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This is a ridiculously good deal for the cubs. You trade scrubs for a guy that is cheaper and has an ops of .865. The only thing Levine says is holding it up is that Theriot is also included in the Dodger deal for Lilly

almost 2 years ago Dusty_baker_reds-thumb-200x200-2058131_tiny LouPiniellaIsRetiring 152 comments 0 recs  | 

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I like Russell, but...

… I’d do this deal in about two seconds.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 7:41 AM CDT reply actions  

Two seconds?

How about one?

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 7:45 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well, there are three players involved.

Might take an extra second.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 7:50 AM CDT up reply actions  

one second to accept

another to shake hands

Unofficial Self Appointed President of the Player Formerly Known as Castro Blocker Fan Club
Bleed Castro Blue

by Cubbie-Tim on Jul 31, 2010 9:46 AM CDT up reply actions  

What the hell is the holdup?

I didn’t expect to get anything of value for Theriot, consdiering that, you know, he’s not good at baseball. But to get Kelly Johnson? DO IT NOW!

by kanderber on Jul 31, 2010 7:42 AM CDT reply actions  

I'm guessing

the holdup is that the Dodgers have an offer for Theriot too.

Otherwise, I’m with Al. Make this deal today.

by Josh Timmers on Jul 31, 2010 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Done!

Next?

We have met the enemy and they are us! ~ Walt Kelly, Pogo, 1971

by Zeke on Jul 31, 2010 7:45 AM CDT reply actions  

Hendry is crazy if he doesn't do this

Johnson is miles better than theriot. A solid, lefty hitting second baseman with some pop and the ability to walk. And we give up a mediocre righty hitting second baseman with no pop and can go a month without drawing a walk. Oh wait, I forgot, Ryan is SCRAPPY!!! Silly me!

by Dcr18 on Jul 31, 2010 8:00 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Diamondbacks' thinking

I wonder if they see Theriot as a potential stop-gap shortstop, allowing them to trade Stephen Drew in the offseason. Seems they’ve gotten some strong interest in Drew, and if they’re in full rebuilding mode, might want to deal him. Johnson has also had some injury problems which have contributed to him going through some hot and cold patches this year.

Otherwise, I don’t understand why they would want Theriot.

Somebody take Aramis' bat off the restricted list, please.

by cubzfan on Jul 31, 2010 8:06 AM CDT reply actions  

SHHH!

Don’t tell them!

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 8:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

Don't kill me but on 2nd thought I don't know if this is so great

I am not sure I want Johnson as the starting 2B. Is he that good defensively? I honestly don’t know but he does not seem that good a hitter. Mind you I don’t care about Theriot because I think he is gone but I do like Russell.

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 8:12 AM CDT reply actions  

Johnson is so ridiculously better than

Theriot it’s funny. Johnson has a 3.4 WAR this year while Theriot has a NEGATIVE waR.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 8:16 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

OK

Just concerned that in our eagerness to dump Theriot we give up a decent reliever. Remember Russell was the ONLY Cub pitcher to pitch effectively last night.

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 8:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

OOps sorry apologies to Berg

He was fine too.

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 8:26 AM CDT up reply actions  

Russell's decent.

But also eminently replaceable.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 8:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly.

He’s a middle reliever. Middle relievers are a dime a dozen. It’s not like we’re talking about giving up Marmol or Cashner here.

by kanderber on Jul 31, 2010 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

With all due respect if effective middle relievers were so easy to get

the Cubs might be better this year. I am not saying Russell is that valuable, but I see the “dime a dozen” thing about relievers all the time and yet the Cubs in particular seem to struggle with middle relief. Given the extreme game of musical chairs being played with relievers going to and from Iowa, the Cubs don’t seem to have a lot of dimes.

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 8:55 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

The point is...

middle relievers are very inconsistent from year to year. The good middle relievers become back end guys. I’m not saying that Russell doesn’t have potential to be a very good bullpen arm, but for this deal in particular I’d be more than willing to get rid of him.

by kanderber on Jul 31, 2010 9:16 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

I think the deal is fine but the Cubs don't have much luck with

middle relievers and a lot of them seem to get a lot better after they leave.

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 9:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

This is already green

to me.

There goes one over the fence...a Tru-Link fence.

by truelinkfence on Jul 31, 2010 9:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

He doesn't have to be great, just a solid starter and better than Theriot.

Which he is. He’s been a much better hitter than Ryan this year. Hopefully he could hold down second for the next couple years, and in an ideal world Hak Ju Lee will be ready in a few years. I like Russell too, but is he really going to be a difference making pitcher in the late innings?

by Dcr18 on Jul 31, 2010 8:27 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

This is like getting a $20 bill in trade for one of those $2 bills and a button.

I don’t understand what the D-Backs could possibly be thinking. If this rumor is true, it’s substantially in the Cubs’ favor. They’d even save money.

Now, what is KJ’s arb/FA situation? Is he walking at the end of the year, or is he an arb case?

MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown

by D98 on Jul 31, 2010 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

In the other thread

z-fan posted than he’s arb eligable after this season, then a FA in 2012.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 8:38 AM CDT up reply actions  

Johnson is making $2.35 million this year.

He’s likely in line for a substantial raise through arb.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 8:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

yeah he's arb3 next year

which given this big year if he has even a decent 2011 he could be in line for Type B or Type A FA status

so we could move Theriot/Russell for 1.4 years of Johnson and then potentially draft picks or a solid 2B stop-gap on 1 year deals from there on? sign me up

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 9:02 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Or, I suppose, you get Blake DeWitt. And throw in the Lilly draft picks.

God, I cannot understand how this front office could continuously F things up.

I have even more trouble understanding this forum’s literally bottomless capacity to not only tolerate, but to actively defend, Hendry’s failure.

MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown

by D98 on Jul 31, 2010 9:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

i dont think its THAT bad

the Lilly draft picks aren’t guaranteed (could be two, could just be one sandwich rd)

so break it down in two separate decisions

1) Johnson vs. DeWitt

4.5 yrs of a floor of utility infielder and upside of solid regular

vs.

1.5 yrs of solid regular with potential for draft picks (also not guaranteed)

2) Lilly comp pick(s) vs. Wallach, Smit

A sandwich rd pick is probably a little less valuable than Wallach + Smit

A sandwich rd pick + 1st or 2nd rd pick is more valuable than Wallach + Smit

So here’s how i see it:

If Lilly achieves Type A status, then its a loss. If you assume the Cubs would’ve offered him arb (which i will)

If Lilly achieves Type B status, its a wash to small win, because of the extra prospect (upside of Wallach is probably similar to upside of a Sandwich pick, his K Rate is phenomenal)

then on the Johnson vs. DeWitt side it really depends on if Johnson could’ve been used to replenish the system (i dont think we’re competing in ‘11 with or without Johnson) so if he ends up a Type A or B is that compensation more than the 3 extra years of DeWitt? Again i think it depends on the FA status, which could also end up as “nothing” since he’s not good enough now to earn A or B (would need another big season)

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Aug 1, 2010 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions  

Do the deal

Log jam of 2B types gets worse but who cares

I'm wet nurse to a (4th)-place, dead-to-the-neck-up ball club, and I'm choking to death!

by Eisman57 on Jul 31, 2010 8:27 AM CDT reply actions  

Only

downside to this is Theriot is our only (sort of) backup shortstop. Also, while Johnson is significantly better than any of our current second basemen, it would be nice to see them shed Theriot plus another second baseman since we already have too many.

But I love this deal.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 8:29 AM CDT reply actions  

I am guessing Barney makes the bench next year

which takes care of the back up issue. There is no way Baker & Fonty are both with the Cubs next year and possibly neither.

"Lou Piniella's been a great manager for a long time and I stand by him completely"
Jim Hendry

by Doggie Stalker on Jul 31, 2010 8:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

The Holdup...

Hopefully the holdup is only because the return for Lilly+Theriot from the Dodgers is better than Kelly Johnson. If not, I hope this trade goes down. Regardless, I’d hope Theriot ends up in one of these trades.

Russell has been OK, but to me, Russell, Berg, Stevens, Gray, etc. all seem like the same guy when it comes to the bullpen. And at this point in the year, I don’t think it really matters who’s gone from the bullpen.

by apett8 on Jul 31, 2010 8:30 AM CDT reply actions  

Blake Dewitt

is the rumored player coming back for Theriot in LA.

Dewitt is significantly younger and can play 2B AND 3B, which is a pretty big plus for a team counting on Aramis Ramirez to play a full season (assuming he doesn’t opt out). Dewitt doesn’t have the bat Johnson has (Dewitt’s career minor league numbers aren’t as good as Johnson’s career MLB numbers). That makes it kind of a trickier choice.

Add to that the Lilly to the Dodgers deal could be contingent on Theriot coming as well. We don’t know what the Dodgers are offering for Lilly. Presumably it’s something we like, since the Dodgers talk seems to have the most steam.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 8:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Dewitt is only three years younger than Johnson.

And though DeWitt is a good player, Johnson is a better one.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

was anyone

saying that last year? I don’t think it’s a given that Johnson is going to be a better hitter than dewitt the next three seasons. he has nice numbers this year but they are fueled by a 316/411/620 line in the hitter’s haven he plays in. johnson is batting just 238/317/378 on the road this year.

by circuitclout on Jul 31, 2010 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

How is it that your position has changed so dramatically since 8:44 AM this morning?

Suddenly, our decision to go with DeWitt is defensible.

It is not. It is the product of Hendry’s multiple years of failure.

MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown

by D98 on Jul 31, 2010 9:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

Johnson has better numbers this year, true.

He is also a much worse hitter away from Chase Field. Your blasting of Hendry for this deal is over the top. I believe it will work out in the long run.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Aug 1, 2010 10:01 AM CDT up reply actions  

In this case, getting K. Johnson was a better move than the one Hendry made.

IMO, standing pat was also a better move than the one Hendry made.

In the long run, this deal isn’t going to add up to a whole heck of a lot. DeWitt will be on the team for a few years, probably replacing Fontenot as the backup 2B/3B. Better 3B glove, way less power.

I’d have flipped Theriot for Johnson, kept Lilly and offered him arb. If he declined, free draft picks. If he stayed, either try to flip him at next year’s deadline, or if the team somehow contends, he’s probably a bit part of it.

MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown

by D98 on Aug 1, 2010 8:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

You failed to mention the prospects.

At least one of whom looks to be a good one, worth as much as one of the draft picks.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Aug 1, 2010 9:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

I can't believe that Theriot was the holdup w/r/t trading Lilly to LA.

We both know that TINSTAPP always applies – “there is no such thing as a pitching prospect”. In this case, Wallach has some great tools, and he’s been successful at A-ball. We’ll see when and if that affects the MLB club.

In the meantime, the report was that ARI wanted Theriot for K. Johnson. You could still trade Lilly to LA in that circumstance – presumably, leaving Blake DeWitt out of the discussion. But that’s all theoretical.

MLBMilestone.com - following the numbers to Cooperstown

by D98 on Aug 1, 2010 10:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

Perspective

The trade is two guys who combined have a WAR of -0.6 for a young cheap second baseman with a SLG of .500 and a WAR of 3.4. So your basically have a net gain of four wins.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 8:35 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

I'm not sure why the Diamondbacks want to make this deal.

Unless they really think Russell is something special. Which I don’t.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 8:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

They pick

up a young lefty reliever, and they get a cheaper version of Kelly Johnson that can also play short (sort of). Johnson will probably make a couple more mil next year, Theriot won’t.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

What I meant by that

is they are both second basemen, and Theriot will likely be the cheaper of the two. Not implying that Theriot is a comparable player.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions  

SS insurance and money

that’s the big thing driving this decision

the DBacks want to get some SS insurance for S. Drew (who they could move, arb2 made 3.4 last yr) and they want to trim payroll

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 9:04 AM CDT up reply actions  

they might also

want to try and have at least one guy in the lineup that won’t strike out 150 times.

by circuitclout on Jul 31, 2010 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions  

They really really need bullpen help

And as some people mentioned Theriot can play short but yeahthat trade is terrible for the DBacks

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 8:44 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Tweet from Jayson Stark:

#Diamondbacks have agreed to trade Chad Qualls to #Rays for a player to be named later. More to come on ESPN.com #trades

This could make the D’backs more interested in Russell to fill a bullpen vacancy.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 8:43 AM CDT reply actions  

Anybody know Johnson’s salary this year?

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 8:46 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

2.35M

I'm wet nurse to a (4th)-place, dead-to-the-neck-up ball club, and I'm choking to death!

by Eisman57 on Jul 31, 2010 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

Cool. I didnt know Chris Stynes was still available.

Sounds like more of the same with no upside. No money saved in the future. Get some arms for the love of God.

There goes one over the fence...a Tru-Link fence.

by truelinkfence on Jul 31, 2010 8:54 AM CDT reply actions  

Bad market for relievers right now.

The Jays want a ton for Scott Downs, and it took the Twins second best prospect to get Matt Capps. I’m not sure who you see the Cubs trading for here….

by apett8 on Jul 31, 2010 9:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

Scott Downs was a suprise to me

Caught an article about him the other day.. I would rather see some minor leaguers in any deal at this point. No obvious choices in mind.

There goes one over the fence...a Tru-Link fence.

by truelinkfence on Jul 31, 2010 9:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

Interesting

The Cubs rejected an offer of Oliver Perez and Luis Castillo for Zambrano, tweets SI’s Jon Heyman.

I'm wet nurse to a (4th)-place, dead-to-the-neck-up ball club, and I'm choking to death!

by Eisman57 on Jul 31, 2010 8:59 AM CDT reply actions  

Fair enough.

.239/.335/.278 for Castillo
.284/.320/.327 for Theriot

Not much improvement there anyway. When Ryan Theriot is outslugging you, that’s bad. And I don’t know if I buy all of the apology stuff, but the need and desire to get rid of Zambrano seems to have come down.

by apett8 on Jul 31, 2010 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

comes down to money

a straight Zambrano for Perez swap saves the Cubs a little over $27 million

throw castillo in the mix and that number gets cut below $20 and cuts out an extra roster spot

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 9:07 AM CDT up reply actions  

Kelly Johnson's home road splits for 2010

In AZ: .316/.411/.620 OPS=1.03
On the road:238/.317/.378 . OPS=696
Lifetime, including his ATL numbers,the home/road numbers are a lot closer.But this is a red flag for me.

by BVictor on Jul 31, 2010 9:16 AM CDT reply actions  

Chase field batter rating is -109

Wrigley’s is -108.

"Get up or GET OUT THE WAY!"
~Stacy King

by wrigleyrocker12 on Jul 31, 2010 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

I'd do this

in a millisecond. Then deal just Lilly to LA.

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 9:35 AM CDT reply actions  

I think you can forget about this deal.

According to tweet from FSN Arizona’s Jack Magruder:

#Dbacks to get IF Crosby, OF Church in Snyder deal, sources say. With Qualls’ lost to Tampa, that puts them at 25 … for now.

If the D’backs got Crosby, they don’t need Theriot. I could be wrong, but I don’t see them trading for TWO mediocre middle infielders on the same day.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 9:36 AM CDT reply actions  

Snooze you lose

I'm wet nurse to a (4th)-place, dead-to-the-neck-up ball club, and I'm choking to death!

by Eisman57 on Jul 31, 2010 9:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

depends

if it is true that Theriot is part of a Lilly to LAD deal, and we dont know what is being offered by LAD yet, right?

Unofficial Self Appointed President of the Player Formerly Known as Castro Blocker Fan Club
Bleed Castro Blue

by Cubbie-Tim on Jul 31, 2010 9:50 AM CDT up reply actions  

JIM HENDRY!

Why were you snoozing!!!!!!!???

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 10:14 AM CDT up reply actions  

They may also be looking to keep

Russell and package Theriot in another deal. The only way this makes any sense other than that is the economic factor. The Diamondbacks are barely treading water and they might be looking at what Johnson is going cost them in the near future compared to Theriot who is sitting on the largest contract he will receive from anyone, now and in the future.

If this offer is legitimate I can’t see the Dodgers giving us a player the caliber of Johnson even in a deal that includes Lily.

by troutfishin on Jul 31, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

Well, at the same time, here's yet another tweet on this issue

Jon Morosi of Fox Sports:

Spoke with someone who says #Dbacks would still like to move K. Johnson and/or LaRoche. This, folks, is a housecleaning. #TRADES #MLB

So maybe they still do want Russell and Theriot, although that would not save them any money.

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al Yellon on Jul 31, 2010 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

Wow

they are REALLY trying to unload dollars. The Pirates had a similar house-cleaning not long ago. Hasn’t quite worked out for them, but I guess you never know.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

the concept of cleaning house

would make it unlikely to work in the short-term

while pirates haven’t reaped rewards of cleaning house just 2 years ago, their farm system has gotten deeper and players they acquired in those deals are working their way up.

Tabata is in the majors now, Bryan Morris is developing nicely and they’ve loaded up the extra assets in the draft and put together a few drafts in a row

it shouldn’t be a surprise they haven’t reaped the rewards of a house-cleaning in just two years

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

I said

it hadn’t quite worked out for them because going into this year, at least one source had them ranked as the 28th best farm system. When you clear house like they did 2 years ago, you might think it would take more than 2 years to see big dividends at the MLB level, but if your farm system is still ranked that low, sometime might not’ve gone right with your house-cleaning.

http://mlb.fanhouse.com/2010/01/26/2010-farm-system-rankings/

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

think about the timeline

they traded guys in ’08 after the ’08 draft

so since the “house-cleaning” they’ve had the prospects they got back from that and ONE draft (’09) when this ranking came into play

not much time to restock a farm system

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 1:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

They still might would rather have..

Theriot at 2B/SS with Russell in their pen.

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 9:49 AM CDT reply actions  

nevermind...

they just got a reliever in the deal, as well.

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 9:50 AM CDT reply actions  

Y'all have obviously never watched Kelly Johnson play a full season of baseball

If you had, there is no way you’d be clamoring for this deal. Yes, it gets rid of a baseball-dumb guy in Theriot. Good-bye first-pitch fielder’s choices to SS! In return you can say hello to “swinging for the fences every single time”. First pitch? Sure. Ball in the dirt in the opposite batter’s box? No problem! That one that would have hit him? Gonna try and yank it outta here.

So you trade away one guy who makes fans tear their hair out at how dumb he is for a…guy who makes fans tear their hair out at how dumb he is, but with power.

And while Theriot’s defensive foibles are somewhat random, Johnson has a knack for the Big Error. Bottom 9, 2 out, 1st and 3rd, up by 1? That’s exactly when he’ll let a soft roller dink off his glove into RF.

I have watched Kelly Johnson. I have cursed Kelly Johnson. And I will tell you this now: Ryan Theriot is Kelly Johnson.

Just say no, Jim.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jul 31, 2010 10:42 AM CDT reply actions  

He. Is. Dumb.

Stats do not tell his story any more than they tell Theriot’s story.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jul 31, 2010 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

I didn't miss the point...

Johnson is a much better baseball player than Theriot. Clutch is bringing up anecdotal evidence, but the stats (which are a better representation of reality than anecdotal evidence) suggest that Johnson is a much better player.

by SouthernCub on Jul 31, 2010 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

That's seriously bitchy

“Anecdotal evidence” Hint: I’m a Braves fan, and I lived in Atlanta for every season Johnson played for them. I used to watch as many Braves games as I did Cubs games. Live and in person, too. I’ve examined him closely, and I dislike his game and his approach to baseball.

I’ve seen the stats. I’ve also watched the guy play. A lot. I’m saying the discrepancy in stats is not worth the idiocy we’ll receive on the diamond. I’d look elsewhere, if I were the GM.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jul 31, 2010 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

So. Is. Theriot.

So the stats win this one. Sure, I’d rather have a better player than either one of them, but in Johnson vs. Theriot, advantage Johnson.

by ClarkFan on Jul 31, 2010 12:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly...

I’m not saying Johnson is an all-star. But he’s a substantial upgrade from Theriot.

by SouthernCub on Jul 31, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Substantial is hardly the term I'd use

I’ve said before that his baseball IQ is 1 point higher than Theriot’s. The only difference is power, and if there’s one thing this lineup doesn’t need, it’s more power-hitters swinging at garbage.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jul 31, 2010 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Power and OBP...

Johnson takes walks and hits homeruns. And he does everything else as well or better than Theriot. That’s a substantial upgrade.

by SouthernCub on Jul 31, 2010 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

Hope this is all real

As long as Kelly Johnson can really pass the physical, go for it. The D-backs must see some potential in Russell that he hasn’t quite demonstrated yet. That’s fine. It could work out for them and is seems the direction they want to go. Hope this is all true. If so, Hendry has to be on his toes.

by AboutTheCubs on Jul 31, 2010 11:25 AM CDT reply actions  

The Dodgers better be offering something good to turn this down

Loney and Kershaw. Book it.

"Get up or GET OUT THE WAY!"
~Stacy King

by wrigleyrocker12 on Jul 31, 2010 11:49 AM CDT reply actions  

Johnson isn't awesome or anything.... but he sure looks great

compared to Theriot… and he’s a couple years younger too.

"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)

Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)

by SackMan on Jul 31, 2010 12:04 PM CDT reply actions  

Maybe a

three way deal? Theriot & Russell for Johnson. Johnson and Lilly to LA for Dewitt and Sands

Go Cubs!

by wild bill on Jul 31, 2010 12:06 PM CDT reply actions  

After saying yes to Johnson yesterday

I’d actually prefer to NOT get a second baseman like Johnson back in a deal… it just blocks the position with another average player. We’ve got three of those right now: Theriot, Baker, Fontenot.

"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)

Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)

by SackMan on Jul 31, 2010 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

Cubs

would get Dewitt. Johnson to LA. Maybe the Dodgers are more interested in Johnson than Theriot but can not go direct for Johnson. I think both Baker and Fonty are gone if not today by years end.

Go Cubs!

by wild bill on Jul 31, 2010 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

Any of these "deals" would get rid of Theriot

And the Cubs have 0 long-term commitment to Baker and Fontenot. So, no, 2B isn’t a “blocked” position.

by ClarkFan on Jul 31, 2010 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

We aren't getting a star at 2B anytime soon

And any impact prospects at 2B in our organization are still a few years away. So getting an upgrade over our current crop wouldn’t be a problem in my eyes.

by SouthernCub on Jul 31, 2010 12:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

Kelly Johnson----possibility?

If Lilly and Theriot are headed to L.A., but the Diamondbacks are interested in Theriot, why not offer Fontenot/Russell for Johnson?

by bigz38fan on Jul 31, 2010 12:07 PM CDT reply actions  

Not sure

Fontenot is under control until 2013, so you’d think that would appeal to them. But the fact the Theriot sort of plays shortstop might be a big part of his appeal to other teams.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 12:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

3 hours til the answer

can’t wait for this to be over. hope hendry can pull something off besides the obvous (Lilly). Johnson OK in a platoon with baker or Barney, agree the kid Lee is the future along with Castro. Maybe Jaramilo can work wonders with Johnson!!

SDiego and St Loo made interesting deal Cards improved, I think, but their offense is still spotty. Ludwick was a Cub killer (and now they have to face him as Padre).

by QuincyCub on Jul 31, 2010 12:09 PM CDT reply actions  

yikes

I’d rather have Theriot than Bobby Crosby. Theriot could replace Johnson at second, and they’d lower their financial committment for 2011 and pick up a reliever—so maybe something could still get done.

They also wouldn’t lose that much by going with Fontenot instead of Kelly Johnson, and they’d save some cash, so maybe it’d be worth it for them.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 12:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

The MLB network guy are talking about Dee Gordon in a Lilly deal. I think he’s like their top prospect

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:27 PM CDT reply actions  

Gordon is a SS?

Unless we want to move him to 2B

"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)

Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)

by SackMan on Jul 31, 2010 12:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gordon stole 73 bases in 2009... and has 39 this year...

"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)

Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)

by SackMan on Jul 31, 2010 12:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gordon

is their concensus top prospect. He’s in AA right now and has a .698 OPS. He estimated to be ready around 2012-2013.

It’d be great to get a prospect that valuable—BUT we don’t really have any need for a SS in our system. You don’t turn down value like that, but at the same time I don’t know how it improves us at all in 2011-2012.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gordon was rated as one of the most athletic players by BA.

You don’t trade because you have a surplus in your system. I think Gordon is athletic enough to be able to move positions.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

He needs to remain at SS

as his bat (especially power) won’t likely play well elsewhere.

Still I agree, you don’t worry about surplus in the minor leagues. I’d take Dewitt and Gordon.

by rlpete on Jul 31, 2010 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree with you

and I would certainly take the deal (though I’m skeptical it’s a real possibility). It just runs contrary to what Hendry has said about wanting deals that better the team’s chances in 2011.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

from fangraphs:

“1. Devaris Gordon, SS, Low-A
DOB: April 1988 Bats: L Throws: R
Signed: 2008 4th round – Seminole Community College
MLB ETA: Mid-2012 40-Man Roster: No Options: 3

The son of long-time closer Tom ‘Flash’ Gordon, Dee is a speedy middle infielder with game-changing speed. The left-handed hitter stole 73 bases in 98 attempts this past season in low-A ball. He also showed some offensive potential with a line of .301/.362/.394 in 538 at-bats. Obviously the power is not there for him right now (.093 ISO) but he’s a valuable player even if he hits five homers in a season at the MLB level. His speed will help him turn a lot of singles into doubles and triples by moving up via the steal. His walk rate is OK for a top-of-the-order hitter, but it would be nice to see him break the 10% mark. The strikeout rate is acceptable at 16.7%. Gordon should be good enough at shortstop to remain there for the foreseeable future."

Baseball America also rates him as their number 1 Dodgers prospect, and he ranks number 1 in infield defense, speed, hitting for average, and athleticism.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

Why do we want Blake DeWitt

he is 24 but he isnt slugging any better than theriot, do we really want someone that is going to hit 260-270 with virtually no power

by HardForharden on Jul 31, 2010 12:31 PM CDT reply actions  

DeWitt isn't exciting at all...

his biggest attribute is that he’s a slightly better hitter than Theriot, he’s younger, and he’s cheaper.

by SouthernCub on Jul 31, 2010 12:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

The cubs dont get johnson there dumb

They said lee needs atleast anthor year in the minors..But i like johnson and were getting him for nuttin really..Heck throw fonts also..lol

by tazz34 on Jul 31, 2010 12:33 PM CDT reply actions  

Gordon looks like

a good future lead off man for the cubs..

by tazz34 on Jul 31, 2010 12:40 PM CDT reply actions  

Ken Rosenthal – Source: Dodgers trying to make Lilly/Theriot deal work. DeWitt to Cubs if it happens, along with at least one other.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:42 PM CDT reply actions  

Latest from Rosenthal:

Source: Dodgers trying to make Lilly/Theriot deal work. DeWitt to Cubs if it happens, along with at least one other.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:43 PM CDT reply actions  

that

one other better be someone good, i don’t really have confidence in dewitt

by HardForharden on Jul 31, 2010 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

Dewitt is a cheap backup for 2011

If Baker, Fontenot, Theriot are gone, Barney and Dewitt would make a cheap infield bench. Long-term Dewitt isn’t the answer to anything. The Cubs need the prospect to make that work.

by rlpete on Jul 31, 2010 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

From Levine:

Cubs front office has had discussions about moving Tyler Colvin to first base next season.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:43 PM CDT reply actions  

So Fukudome can play RF?

I don’t understand that at all.

by rlpete on Jul 31, 2010 12:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

maybe we are looking at getting a corner outfielder

the only thing i can think of is we think it will be easier to find a better a corner than 1b next year

by HardForharden on Jul 31, 2010 12:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

yes

he is tearing up AA right now, well he cooled off a little but has shown he can hit AA pitching, I see him getting called up in September next year

by HardForharden on Jul 31, 2010 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

Maybe but you can't count on it

Colvin looks like he could be a good defensive RF’er. I don’t understand moving him. I guess Fukudome needs a spot.

by rlpete on Jul 31, 2010 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't understand that either...

Colvin is a pretty good outfielder… and he hits like a corner OF should. Why pull him out of that spot to move him to 1B? I think you’re devaluing is OF defense… and putting him in a spot that seems easier to find RBIs from.

"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)

Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)

by SackMan on Jul 31, 2010 12:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'd like this..

but only in 2011. Bring up Jackson and let him play then go after a 1B in 2012.

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 12:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

from truebluela
Theriot to Dodgers because

McCourt wants to get in on some of that Jersey selling action. "huh huh, it says "the riot"

thats how it works

by jesus christos on Jul 31, 2010 12:45 PM CDT reply actions  

At 12:50 CST

Peter Gammons says that Lilly might be traded to the Dodgers within the next 30 minutes.

by jerry morales rules on Jul 31, 2010 12:52 PM CDT reply actions  

I'd be absolutely stunned if

we got Dee Gordon! That’d be awesome.

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

   Chris Le Duca: Including Theriot will seal Lilly-to-Dodgers deal from Chicago’s view. Dodgers are in a 1-horse race. 7 minutes ago via TweetDeck
LInk

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:54 PM CDT reply actions  

off topic

but i feel bad for michael brenly…people hate on him only because of his dad. haha

by HardForharden on Jul 31, 2010 12:57 PM CDT reply actions  

They hate the idea that he was drafted because of Bob

But he’s developing on his own, independent of his father. I don’t hate the guy, and I wish him the best, although I don’t think he’ll make the majors as anything other then a backup

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jul 31, 2010 1:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

dylanohernandez:

   Source: The #Dodgers are on the verge of acquiring Ted Lilly and Ryan Theriot.
Link

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 12:58 PM CDT reply actions  

According to Jim Bowden (XM Radio), Ted Lilly and Ryan Theriot have been traded to the Dodgers. No word on the return.

by LouPiniellaIsRetiring on Jul 31, 2010 1:03 PM CDT reply actions  

False alarm...

tweet said DeWitt, AA pitchers, and someonelse.. this sucks. Sorry I dont have the link. It was sent to my phone

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 1:05 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah, girl on ESPNEWS

right now is reporting it’s a done deal. No word on return from her either…

"Every player should be accorded the privilege of at least one season with the Chicago Cubs. That's baseball as it should be played - in God's own sunshine. And that's really living." ~Alvin Dark

by DamonBerryhillsMitt on Jul 31, 2010 1:06 PM CDT reply actions  

Hendry sucks...

DeWitt has a centerpiece? You kidding me?

by Ryno G on Jul 31, 2010 1:08 PM CDT reply actions  

Centerpiece on a tablecloth!

"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas

by RiskyBusiness on Jul 31, 2010 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

If only they could
The Cubs have been going back and forth on both deals, knowing they can’t trade Theriot twice.

"They come to see me strike out, hit a home run, or run into a fence. I try to accommodate them at least one way every game." - Gorman Thomas

by RiskyBusiness on Jul 31, 2010 1:11 PM CDT reply actions  

Why are people mad about this?

Obviously, it was the best offer out there, so they took it. People here overvalue Lilly because of the sentimental value, so of course they’re mad. But what’d you expect? You’re trading a good-ish but not great pitcher and an average second basemen. The Dodgers weren’t going to give you their three top prospects in a trade?

:rolls eyes:

by apett8 on Jul 31, 2010 1:16 PM CDT reply actions  

There was

the possiblity of getting premium draft picks if we kept Lilly, so holding out for a good deal would’ve been a smart move.

(rolls eyes)

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Jul 31, 2010 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

people want the trade

to surpass the value of potential arbitration compensation picks, which depending on lilly’s finish to the season would either be type A (1st rd + sandwich rd) or type B (sandwich rd). Since 2011 is considered a loaded draft, the chance to land 2 early picks is significant

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

I suppose.

But I was aiming my comments at the folks who wanted Dee Gordon in the trade.

by apett8 on Jul 31, 2010 1:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

well the dodgers did trade carlos santana for casey blake

so its not out of the realm of possibility, but no it wasn’t likely

i do think people are under-estimating the value of 5 cost-controlled years of Blake DeWitt, who is a about a 2 WAR player now

follow me on twitter for fantasy sports analysis @http://twitter.com/DrewDinkmeyer or get the full analysis at www.fantistics.com

by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 31, 2010 1:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Because

they had deluded themselves into thinking the Dodgers would trade us Dee Gordon.

by Josh Timmers on Jul 31, 2010 5:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

OK

I realize I shouldn’t take anything “ryno G” says seriously. A few posts up he thought Dee Gordon was a reasonable prospect to get from the Dodgers.

by apett8 on Jul 31, 2010 1:18 PM CDT reply actions  

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