He had an eleven-pitch at-bat before walking.
He couldn't have done this on Monday?
Anyway, at this point, the complaint department is closed. Alfonso Soriano hit a pair of homers and may be on another one of his hot streaks -- he's hitting .343 over his last 10 games with three HR.
The win itself likely doesn't mean too much with the Cubs still nine games out of first place. But they have a chance to win a series for the first time in two weeks with a victory this afternoon. The game preview will post at 11:30 am CDT.
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It ain't over till it's over, Go Cubs !!!
On the radio (audio archive from MLB-AM) they just sounded like a better team.
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
If the Cubs play aprox. .660 ball from now on, they will win 90 games.
Is it likely? No, maybe not, but it makes a fantastic daydream.
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
Uh, eths. .660 ball from THIS team? I think you've been:

We have met the enemy and they are us! ~ Walt Kelly, Pogo, 1971
Nope...

Seriously, I know that the chance is tiny, but one can dream, can’t one?
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
You did say it was a fantastic daydream.
seemed obvious to me at least.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:55 AM CDT up reply actions
AFter seeing today's limp noodle effort, there is no chance. Sorry.
We have met the enemy and they are us! ~ Walt Kelly, Pogo, 1971
Love Teddy Ballgame...
He’s a bulldog.
Go Cubs. Go Irish.
"I was in awe every time I walked on to the field." -- Ryne Sandberg
"No player in baseball history worked harder, suffered more, or did it better than Andre Dawson. He's the best I've ever seen." -- Ryno
by ctinsley12bsu on Jun 30, 2010 7:37 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
I agree on keeping Lilly
While we can always use some good prospects for the future it’s also a plus to have veterans who produce and like it here.
If the world didn't suck we would all fall off.
Who cares if the team sucks?
If trading Lilly improves the Cubs in 2012 and 2013 they should do it.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 8:03 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
That's the point though.
I’d sure like to see a significant return for Lilly if you do trade him. Trading him for a few prospects you have no idea about would be very silly to me. Hendry has traded our players away before for crap and I have no confidence in anything he does. I
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 8:41 AM CDT up reply actions
When has he traded away a commodity like Lilly?
The Cubs have never really been true sellers since he has taken over. There is little point to keeping Lilly if 2011 and 2012 are not likely contending years. This is especially true given the glut of starting pitching on this roster.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 8:45 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
The Maddux deal is not comparable.
Hendry was doing a personal favor for a future Hall of Famer. The return wasn’t great, but there was no way Hendry was going to get much, as he had little leverage in that deal.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I talked about Maddux earlier in this thread.
And I agree with you. But do YOU think we shouldn’t trade Lilly because Hendry is too dumb to get anything back?
Whoa.
When did I say that?
I think the Cubs shouldn’t trade Lilly because he is worth keeping.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I didn't mean to imply that you said that.
But that’s what SET posted above. I thought you were joining that chorus.
You and I have had the Lilly debate before, Al, so I won’t try to pick that up again. But I think you’re letting sentiment affect your judgment. Sorry. :(
Quite clearly sentiment is the driving factor here
There is no other rationale for keeping Lilly.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 8:55 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Sure there is.
Everyone assumes the Cubs cannot contend in 2011, so dump veterans.
This franchise cannot afford to “not contend”. Lilly has been the Cubs’ most consistent pitcher for the last four years. Keep him.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
this franchise
has been “not contending” for decades
it can afford ONE more year
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by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 8:59 AM CDT up reply actions
it can also afford it ...
a heckuva lot more easily without giving Ted Lilly another $20 million (over two years).
No, actually, it can't.
Given the hemorrhaging of ticket sales already, a “rebuilding” year will chase a lot of people away.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
you don't think they'll come back
… when the team gets good again?
They can't afford it in the meantime.
As was pointed out yesterday — correctly — the Cubs lucked into a national fanbase. They cannot afford to alienate that fanbase, and they have already begun to do so.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I respectfully disagree.
I don’t think that national fanbase will go away with one rebuilding season. I think enough people will continue to go to Wrigley to drink or to see the ballpark.
Attendance will drop. But will it really drop that much?
It might.
A lot depends on what they do with ticket prices. And you say:
I think enough people will continue to go to Wrigley to drink or to see the ballpark.
This seems to be their marketing strategy: sell “the Wrigley experience”. If they go about it this way, they will fail.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
The Cubs have done
a good job selling the Wrigley experience for about a decade now. A decade that included both good and terrible teams.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." -- Alvin Dark
Really, it's only been since 2003 that they have done that.
And if they had not gone out and built a contending team for 2007, they would have been faced with massive ticket sales declines after the debacle of 2006.
They face the same issue in 2011, except there’s one more factor that didn’t exist in 2007:
High ticket prices and an economy in recession.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Yes,
and since the economy is obviously out of their control, they had better think about ways to change ticket prices if they want to keep attendance high.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions
Very true
the easiest way (at least initially) would be to reduce the number of Premium (or Platinum) games. IIRC they significantly increased the number of games classified as Platinum for this year.
"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." -- Alvin Dark
this level of performance
is what is alienating the fanbase
the most likely way to continue this level of performance is to continue operating as you have in the past
which would mean re-signing an aging veteran like ted lilly
you’re acting like contention in 2011 is assured. The fanbase gets alienated more if you keep pitching fake contention and never embrace an actual rebuild to really get the thing turned around
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by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions 7 recs
LSA and rec'd
I'll go to my grave believing Armando Galarraga tossed the 21st perfect game in MLB history.
Lilly's a lefty
Lefties can last a long, long time (just ask Jamie Moyer). 35 isn’t too old to resign a veteran lefty. Most clubs would do it.
please....
if we’re able to rebuild a contending team everyone will be back
the season ticket list is how many hundred thousand deep?
you are so short sighted in your thinking with everything its amazing
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by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 9:22 AM CDT up reply actions
Everybody's fixation on the season tickets is getting amusing.
Those season ticket holders can no-show, you know that, right? Or not by next year’s hot free agent signing’s jersey?
And… there are fans that get in to the park without season tickets. What if they evaporate?
When all those no-shows and single ticket no-sales start adding up, what do you think happens to the value of in-park marketing?
There is more to a team then having a big ass waiting list for season tickets.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 10:47 AM CDT up reply actions
You mean like the Bulls season ticket list?
How long after the franchise was disbanded did it take for that list to dry up?
[...]when Giants coach Steve Owen, a certified defensive genius, was asked how he planned to stop Nagurski, he said: "With a shotgun, as he’s leaving the dressing room."
by NobodySpecial on Jun 30, 2010 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions
By which I mean the Jordan Era
typing too fast.
[...]when Giants coach Steve Owen, a certified defensive genius, was asked how he planned to stop Nagurski, he said: "With a shotgun, as he’s leaving the dressing room."
by NobodySpecial on Jun 30, 2010 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions
Here are your choices Al - and death by Woo-Woo is not an option
For the next four years, would you rather:
a) Contend, contend, contend, contend
… or …
b) Suck, contend, contend, win.
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
...
c) Win, Win, Win, Win.
After that, I don’t give a damn if I die by vuvuzela or WooWoozela.
by Steven Schweickert on Jun 30, 2010 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions
I'd have given anything to see Z squaring off with Woo-woo.
Z would obviously tear him apart but Woo-woo may be able to keep scampering back and annoy him like a deerfly until it’s a draw.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:13 AM CDT up reply actions
And surely you must know that putting resources into a year
where the chances of winning it all are slim at best, just makes it that much harder to win it all in subsequent years when your chances are better.
Unless of course, the Ricketts have unlimited resources and are willing to spend like crazy – which we both know isn’t very likely.
And yes, I called you surely.
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
I said I didn't trust what he does, and I wouldn't want him to make the trade myself.
But we’re stuck with him for now so I’d sure look at a trade. You always have to look at possibilities. Careful putting words in my mouth about him being too dumb to do anything.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions
Ah it's ok I might have said that in the past anyway without thinking lol
The man is obviously intelligent and I like him personally…I just don’t like his judgement or track record overall as a GM.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions
although this IS what you said:
“Hendry has traded our players away before for crap and I have no confidence in anything he does.”
Yes. that's just what i posted above.
thanks for repeating my post. Doesn’t say anything in there about him being too dumb to do anything.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions
People will be disappointed in the Lilly return
because I think the expectation is way too high for a 3 month rent-a-pitcher with no expectation of resigning him.
People need to look at recent history before they set expectations.
What’d we give up to get Harden? Gallagher, Murton and Eric Patterson? Would we accept that sort of return for Lilly at this point?
I’m drawing a blank on further deals like this in recent history – hopefully somebody with a better knowledge of this stuff can chime in.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 10:52 AM CDT up reply actions
Except Harden was signed for the next season
but it is still worth a comparison. I didn’t think any of the guys given up for Harden were much to begin with so I wasn’t upset with any of them going. The only one that might have somewhat of a career is the catcher Donaldson who is still in the minors.
Lilly is a true 3 month guy so you may not even get a deal as good as Harden.
Forgot he had the extra year - good point.
While i’m all for dumping Lilly if we can get something good in return, chances are what we get will be of the “this MIGHT work out in a couple of years” variety.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:20 AM CDT up reply actions
The more I think about it, I like the comparison
So would a return of a Matt Murton, Eric Patterson and Sean Gallagher for Lilly make people happy?
Well...
… they are 28, 27, and 24, so hypothetically they’d be able to contribute in a couple of years when hopefully the mini-rebuilding / letting bad contracts expire / things are wonderful again commences.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions
I guess where I am going though
is that the return for Lilly isn’t likely to make a big difference in the future.
I’m basically neutral on trading Lilly but I don’t see the return as some key part of rebuilding like many seem to think. You could argue that the potential draft picks could have a higher upside (but more risk) than trading him for some mid-level prospects.
Lilly's return could make a difference in the future
if they keep him that means they do not acquire young players in return with which to rebuild.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jul 1, 2010 8:41 AM CDT up reply actions
Well, well
a nice win.
"I don't know what the big deal about Crackerjack is"
by theGraceyslumpbuster on Jun 30, 2010 7:43 AM CDT reply actions
I look at the Lilly situation from a different angle
I would be much happier for him to get on a contending team and have a chance to get past the first round in the post season than to watch him pitch lights out for a team that doesn’t seem to produce most nights he’s pitching.
Is it?
The guy is in his mid 30s. His window is closing. He’s nothing but a stand up guy. He deserves far better than what the 2010 Cubs have given him.
this is what the Cubs thought did with Maddux in 2006
… and all we got for it was Izturis. I like Ted, but the Cubs should be doing what’s best for the Cubs.
That's exactly it to me.
Yes they should do what’s best for the team, and I have little confidence in Hendry getting anything worth keeping after Lilly is dumped for salary. I surely don’t want Hendry trade him just to trade him.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions
If you give up Lilly I hope it's for a lot more than just something.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions
Maddux had an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.291
Lilly is sporting an ERA of 3.12 and WHIP of 1.062
It’s not really fair to compare the Maddux trade and a potential Lilly trade as if they’re the same. Lilly is performing much better and would definitely improve every potential team he is traded to.
It's not a great comparison, granted.
But it’s the only other time in recent memory when the Cubs traded one of their top starters to a contender in July.
The Cubs traded Terry Mulholland to the Giants at the
deadline in 1997 and to the Braves in 1999. I know he wasn’t very good for the Cubs in 1997, at least record wise, but that was more the lack of support from that truly awful team. In 1998, Mulholland was solid, had an ERA+ 151 but was used as a reliever by the Cubs. Then in 1999, he was starting again and had an unspectacular season for the Cubs and a strong finish for the Braves
1997 was a waiver deal, 1999 we sent him, along with Jose Hernandez to Atlanta for Micah Bowie, Rueben Quevedo, and Joey Nation. Bowie and Quevedo were hyped prospects, Quevedo if I’m not mistaken was part of a later trade involving David Weathers.
This was the last time I remember the Cubs trading a “top” starter at the deadline not named Greg Maddux.
"You've got to get your damn shirts rolled up and go out and kick somebody's ass. That's what you've got to do. Period." -- Lou Piniella
I think Quevedo's star had tanished a bit
His numbers for ATL’s AAA team in ’99: 6-5. 5.37 ERA with 112 hits allowed in 105 innings.
Looking at his minor league record, he had lots of strikeouts but also gave up a lot of hits.
Possible, but he had a very strong 1998 season
at A and A+ ball. He skipped AA all together in 1999. He was a major flop for the Cubs in 2000 going 3-10 with a 7.47 ERA. Then we traded him to Milwaukee in 2001 in a deal for David Weathers who was awful for the Cubs that summer.
"You've got to get your damn shirts rolled up and go out and kick somebody's ass. That's what you've got to do. Period." -- Lou Piniella
It's all about short term -vs- long term thought process
Does Hendry think we have a chance to win this year? If the Cubs feel they can make a run, I don’t see too many changes coming. If they go 2-8 over the next ten, say goodbye to Teddy (and anyone else they can dump.)
Get 'em on, Get 'em over, Get 'em in!
finally
a win over the pirates.we need to start winning some series here.as far as trading ted NO. i know the season is a wash but with big z maybe out for the season we still need pitching.
If Lilly goes, I doubt they keep Z in the pen
Z is only out by management choice, not any physical restriction
The Cubs shouldn't re-sign Lilly because they need to spend their money elsewhere.
The Cubs have six candidates for the rotation next year NOT counting Z and Lilly (Dempster, Wells, Silva, Gorzo, Cashner and Marshall). There’s also no guarantee that Z will be traded, and if he is, the Cubs will likely have to eat part of his salary.
I like Lilly as much as any Cubs fan does. But I understand that when you have limited resources, you use them to solve the most pressing needs first. Right now — especially with Lee’s impending departure — that need would be the offense.
The most I would do is offer Ted arbitration. Things change a little, though, if Z is traded without the Cubs paying most of his salary AND if Silva gets traded …
by elgato on Jun 30, 2010 7:52 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
What makes people think that a) Z will be traded, and b) Cubs will get significant salary relief?
I realize the world is full of idiots and some of them are even GMs, but I’d consider it a minor miracle if someone will take him off our hands at anything more than the ML minimum. Understood that Jimbo has pulled off minor miracles before, so it’s certainly possible but not realistic at all, IMO.
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
thank you
its one of the reasons i’ve avoided BCB of late… all the Zambrano talk is unrealistic in my opinion
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 8:42 AM CDT up reply actions
Moving Zambrano would involve taking something bad in return
Either bad contracts (Perez + Castillo), sending significant $ to an acquiring team, or some combination of the two. At the absolute most, an acquiring team would only be willing to commit $5M-$6M a year for Z rith now, and the Cubs owe him $36M after 2010. So somehow, the team will have to eat about $25M to move him – reduced for any bad contracts they take back.
I don’t think there any equivalent bad contracts out there in teams that could use Z, so the Cubs would have part with some real cash to move him (think Bradley in reverse). Any approval of a trade like that will have to be a Ricketts decision, because it is a major checkbook item that will affect the payroll budget for 2011 and 2012.
Now maybe the team finds another pony in the pile of horse poo like they did with Silva. But that will take some real luck.
I think we agree on this.
But if Hendry can somehow pull off such a deal …
These are many of the same comments that were made regarding [name redacted].
That worked out pretty well. Hendry has done fairly well trading. I think he’ll work something out.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I don't think it's impossible.
But trading Z without taking on a lot of the money is extremely unlikely, Al.
Oh, I agree with that.
But I do not think they would have to eat ALL the money.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
bradley
was 20 million, zambrano is 45 million
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by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions
its hard to find contracts
to match up for 45 million
silva was a contract dump from the other side
you’re going to need that for zambrano
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by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions
You don't need to find a matching contract.
You just pay a good part of Z’s salary, or the difference with a trade. I don’t see anyone taking on Z without doing that.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:11 AM CDT up reply actions
and
if we weren’t willing to eat 20 million on bradley, i dont see the team willing to eat 45 million
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 9:18 AM CDT up reply actions
No, but you might be able to eat $25m instead of $45m
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
so they werent willing to eat 20
but now they’ll eat 25
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by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 9:22 AM CDT up reply actions
I agree with Al on this one.
Mostly because with the departure of Lee and Lilly, the Cubs will have more money in the bank.
I was saying a good part or the difference in a trade.
That’s not eating 45 million.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:22 AM CDT up reply actions
That worked out pretty well...
… but expecting to catch lightning in a bottle twice like that is unrealistic. Silva was done, and has somehow come back and exceeded everybody’s expectations. It isn’t in cubbie nature to get that sort of luck twice in one season.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions
These are many of the same comments that were made regarding [name redacted].
That worked out pretty well. Hendry has done fairly well trading. I think he’ll work something out.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
His name is Milton Bradley...
How long are you going to keep up this [name redacted] stuff? You’re no TJ, you know… ;-)
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
by ballhawk on Jun 30, 2010 8:56 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
Dammit Ballhawk
Every time you do that I go thinking about Fight Club.
Although that might be a good place for him…
by Steven Schweickert on Jun 30, 2010 8:59 AM CDT up reply actions
Well yeah then you sure look at it.
I’d also add that the Cubs have a lot of prospective pitchers for next season, but I don’t think you can say at all that Wells, Gorzo, or Marshall can expect to be anywhere near what Lilly is capable of. Cashner is a question mark ….I do like having low cost options, but those should be reserved for the 4th and 5th Starters. If you trade Lilly for the future, I’d like to get something for the future better than a 5th starter.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 8:50 AM CDT up reply actions
Sean Marshall has done yeoman's work this year
But it would appear that the ship has sailed as far as the Cubs giving the kid a chance to start.
I wouldn’t be opposed to peddling Lilly this July, then re-signing him in the off-season, to a reasonable deal.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
The last 3 years of his career
Every spring, the “Marshall competes for starting job” comes anew, and he performs well, only to be shuttled to the bullpen.
The better Marshall performs in the bullpen role this season, the easier it is to leave him there and let Dempster, Gorzelanny, Silva, Zambrano, Cashner, Jay Jackson (and possibly Lilly) duke it out for the rotation. I just see Marshall being the proverbial “last man out”.
Though with a managerial/GM change, I could see them rethinking it.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
I agree.
For better or worse, Marshall seems well on his way to becoming one of the better left-handed set-up guys in the National League. At some point, he may decide to just pursue that career path instead of constantly trying and failing to make the rotation.
Certified Twitterfiend.
I agree with you both that Marshall seems unlikely to win a rotation spot in the future.
with us at least. But I would say I don’t see anything wrong with trying…what’s so horrible about that for him or the Cubs?
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:01 AM CDT up reply actions
I don't think it's wrong to try.
But when you have that left-handed security blanket in the bullpen (which is what he is right now), it’s tough to convince the manager, IMO, to remove it to let the guy become a starter. Especially if the jury is still out on Russell, Gaub, etc.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Bill Potter on Jun 30, 2010 10:05 AM CDT up reply actions
I agree.
Especially with our bullpen the last few years. I’m sure glad he is there and it does make you fear starting him when you have the need in the pen, plus him being worse at starting.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions
No on keeping Lilly.
I don’t care if he has a house here. It’s time to start selling players high. Lilly is only going to go downhill over the next few years and the Cubs won’t be contending.
Such short-sighted thinking
It’s doubtful the Cubs are going to be good next year. You have an aging core, dead salary and a core of young players that will be entering their second year. The “Ted Lilly is a nice guy let’s keep him” type of thinking is the type of short-sighted fan driven planning that in part has put the Cubs into the mess they are in. Lilly’s value is likely as high as it is going to be. Pitchers generally decline in their late 30s, hoping Lilly will be the exception would be a mistake. A savvy contender will give the Cubs decent prospects and then offer arbitration at the end of the season to in part recoup the cost. The worst thing that could happen is that the Cubs offer Lilly arbitration and he accepts. Let it ride until mid-July and if things stand the way they are now, get what you can for Lilly and give Gorz, Cashner, Jay Jackson and Thomas Diamond the rest of his starts to see what they can do.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 8:01 AM CDT via mobile reply actions 3 recs
the worst thing that could happen ...
is that the Cubs offer him a multiyear deal and he accepts, IMO.
what the Cubs do not need is another bad contract
trade him and get pieces for the rebuild
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 8:19 AM CDT up reply actions
through arbitration ...
the Cubs could sign him to a one-year deal. That’s not my first choice, but offering him a multiyear deal (at 35!)? Pass.
1 or 2 years
Either is fine with me.
I think Lilly has the chance to be one of the rare SPs who performs well into his 40s, along the lines of Moyer.
"They found a delivery in my flaw." - Dan Quisenberry
maybe
but the Cubs need an overhaul, and a pitcher on the wrong side of 35 usually does not fit into that plan.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions
well said
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 8:18 AM CDT up reply actions
There's one thing to address with this
Not so fast, Harry. While Ted will be 35 in January, he seems completely recovered from his offseason shoulder surgery and I don’t see any reason why the Cubs shouldn’t try to keep him.
What is the budget? No one here knows. That will be a primary factor. I get a sneaky feeling Ricketts will look to shed some monies and if so, Bulldog is gone.
Just win the next game...!
I'll be shocked if he doesn't shed salary, attendence has been down.
Bulldog is gone, along with a few others.
by salparadise23 on Jun 30, 2010 8:43 AM CDT up reply actions
Note, that I forgot to put in the recap.
Nice to have met BCB’er cooliogirl last night, and BCB’er Zeke sat with us — and also spent time with ballhawk holding up the building on the corner of Waveland & Kenmore during batting practice.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Are the $10 bleacher seats available at the ballpark, or only with the code online?
One of Lee Elia's 15%
by waiting4cubs on Jun 30, 2010 8:20 AM CDT up reply actions
As far as I know, the $10 tickets are now sold out.
Thank heavens. Enough of this. Don’t get me started.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
lol....glad you had fun with Zeke and Coolio.
And a great game to watch! I was glad they didn’t disappoint Coolio cause she was so excited to see it.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions
Sorry about bringing up a sensitive subject. I understand how the "sale" must have irritated a lot of people,
But I haven’t been in the bleachers for a long, long time and thought I might as well take advantage of the opportunity.
One of Lee Elia's 15%
by waiting4cubs on Jun 30, 2010 8:59 AM CDT up reply actions
God forbid someone who can't afford $60 tickets sit in the bleachers
You come off like a jerk on this subject Al
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 9:14 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Keep pretending this was an altruistic gift from the Cubs.
And the rest of us will keep hanging out here, in reality, where the team has the highest ticket prices in baseball, and had the largest % increase for this season of any team in the league in the midst of a recession.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions
If it was a money grab they wouldn't have gone from $50 to $10
You want to complain about high ticket prices?I have no problem with that. You want to complain about a later discount? That’s selfish.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 12:30 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
They went from $50 to $10...
… because otherwise they wouldn’t have sold those tickets, and they had a nice cute $10 tie-in with Santo’s anniversary.
I’m not saying this was a greedy thing for the cubs to do… i’m just saying it wasn’t the gift to cubs fans you seem to imply.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions
You think they wouldn't have sold at $25 or $20?
I bet they would have sold at least 1/2 as many at $25/pop. It was at least partially to make money, but I think it went beyond that.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 3:46 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Nice to meet the three of you too! It was a great game to be at,
we had a blast in the bleachers, I love Wrigley Field and I love the Cubs!
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jun 30, 2010 9:19 AM CDT up reply actions
Way to go, Ted.
And that is amazing(ly bad?) that he’s NEVER had a lead of more than two runs this season. Simply aaaaaamazing.
Also, the ‘Dial M for Murder’ bullpen combo of Marshall and Marmol were pretty wicked last night, too.
"What the hell, let's review it." - Dale Tallon
"They are!" - Pat Foley
"What a farce." - Dale Tallon
"dial m for murder" line is a classic.
You get a payday.
(This story was produced by BCPDnewservice. Our motto: If you don’t like this story then suck it!)
by BrewCrew'sPrinceofDarkness on Jun 30, 2010 9:49 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
It's because of my ridiculous amount of time spent
at the SBNation site, Second City Hockey…they/we have a nickname for just about everything and anything about the players, the line combinations, etc. It just spilled over to BCB.
"What the hell, let's review it." - Dale Tallon
"They are!" - Pat Foley
"What a farce." - Dale Tallon
Sure was nice to see Marmol bounce back.
Let’s hope he continues it tomorrow…I don’t see him going 4 appearances in a row.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:09 AM CDT up reply actions
On a different topic ...
as bad as this season has been, I think we sometimes forget to talk about the recovery of Soriano, who hit 2 HRs last night. The guy is on track to have a better year than he had in 2008 (in most categories) — which I don’t think anyone thought was likely four months ago.
He’ll almost certainly never be worth his contract. But he certainly isn’t an albatross like he was last year. What’s sad, of course, is that Soriano has bounced back while our two other big bats (Aramis and Lee) have fallen off cliffs.
Here's what's baffling to me.
The guy other than Soriano who has really bounced back this season is Mike Fontenot. He’s not putting up 2008-like numbers. But his OPS is way up from 2009.
I know everyone’s tired of lineup debates. But the fact that Fontenot is outhitting Ryan Theriot and that Fonenot hits left handed means that Lou is getting into Neifi territory with Theriot.
This is very true about fonty.
I don’t know why he got sent to the doghouse other than Lou is stubborn. I’m not saying he would do better playing everyday, but platooning him seems like an obvious thing to do. He might not do any better, but you have to play him a lot more to find out. His spot start today doesn’t mean anything. That’s just throwing him out there once in a blue moon to say you did try to keep him sharp.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions
People rip him for Rami
I just wanted to give credit where credit is due.
Fair
1 down (Sori), 2 to go (Rami, D-Lee). Though p/o Sori’s issue in 2009 I believe was season-long, injury-related.
Just win the next game...!
And Lee's and Ramirez could be age and injury related
at some point players just lose it regardless of the hitting coach.
Also, older established hitters don't necessarily take advice from hitting coaches
I believe we had a couple fanposts or fanshots a while back in which Aramis and Lee had basically decided they were going to get through their slumps without help from Rudy.
Hard to blame Rudy for that if it was the case.
Soriano is hitting breaking pitches better than I've ever seen from him
and he’s laying off the sliders in the dirt. You have to give Rudy some credit for that.
Soriano was clearly hurt last year.
He should have been on the DL in April — could have healed up and maybe helped the team.
In any case, he worked hard to get back to his previous level. He’ll never have the speed he used to, but he can still hit, and his OF defense looks better than it used to.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
"his OF defense looks better than it used to."
That’s not saying much.
Everyone's thought process with this team is that the playoffs start now. Tomorrow is going to be Day One of our run to October.
-- Marlon Byrd
He'll never get credit for doing well.
On one hand it’s sad, on the other hand he’s got $136M reasons to not feel sorry for himself.
"Pounding sand since 1982...."
Same here.
I’ve always had a soft spot in my heart for Sori. He loves to play and the fans.
"Pounding sand since 1982...."
$136 million reason, and THIS GUY.

٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:02 AM CDT up reply actions
He could sell Ice Cream from that thing
It’d be impossible for kids to not know he was coming
I'm inviting him to my next Bears tailgate.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions
He can come along to the Packers tailgate I hold every Sunday.
I didn't believe it last August, but it turns out that love survives.
Preparing to hike to the summit of Mount Washington in New Hampshire on Saturday, July 10....
State high point count: 2/50
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jun 30, 2010 12:19 PM CDT up reply actions
Hope he has a few more good outings and then trade him
This team will be rebuilding, so why would you keep a 35 y/o pitcher who probably has as more market value than any other veteran player you got?
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
re-signing lilly = doomed to repeat mistakes
signing a bunch of aging veterans to long-term deals is what got us in this place in the first place
such short-sighted thinking…
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 8:24 AM CDT reply actions 1 recs
but the aging vets have all been hitters.
Pitchers can do well a little longer than most hitters it seems, especially a crafty guy like Lilly.
Oh, c'mon.
On what are you basing this statement about pitcher longevity versus hitter longevity?
And the Cubs already value “scrappy.” Let’s not add “crafty” to the list.
I'm not really basing it off of any substancial evidence, just my viewing perspective
I would think that a hitter’s timing and eye, and all of that stuff that goes with age is not as relevant to a pitcher, because he is in control of the baseball.
Pitcher's ARMS go with age.
Not all of them retain enough arm strength/are smart enough to pitch well into their late 30s.
Ted doesn't throw all of that hard.
And just look at Ol’ Man Moyer, albeit, he is in a class of his own.
Everyone's thought process with this team is that the playoffs start now. Tomorrow is going to be Day One of our run to October.
-- Marlon Byrd
Lilly throws hard enough to require shoulder surgery in the offseason.
And Moyer’s a freak.
Hmm... maybe that's our new mantra for the off-season...
“We need to get more freak-handed”
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
This guy should get a multi-year deal.

Everyone's thought process with this team is that the playoffs start now. Tomorrow is going to be Day One of our run to October.
-- Marlon Byrd
Yuck.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:26 AM CDT up reply actions
O_O
I didn't believe it last August, but it turns out that love survives.
Preparing to hike to the summit of Mount Washington in New Hampshire on Saturday, July 10....
State high point count: 2/50
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jun 30, 2010 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions
moyer
posted an FPI below 4.75 TWICE in the last 8 years
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 8:47 AM CDT up reply actions
Really? I guess I didn't know that.
Everyone's thought process with this team is that the playoffs start now. Tomorrow is going to be Day One of our run to October.
-- Marlon Byrd
Teams gamble on older pitchers when they have a lot to fall back on
The Cubs only strength right now is starting pitching (and that’s quickly diminishing).
veteran free agent pitchers over age of 30
signed recently:
Derek Lowe
Jeff Suppan
Randy Wolf
Brad Penny
Doug Davis
AJ Burnett
Andy Pettitte
John Lackey
Kevin Millwood
Carl Pavano
Joel Pineiro
Freddy Garcia
Ben Sheets
Jason Marquis
Vicente Padilla
A whole lot more bad than good on that list…. and when things go bad with an older veteran on a bloated contract…. well i think we know how that ends up
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 8:41 AM CDT up reply actions
With the Cubs airing dirty laundry
through the media, crashing any trade value, so that when they do move the player, they get crap in return or have to eat the majority of the contract (Silva being the exception)?
I agree
the Cubs PR in this area has been awful but especially in the case of Bradley, I don’t think it impacted his value. When you cross of the teams that he already played for and didn’t want him back and the teams that had no need or interest, there wasn’t much left anyway.
How many
of those guys are over 35? Off the top of my head, I would say Lowe and Pettitte and that’s about it.
There’s a huge difference between 32 and 35 when you are talking about a starting pitcher.
Actually:
Lowe is 37, Suppan is 35, Davis will be 35 in Sept, Pettitte is 38, Milwood is 35, Garcia is 35. Pavano is 34, Wolf is turning 34 in Aug, Penny is 32, Burnett is 33, Lackey is 31, Piniero is 31, Sheets will be 32 this summer as will Marquis, and Padilla is 33.
Of all of these guys, only Lowe, Wolf, and Pettitte compare to Lilly as far as quality. Lowe and Wolf got multi-year deals and Pettitte signs expensive year-to-year deals.
"You've got to get your damn shirts rolled up and go out and kick somebody's ass. That's what you've got to do. Period." -- Lou Piniella
Exactly
only Lowe and Pettitte are over 35 and oddly enough, Pettitte is having probably the best year of his career so far, and Lowe has been solid.
Suppan got released. Penny is on the DL and Padilla just came off the DL. Marquis was horrific before going on the DL.
Burnett and Milwood have sucked, and Sheets has been mediocre. Doug Davis has been awful.
Pavano, Wolf, Lackey, Garcia and Piniero have been pretty good.
A pretty mixed bag, to be sure.
that was my point...
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 3:02 PM CDT up reply actions
exactly
clear the contracts on the aging and mostly non-performing “talent” as best you can and rebuild
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions
Why dump a veteran that can help the team as a teammate
as long as he’s still pitching well? And the way Lilly looks, he could be effective for quite some time. He’s a pitcher who uses his pitches and location more than arm strength. A guy like that can go several more years. He’s a plus for the team.
One of Lee Elia's 15%
People thought Mark Prior would last a long time too
And Kerry Wood. It only takes one injury. The whole point of selling high is that you mitigate those risks before they happen.
But why assume an injury is going to happen? You can say that about anyone.
You get nowhere.
One of Lee Elia's 15%
by waiting4cubs on Jun 30, 2010 8:39 AM CDT up reply actions
You should consider a career in the Insurance and Actuary industry
You’d change your tune quickly
Looking for a job. Got any leads?
One of Lee Elia's 15%
by waiting4cubs on Jun 30, 2010 8:45 AM CDT up reply actions
How it works
- Every player gets injured at some point
- Every day you go injury free increases the statistical probability that you will be injured tomorrow.
- For a pitcher, whose game depends on a specific sequence of precise bodily movements, an injury in any part of that moment completely ruins them
It is almost literally playing the lottery. If you win the 100k prize, do you dump all that money back into the lottery in hopes you get the 1m prize? Or do you say “Hey, I got my 100k, the chances I make it to 1m are not good, I’m walking with it.”
So instead of fielding a team based on talent and performance
you’re putting together a roster based on your best guess about injuries?
One of Lee Elia's 15%
by waiting4cubs on Jun 30, 2010 9:08 AM CDT up reply actions
On any given play, any given player can suffer an injury.
Combine that with the Law of Averages and you get Danwood’s post. Though there is something to be said for a player that doesn’t hit the DL except for offseason surgery.
by Steven Schweickert on Jun 30, 2010 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions
No
But in the case of not selling Lilly because he has “several more good years in him,” statistics show that isn’t necessarily true. Baseball is obviously all about gambling on players expected and projected performance. I do not expect Lilly to be pitching like this in two years, which means anything we can do to sell high at this moment would be a good decision.
Nor did they suffer just "one injury."
Particularly with Prior. Some of his injury problems started with the Marcus Giles collision and some of it had to do with the inverted-W stress in his motion (this is technically “speculation,” but it’s a pretty well-researched theory), some it had to do with the stress of his workload.
As for Wood, he was always a power-pitcher. Those guys tend to burn out (read “blow their arms out”) rather than fade away.
TRL isn’t a power-pitcher, so that decreases the likelihood of arm-splotion. TRL hasn’t had any collisions with Marcus Giles, so prior blunt-force trauma to the shoulder isn’t as big a factor. TRL has a longer track record, and while injuries can happen at any time (nothing is certain), the health question marks are fewer.
I hope they keep TRL. It’s not a bad move.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
No it isn't a matter of blowing out an arm
see Greg Maddux. It’s more like a steady erosion. What happens is that you lose a few miles an hour off your fastball and suddenly your fastball looks a lot like your changeup.
That is deadly for pitchers like Maddux and Lilly (and Moyer, to an extent) who give up a lot of home runs anyway. Then it becomes like batting practice.
Moyer, Lilly and Maddux have some value in their later years as 4th or 5th starters, as inning eaters, where you don’t care about the dingers so much. But, the problem that TRL poses is that he is currently pitching like a 1 or a 2 and will likely command 1 or 2 money in his next contract. Teams (including the Cubs) will be facing a decision as to whether that is a wise investment.
My response was to the point about injury (by Danwood).
But I agree with you that we shouldn’t pay 1 or 2 money for him. Although, it may seem like he’d command a pretty big payday.
Lilly will be 35 next year. Now, I’m not saying Lilly is Maddux (or Moyer even), but since others brought them up, let’s look at their number for the same ages in their careers.
Maddux (age 35-40): 3.69 ERA, 16 W per year, 1.175 WHIP, 216 IPs. (pitched 2 seasons beyond age of 40)
Moyer (age 35-40): 3.73 ERA, 16 W per year, 1.202 WHIP, 212 IPs (is currently in his 7th season pitching post-40 and is 2nd on the team in Ws this year behind only Halladay)
Hey, those numbers aren’t bad at all. Not 1 or 2 money seasons, but certainly not too shabby. And nobody is under the impression that TRL is an ace, so he won’t get Ace money. Is it unreasonable to think that Lilly could pitch to the same level as Jamie Moyer age 35-38 or so? I don’t think it’s that unreasonable.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
You have to give up something to get something
Cubs best chance to get a couple nice prospects is to trade Lilly. Dome isn’t going to bring you much of anything and the other tradeable pieces are C-level at best (Theriot, Baker, Fontenot etc). The only other players that might bring a decent return are Silva and Byrd. Both of them are owed money beyond this season, so trading them might be difficult. We need to rebuild. Adding 4-6 prospects by dealing Lilly, Silva and Byrd could juice our farm system quite a bit.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 8:52 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Agreed
As Cubs fans, we’re not used to being sellers. When a team sells they have to relinquish valuable commodities. Unfortunately, you don’t just get to rid yourself of headaches.
I look at selling as a two part process. There is the 1) cleaning house and 2) rebuilding.
Certain players fit in specific categories. Dealing Z is an example of cleaning house. He has negative value, meaning the Cubs will likely have to eat salary to make something work. At the same time, you hopefully save a little money and open a rotation spot for someone like Jay Jackson or Cashner.
Rebuilding is often a little more difficult to swallow. This occurs with deals like Lilly. You have to trade value to get value. Lilly has a team friendly, expiring contract and will be a Type A free agent. Teams will spend to acquire him. Although he currently has and would continue to be a valuable Cub in the future, he could bring more to the team in prospects. The Cubs can obtain cost controlled players while saving money for hitting, which they desperately need.
Although it will hard to see him go, I think dealing Lilly would be give more value to the team going forward. They have young players ready to fill in as starters. Hopefully, Hendry will get a quality return that will help the Cubs over the next 5 years.
why overpay for an aging pitcher (who had shoulder issues last year)
is the better question
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 10:35 AM CDT up reply actions
An even better question:
Why pay an aging pitcher on a rebuilding team when you have enough options to fill the rotation without him?
Just playing devil's advocate
there is value in having a veteran presence on a pitching staff as opposed to just having a staff of young pitchers only.
I know somebody (Doggie Stalker for sure if she wasn’t on vacation) will bring up Maddux, but he doesn’t travel with the team, and isn’t in the clubhouse every day.
But, there is definitely value in that sort of thing.
Dempster's not enough of a veteran for you?
"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root
Not that much value
Lilly, no doubt, would be a great guy to help mentor young pitchers (BTW Dempster will still be around), but the problem is the Cubs need to rebuild, and that starts with new younger players. Re-upping Lilly for a 2 or 3 years (and quite a bit of money) does not help rebuild the team, while trading him might.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jul 1, 2010 8:46 AM CDT up reply actions
Sure was Ace!
these days I just hope for an entertaining game and to win today. That was fun to watch. Good pitching and enough timely hitting. Seemed kind of ironic to see Fonzie hit two dingers after Lou thought there wouldn’t be any…although with the weather it was easy to see why he thought so.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 9:19 AM CDT up reply actions
The crowd at the park seemed pretty subdued last night.
Of course, it could also have been the gaggle of Trixies sitting in front of me who showed up in the 2nd inning, left in the 8th and barely noticed there was a game on, save for the two Sori home run balls that landed in the FL bleachers.
Two Chads and a Trixie even tried to start a “LeBron” chant and got a big, fat ‘nowhere’. Kids, you were at a baseball game. Duh.
We have met the enemy and they are us! ~ Walt Kelly, Pogo, 1971
I loved where we were...
I thought it really gave my daughter and her friend a feel for the bleachers. We caught a ball that was thrown up to us during BP and I knew it would be a good night. Of course there were the rowdy ones but very few and I loved how everyone cheered Sori when he came out to field. Also Byrd in the 9th. She kept asking why the fans did this or that. She loved the singing of the Anthem, TMOTTBG and Go Cubs Go. We also enjoyed the LF sucks RF sucks banter, hehe.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jun 30, 2010 9:49 AM CDT up reply actions
I knew I heard "LF/RF Sucks" when I was watching the game last night!
Thanks for confirming Coolio.
I'll go to my grave believing Armando Galarraga tossed the 21st perfect game in MLB history.
Ha! that was fun...
we were in the thick of that chanting too!
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jun 30, 2010 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions
Glad you had a good time last night
Somebody needs to be present for a win.
"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas
by RiskyBusiness on Jun 30, 2010 4:21 PM CDT up reply actions
And did Mr. Cooliogirl enjoy the bleacher experience?
I’m guessing nobody was in a hurry to spill beer on him… ;-)
Lou Brown: "My kinda team, Charlie, my kinda team..."
why yes he did
and no one spilled beer on him or us! There was an awful f-word swearing guy behind us that he nicely asked to “tone it down a bit” cuz of the girls, and the guy was more than accomodating and even left shortly after ;) We really all had a wonderful time, and that includes meeting my BCB buddies.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jun 30, 2010 10:09 AM CDT up reply actions
lol
Mr. Cooliogirl sounds amusing.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:32 AM CDT up reply actions
Glad you had a great time Coolio!
It was fun watching that game last night on TV and I couldn’t help but think you were having a good time there. Glad your daughter got a chance to get the bleachers.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:03 AM CDT up reply actions
I had a blast....it had been a long time since I last sat in the bleachers and forgot how much fun
and different an experience it is. I was a little worried cuz of the girls, but all was well and in the end they thought the bleachers were awesome too. I must admit they were a little taken aback at first but the bleachers seemed to grow on them after awhile.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jun 30, 2010 10:13 AM CDT up reply actions
The LeBron stuff wouldn't bother me.
The idea of him coming to Chicago has been far more exciting than this team.
"Pounding sand since 1982...."
lol...
There’s kids and sometimes adults like that in every park and game, sorry to hear they were right next to you. I get the trixie thing…cell phone out, looking to be seen, don’t really care about anything unless a run scores…is a “Chad” just the male equivalent?
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions
If Z goes you try
to keep Lilly. But something tells me Z might be glued to the Cubs for awhile . Not sure many GM’s are going to take a chance with his history.
He can still get into the rotation if you get rid of both
In fact, his odds increase significantly
I'd like to see Cashner in there now for Wells.
And put Wells to the pen. I hope he can pitch well again after his last outing and I am wrong though.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:08 AM CDT up reply actions
Leave Wells in the rotation and see if he can work out his issues
he is young and has shown signs of being a solid middle of the order starter. He could be part of a new rotation for next year and beyond. As for Cashner as a starter, they think about moving him to the rotation if they unload Z, Lilly or Silva.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 10:40 AM CDT up reply actions
Those signs you speak of are one decent start after a number of bad ones.
I guess I’d say I’m kind of non plussed about this. Cashner for him would be seeing what your future holds like keeping Wells in there. With this season down the tubes I do see the value in trying one of them, and yes as you said with another spot open then both or Gorzy should be in there. I can see your argument well here.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions
Wells is young, let him see if he can right the ship
it is not as if keeping him in the rotation is negatively affecting their playoff chances. The Cubs need to find out if he is a big league pitcher or not.
As for Cashner in the rotation, sure, plug him when an opening pops up. I suspect one of the starters will be traded (Lilly seems the likely candidate as he probably has the most value, but Gorzo and Silva are possibilities, too), so move him in when that happens.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jul 1, 2010 8:50 AM CDT up reply actions
why is it an either or deal?
trade both if you can and get pieces to rebuild with
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jun 30, 2010 10:36 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm going to try to take this Lilly thing from a different angle:
Ted owns a home in Chicago, only a few blocks from Wrigley Field. He clearly likes it here. He and Ryan Dempster are close friends.
This is a good reason why the Chicago Cubs haven’t been contenders—because teams like the NYY/BOS make business decisions, not personal personnel ones. We can’t keep Lee, or Lilly, or whomever because it’s makes their family move, we need to make decisions based on what gets us victories.
Dan
PS – Oh, and for the record, I don’t really agree with this perspective, I’m more likened to the “Treat your employees right” motto. But at this point, I’ll take whatever gets us victories.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
I understand that.
I wanted to know how on earth you reached that conclusion.
Trading Lilly would be the personal decision because he deserves to have a chance at a ring. From the business standpoint, if you can’t get anything better in a trade than what you can from the draft picks, then you keep him. This would likely be a disservice to Lilly’s baseball career, but a plus for his personal life.
You don't get draft picks if you keep him.
You can only get draft picks if you offer him arbitration and he declines.
The Cubs haven't necessarily operated this way recently
If they did, Kerry Wood would still be in the bullpen.
But in general, I agree – sentiment needs to be largely removed from any negotiation.
I love to play baseball. I'm a baseball player. I've always been a baseball player. I'm still a baseball player. That's who I am. - Ryne Sandberg
by Bill Potter on Jun 30, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions
And DeRosa would be playing 2B.
One of Lee Elia's 15%
by waiting4cubs on Jun 30, 2010 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions
YAY!
j/k
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jun 30, 2010 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions
And all would be right with the world.
/sarcasm
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions
The Sox dumped Nomar for crying out loud and ended up winning the WS without him
Ted is a nice pitcher but come on.
I just don't see the point in keeping him.
This isn’t basketball; one player isn’t going to make or break our season. If you believe 2010 and 2011 aren’t looking too positive (and I do), what’s the hurt in trading for some prospects?
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Lilly is one of the few guys we have...
… that could feasibly be used to make the team better, long run. Hopefully the team has the sense to make it happen.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions
Long run? The 2013 Ted Lilly is going to make the team better?
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jun 30, 2010 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions
I was agreeing with Dan.
Lilly’s biggest contribution to the team being better in the long run will be in the form of whatever we get in return when he’s traded.
٩(͡๏̯͡๏)۶ Dum spiro spero... | Twitter: @andrewjstone.
by AndrewJStone on Jun 30, 2010 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions
I see that now, I misread your comment. -10 BCB points for me.
As I've told you before, I never repeat myself.
by santoswoodenlegs on Jun 30, 2010 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions
exactly
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jul 1, 2010 8:51 AM CDT up reply actions
Very well said.
What have they got to lose?
I didn't believe it last August, but it turns out that love survives.
Preparing to hike to the summit of Mount Washington in New Hampshire on Saturday, July 10....
State high point count: 2/50
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jun 30, 2010 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions
Today's lineup, crappy at best. Fukudome better get it going today
rf fuke, 2b font, cf byrd, 1b lee, 3b ramy, lf sori, c hill, ss castro, p gorzelanny
"Any player who gets the opportunity to play at Wrigley should welcome it"
Nice to see Fonty coming out of the dark basement.
Let’s hope he doesn’t shrivel in the sunlight.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:14 AM CDT up reply actions
So Lou figures that ...
either Kosuke or Theriot have to play, apparently to lead off. What a joke.
Yeah
and unless Soto has an injury I don’t know about, starting Hill again is just Lou being Lou. I don’t see a reason to sit Colvin or Soto.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:24 AM CDT up reply actions
Soto didn't play last night.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions
Lou is Mr. "Hot Hand" lately with Koyie
if he gets a hit, he plays him again the next day.
"Any player who gets the opportunity to play at Wrigley should welcome it"
I say no to keeping Lilly
If we didn’t have so many large contracts with aging players, I wouldn’t have a problem with it.
RIP Ronnie James Dio (July 10, 1942 - May 16, 2010).
It's funny, cause I surely see your logic here and it does make sense.
But actually the large, long term contracts are part of the reason I would like to see him on the team for a couple more years. It would stink to have those contracts on the books with them underperforming …and no Ted Lillys out there earning their pay.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:27 AM CDT up reply actions
If the team loses 90 games a year, does it really who is getting the majority of your salary?
I would argue it’s better to have the future of your team on the field. If I’m going to lose, I want to at least get the most out of each loss I can.
That's a strategy teams have used successfully before.
Play the rookies and trade the veterans. Might not work in this big market well, however.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:38 AM CDT up reply actions
It does if you expect Lilly to be bad, but I don't.
Certainly always possible, but he’s been pretty reliable.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:35 AM CDT up reply actions
Sure hasn't mattered if Lilly has been good or not this year
And this offense is most likely not turning around for next year. So what advantage is Lilly giving us?
Good pitching. Having a guy on there that can be a 2nd man in the rotation.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions
Lilly was a few outs away from a no hitter and was still in line to get a no decision
This team’s problems offensive problems far overshadow any advantage Lilly brings to the table.
and that's where the money ...
what little of it there is, should be spent in the offseason.
You're beating a dead horse here Danwood.
You keep saying the same thing. I see your argument well, and it does make sense, could be the thing to do. I just don’t agree right now. I sure would be looking at any trades or contracts offered.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:47 AM CDT up reply actions
I guess it boils down to your viewpoint of how quickly the problems can be fixed
I don’t think they can be fixed soon, hence, sell now. Not to mention that we will most likely have a new manager next year, and who knows what changes that’ll bring.
Well, at the risk of keeping this going,
I would say there is also the argument of keeping Lilly to keep fans in the seats. That isn’t a strategy I want (assuming mgmt would come out and say their strategy is rebuidling) but with a major market team, it’s entirely possible that mgmt will have a higher desire to keep him from it.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions
For the record:
I cannot remember a time tickets were this “obtainable” in the last decade or so. I’m sure they were in the 80s and early 90s, but not in the last 10-15 years.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Yep Chicago is the third largest city and the fans here
are not going to be happy overall I doubt with an announced rebuilding strategy. If they do it next year, I bet they will attempt to cover it up with their marketing strategy…Like continuing the “it’s a Way of life” campaign they have going.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions
lol...sure could be.
I sure think the 2010 Cubs are not the “way of life” I want to have. And that’s leaving the blue W out of it…which it should be since the team has such a hard time finding it.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 11:31 AM CDT up reply actions
I hate to say it, but a veteran like Lilly deserves better than what he's getting
He won’t get that with the Cubs and this team has been out of contention for a long time now. It would be a good idea to sell high on him and get what we can.
RIP Ronnie James Dio (July 10, 1942 - May 16, 2010).
there's an assumption
in there that ted lilly will continue to earn his pay
at his age that’s a pretty big risk
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 3:04 PM CDT up reply actions
good point
re-signing Lilly makes very little sense, whereas moving him makes a lot of sense
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Jul 1, 2010 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions
Lilly
Most of the people seem to have this right. Te
fact that signing Lilly to a 4yr deal in ‘07 was a good idea in no way means that extending him now is a good idea. Furthermore, arb is a risk we can’t afford, given our relative depth I’m SP and our need for offensive upgrades if there is any money to be spent. Fans/Hendry have to get out of this mindset of paying for past performance and using more predictive stats when doling out FA deals and making arb determinations.
by Mmurton on Jun 30, 2010 10:33 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
No to Ted Lilly beyond this year...
unless he accepts the hypothetical arbitration we offer him after this season, assuming we don’t trade him before the deadline. I like Ted Lilly and he’s been a great competitor and pitcher for us for 4 years. He will most likely command more than a one or two year deal, likely will get 3-4 at nearly what he is making now. I’d expect him to sign for slightly above what Randy Wolf got last offseason, which means the Cubs should not resign him.
"You've got to get your damn shirts rolled up and go out and kick somebody's ass. That's what you've got to do. Period." -- Lou Piniella
Well said
Lilly has been one of the most valuable pitchers the Cubs have had in the last 3+ seasons, but (going forward) he’ll have more value via trade or free agent compensation.
by Harry Pavlidis on Jun 30, 2010 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions
Sadly, I feel the same way.
Lilly was signed to be part of a core of players who would compete under Lou Piniella. That core now appears to have deteriorated and needs rebuilding. Plus, a contender will likely give up some good players for Ted.
Certified Twitterfiend.
I guess we have different definitions of good
Future spare parts, yes. I don’t see Lilly bringing a future impact player (especially hitter) which is what the Cubs need badly.
I think the future impact players are already in the Cubs system.
Lilly would, I agree, likely bring future spare parts – but potentially good ones. Then again, if the Cubs offer him arbitration and he declines, he could wind up bringing future difference makers after all.
Contributing Editor SB Nation Chicago. Please follow us on Twitter!
I honestly don't see any team out there
offering Lilly a 3-4 year deal.
2 is the best he’d get at his age, especially with the trend of ignoring older vets with relatively high price tags (washburn, dye, etc)
I look at Derek Lowe and Randy Wolf as comps to Lilly,
both got longer than 2 year deals. Lilly has been much more consistent than Wolf and definitely is a better pitcher than Washburn. Lilly will be 35 going into next season. A 3 to 4 year deal is very possible for him and I think he’ll get it. Put a pitcher like him in a big ball park, like Dodger Stadium or Citi Field and he could be very effective.
"You've got to get your damn shirts rolled up and go out and kick somebody's ass. That's what you've got to do. Period." -- Lou Piniella
And Wolf has been horrible this year
and Atlanta was already trying to trade Lowe during the offseason.
So?
That doesn’t take away the fact that they both received multi-year deals? Lilly has been a better pitcher throughout his career than Wolf and is having a better season than both. He will get more than a 2 year deal.
"You've got to get your damn shirts rolled up and go out and kick somebody's ass. That's what you've got to do. Period." -- Lou Piniella
all we need is one
team willing to offer a 2 year deal
Pineiro got 2 last year, Wolf got 3
Lilly’s comparable if not better than both of those guys
follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jun 30, 2010 3:05 PM CDT up reply actions
Am I crazy... I thought Cubs.com last night listed Wells pitching today.
maybe I was just seeing things.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jun 30, 2010 11:17 AM CDT reply actions
Keep Lilly for NOW unless you are really blown away by an offer
Lilly is not going to accept arb unless it is a step to a multi-year contract. If he goes FA , he is likely to sign with a contending team ( Mets, Yankees, Red Sox etc) this means you would get a first round pick as compensation ( If he signs with a bad team you get a sandwich pick as teams on top to pick don’t give up their first round pick). I really don’t see anyone offering a everyday 1B or relief pitcher for Lilly. Keeping him through the season allows the Cubs to assess their options after the season. For those of you who want to trade him now, what/who would you expect in return better than first round draft pick?
"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
by Doggie Stalker on Jun 30, 2010 12:11 PM CDT reply actions
The value of the first round pick is included in his trade value
It’s not some big secret that a team that offers Lilly Arb gets a pick(s). Teams know this and will account for it in their offers to the Cubs. The main advantage of a trade is that you can get prospects that are closer to MLB and more of a known quantity than what you would get in the draft. Nobody here is saying you give away Lilly, but Hendry should be dangling him an looking for an appropriate return.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 12:34 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Well explained
stock piling draft picks is a great strategy for a team that thinks it is going to be contending in the short term. Typically you don’t project even a high draft pick to be a contributor at the big league level for at least 3 years. So, unless the Cubs think they are in good shape for next year and the year after, they should be focused on players who are close to being ready to contribute.
You would have to give me an idea of who you have in mind
to make it worth it. I believe Lilly has a limited NTC and it is possible he may want an extension to wave it. Basically I don’t see the likely teams ( Mets, Yankees, Phillies) giving up a close to ready 1b 2b etc for two months of Lilly.
"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
by Doggie Stalker on Jun 30, 2010 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions
That's asking a bit much
I am not going to take the time to identify players in another system that are worth acquiring. It’s far too speculative and not worth the effort. It also doesn’t have to be a 1B or 2B to make it a good idea. The Cubs need to start stockpiling talent everywhere.
by JSB on Jun 30, 2010 6:42 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
"Oh, and Lou? It's going to be coolish and the wind is going to be blowing in again. Don't expect anyone to go up there and hit home runs."
once again Al proves he knows Best!
Ramlee Zamfukusoridero

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