Should Joe Girardi Be The Cubs' Next Manager?
OK, so this is my own piece -- I wanted to write a longer form piece for SB Nation Chicago about this topic.
So have at it. My basic point is that if it's not Girardi (and I doubt he's available), it should be Ryne Sandberg. Time to bring this job back into the Cubs family. Hope you will take the time to read the whole piece.
almost 2 years ago
Al Yellon
156 comments
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Comments
Some people don't like to pay 2 guys to do the same job
The Ricketts may be like this. Or, they may not want to change two senior management positions at the same time.
"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas
by RiskyBusiness on Jul 14, 2010 7:46 PM CDT up reply actions
I don't really get this
You may be right, but why do they care about paying two guys to do the same job when they’re gonna probably have to send cash to get rid of someone like Fukudome or Z or Lee.
It may not be the money
Could be more about building the organization yet maintaining continuity. The Ricketts have not more very fast on the baseball side of the business. They just hired a stat guy before the Africa trip. Maybe they want to experience a full off-season and season of baseball before making management changes.
"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas
by RiskyBusiness on Jul 15, 2010 12:10 AM CDT up reply actions
You better hope not!!!
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
Couldn't agree more!!!!
Everyone is so infautated with who they can bring in as manager, when the main achilles heel with the Cubs has been above the manager.
Folks, a manager does not exist that will win if the baseball organization is not making good decisions. If that isn’t fixed, it will be more of the same – managers will come here with good track records and then everyone says they suck and need to go.
By the way, how is Dusty Baker doing with the Reds this year?
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
i dont think the reds are in 1st because of dustys managing and tooth pick biting abilities
by jesus christos on Jul 14, 2010 6:27 PM CDT up reply actions
Not my point...
…my point was if you agree with 90% of the people on this board, Dusty couldn’t manager a little league team and he ruins every pitcher he sees. The dude didn’t win as many games as he has by being what people have described him on this board.
I’m not saying Dusty is a great manager, but he is like a lot of other guys – he can win with the right mix of players and he can’t if he doesn’t have the right mix.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
and Girardi did a great jobs with a small payroll in Fla.
Girardi got the most out of young talent. that is the kind of manager the Cubs will need next.
Girardi will now be very expensive. I vote to go with the homegrown and lower cost Ryno. Save the $$ for the guys on the field.
Carlos Silva lemonade: made from freshly squeezed Milton Bradley lemons. -- the Jim Hendry kook book.
That's peachy...
…but it won’t mean squat if the decision making from above the manager isn’t changed.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
as much as I have had my problems with Hendry,
the reality is that the Cubs have good talent and Lou isn’t delivering a winner.
The GM job is tough. Though I agree it is a great idea to upgrade the GM, I think the guy who deals with the players day-to-day has more of an impact on getting the most out of an imperfect team.
In other words, every team is flawed. No GM is perfect. So let’s get the most out of the 25 man roster.
Carlos Silva lemonade: made from freshly squeezed Milton Bradley lemons. -- the Jim Hendry kook book.
Well said
It’s kind of like the lead off hitter discussion. Everyone has their own idea of who would be the best fit, but in the end, most everyone can agree that this team simply has no leadoff hitter, and hasn’t since 2003. Does that absolve Lou of slotting Theriot up there every day? Of course not. But when all the options suck regardless, then it looks like the guy assembling the roster is the problem.
That begs the question, though...
… how much input does Hendry give his “big-name” manager in constructing the roster?
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I don't think anyone knows the question to that.
Regardless of the answer, it doesn’t speak well of Jim Hendry.
Bottom line...
…if Hendry is simply allowing his managers to do this, why is he the GM?
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
How about another Joe?
What about Joe Torre? So many years, so many WS wins, with so many different types of players and such adverse conditions that NYC/Steinbrenner brought… score me with Torre.
Best Cubs Moment: [reserved for whatever I do on the night they win the World Series]
Worst Cubs Moment: Attended Game 1 of the 2008 NLDS on October 1, 2008 - day before my birthday - heard a fan scream "It's really happening!" when DeRo blasted the 2 run shot, only to hear the same fan say a few innings later,"I'm leaving - I'd rather win in a bar than lose inside."
Torre will be 70 on Sunday.
If he doesn’t manage the Dodgers next year, he’ll likely retire. No way he gets into fixing this mess at that age.
And enough of old guy, old school managers. Girardi is 46 and Sandberg 51. Time for a younger generation.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
agreed
Especially if we’re gonna play all, or most, of all the youngsters coming through the system. Ryno’s managed all of them and they all seem to like/respect him.
by 300LevelBleacherBum on Jul 14, 2010 6:23 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Tyler Colvin, in particular, raved about Sandberg as his manager last year in Double-A.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
i thought i heard that
And Ryno more than likely would have had colvin in there against lefties earlier.
by 300LevelBleacherBum on Jul 15, 2010 1:34 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
nice article about Sandberg this
Past Sunday in the Des Moines register.
Players would run through walls for this guy. He understands and embraces the past. He is a no brainer to me.
by cozmotaylor123 on Jul 14, 2010 7:18 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Where should we post comments? I posted this under the actual piece:
Yes and yes.
Until recently I would have preferred a new manager with big league experience. But Sandberg’s dues-paying education in the minors has convinced me that he’s ready.
Totally agree with you that someone who has lived the Cubs experience should take over. Either guy. I won’t complain. Honest.
One of Lee Elia's 15%
Either place or both.
Wanted to get some discussion going here, but also wanted to post the article there.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Choosing Ryne or Joe
because they are “part of the Cubs family” is a silly reason to choose them, unless it’s just to make the team more marketable to fans and thus increase the payroll.
Otherwise I vote we choose the best GM money can buy, and let them decide who is the best fit.
DEJESUS!!!
It's not the ONLY reason to choose them.
Obviously, you want a qualified manager. The reason to bring the job back to the family isn’t marketing — it’s to get someone there who understands the territory, understands what it means to be a Cub and part of this city.
Lou and Dusty didn’t and don’t, and I think that hurt them.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Al...
…Lou and Dusty not having a Cub’s background had absolutely zero to do with them not winning at the end of their tenures!
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
Perhaps not.
But I do think an understanding of the culture of being a Cub and being a Cubs fan, would make it easier for either Girardi or Sandberg coming in.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Tell you what, Al
If you held a gun to my head, I’d pick Girardi.
But I’m not sure I want anybody who understands Cubs culture in that job. In fact, I want someone who DOESN’T understand it.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:32 PM CDT up reply actions
We've already had two of those for the last eight years.
How’d that work out?
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Well, it had its moments. But never the result we all wanted.
I’m with you, though, Al. I was a skeptic at first, but I’m on the Ryno bandwagon.
"Don't complain to me about the stormy weather, boys. Just bring the ship into port." --Steve Stone, September 2004
True, BUT
… having an understanding of the Cubs and Cubs culture could help someone coming in. Both Lou and Dusty said they had no idea of what it was really like until they got here, and even then they were constantly surprised.
Both Girardi and Sandberg would understand what it would be like before they set foot in the manager’s office.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I'm not saying you're wrong
But it seems secondary to me. I get that there’s a lot of hand wringing about the current manager and discussion about who the Cubs need to hire to replace him, but it all seems irrelevant if Jim Hendry is still the GM. I guess I just don’t see why there’s such a focus on the manager, good or bad.
Secondary, yes.
No doubt, the Cubs should hire the most qualified manager. All things being equal, though, this would be a help to anyone taking this job.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
You bet...
…and good managers are good managers wherever they manage because the baseball doesn’t change. Also, and most importantly, no manager will sustain any winning with a weak baseball decision maker above him. This last fact has been proven over and over again in baseball history.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
Here is my take....
Girardi would be a nice manager. He knows and understands what the Cubs have been going through. Girardi managed a championship team. He knows what it takes to get there. He should be hired if he leaves the Yanks.
Some people are saying they don’t want Ryno as a manager because they say he has no experience managing a big league club. My view is, everyone has to start somewhere. Why not have Ryno start his managing career has a Cub? He has managed successful teams in the Cubs minor leagues. Besides the Cubs are about to rid of these contracts and a lot of players may be brought up that have played for Ryno. Ryno also understands what makes those players tick. What I’m saying is Girardi, if available, then Ryno. Heck, get both if you can.
"A dream you dream alone is only a dream. A dream you dream together is reality." John Lennon
Girardi had no experience with the marlins and look what he did in 1 year
then the yankees hired him. to me, the lack of experience argument holds no water.
The 2010 Randy Hundley Fantasy Camp ruled!!!!
Honestly,
I think anyone could have managed last year’s Yankees to a World Series Championship. That team was completely loaded with superstars
Viva la Cubs Révolution!!!
And why would he leave a team packed with superstars
to manage a pack of misfits and malcontents? For the challenge? Cause he’s a Cubs loyalist? I just don’t see it even if Ricketts makes him an offer he can’t refuse.
by JFCubFan on Jul 14, 2010 8:13 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
not that I think every manager thinks this way, but
the manager who takes our Cubs all the way will be the Obi Wan Kenobi of the MLB and then some. He will be revered forever in sports history. I’m serious.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jul 14, 2010 8:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Like Lebron, Girardi has the option of crafting his own legacy
Joe will decide how he wants to be remembered, and will take risks accordingly. In the end, to each his own.
Tell that to Larry Brown
When he coached the US Men’s Basketball Team in the 2004 Summer Olympics.
Carmelo Anthony, Lebron James, Tim Duncan, Allen Iverson, etc… They had to settle for BRONZE!
Perhaps Phil Jackson coaches that team instead, and wins gold.
"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)
Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)
I don't know about that
I think the only player who game a damn on that team was, surprisingly, Iverson.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:56 PM CDT up reply actions
I am impressed :)
My first fanpost was actually moved to the front page and analyzed by Al!
I wrote about it because it's an issue people are talking about.
I think that the mass media meme “Girardi interested in managing the Cubs” is disingenuous and misleading. He’s in the middle of a season managing another team to a likely playoff berth. There’s no way he’s going to say anything about another team’s job right then.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I appreciate it...
I was just being silly, but I really appreciate the analysis and the great article that you wrote. It is very misleading and I was shocked when PTI (media) spoke about it.
I remember that Kile day quite distinctly.
I believe he was in the Westin right off Michigan Avenue, IIRC. Unfortunate; he was a great guy.
The Girardi situation is either extremely complex or quite simple.
On one hand, he already has a championship under his belt in New York, the best team, the biggest bankroll, and respect. There’s simply no reason for him to leave.
On the other hand, of all possible candidates, whomever they may be, Girardi is one that probably believes heavily in tradition, loyalty, and "doing what’s right" for a team and most importantly, its fans. Think of him as the anti-LeBron James’ The Decision.
The closest I can come to making a parallel in this situation? Roy Williams, the coach of UNC. After 2003 and 15 seasons that included a handful of runner-ups, Final Fours, Elight 8s, etc., Roy left KU for his alma mater, UNC, where he has since won two championships. Roy was clearly at a winning program: He had every award possible (sans a championship) at KU, a storied program, etc. But in the end the connection to his home school was too strong. Perhaps this is the case with Joe.
Dan
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
I'm curious
Why is Girardi more wedded to tradition and loyalty than Sandberg? I feel like those are words that describe both of them incredibly well…
Believe or Leave ~Cubswynn 9/9/2008
I said nothing of Sandberg's loyalty.
I was speaking only of Joe Girardi.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Really?
Because this is a comparative statement:
On the other hand, of all possible candidates, whomever they may be, Girardi is one that probably believes heavily in tradition, loyalty, and “doing what’s right” for a team and most importantly, its fans. Think of him as the anti-LeBron James’ The Decision.
Whether you meant it or not, it sounds like you are saying Girardi is the ONLY candidate who has those qualities, and since the only other candidate named is Sandberg, I assume it’s comparative to him.
Believe or Leave ~Cubswynn 9/9/2008
On the other hand, of all possible candidates, whomever they may be, Girardi is one that probably believes heavily in tradition, loyalty, and "doing what’s right" for a team and most importantly, its fans.
You don’t know this — and Ryne Sandberg may feel precisely the same way.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Dan was the one who said that
about Girardi. slc was just repeating what Dan said. In her post above this one she is saying she disagrees with him.
A lovely story:
One day, long, long ago, there lived a woman who didn't whine, nag or bitch. That would be me....
But that was a long time ago and it was just that one day.
The end
This is what's annoying and stupid about the internet.
I didn’t say “Girardi is the only one that probably believes heavily in tradition”, I said “one that”. There is no comparison here, you’re wrong, there’s not greater than, less than, more, less, or any other comparables you’d like to insert. You’re the one inferring my statement differently than I posted it. And as you said, that’s an assumption.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Either will be fine I believe....That said, As much as I admire Sandberg the thought of getting Girardi is facinating!
Many of the things we like in Sandberg, Girardi also brings to the table. Plus he has some experience and also has won recently in a big market area where the pressure is always high. He has played for the Cubs and even played when they were in the playoffs, so he has seen Chicago all worked up as well.
If Sandberg would take a spot as bench coach that would be cool. But he may not want that, and I would not be surprised to see him leave.
In all honesty, what is there to like so much about Sandberg?
"It was a perfect situation for the Brewers," Hill said. "They had a guy up there at the plate [in Counsell] who takes a lot of pride in what he does and he practices those situations, so when it does come up, he gets the bunt down to the right side of the field. They have the perfect guy on first base [in Gomez], who is one of the fastest guys in the league, and they had one of the worst fundamental teams on the field, so it was a perfect situation for them."
by louslovechild on Jul 14, 2010 7:38 PM CDT up reply actions
Played the game right
From his HOF Speech:
The reason I am here, they tell me, is that I played the game a certain way, that I played the game the way it was supposed to be played. I don’t know about that, but I do know this: I had too much respect for the game to play it any other way, and if there was there was a single reason I am here today, it is because of one word, respect. I love to play baseball. I’m a baseball player. I’ve always been a baseball player. I’m still a baseball player. That’s who I am.
I’m sure that Girardi would same similar things if he was inducted into the HOF. But Sandberg brings one thing to the table in 2010 that Girardi does not: the chance to hire him. I am very doubtful that he would leave the New York Yankees. Unless things go bad in NY – they lose the love for Joe, or vice versa, – I don’t see Joe leaving NYC anytime soon.
"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas
by RiskyBusiness on Jul 14, 2010 7:56 PM CDT up reply actions 2 recs
So one speech makes him God?
Sorry, nice speech, but so what?
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:34 PM CDT up reply actions
I never proclaimed him to be a God
I just answered the question.
If Sandberg’s doing the job well in the minors, I think he should be able to interview for the job.
The biggest negative to Sandberg is that he was a HOF caliber player. And there is a theory that HOF-ers make bad coaches/managers because they don’t understand why lesser players make mistakes.
All things being equal, I’d like the next manager to understand and be able to handle the pressure of this specific job. Both Baker and Piniella look like they aged on the job and it appeared to take it’s toll by the end of their stint. They looked worn out and lost, albeit in losing seasons.
"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas
by RiskyBusiness on Jul 15, 2010 12:35 AM CDT up reply actions
Maybe that says more about the job
and its near-impossibility than it says about Baker and Piniella.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 15, 2010 12:53 AM CDT up reply actions
Could also...
…tell you something about the decision making above the manager as well.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
OT- AAA All Star Game is on MLB Network
Diamond started this for the PCL team and worked a scoreless first inning.
Has there ever been a Hall of Famer...
who managed the team he was a Hall of Famer for? I’m sure there probably was, but, off the top of my head I can’t think of one. The reason I ask is, what if this Hall of Fame player turned coach flops…can he be fired by the team whose hat he wears in Cooperstown?
Ron Santo - 8,143 ABs, .277 BA; 342 HR; 1331 RBI = NO Hall of Fame?
Brooks Robinson - 10,654 ABs, .267 BA; 268 HR; 1357 RBI = Hall of Fame.
Any more questions ?
Yogi Berra is one...forgot about him.
Ron Santo - 8,143 ABs, .277 BA; 342 HR; 1331 RBI = NO Hall of Fame?
Brooks Robinson - 10,654 ABs, .267 BA; 268 HR; 1357 RBI = Hall of Fame.
Any more questions ?
I looked up all the managers who are HoFers.
There really is no precedent for what Sandberg is trying to do. Most of the HoF managers managed teams long before they got into the Hall. Berra is about the only comp, and he wasn’t in the Hall when he first managed the Yankees (he was by the time he returned in 1984).
The closest comp is probably Red Schoendienst, a popular former Cardinal who managed the Cards to two pennants. But he didn’t get into the Hall until after his 1965-76 tenure as manager (he had two short interim stints later, and got into the HoF by Veteran’s Committee).
So if Sandberg gets the job, he’s in uncharted waters. I would suspect that his popularity would probably give him a much longer honeymoon period than most new managers get.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
I am looking for zero honeymoon period
He just comes off as very “oh golly gee”. Why is he the heir apparent anyways? Has he worked his way through the minors? Yes, but so has Bobby Scales, and I want no part of him either. Just because he worked hard, did his due diligence, and happened to be a Hall of Fame second baseman, doesn’t mean that he deserves anything, especially the seat next to Trammell.
"It was a perfect situation for the Brewers," Hill said. "They had a guy up there at the plate [in Counsell] who takes a lot of pride in what he does and he practices those situations, so when it does come up, he gets the bunt down to the right side of the field. They have the perfect guy on first base [in Gomez], who is one of the fastest guys in the league, and they had one of the worst fundamental teams on the field, so it was a perfect situation for them."
by louslovechild on Jul 14, 2010 7:37 PM CDT up reply actions
"He just comes off as very "oh golly gee"."
LOL, By all reports that certainly isn’t how he has managed in the minors. Plenty of old style Piniella fire coming out of a seemingly shy, humble guy.
My take is that being a manager is all about getting MORE out of your players.
Lou has the third highest payroll in MLB and his last two years have shown a man with less and less ability to take the given talent to a higher level. Why do we have such a pathetic record in one run games? Those are the games that tell you a lot about your manager and his ability to inspire.
I have been a fan of Ryno stepping up after Lou (and why not have Greg Maddux as the pitching coach (Jessica shaking her head yes), since he is also on the Cubs payroll?). Why not “release” Lou NOW, have Trammell step in as Interim Manager and have Ryno come up from Iowa and replace Trammell as the bench coach?
In this low risk way, Ryno gets to learn from Trammell and the Ricketts get a feel for his ability to work with the major league team—see how the veterans relate to Ryno. It seems that Ryno has done a good job of winning at the A, AA & AAA levels and he seems to get plenty out of the ever-changing minor league rosters. With a little effort, the Ricketts can start the transition in team management NOW.
Carlos Silva lemonade: made from freshly squeezed Milton Bradley lemons. -- the Jim Hendry kook book.
by LAcarl519 on Jul 14, 2010 7:46 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs
WOW did I write that?!?! No LThis is excellent....I will happily green this with hope and wanting.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jul 14, 2010 7:54 PM CDT up reply actions
meant to say No LAcarl did, but in my enthusiasm I hit enter
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jul 14, 2010 7:55 PM CDT up reply actions
I'd be fine with one or the other.
Lou’s kind of lost it, or so it looks from the outside. So a change is definitely in order. Sandberg or Girardi are both solid choices.
And some changes on the field. Say what you will, and most of you will, this team, even if they do manage to find their stride in the second half, is definitely aging at some positions.
Age is the one opponent no one beats.
another advantage of getting Ryno to the Big League team:
Ryno probably has the best first hand knowledge of the abilities of the young talent throughout the Cubs organization. Ryno could provide valuable input NOW on who to trade (or release after 7/31) and what talent we need in return (to fill holes in the minors). The latter part (where to fill holes) could help the Cubs with building a winner with young, hungry talent and not through expensive, risky free agents.
Carlos Silva lemonade: made from freshly squeezed Milton Bradley lemons. -- the Jim Hendry kook book.
If Girardi had been hired
perhaps we wouldn’t have seen some of these ridiculous contracts that Hendry doled out to free agents. When Piniella was hired it was expected by fans and certainly by him that the organization needed to purchase veteran talent to obtain a championship in the time of Piniella’s tenure.
Under Girardi, the organization could have taken it’s time to allow talent to develop and with a young, popular manager aboard the fanbase would have obliged.
The fanbase would not have obliged
following the disaster of 06. And there really wasn’t any talent in the farm system to develop at the time.
All of the current rookies minus Castro
were in the Cubs farm system in 2006. If the Cubs after the ‘06 season had announced they were going in a new direction with the hiring of Girardi, I certainly don’t think Hendry makes the mistake of signing Soriano. Speaking for myself, I certainly would have been in favor of the more judicious approach compared to the recklessness of the last 5 plus years.
Unfortunately, you're only speaking for yourself
Fans stopped coming at the end of 06. Had the Cubs not done anything in the offseason and instead said that they were going to be counting on what was ranked by BA the 18th best farm system heading into 07, people still wouldn’t have shown up.
My issue with the big FA signings is why they were necessary, and that’s because there was no real talent in the pipeline at the time. When your team stinks and there’s no foundation coming up in the near future, desperate moves are required to compete in the present, with little regard for the future, aka now.
Fans stopped coming at the end of '06
just as they do at the end of every awful season. The Cubs did not have to sell out the future for short term fan placation, they had cards to play. Felix Pie and a couple of other prospects could have been used in a package deal to obtain some moderately priced veteran talent. What Hendry did was reckless, and what you seem to think is that it was justified.
They didn't have a future to sell out
You’re completely overrating the farm system at the time. If Hendry did what you’re suggesting, then he doesn’t have a job with the Cubs right now. Which hey, would be okay with me.
He shouldn't have a job based on the Soriano signing.
I’m not overrating the farm system. At the time Pie was considered a top MLB prospect, a deal involving him, Eric Patterson, Mark Pawelek, or even Sean Gallagher would have been enough to entice teams to hand over some players.
Hendry did not have to do what he did, there were options.
BTW, what I meant by selling out the future
is that with all of these current contracts, the Cubs are in a serious bind for the near future, unless the Ghost of Steinbrenner inhabits the body of Ricketts.
So are you saying the only issue is the Soriano signing
And not signing guys like DeRosa and Lilly in 07, as well as resigning Aramis?
I would not have resigned Aramis,
That’s part of the problem, instead of recognizing Aram’s market value, Hendry chose the easy option. Granted Hendry got him at a relative discount, but players like Aramis are the type of guys that help organizations reload through trades. The same goes for Lee. Now the market has dried up for these two and there is little value left.
It’s the difference between a GM like Kenny Williams and Jim Hendry.
Agree to disagree then
I just don’t see how the Cubs mediocre 2007 system can be traded for talent equal to Aramis and Soriano, who were clearly two of the top three hitters on that years team. And even if they were able to do so, they would have completely wiped out their system. Without Aram and Soriano, the Cubs don’t make the playoffs, and I don’t think they’re so easily replaced through trades (it takes two to tango). And if they don’t make the playoffs, Hendry probably loses his job.
You have to admit that the good
organizations know how to replace certain parts of a team on a year to year basis without the wheels coming off. Now that Lee and Ramirez appear to have nothing left, what exactly are we left with? I agree the ’07 playoffs are not possible without those two players, but the goal has to be higher, there was not one point in that season where I thought the Cubs were contenders.
by troutfishin on Jul 14, 2010 11:00 PM CDT up reply actions
Of course
But when you have a 96 loss team and a mediocre farm system, how does a team get better? It was FA or bust, and we’re in this situation because of it.
the real issue ...
is that Hendry hands out too many opt-out and no-trade clauses. Aramis opted out in the middle of his contract after he had a monster 2006, necessitating signing him for another five years — the last two of which look pretty rough right now.
Aramis is hitting better, and I bet he’ll hit well in 2011 if he has anything left because he’ll be in a contract year. But what if he doesn’t?
The NTCs are irrelevant now, eg,
because most of those guys are 10-5, anyway.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 11:18 PM CDT up reply actions
True on Aramis and Lee.
Not true on Kosuke, Zambrano, Soriano and Lilly. And, yes, I know that Kosuke and Lilly don’t have full NTCs.
Was it really a
necessity signing Aram after the ’06 season? His value was never higher and before the trade deadline that season there were a few teams interested in his services.
The problem exists in Hendry over valuing his current players including his prospects.
by troutfishin on Jul 14, 2010 11:36 PM CDT up reply actions
I don't remember the interest in Aramis in 2006 ...
but you might be right. Still, if memory serves, Aramis was best late that year (August-September) after the July 31 deadline, which would have made a deal tougher.
Considering the revolving door at third after Santo (and the Trib’s open wallet after 2006) I can understand re-signing Aramis, who was 28 at the time. Giving him another opt-out clause, though …
I do think you’re on to something about Hendry overvaluing his own players. But I think it extends to him overvaluing players he WANTS. A perfect example is MB. I’ll never understand why Hendry bid against himself and gave that goofball three years (even if one was an easily obtained option).
I’ve noted that Hendry rarely finds bargains or looks at the scrap heap (Dempster and Edmonds being obvious exceptions). I think that’s partly because he overvalues guys he likes, overpays them and then precludes the need to look for bargains right before ST or midseason.
Some of this is revisionist history, eg
Everybody was apecrap about Aramis possibly leaving. IIRC, he was signed not long after the deadline (can’t remember if he had imposed it or if the Cubs had or whatever), and every Cubs fan I knew was on pins and needles.
You’d be hard-pressed to find anybody who thought re-signing Aramis was a bad idea. Same with Z.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 15, 2010 12:11 AM CDT up reply actions
Yes, because anyone that don't share
your feelings on a player are just full of crap, right? Revisionist History, my ass. I’m entitled to my opinions on a topic without being called a liar.
by troutfishin on Jul 15, 2010 12:19 AM CDT up reply actions
Where did I say you were a liar?
All I’m saying is that there weren’t many people who were opposed to the Cubs signing Ramirez in 2006. Now that Ramirez has sucked for half a season, they all seem to be coming out of the woodwork.
You know, sometimes players have bad years. It’s OK, really.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 15, 2010 12:52 AM CDT up reply actions
Sorry to disappoint you Bruce
but I’m not one of those people. I have the ability to analyze all situations, and can recognize how the really good organizations remain that way.
gotta agree with this
if rammy wasnt resigned wrigley field would have burned
by jesus christos on Jul 15, 2010 1:52 AM CDT up reply actions
I think a lot of people
at the time were preparing for the worst. It was being rumored at the time, even well before the end of the season, that Aram would wind up in LA or Anaheim. It wouldn’t have been a shock, what would have made people really mad was that they didn’t become sellers in ’06 and get value while they still had him under contract.
Dave Littlefield made
Hendry look like a genius during the ’03 season and that maybe why his stay was extended.
Another good example was the 10mil dollar signing bonus given to the shark.
I like to compare the job of GM kind of like a poker player. You have to know when to go all in and you need to know when you have a crap hand and fold.
Hendry’s not a poker player, not a good one anyway. Here we are stuck with an overpaid, aging roster. He didn’t know when to fold.
by troutfishin on Jul 15, 2010 12:13 AM CDT up reply actions
FA or Bust
As I’ve pointed out, it didn’t have to be that way. Teams were hot after Aram during the ‘06 season and Hendry couldn’t pull the trigger. The current situation is one of bad management and nothing more.
BTW, if the Cubs keep Rothschild(which I hope they do) one way to fix some of the contractual problems is to steel a page from Kenny Williams and find reclamation projects like Gavin Floyd and Matt Thornton. Rothschild is the main reason why Silva is having a career year , and he’s proven he can mold talent.
by troutfishin on Jul 14, 2010 11:43 PM CDT up reply actions
So in 2006,
you were advocating the Cubs trade Ramirez. Is that right?
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 15, 2010 12:11 AM CDT up reply actions
I was actually on the fence because it was
clear that Ramirez was going to opt out. I certainly wouldn’t have been against a foward thinking trade. Hendry had that option in ’06.
by troutfishin on Jul 15, 2010 12:17 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm not here to argue or take sides with you or *gasp* Bruce, but let's reflect on Aramis' numbers this year:
From 2007-2009 he’s got a 128 OPS+, nearly 70 homers and 300 RBI, and a 12.6 WAR. That’s with 123 games
missed, too (albeit, he’s not a true “everyday” player, we can safely look at the numbers and see in a regular season he averages about 140 games played).
2010 has been quite a different story. He’s OPS+ing 66, with a -0.2 WAR. I’d like to suggest he’s still injured from last season’s shoulder, but then again, he performed quite well down the stretch in 2009, with an OPS trending around .900. I don’t know what the hell his problem is in 2010, but his BaBIP is about .080 points lower than the previous three years. He’s hitting A LOT more fly balls than grounders and line drives, that’s for sure.
One thing’s clear, though: He’s been well worth his contract the last three years, both in dollars and production. In 2010, though? I don’t know what to say. The guy’s 32; he could be in a massive decline, but it’s probably a combination of age and being very unlucky in 2010.
Dan
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
Whoops, missed should be italicized.
"The riches of the game are in the thrills, not the money." --Ernie Banks
IMHO Girardi's time to be manager of the Cubs has passed, he belongs to the Yankees for now...
…we chose Lou instead. In the here and now I think its Sandberg’s time. If we do it next season so be it, but the Cubs are destined to be managed by him.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
Sandberg has certainly paid his dues
In the Minors the manager is coach, dad, therapist and priest. The manager is involved in field drills, infield and outfield positioning and they don’t have the type of staff that, mlb managers enjoy. He has paid his dues and I think it would be surprising if he were overlooked in favor of another flavor of the month.
It’s time the Cubs take it slow, a hundred years has passed. There is no reason to rush things now.
I can handle "slow" as long as I see some progress
positive development of the team, a little success. Slow and steady can be a good thing.
"Well-behaved women seldom make History"---Laurel Thatcher Ulrich
by cooliogirl47 on Jul 14, 2010 8:28 PM CDT up reply actions
Absolutely, it's a good thing
Once the talent is cultivated, then smart free agent signings can begin. That’s how the Yankees and Redsox have been doing it for years.
No, he hasn't
Five years in the minor leagues is not equivalent to “paying his dues.”
Joey Cora has been a bench coach for the White Sox for longer than that. He deserves a big-league shot before Sandberg.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:36 PM CDT up reply actions
Uh Huh...Life of a Minor league manager is a piece of cake?
A Hall of Famer who takes it from the ground up. If anything Cora’s had it easy compared to Sandberg.
by troutfishin on Jul 14, 2010 10:55 PM CDT up reply actions
Cora also has a World Series ring
Don’t think Ryno has one.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:57 PM CDT up reply actions
Great logic for Sandberg not getting the job.
Sorry, Ryno, we appreciate the four years you’ve busted your tail in the minors, but we’re going to go with someone else because Joey Cora has one World Series ring. This kind of decision-making in the Cubs front office will get us to the Promised Land for sure.
"Don't complain to me about the stormy weather, boys. Just bring the ship into port." --Steve Stone, September 2004
Girardi is the best man for the job
He was when Lou was hired and still is. He now has the ability to deal with the difficult situations that managers find themselves in each day. To say Sandberg has “paid his dues” is akin to saying that the best person at work is the one who has been there the longest. Time spent does not translate into ability (all the time). Sandberg MAY be a passable manager but he is not the best if Girardi is in the equation. Girardi has been through the fire and proven himself.
All enjoyment spontaneously overflows into praise. - CS Lewis
I'd rather had him
when Lou was hired. Sandberg is on his way up, so I’d probably pass on Girardi this time around. Unless Ryno would accept the bench coach position some how.
Jeff from Cleveland wrote- I've figured out the moral of the story: Stay in school. Wade: 3 years at Marquette, Bosh: 1 year at Georgia Tech, the kid from Akron: no college. The most educated guy convinced his dumber friends to come play on his team for less money.
Sandberg is on his way up
but he has a long way to go. The best he has done with a minor league team is 3 games over .500.
All enjoyment spontaneously overflows into praise. - CS Lewis
Let him take his lumps
This team will most likely be in a rebuilding year next season anyways.
Jeff from Cleveland wrote- I've figured out the moral of the story: Stay in school. Wade: 3 years at Marquette, Bosh: 1 year at Georgia Tech, the kid from Akron: no college. The most educated guy convinced his dumber friends to come play on his team for less money.
Should Joe lead the Cubs?
I dunno. I’m sure he has a desire too, but when it comes to being a manager, he might feel he has plenty of time to make this this happen. How long could he possibly manage the Yanks? Even if he resigns, he won’t be with them forever. If i was Joe, i’d prolly stay with them for a few more years and build up more experience and get more wins under my belt. Odds are, that won’t hurt him. (Of course, all of these depends on if the yanks want him back… which i have a feeling they will)
About the Cubs… i dunno what to expect. I have a feeling Hendry will try everything he can to ditch salary and just go and sign some big free agents this off season. I have no idea if this plan will work, etc… I really don’t know what the Cubs will look like next year.
I know for a fact the Cubs will tear up the free agency this offseason.
They said they want to be like the BoSox and Yankees. Have a producing farm system and be big spenders. Lilly and Lee are coming off the books after the season, plus there maybe some more money coming off if Fukudome is traded. I’m looking for the Cubs to get a first baseman, a Starting pitcher, and maybe some other pieces.
"A dream you dream alone is only a dream. A dream you dream together is reality." John Lennon
Who is there to tear up, exactly?
The 2011 FA market is loaded with players passing their prime.
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Jul 14, 2010 10:35 PM CDT up reply actions
By tear up I mean get a couple of good players.
"A dream you dream alone is only a dream. A dream you dream together is reality." John Lennon
And which players would those be?
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Jul 14, 2010 10:51 PM CDT up reply actions
ummm.....teehee. ^.^
"A dream you dream alone is only a dream. A dream you dream together is reality." John Lennon
Joe will resign with yanks if they want him back...
… being a Yankee manager probably won’t hurt his credentials. He’ll be managing a long time and will probably get another chance to manage the Cubs in the future. The only major thing weighing on his mind will how bad he wants to be the Cubs manager that leads them to their first world title in over a 100 years. That is probably the only thing that MIGHT lead him away from NY anytime soon. But I doubt it will be enough.
Haven't read all the previous comments ...
but I can’t get behind the whole idea that Girardi and Sandberg are more qualified than others because they understand the Cubs, or because they’re part of the family. And there are two reasons for that, really …
1) Even if Sandberg and/or Girardi understand the Cubs’ unique situation, what can they really do about it? The Cubs’ history doesn’t change strategy, so anything they could do would come down to style. And, considering that we failed with a players’ manager and then a guy who was more old-school …
2) Sandberg and Girardi were Cubs in very different eras. The pressure on this team has been nuts since 2003, but Sandberg last played on a team that started 0-14 in 1997. And, Al, I don’t think Girardi’s presence on the 2001 team is ANYTHING that helps his case. In fact, it might hurt it, considering how that team faded.
All that said, I’d love to have Joe Girardi as the manager of next year’s team. But that has nothing to do with him being an ex-Cub. It has to do with him being a good manager.
Good points
I also think if we’re going with what an intangible like “knowing the pressure,” or however anyone wants to phrase it, the flipside is the increased pressure of being the young son coming home.
I respect Al a lot.
But, respectfully, I think he leads with his heart in two areas:
1) He overestimates how loyal certain Cubs players (and past players) are to the team, and he can be overly loyal to them. Ted Lilly’s a good example of this, IMO.
2) As is perfectly obvious in this post, he overestimates the importance of understanding Cubs’ history and its significance in ending the drought. I don’t think Lou would have left Zambrano in longer in Game 1 against Arizona or played his team harder down the stretch in ‘08 had he been a Cub as a player. I also don’t think Dusty would have gone to talk to Prior or warmed up Clement in Game 6 against the Marlins had HE been a Cub as a player.
Sorry, Al. I mean no disrespect.
Your points about what the managers did in the playoffs are taken.
However, I do believe it would be easier for a new manager like Girardi or Sandberg at the beginning because they understand Cubs culture. Both Baker and Piniella remarked about how the job was nothing like they expected.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
But they were at their best in their first years.
It was the end, when both guys had been with the team for a few seasons, that they started to struggle.
I know there’s unique pressure to being a Cubs manager. I think finding an individual who can handle that is important, but I don’t think that a playing career with the Cubs would provide that. If Jacque Jones some day tried to be a manager, would his time with the Cubs help him successfully guide the team\?
Of course not.
Jacque Jones was a Cub for a little over two seasons. I think you can see the difference between him and Girardi or Sandberg.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
Lotta good points, EG
As of now, there is no managerial opening on the North Side.
If there were, and if he were interested, Joe would be my first choice. Ryno would be about my sixth.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:38 PM CDT up reply actions
Well, there's gonna be a managerial opening, NBF.
I’d be a sizable amount of money that Lou will retire quietly at the end of the year. So speculating as to who will be the next Cubs’ manager is TOTALLY in bounds, IMO.
But thanks for the kind words.
I agree...
I also believe that if the Cubs hire anyone OTHER than Sandberg, he’ll either give up the manager dream or bolt to another organization. Probably the latter.
Ron Santo - 8,143 ABs, .277 BA; 342 HR; 1331 RBI = NO Hall of Fame?
Brooks Robinson - 10,654 ABs, .267 BA; 268 HR; 1357 RBI = Hall of Fame.
Any more questions ?
I see one other possibility:
If the Cubs hired someone LIKE Torre — not necessarily Torre, because Al’s right that the guy is 70 years old — I could see Sandberg coming in as bench coach.
I can't see them hiring an older coach than Piniella...
I think even the Ricketts must see how lethargic and beat down Lou is. I believe they’ll go younger. I’m not sure who, but, I’d lay money on Sandberg.
Ron Santo - 8,143 ABs, .277 BA; 342 HR; 1331 RBI = NO Hall of Fame?
Brooks Robinson - 10,654 ABs, .267 BA; 268 HR; 1357 RBI = Hall of Fame.
Any more questions ?
A lot depends on the direction they choose.
If they go total youth movement (which is unlikely), Sandberg will be the guy.
If they go all 2007 (a lot of money on big free agents), Sandberg won’t be the guy.
If they go with some combination (precision signings, building around the young guys and returning vets), I THINK it will be Sandberg.
I actually think option three is the most likely — and put me in the camp that thinks the team has a DECENT chance at a playoff berth in 2011 if that happens. The savings from Lilly, Lee, Theriot and Nady will be close to $30 million. Some guys will get raises (Byrd, Grabow), and I bet Ricketts will lower the payroll a little. But that’s still around $10 million to address relatively few needs — mostly, the right side of the infield.
We’ll have a good outfield, we’re set at catcher, short and third (Aramis is hitting better, which means him not opting out could be OK next year). Our rotation is fine (though lacking in star power) and our bullpen will be better next year thanks to a half-season of work for youngsters (plus Marmol and Marshall). There’s no way the pen next season will start with four rookies (which was a huge factor in getting this year’s team in “lose-now” mode, IMO).
If the Cubs can do something akin to Adam Dunn’s deal with the Nationals (two years, $20 million) at first, we could be competitive WHILE we watch a mini youth movement AND let some of the bad contracts finally sunset.
There are still questions (Zambrano, Fukudome, Grabow) … but I think a lot of this year’s problems were caused by a logjam of high-paid and expensive players. The ones that will return in large part appear productive, and we’re getting reinforcements from Iowa. The 2011 Cubs won’t win 90 games. But 85 and a playoff berth? I think it’s very, very possible.
Wow — wrote longer than I intended.
Fine -- let him go
Maybe the Royals would take a chance on him. That’s probably about right.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:59 PM CDT up reply actions
Probably, EG, and I don't think it's not worthy of speculation
But I’m tired of the revolving door on the Cubs’ bench which, every four years like clockwork, revolves again.
by Not Bruce Froemming on Jul 14, 2010 10:59 PM CDT up reply actions
Well, sure.
But the Cubs hired a manager in his 60s. Did you really expect Lou to manage much more than four seasons?
And, anyway, the revolving door used to be a lot worse. Dusty, Lou and Riggleman are the only three managers to make it more than three years since the ’80s — perhaps longer.
I'd be happy with either
But I probably prefer Girardi, but only because I feel he might be better at failing, or his failing might be easier to handle. Meaning, does anyone want to hear Sandberg ripped at BCB consistantly? Hear him booed at Wrigley? Ripped in the media? The Cubs seem to be earning a reputation for chewing up and turning on previously beloved managers/baseball men. Without knowing Sandberg or Girardi, it seems like Girardi might be thicker skinned if something like this should happen again.
"I'd rather hit home runs you don't have to run as hard." -- Dave Kingman
by BucknerKongCardenal on Jul 14, 2010 10:31 PM CDT reply actions
In a perfect world...
…the guy who should decide whether Girardi or a Sandberg should be the next Cub’s manager, is not currently employed by the organization. Ricketts is not qualified to make this decision, and Hendry has proven he isn’t capable.
Until this is figured out, manger discussion is premature.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
Nevertheless...
… it does appear possible, if not likely, that Hendry will be retained. Whether you agree with this or not (and I know your specific position on this), that means Hendry may pick the next manager — or be told that it will be Sandberg.
"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra
If that happens...
…I will have serious doubts as to Rickett’s decision making.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel
Cubs family???
What does that even mean, “Cubs family”? Also, there is hardly anyone alive in the Cubs’ family who remembers the last WS appearance, let alone a WS championship. The family has not shown it knows what it is doing.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
Pressure Cooker
One thing that really intrigues me about having Girardi or Sandberg managing the Cubs is that they played for the Cubs. They know the pressures of not winning a WS for so many years. I believe they can bring a calming mindset to the team, a different perspective to playing for the Lovable Losers. Yes, we have Ernie, Billy and Ron, but they played 40 years ago. Each year, of not winning, brings more pressure. The Cubs have brought in some pretty good managers who haven’t got the job done. To name just a few in recent years: Dusty won in SF and is winning in Cincinnati and Lou was a winning manager/player, but they never played for the Cubs.
You look at D Lee, who has been with the Cubs since 04. Some say he is just going through the motions, I can’t disagree. I think the losing persona, year after year, takes it’s toll. Yes, I know we had two pretty good season, but this year is such a drop-off from the previous two.
Big Z’s tantrum was a result of frustration from losing.
Soriano has been known not to hustle on every play, losing takes a toll
You look at Big Z, I believe his tantrum was l
As my best friend put it:
“This is like choosing between hickory smoked bacon and thick cut bacon. Either way, it’s gonna be good.”
There should only be two options for the job: (1) Girardi or (2) Sandberg. That’s about it. I don’t think Joe G will be available, so it should be Sandberg. If Joe G is available, then you’ve gotta make a tough call.
Personally, I think Girardi would be great in our dugout. He made young players overachieve in Florida (en rounte Manager of the Year) and earned the respect of high-priced veterans in New York. He called out ownership in Florida five years ago for doing the same thing MLB investigated them for this off-season. Along with the fire he displays and the respect he commands, he knows when it’s time to let the clubhouse culture take over. A couple years ago, the Yankees broke out of a slump on a Giambi walk-off and Girardi conducted the postgame interview in a fake Giambi mustache. Trivial? Sure. But managers who know how to be a part of the clubhouse culture have had a lot of recent success. Charlie Manuel in Philly takes part in player pranks. Joe Maddon got a mohawk when the rest of the Rays did. Add Joe G and those are the managers for the three team that played in the last two World Series. Joe G has everything you look for in a good manager. (As for game decisions, each of these guys has made a couple of mistakes to cost games, sure. But that’s bound to happen over 162 games. They’ve also made some great decisions.)
Sandberg has paid his dues. He’s familiar with the young players because he managed a bunch of them. He’s been in Arizona the past couple years for Spring Training, too, IIRC. He’s a risk because he’d be new to big league management. But that’s what the organization has been grooming him to do: manage in the big leagues. If you don’t give him a shot, what’d you do that for? Furthermore, I think he’s a good risk. He’s got a reputation for bringing some fire to the dugout. He’s respected. He’s a popular guy (which doesn’t necessarily make him a great manager, but it does help ease some of the worry that accompanies any new hire). I think he could be great.
The debate probably won’t add up to anything because there’s very little chance Girardi isn’t in NY’s dugout next year. But I’m not worried. Ryno looks to be ready for his shot.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
by Phubbies on Jul 15, 2010 12:01 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
A very good discussion.
No need repeating all the interesting points raised and debated so far in this thread. But here is one more thing that Sandberg brings to the table. As a Cub for his entire career, he is a guy who truly, for a lack of a better way to say it, bleeds Cubbie Blue. Ryno is big into being a Cub, and promoting the idea of being proud to wear the uniform, having the uniform mean something to you. He understands the Cub fans, and would be able to communicate this understanding to newcomers to the Cubs, and what it means to be a Cub. He understands the rivalries. To him, beating the Cardinals is a big deal. Beating the White Sox would be a big deal. I think it’s little things like this that a Cub outsider cannot do. I know these are intangibles, and there is no way at all to measure how much this stuff would contribute to winning the World Series, if it does at all. But to me, these are important intangibles. Sure, Girardi would understand this stuff as well. What Sandberg has done in the minors have proven his passion for managing the Cubs to me. I’m ready to back him for the job.
"Don't complain to me about the stormy weather, boys. Just bring the ship into port." --Steve Stone, September 2004






















