Brett Jackson = Mike Cameron?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=edmond001jam

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=jackso003bre

I think Cameron’s a decent comp to, but I like the Edmonds comp because Edmonds similarly performed well at the lower minors. Cameron had his stumbles before putting things together in his 2nd go-around at AA

I think Cameron’s defense was that much better, and I think Brett will hit for a better average.

Finley didn’t strike out as much. He also had a power spike in his 30’s (makes you wonder), and I think Brett will be better defensively.

Edmonds had huge power in his 30’s, power that I doubt Brett will come close to at any point in his career. Of the three, this is probably the comp I’d go to, though. I think Brett can be a slightly above average CF in his prime, like Edmonds was.

One other that I’ve pondered briefly was JD Drew. Seems odd on the surface, and Jackson has to strike out a bit less, and walk a tiny bit more.

CFs of the past 15-20 years. That says alot about him.

I like the Edmonds comparison best.

Not a recent player….lefty with some pop not a high avg. Hope he has more speed than any of those mentioned above that’s one of our main needs, He’s got the body of a ballplayer.

I’ve been guilty of irrational exuberance with some of our farmhands this yr. When we have seasons like this at the ML level, it is hard not to project your hopes for the future on these kids and the expectations can become a bit unreasonable. If nothing else, it sounds like Jackson brings a varied skill set and quite a bit of athleticism – two things missing on the current roster. The validity of the Cameron comp underscores that this team needs some people with major offensive upside, other than Castro and Soto.

Basically this post was to try and bring a reasonable realistic look at what we could expect. I looked into MiLB numbers of numerous players who carry a similar profile to try and see what type of offensive ceiling we could expect from a guy K’ing at 27% and drawing walks. I think ppl get a bit lazy when comping players. The thing is I’m not a guy who says because player X did this in the minors and player Y had similar stats then player Y will be as good as X but it does give us a starting point. Combine that with scouting reports and we have something to start with.

Edmonds is a far better hitter then BJax at the same stage. If you take out Bjax 1st 19 ABS in AA in June his AVG is a very pedestrian .259 over 208 ABS. THis is more in line with what Cameron did then what Edmonds did. Someone pointed out how badly Cameron struggled intially I think we could very possibly see Jackson struggle intially in the ML. I love BJax so don’t take this as me knocking him but the K rate gives me cause to be cautious and I still contend he may never hit for a high AVG at the ML level. Right now I think Bjax is more in line to post a 250-260 avg with 150 k’s then 280-300 w/ around 100 Ks.

I like the Rick Monday comp a lot. That’s something I’ve gotten away from recently. Using historical players gives us a much wider base and closer profiles then when limiting ourselves to players currently playing.

I want to ask…does anyone else see a young Shawn Green in Tyler Colvin?

Like a young Green he’s a tall, high K, mediocre walk hitter with developing power, strong athleticism, and a sweet looking swing (Green’s was sweeter). Both are even first round outfielders who were drafted in the 10-20 range.

I’m surprised to say that Tyler Colvin actually intrigues me greatly in the future. I really like what the Cubs are doing lately.