Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Get To Know: The 2011 Tennessee Smokies


Here's the second installment of my trip around the Cubs minor leagues. I'm doing them in the order that the teams announced their opening day roster, so Tennessee goes next. Tomorrow I'll take on the Iowa Cubs and I'll finish on Wednesday with Daytona.

For the past couple of seasons, the Tennessee Smokies have been the team to watch in the Cubs minor league system. They are back-to-back Southern League Northern Division champions, having lost to Jacksonville in the Championship series both seasons. Once again, Tennessee is the place to be in the Cubs farm system, as six of the current top ten Cubs prospects according to Baseball America will start the season in Kodak.

Also, don't forget to visit our friends at the Smokies Radio Network from time to time.  They run a good website and they're good people. Many of you listened to Mick Gillespie work with Len Kasper during spring training.

The Smokies at the start of this season are a lot like the Smokies at the end of last season, as 20 players on the opening day roster are returning from last season.

After the jump, a look at the roster.

Star-divide

Coaching Staff: The new manager of the Tennessee Smokies is former major league catcher Brian Harper, best known for his time with the Twins in the early 90s. He comes over from the Giants system, where he led San Jose to the California League Championship last season. He's previously managed the Triple-A Salt Lake Bees in the Angels system.

The new pitching coach is Marty Mason, who's spent the last 11 years in enemy territory as the Cardinals major league bullpen coach. Mason has spent the past 25 seasons in the Cardinal organization, coaching at pretty much every level.

The hitting coach is former infielder Mariano Duncan, who you most likely remember from his time playing for the Dodgers, Reds and Phillies.  It's his first season with the Cubs after eight seasons with the Dodgers, including having been their major league first base coach since 2006.

Pitching: The ace of the Cubs staff is right-hander Trey McNutt, who shot up the prospect charts last season by going  a combined 10-1 with a 2.48 ERA and 132 strikeouts in 116 innings (with only 37 walks) for three different teams.  He's got a 93-95 mph fastball (although some say it's rather "flat") and a hard breaking curve. His changeup is promising, although he needs to use it more. A 32nd round pick out of junior college in 2009, McNutt is the Cubs number one pitching prospect right now and has been compared to Andrew Cashner. McNutt made three starts last season for Tennessee in the regular season and struggled, although he pitched quite well for them in the playoffs.

The next pitcher to know is right-hander Rafael Dolis, another top ten Cubs prospect according to Baseball America. Dolis is a converted infielder who missed two seasons to Tommy John surgery, but since returning in 2009, he's consistently hit mid-90s with his fastball. He's also got a power slider and has been working on developing a change. Dolis struggles with his control, so watch his walk totals and how deep he can go into games this year.

The power arms in the Smokies rotation continue with Alberto Cabrera, another BA top ten prospect, at least since the Garza trade. Right now, Cabrera is mostly heat, as he throws 93-95 and can touch 97 at times. He has a couple of breaking pitches, but they're still "under construction" so to speak. Like Dolis, he needs to work on his control. Cabrera pitched for Tennesse last season, but struggled and was sent down to Daytona where he seemed to right himself.  He probably profiles as a reliever in the majors, but there is no reason to give up on him starting yet.

The rotation rounds out with a couple of lefties that I like a lot, Brooks Raley and Chris Rusin. Neither one of them throws hard, but they do throw strikes. Raley has an effective sinker and Rusin throws a nasty curve. As left-handers with excellent control, both profile as back-of-the-rotation starters.

There are several candidates to close for the Smokies, but one to watch is Kyle Smit, who came over from the Dodgers in the Ted Lilly trade. Smit throws mid-90s with a hard slider and a decent split-fingered fastball. He pitched extremely well in relief for the Smokies after the trade, going 5-1 with a 1.96 ERA in twelve relief appearances. He struck out 16 and walked only four in 18 innings with the Smokies. Smit could be a quality major league reliever and don't be shocked if he ends up in Wrigley before the season is over.

Catchers: Steve Clevenger is back for his third season catching for the Smokies. He's a converted infielder who has always had good OBP skills, but his lack of power combined with still learning the position have kept him stuck at AA. I've always been a fan, but his odds are growing long. He'll share duties with Mario Mercedes, who is your typical backup catcher with a good glove and a questionable bat.

Infielders: The big name among the infielders is still third baseman Josh Vitters. Vitters is still young, but this season is considered to be a kind of make-or-break year for him. He's got a tremendous eye and potentially tremendous power, but he needs to be more selective at the plate. His problem has not that he swings at pitches out of the strike zone so much as it is laying off good pitches and not waiting for the pitcher to give him something to drive. If Vitters has a big year, he could be the Cubs third baseman next season. If he doesn't, it might be time to write him off as a bust.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu is perhaps the best pure hitter in the Cubs system. He hit .314 for Daytona last year, his first full season in the minors. There are a couple of big question marks on him, however. The first is whether or not he'll hit for power, as he only hit two home runs in High-A last year. He did famously have that walk-off homer in spring training, so that's a good sign. The other question is whether or not his glove will be able to stick at second base.

Third baseman Ryan Flaherty has shown good power in the minors, but like LeMahieu, there are questions as to where he can play defensively. He doesn't have the quickness to play up the middle and his arm has been too erratic for third base.  While he will likely see some time at third, he may end up playing more left field than in the infield. Flaherty is a good hitter, but his defensive troubles may mean limit his ceiling to that of a utility player in the majors.

First baseman Rebel Ridling has decent power and a cool name. His upside is probably a right-handed Micah Hoffpauir.

Outfield: The Cubs top prospect right now is center fielder Brett Jackson. He's potentially a solid center fielder who hits 20 home runs and steals 20 bases in the majors. He's got all five tools, although none of them are truly outstanding. He strikes out too much, but so far it hasn't impacted his power or OBP skills. The Cubs expect him to be in their opening day lineup a year from now.

James Adduci has good speed, but he struggled at Iowa last year and is back with Tennessee. Matthew Spencer is a big left-hander with good power. Neither are really prospects at this point, although Spencer's power potential leaves me with some hope.

Next up will be the Iowa Cubs. You're likely familiar with most of the players there. Then I'll finish up with the Daytona Cubs on Wednesday.

Comment 48 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Raley & Rusin

I’ve got high hopes for him this season. The first half of his 2010 was rough, but he really put it together in the second half of his season. Given that he switched to pitching full-time recently, I’m hoping he can improve his stuff by a tick or two.

Rusin’s also been a really stout work horse. I get the feeling he’ll end up in AAA at some point this season, especially since he’s done a very good job in the low minors thus far. If he can succeed at AAA, he could be a nice back end of the rotation option for the Cubs. Heaven knows they love their lefties.

The Cubs haven’t had a whole lot of success with drafting, developing, and graduating quality LHPs in recent years. Sean Marshall has been really good, but after him it’s pretty much James Russell and Rich Hill (off the top of my head). Yikes.

by Outshined_One on Apr 4, 2011 11:28 PM CDT reply actions  

Glad you like

Raley and Rusin too. I think the Smokies rotation is just stacked.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 3:01 AM CDT up reply actions  

Raley could be a pen option soon.

Not sold on Dolis or Cabrera yet. Key word being yet. But, yeah, the offense and defense look fairly deep.

by timh815 on Apr 5, 2011 8:01 AM CDT up reply actions  

Pen arms

While I’m alright with Dolis and Cabrera starting right now in the minors, they will have to be moved to the pen if they want to make any positive impact on the big league club. They just can’t hack it in the rotation.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 9:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Great write up Josh.

So I’m reading this right and if the everything goes right, the Smokies could have 5 Players on the team that make the opening day roster next year:

SP: Trey McNutt
RP: Rafael Dolis
RP: Alberto Cabrera

Starting 3B: Josh Vitters
Starting Center Fielder: Brett Jackson

If this happens then in this is what the Cubs Minor League System will have produced:

Starting:
C: Soto
2B: Barney
3B: Vitters
CF: Jackson
RF: Colvin

SP: Big Z
SP: Cashner
SP: McNutt
SP: Wells

CL: Marmol
RP: Wood (kinda)
RP: Marshal
RP: Dolis
RP: Cabrera

That means 14 of the 25 roster spots are from the Cubs minor league system which is HUGE!!!! for a large market team. Needless to say I’m really rooting for the Smokies this year.

by BrewCrew'sPrinceofDarkness on Apr 4, 2011 11:34 PM CDT reply actions  

Wood isn't kinda..

he is a full product of the Cubs system.

Maybe next year is finally our year.

by Unique on Apr 4, 2011 11:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Unless a sizeable contingent of players makes a totally unexpected leap in production, that's a last-place team.

The Cubs’ farm system has done a great job with providing above-average filling-out-the-roster players, but I don’t see superstar cornerstones, guys you build around. And you need those players.

by msquared10 on Apr 5, 2011 8:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

there are very few orgs that can produce

a high number of superstars through their farm system – even the vaunted Rays have made the playoffs only once with their farm system…the idea of having a team like that is now you have 8-10 guys who are cost controlled or making the minimum on your starting roster where you can then go out and spend the money to get an Albert Pujols, Roy Halladay, CC Sabathia, etc… through free agency

by hansman1982 on Apr 5, 2011 9:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

McNutt won't be in the rotation

Unless Dempster somehow decides to not exercise his player option. Otherwise, our rotation will be exactly the same as it is this year.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 9:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not all of those guys are going to make it by next year

of course. You can add Smit to the list of players that could end up in Chicago by next season.

I read someone quoting one scout saying the Cubs have more potential major leaguers in our system than any other farm system. What we don’t have, unfortunately, is a lot of impact players. Our farm system is wide but not deep.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions  

That was also before the Garza trade,

which probably took out 4 of the potential major leaguers from the system.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

Sure

but we’ve still got a ton of low to mid ceiling guys. It’s not exactly a complement,

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 12:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

It's the Wilken Way!

Hopefully his philosophy changes a bit, now that he has brought in a ton of “depth” to the system. More Golden-esque picks, less Tyler Colvins.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 12:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

You really need a mix

Before Wilken, I think Stockstill took way too many risky arms. Very few of them turned into anything. That 2002 draft was disgusting. Four first round picks, two second and two third and the best player they got out of those picks was Rocky Cherry. At least they snagged catcher Randy Wells in the 38th round.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

Definately

Wilken is already a huge improvement from Stockstill. I would just like to see some serious upside picks in the first 5 rounds or so this year. We have the depth that if we miss horribly on 4 of the 5, it won’t hurt very badly. On the other hand, if he goes for “more of the same” with the medium-ceilinged, athletic up-the-middle players, he is merely adding more depth at positions we are already loaded at with similar players.

I should note that 2010 was definately a step in the right direction. Golden, and to a somewhat lesser extent Szczur, were the type of hitters we need to focus on; guys with really high ceilings.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 12:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'd argue

that Simpson is a high-ceiling guy, although I don’t think any of us will know that for sure until he actually pitches.

Can’t wait until Thursday!

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions  

Problem was

Zach Cox was sitting right there and made all the sense in the world. It reeked of a signing pick over a talent pick. Which it ended up being.

" Tell me something Steve, How does a guy from Puerto Rico loose a ball in the Sun? "

by aaronb on Apr 5, 2011 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree with your point,

but disagree strongly on Zach Cox. I honestly would take Simpson over him right now, even though I have never seen Simpson pitch. I don’t like Cox’s power potential (or lack thereof), his lack of solid defense at any position, and the terrible bonus/major league deal that he required. I’m actually happy that Wilken passed on him.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 5:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

Nice work, Josh.

I listened to a few of those ST games on my iphone, and I really liked Mick’s style. Solid, understated play-by-play guy.

Scott Bora$ is satan.

by Canadian Cubs Fan on Apr 5, 2011 5:46 AM CDT reply actions  

Thanks...

..for the preview Josh.

http://www.chicagonow.com/blogs/chicago-cubs-wrigley-bound/

by cubsfan1 on Apr 5, 2011 6:21 AM CDT reply actions  

I really like these minor league reports - Thank you.

If the Cubs still have a chance, no matter how small, it’s still Go Cubs, damn the math and pass the KoolAid.

by eths on Apr 5, 2011 6:26 AM CDT reply actions  

Great work....

…but writing off Vitters as a bust if he doesn’t make the leap this season (so to speak)?

A bit harsh. He’s still VERY young (one of the younger players in his draft class, as I recall). We’d all like to see him do well, naturally, but I hardly think that Vitters would be a bust if he didn’t make huge strides this year.

(For an example, look at Cameron Maybin. Jury is still out on him, but after being essentially written off as a bust after not making it in Florida, he’s looking good this year in San Diego….part of the problem? He was up in the majors for cups of coffee at such a young age, that people THOUGHT he was a bust when really he was just young — he’s only 23 right now.)

by Chadnudj on Apr 5, 2011 6:46 AM CDT reply actions  

Hate to nit pick

The season is 4 games in for Maybin. Lets see what he is doing in June.
 I agree with Josh, this is a make or break year for Vitters. He needs to perform well to show the Cubs he can be part of the future. Ramy’s deal is done this year. Cubs need to know if Vitters will be able to play 3rd in 12 or 13. This has an impact on what to do contract wise with Ramy.

by Grockcubs on Apr 5, 2011 7:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

True, Vitters will impact any Aramis contract talks

But I have a problem with what the original poster said, in that “Vitters needs a big year, or it might be time to write him off as a bust”. If Vitters has merely a solid year, the bust tag definately will stay off. He will be playing almost this whole season as a 21 year old, or the same age that college Juniors are. I’m sorry, but Vitters has AT LEAST a few more years before the bust tag even becomes relevant.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 9:51 AM CDT up reply actions  

Oh I agree....

….on Maybin. That’s why I said the “jury is still out” — 4 games do not make a season.

That being said, Maybin may be an example (if he can continue to produce) of a guy teams (mainly the Marlins, since Detroit shipped him as part of the Cabrera deal, I think) wrote off too soon, forgetting the fact that he was VERY young to even BE in the majors.

As for Ramirez-Vitters, the Cubs have options on ARam, don’t they? If so, couldn’t they keep him on one more year before handing the job over to Vitters (in the event Vitters isn’t ready)? Or shift ARam to 1B? Just throwing out ideas here….

by Chadnudj on Apr 5, 2011 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions  

True.

If Ramy goes off this year or is typical year for him, 31, 108 and a .290 ave., the Cubs are in a tough spot, especially if Vitters struggles. Lets hope they both have good years.
 I do agree with you about VItters if he has a solid year, say 15-17 HR’s. 70-80 RBI’s and a OPS of 780-800, not a great year but a good one. He would still stay in the plans.
 I just hope Jackson continues to improve.

by Grockcubs on Apr 5, 2011 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

I doubt the Cubs would cut Vitters

if he had a bad season this year, but if he doesn’t show something, I think his value goes down to close to zero. We’d also go looking for a third baseman through FA or trades.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

A bad season, yes.

But if he even has just a mediocre season, he will still be on the radar due to his age and skill set. It isn’t a “Fantastic year or bust” scenario with him this year. At least, it shouldn’t be.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, but the Cubs probably need a 3B no later than 2013

And if Vitters isn’t showing he can be that guy they need to look around.

by ClarkFan on Apr 5, 2011 12:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

They should be doing that anyway

Well-run teams are always exploring every possible option. They don’t simply wait and hope that a prospect pans out.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 12:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'll throw out one more name,

but I will preface it with a caveat. Big league shortstops can be really mediocre (charitably). In our division alone, there are three really bad ones starting, in Theriot, Betancourt, and Cedeno. Clint Barmes may be the second best in our division (unless you want to go with Janish from Cinci). Current Cubs fans are spoiled by having a good SS in Castro. That is not historically how it always works.

The SS in Tennessee is Marwin Gonzalez. Few have him on a Prospect list, nor should they. If the Cubs weren’t so in love with AAA being for veteran fill-ins, Gonzalez should be in Iowa. He might be better than Augie Ojeda now, even if Augie were healthy. He certainly projects as more likely than Ojeda to get 1000 more MLB plate appearances.

My shot in the dark guess is that if Junior Lake (repeating Daytona for no apparent reason) gets on a hot streak early in the FSL season, Gonzalez (who did very well in Winter League Ball) will take over at SS in Iowa. But Marwin and Lake should be a step up anyway.

So if a pitcher we like is ‘made available’ mid season, my guess is Michael Brenly (repeating Daytona again due to being blocked) and Marwin Gonzalez might get moved for whoever it is. If Theriot, Cedeno, Barmes, Janish, and Betancourt start in our division, Marwin Gonzalez has value.

If Junior Lake and Arismendy Alcantara (Peoria) are hitting, I’d be good with moving him for value. As long as we don’t give the middling RP we get a two-year 7 million dollar deal.

by timh815 on Apr 5, 2011 7:38 AM CDT reply actions  

Gonzalez got a few appearances in major league spring training games.

He may move up the list with a good AA year.

Check out Chicago sports coverage at SB Nation Chicago

by Al Yellon on Apr 5, 2011 8:29 AM CDT up reply actions  

Great Info.

I live in Atl and have a buddy that lives in Chattanooga, Gonna hit a few Smokies games this season.

People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring. ~Rogers Hornsby

by imacubman on Apr 5, 2011 7:47 AM CDT reply actions  

Thanks Josh

I can’t wait until the Daytona write-up, that’s where I live (at least in the summer) so I get chances to go there. And OT, I actually got a chance to play a game in their park last year.

We'll all miss you Ron.

by alkappy on Apr 5, 2011 9:45 AM CDT reply actions  

If you go to the game

pleas give us reports on the players. (Email me before you go if you’re looking for specific information on who and what to look for). Daytona is the team we get the least amount of info on around here. We’ve got a lot of people living in the PCL and Midwest League footprint and a surprising number of Cub fans live in the Southern League footprint. But we hear precious little coming out of Florida.

But that’s true for everyone who sees the Cubs farm teams play. We want reports!

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 12:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

Raley and LeMahieu

These are the two I will be watching the most in Tennessee (outside of the obvious McNutt/B-Jax/Vitters). Raley was great down the stretch last year and I want to see what LeMahieu can do in a full season after attending Camp Colvin.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 9:54 AM CDT reply actions  

The full Smokies roster

I forgot to put in a link to the full roster.

You can get it here.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 12:07 PM CDT reply actions  

And Chris Rusin

gets the opening night start.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 4:20 PM CDT reply actions  

I will be assuming

that this is merely because it was his turn when the spring training rotation is carried over to the regular season.

by RynoRooter on Apr 5, 2011 5:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'd assume the same

I wouldn’t read too much into it.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 5, 2011 9:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

Last year, my minor league attention was focused on

Castro, Hak Ju Lee, Vitters, and Jackson.

This year, while I’ll still be craving for Vitters and BJax news… I’m hot on DJ LeMahieu, as I would love for either him or Barney to become our long tenured 2B to team up with Castro.

"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)

Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)

by SackMan on Apr 6, 2011 10:16 AM CDT reply actions  

Quick question

Does MILB.com no longer allow you to put bookmarks on players?

by AzCubfan24 on Apr 6, 2011 5:35 PM CDT reply actions  

I don't know

was this a feature in the past? Sorry I can’t be of more help.

by Josh Timmers on Apr 6, 2011 6:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

I recall using it in the past.

When you searched for a player it allowed you to bookmark them. It made it much easier to follow several players over the course of the season without having to enter their name each time.

by AzCubfan24 on Apr 6, 2011 7:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to Bleed Cubbie Blue, the Chicago Cubs blog for the SB Nation, created on February 9, 2005 by Al Yellon

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Maybe it's time to take a deep breath

Recent FanPosts

Zambrano_background_2_small
What is the most likely move in June regarding current players?
Small
Draft Prep: Pierce Johnson
Small
Trying to be positive (need some help)
Small
Soriano back to Second?
Small
Javier Baez Peoria Bound?
Small
Draft Prep: Conference Tournament Version
Despite-an-inflated-babip-lahair-is-no-one-month-wonder
Suddenly, I feel your pain
Small
Start of the LaHair Regression?
Dsc06783_small
Rookie Season Ticket Open House

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

Doug Glanville On His Teammate, Kerry Wood
Thanks.
Samardzija takes a dig at Hawk Harrelson
Chicago vs. Chicago, Round 2.
Wrigley Field Photo Gallery

Recent FanShots

Former MLB PItcher Bob Ojeda On Pitching And Pain
Wrigley Field Supporters Propose Tearing Down Rest Of Chicago
2012 Stars and Stripes Hat
Sveum moves Castro back to #2 spot
OT: Tyler Colvin bats 2nd
The Pittsburgh Pirates Offensive Catastrophe
Roy Halladay Bobblehead Fail
Full sized image
All The Topps Baseball Card Cubs, 1951 - 2012
Rob Neyer answers the question: When should the Cubs call up Anthony Rizzo?

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

Featured Poll

Poll
Should the National League adopt the designated hitter rule?

  973 votes | Results

Cubs By The Numbers

Cubs By The Numbers is a history of the ballclub by uniform number, but the biographies help trace the history of our beloved team in a new way. For everyone who's a Cubs fan, anyone who ever wore the uniform is like family. Cubs By The Numbers reintroduces readers to some of their long-lost ancestors, even ones they think they already know.

Click here to order your copy, available now!

Recent Stories in Chicago Cubs Game Threads

Yahoo_full_count

Recent Stories in Ticket Exchanges


Managing Editor

Alyellontoppscard_small Al Yellon

Front Page Contributors

Profile_small Josh Timmers

B_w_avatar_small Brett Taylor

Marvin_the_martian_small Shawn Domagal-Goldman

Other Contributors

Toonmike_small Mike Bojanowski

Dsc_0139_small David Sameshima