July: New Month, Same Story. Cubs vs. Reds Preview, Friday 7/2, 1:20 CT
This season makes very little sense. In 2006, when the Cubs had a slide similar to what they had in June 2010, that team had really only one good player left (Aramis Ramirez) after Derrek Lee went down. Seriously. Ronny Cedeno was the starting SS, and among position players who started a significant number of games that year were Freddie Bynum, John Mabry, Phil Nevin and Neifi Perez. Mark Prior, Juan Mateo, Wade Miller, Glendon Rusch, Les Walrond, Jae Kuk Ryu and Jerome Williams combined for 38 starts and a 7.21 ERA in 161 innings.
The 2006 Cubs finished second-to-last in runs scored, but also second-to-last in runs allowed.
The 2010 Cubs are better than that. We all know about their lack of run scoring, but the pitching staff has been very good. As of this morning the team ERA of 3.88 ranks sixth in the National League. All five teams with better ERA's have winning records, as do two of the teams below the Cubs. They rank second in quality starts (50), one behind the Cardinals.
I don't think I have ever seen a group of hitters that are this good, underperform their abilities by as much as the current Cub hitters are. It's completely inexplicable. There is no reason these hitters should be ahead of only the Astros and Pirates in the NL in runs scored (and 26th out of 30 major league teams).
I just don't get it. Do any of you?
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Bronson Arroyo has not faced the Cubs since June 7, 2009, when he got a no-decision in a 14-inning game that the Cubs won. It is instructive to look at that boxscore. No fewer than 12 players who appeared for the Cubs that day are no longer on the major league roster. Arroyo is 7-6 lifetime in 19 appearances (12 starts) against the Cubs with a 3.06 ERA. I could tell you that some Cubs hit him, but would that really matter these days?
Ryan Dempster lost to the Reds on May 9 in Cincinnati. That was the day that Lou had Sean Marshall ready to go, but left Dempster in for one batter too long -- Joey Votto, who smashed a game-winning three-run homer off him. That's one of a pair of HR Votto has hit off Dempster; Votto just loves hitting Cub pitching. 14 of his 71 career HR are off the Cubs.
Today's game is on WGN and FSN Ohio. Here is the complete MLB.com Mediacenter for today.
Baseball-reference.com game preview
Please visit our SB Nation Reds site Red Reporter.
Today's first pitch thread will be up at 1:15 pm CDT, and the overflows will post at 2:15, 3:15 and 4 pm CDT.
Discuss amongst yourselves.
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Comments
Play for some sort of resemblance of pride.
That’s all I have at this point.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 11:40 AM CDT reply actions
Should I spend/waste
my day watching the game or doing something else….I think I’ll take the latter, but I do hope for a Cubs win (I’m an optimistic person which can create problems as a Cubs fan).
You have my sympathies.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions
I should have
listened to my gut. So much for today…
by portlandcubfan on Jul 2, 2010 5:59 PM CDT up reply actions
Brazilian wax to get it?
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions
i don't get what it means, but
WE LOST. ):
by braziliancubsfan on Jul 2, 2010 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions
It's a sympathy year.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 11:57 AM CDT up reply actions
A Brazilian wax is a way ladies take hair off their bodies.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions
Yuck why would they want to do that!!!???
/sarcasm
"Ask Dad. He'll know. And on the off chance he doesn't, he'll make something up"
by StevenABQ on Jul 2, 2010 12:54 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
The style as it is known today was all but invented in the late 1980s at J. Sisters salon in Manhattan, New York. While the salon is operated by several Brazilian sisters, the style has been reported to have been named simply because it ‘sounded exotic.’
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 1:02 PM CDT up reply actions
Funny you preview the post this way
I kept thinking after yesterday’s game, “Meet the new month, same as the old month.”
See, now those Who references I get.
Only cause everyone else does.
by Steven Schweickert on Jul 2, 2010 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions
I think we're all behind blue eyes at this point.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 11:59 AM CDT up reply actions
This team needs to use a substitute
Maybe we could call up Tommy (Diamond).
"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root
Tommy Diamond?
Wasn’t he briefly the guitarist in Kiss?
Contributing Editor, SB Nation Chicago. Please follow us on Twitter!
Behind Blue Eyes. :-)
I didn't believe it last August, but it turns out that love survives.
Preparing to hike to the summit of Mount Washington in New Hampshire on Saturday, July 10....
State high point count: 2/50
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions
The Kids are Alright...
… it’s the vets who suck this year.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
At least we scored yesterday!
It was a fun day in the bleachers, and today should be the same for those of you who are attending…. regardless of the poor baseball played on the north side.
It, ironically, makes it easier to enjoy being at the ballpark when we stink. There’s no stressful moments, because… well… we stink. So, it doesn’t matter.
"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)
Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)
.
And Mother Nature is helping me, too.
The Mount Washington hike I have planned has been moved up to Monday due to a STELLAR forecast for there:
Highs in the low 60s, AM clouds giving way to PM sun/wind. You simply do not get those conditions at the summit of Mount Washington. Wind speeds of over 230 mph have been recorded up there.
So, not surprisingly, I’ll be gone all day Monday. I’ll probably appear back on BCB that evening. No Mountain hike post, though.
I didn't believe it last August, but it turns out that love survives.
Preparing to hike to the summit of Mount Washington in New Hampshire on Saturday, July 10....
State high point count: 2/50
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:37 PM CDT up reply actions
Well at least post a summit photo somewhere
Haven’t been up there in years and am curious what it’s like these days. Have fun!
I'm guessing ...
that the run differential at this point in 2006 was much worse — i.e. the Cubs were getting blown out more often. Am I right, Al? Anyone?
Also, I really think part of the explanation is lineup construction. I know it’s a tired debate around here — but the fact that the Cubs have three guys who are having good years (Soriano, Byrd and Colvin) means that this team should be scoring more. But Theriot at the top of the order, Lee and Ramirez in the middle, Fukudome getting starts and Hill starting too often over Soto is part of the explanation, IMO.
Yeah, it'd be interesting to see a different first five
for awhile. Put Lee and Ramirez down near the end of the order where they belong right now, and work with Soriano, Byrd, Colvin, Soto, Fontenot, and maybe Fukudome (OBP) to fill the first five slots. As others have pointed out, having habitual strikeouts and GIDPs out of the 3/4 slots is absolute murder. It kills rallies, and tightens sphincters throughout the lineup, doing a lot more damage than the 200-ish averages imply.
Of course, the only way these changes would happen would be if the Cubs installed Bill James as manager. In the majors, no one puts Lee and Ramirez where their ‘hitting’ says they belong.
One other thing — all stats aside, are we not one of the worst (dumbest) situational-hitting teams you have ever seen? Whether first-pitch swinging at the wrong time, whiffing on ball four, or staring at strike three when decent contact produces a run, the mental approach to ‘hitting’ by this team is just abysmal.
I'm just about to head to the game
and I’m in my closet reaching for the Cub jersey when I stop and realize that I’m too embarrassed to wear it. I’ll throw on a different shirt.
by jerry morales rules on Jul 2, 2010 11:52 AM CDT reply actions
My opinion
Is this team is just not playing small ball. I would like to see the hitters work the count a little more, start bunting a little more, and stop swinging for the fences. Add that and improve the defense and this ball club would be much more enjoyable to watch.
Huh, that's all?
Improved Offense and Improved Defense? Lou will get right on that…
I think we just need to score more than the other team
the rest will work itself out
We can legally do that?
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:29 PM CDT up reply actions
Legal, Illegal, Scheiß egal, just score more.
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead!
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:32 PM CDT up reply actions
Rollin' rollin'rollin'
right along here
"Chicago baseball fans, who are composites of scar tissue and mortifying memories..." - George F. Will
Avatar provided courtesy of AndrewJStone.
Caption:
Orlando Cabrera illustrates the only way to remove Koyie Hill from Lou’s lineup.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
by Phubbies on Jul 2, 2010 12:06 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs
lol
Can he try this with Theriot then?
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:28 PM CDT up reply actions
Winner.
I didn't believe it last August, but it turns out that love survives.
Preparing to hike to the summit of Mount Washington in New Hampshire on Saturday, July 10....
State high point count: 2/50
by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions
Caption: If only more Cubs games ended like this
"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas
"I just don't get it. Do any of you?"
I for my part don’t…
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
Whatever we have been getting to this point, I sure don't want
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:29 PM CDT up reply actions
Not sure if anyone cares
#cubs lineup fri vs reds lf colvin, 2b font, 1b lee, 3b ramy, cf byrd, rf fuke, ss castro, c hill, p demp
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:08 PM CDT reply actions
I haven't listened to much baseball this week
Read recaps etc. So I think that is why I cared, baseball break helps.
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:14 PM CDT up reply actions
I think we could all use that.
Once you stop caring it does feel better.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions
Periodic breaks help
Especially when you’ve been gone or busy, then it nice to get back to the routine.
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:34 PM CDT up reply actions
I was in your neck of the woods earlier this week.
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions
meant for mapmaker
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions
yep almost
Mom came down to visit from up north & hates to drive in Madison. So we parked her car by a friends whose on Cottage Grove RD, we were maybe 5 minutes from there.
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions
Why would Colvin ever lead off?
Colvin=low OBP but power, not a leadoff hitter anywhere except Planet Lou.
And wouldn’t hitting Hill at 3 and Dempster at 4 improve our chances of scoring runs? :-)
I honestly believe that Lou has no idea what Colvin's OBP is
That or he is intentionally playing him in a spot in the lineup designed to engender failure for the rookie so he can bench him for a month straight
lineup
single, out, DP, K, single, DP, single, single, K
thats hopeful
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions
meant to have Castro
with a single, my bad
Hey now...let's be fair.
Kosuke hits home runs in April, singles in May and nothing in June. In July, he goes to doubles before declining to singles again in August and finishing with a flurry of Ks in September.
Contributing Editor, SB Nation Chicago. Please follow us on Twitter!
We're getting hits! woo hoo!
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:34 PM CDT up reply actions
A BCB poster once said:
“That kind of reckless optimism is dangerous.” You make an excellent point.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
Worst "Half Season" Since 2006
The Cubs are going to finish the first half at 34-47, 35-46, or 36-45.
2006 Cubs:
1st Half: 30-51
2nd Half: 36-45
"The big possums walk late." - Harry Caray
Lookin forward to that 2011 draft!
I’m guessing the Cubs get the 8th overall pick.
"A dream you dream alone is only a dream. A dream you dream together is reality." John Lennon
So you're saying there's hope that it'll improve?
"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root
FWIW
I think the Cubs can go 41-42 the rest of the way to finish at 75-87. That’s not saying much.
"The big possums walk late." - Harry Caray
I don't see them going .500 for the rest of the season
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions
That kind of reckless optimism is dangerous.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions
Caption: Orlando Cabrera is about to put some balls in play.
Contributing Editor, SB Nation Chicago. Please follow us on Twitter!
Caption: Don't move! You've got a bug on your shoe.
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
Per the Trib:
Colvin, lf
Fontenot, 2b
Lee, 1b
Ramirez, 3b
Byrd, cf
Fukudome, rf
Castro, ss
Hill, c
Dempster, p
thats ok....
no matter how we write it. it’s not going to improve their hitting :(
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 12:29 PM CDT up reply actions
I see you've been watching us with RISP.
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions
I just noticed the D-Backs fired their GM and Manager in one fell swoop, bringing in former legend Kirk Gibson.
Wouldn’t that be awesome to see on the north side with Sandberg taking the reigns?
On the offense: I honestly think it’s the lineup. Mainly the fact that in changes all the time. I kind of wonder if all the platooning is counter-productive. Just pick your 8 best and fit them together in a logical way and don’t change it every week! This should have been sorted out in May! Lee and Ramirez aren’t 3 and 4 hitters this year, so deal with it. I also happen to think they should be giving reps to Colvin at first base to see if he remembers it well enough from college.
Watch out.
Some people will crucify you for wanting Ryno as a manager.
"A dream you dream alone is only a dream. A dream you dream together is reality." John Lennon
Do you think Gibson hobbles around the bases before every game?
A la ’88?
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
Gonna be some elbows thrown around there!
"The ones who want to achieve and win championships motivate themselves." - Da Coach
by Sandberg's evil twin on Jul 2, 2010 12:37 PM CDT up reply actions
Go Cubs !!! We want a loss failure !!!
"A waist is a terrible thing to mind." - Terry 'Fat Tub of Goo' Forster
Maybe that's the mindset we need
I mean, look at Rami, several of the balls he’s sent out of the yard have been on wishful swings that just happened to connect. He failed to fail.
This has gone on so long that it has to be mental now.
Little kids need a break from the routine, so do adults. Instead of working harder, work smarter. Take some cuts pregame and tell some jokes, light some guys shoes on fire, put Icy Hot in some guys jock strap. JUST LOOSEN UP AT THE FREAKIN PLATE WOULD YOU GUYS!! This has gone on way too long.
This is only the beginning....Lou Pinella end of '07 season and Chicago Transit Authority (the band when they were really good).
I heard Ryno was the king of the hotfoot trick.
Can’t remember where I read that article, but it was years ago when he was still a great player.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
Well what are we waiting for?
Call him up! Maybe he could be a player/manager/hotfoot specialist.
It couldn’t hurt the play on the field and it would sell tickets.
Probably still better with the glove...
… than most of the guys we send out there, too.
"Sometimes you eat the bar and sometimes..."
I would say at his age
he could likely field better than the current Cubs 2nd base options
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 1:17 PM CDT up reply actions
I want Theriot to light Zambrano's shoe on fire
2 birds with 1 stone
that should be a fanshot
"Actually, Major League Baseball is more like Neverland
And the Lost Boys don’t have to ever grow up. Some do, anyway, but that is not a universal characteristic"
by Madison Cub Fan on Jul 2, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions
So say I bought this and the Cubs didn't make it (unlikely I know!)
would I get my money back?
well, that's goddamn ridiculous
You reserve seats for games that aren’t being played, and you DON’T get your money back?
One thing
we DON"T change is the order in which Lee & ARAM hit.
"It's a funny old world. Man's lucky if he gets out of it alive." W.C. Fields
Get Joey Gathright to Be the Hitting Coach
Gathright couldn’t be any worse.
"The big possums walk late." - Harry Caray
ugh...
They swing at bad pitches. Soriano still can not hit a breaking ball, Fukodome lunges at outside pitches and overall they have poor plate discipline.
Wouldn’t it be interesting to hear how the other teams approach the Cub hitters? Can you imagine what they say? I can.
It’s pathetic. DLee hasn’t hit an inside fast ball in how many games?
The necessary adjustments are not being made. As a professionla hitter you have to realize what the other team deems your weaknesses.
ARAm: No longer a threat on the down and in pitches.
The list goes on and on. Work the count. If you want hackers go sign some dudes off the ‘Fantasy Camp’ roster. lol…
Here’s an idea, how about making them pitch to you. Possibly get into those 2-0 and 3-1 counts. How do you do that? Look at the pitcher’s tendencies. He’s looking at yours.
I’m truly amazed at how bad Cubs hitters look at times. Almost like they want to strike out and swing at horrible pitches. Granted, these are major league pitchers, but still.
MAKE THE ADJUSTMENT ALREADY. THIS GAME IS ABOUT ADJUSTMENTS.

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