Cubs Minor League Wrap: August 1
Time for the BCB Minor League Player of the Month Award for July. As always, I intend this award to be a reward for good play and not prospect status, but you can vote for whomever you want.
I'm making one change to the voting this month. In the past I had one candidate from each of the top five minor league teams, with one extra from the first two months when Boise didn't play. But Peoria had one seriously bad month and there were two players from Daytona who had excellent months. The best players for Peoria were probably Greg Rohan who got promoted mid-month to Daytona, or Taiwan Eastering, who only played 13 games in Peoria because he was promoted from Rookie Ball mid-month, and his month was really just OK anyway. So I broke my own rules and nominated two Daytona players and no Peoria player. They're my arbitrary rules, I can break them if I want. Don't worry, the Chiefs will have a pitcher nominated tomorrow.
The other issue was that the Smokies player with the best month was Ty Wright, who only took off after getting demoted from Iowa. I don't have a problem with giving the award to a player like Wright, but not for the month in which he was demoted. If he keeps hitting like this in August, he'll get nominated next month.
Now on to the candidates:
Catcher Welington Castillo: He finished the month on the disabled list thanks to a bad hamstring, but Castillo was hitting with the ball with authority before he got sidelined. While his July wasn't as good as his month of June, Castillo did hit over .300 with a .322/.365/.542 line over 16 games. He hit four home runs but only eight RBI, which shows the anemia of the I-Cubs offense this month. But none of that was Castillo's fault.
Third baseman Josh Vitters: The Smokies didn't have a good month with the bat, but Vitters had his best power month of the year with four home runs. His final slash stats of .277/.317/.457 were a bit down from his June numbers, but they included five walks in 26 games, which is also a season high. No, walking once every five games isn't good, but it is at least a step in the right direction for Vitters. He also had 15 RBI in the month.
Shortstop Logan Watkins: Watkins did not have an OBP over .500 in July like he did in June, but he was impressive nonetheless with a slash line of .321/.384/.527. Even better, the power he started to show in June stuck around in July as he hit six triples and two home runs. He also stole four bases and was only caught once.
Outfielder Evan Crawford: I don't care what anyone says, I like this guy. After a disappointing June, Crawford bounced back to his April/May numbers by hitting .363/404/.451 over 23 games. He scored 22 runs and he stole eleven bases without getting caught once in July. Those numbers probably aren't sustainable, but I'd like to see him get a chance in Tennessee so we can find out.
Catcher Rafael Lopez: The Cubs 16th round pick out of Florida State, where he was a teammate of Easterling, hit his first, second, third and fourth professional home runs in the month of July. His triple slash stats for the month were .308/.398/.462 and his defensive reputation coming out of FSU was strong. As a four-year player in college he's a little old for Boise, but someone has to catch there. So far, he's making the most of it.
After the jump, today's games.
Iowa Cubs
The Iowa Cubs blew a 7-0 lead after five inning and a 7-2 lead after seven innings to fall to the Memphis Redbirds, 8-7.
The bullpen blew a great start by Casey Coleman. He allowed two runs on two solo home runs over six innings, but no other runs. He allowed only four total hits. Most importantly for Coleman, he struck out eight and only walked one.
Scott Maine got the last out of the eighth inning, but then ran into trouble in the ninth. He allowed a single and a walk with no outs, and then retired the next two batters on a strikeout and a pop up. After a two-out walk loaded the bases, Maine served up a walk-off grand slam to Redbird Shane Robinson. Robinson hit two home runs for Memphis tonight.
Shortstop Jonathan Mota hit a solo home run in the fifth inning; his fifth of the season. Mota also doubled in a 2 for 4 game. He had two RBI.
Left fielder Lou Montanez was 4 for 5 with a double. First baseman Bryan LaHair went 3 for 5 with a double. He scored once and batted one in.
Catcher Chris Robinson went 2 for 5 with a double. He scored twice and had one RBI. Right fielder Brad Snyder went 2 for 4 with a double and a walk. He scored once and had one RBI.
Tennessee Smokies
The Tennessee Smokies defenestrated the Birmingham Barons, 5-2.
Starter Marco Carrillo allowed a solo home run in the second inning, but that was the only run he allowed over seven innings. He only allowed four total hits. He walked two and struck out five.
Marcus Hatley pitched a scoreless ninth inning for his second save. Hatley walked one, but did not allow a hit. He struck out two.
Third baseman Josh Vitters was 2 for 4 with an RBI and a run scored.
Daytona Cubs
The Daytona Cubs celebrated Shark Week by spearing the Jupiter Hammerheads, 4-3 in ten innings.
Angel Guzman pitched two shutout innings to start the game. He gave up one hit but walked no one and struck out two.
Kyle Smit then ended the game with two shutout innings to get the win. He allowed two hits and walked one batter intentionally. Smit struck out one.
Third baseman Rafael Valdes hit a walkoff RBI single in the tenth inning to score Justin Bour from third. Valdes was 2 for 5 with two RBI.
Catcher Michael Brenly was also 2 for 5 with two runs batted in. Right fielder Abner Abreu makes his first appearance in the Minor League Wrap by going 2 for 4 with his first Cub extra-base hit, a double. He scored once.
Center fielder Matt Szczur was 2 for 5 with a triple. He also stole a base.
Peoria Chiefs
The Peoria Chiefs sawed off the Clinton LumberKings, 8-6.
Starter Sterling Peralta picked up the win by allowing only two runs on five hits over five innings. Peralta walked three and struck out three.
Yohan Gonzalez allowed two runs on four hits over 2.1 innings to get the save. Both runs scored on a two-run home run in the ninth inning. Gonzalez did not issue a walk and struck out one.
First baseman Richard Jones hit his 18th home run of the year in the sixth inning with a man on. Jones was 3 for 5 on the night. The home run gave him twenty career home runs for the Chiefs, making him only the 16th player to accomplish that.
Third baseman Dustin Geiger went 2 for 4 with a double and a walk. He scored twice.
Right fielder Anthony Giansanti was also 2 for 4 with a double and a walk. Giansanti had one RBI.
Catcher Micah Gibbs went 2 for 3 with a walk and a hit-by-pitch. Gibbs scored once. Left fielder Ben Klafczynski went 2 for 4 with a walk. Klafczynski scored once and had one RBI.
Boise Hawks
Coming home to the Treasure Valley.
AZL Cubs
Hayden Simpson pitched four innings and gave up one run on three hits. He walked three and struck out four.
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Crawford needs to get a shot.
"You win because of the quarterback. We have to get that position stabilized. We're fixated on that." -- Jerry Angelo (12.30.2008)
Jerry Angelo trades for Jay Cutler! (4.2.2009)
Evan Crawford
He’s had a great year. He needs to move up to TN to see what he can do there.
by Mulhollandmania on Aug 1, 2011 11:15 PM CDT reply actions
Haha definitely.
Tennessee is pretty baren right now. I wanted Crawford to get promoted before Ha did, but I understand why they did it. They could easily make room for him though.
Personally I think Crawford would get eaten up in AA...
His K’s makes me think he has trouble recognizing breaking balls/offspeed stuff or he can be beat by a good fastball (or both). I’m think it’s breaking stuff, since his physically he has bat speed. He’s improved from last year’s 57 PA where he K’s 16 times, but I think he’s the kind of player who could use a good chunk in High A. I think he might see a few ABs in AA at the end of the year anyway, just to get his feet wet.
Ha is better mechanically than Crawford. He doesn’t BB a ton, but he really gets the bat on the ball and, when he’s on, spray/hit line drives. He doesn’t have Crawford’s speed, but he’s got more power potential and defensive skills of his own.
I'm in your camp, concerning Crawford
I want to come around on him, but I just can’t. He strikes out about 20% of the time; he walks less than 6% of the time; he has very little power (hasn’t ISO’s above .100 in the Cubs system), and his stats are currently looking pretty due to a .416 BABIP. For a guy who is turning 23 in 3 days, I’d expect a little bit more.
Not recognizing breaking balls
Has always been the big knock on Crawford.
by Mulhollandmania on Aug 2, 2011 4:39 PM CDT up reply actions
It's a tough vote this month...
But great day from Vitters, Szczur, Abreu, and Geiger. Good to see Szczur get back to his power hitting ways before his injury. XBH and speed. Geiger still doubling. Seems like Vitters has had a nice few games lately.
Watkins gets the nod for me-
only b/c of the position he plays defensively- SS. It has been amazing the turnaround this guy has undergone. I was definitely writing him off as another Huseby oversigning gone bad. Here’s hoping he keeps it up.
I also would like to see Crawford at AA as he is old for Hi A.
People who think is system is deep is crazy
I’m seriously struggling with my top 30 right now. I have too many guys deserving. Probably about 40 guys. It’s not like it matters because it’s just a ranking system, but still..
The problem isn't that the system isn't deep
It’s that it isn’t high. There are too many guys deserving to be in the top 30. There aren’t enough guys deserving to be in the top 5.
by Josh Timmers on Aug 2, 2011 10:00 AM CDT up reply actions 6 recs
Best way to put it
They have two liter bottles now? To think I spent all that time demanding a liter!
How many of those names I listed the one night....
have a chance at your list? I think I rattled off 30 and maybe missed a bigger name plus small names.
I’m getting a clue thinking about where the farm system can be next year.
Here's what I've got in the Top 30 right now..
Jackson, Szczur, Baez, McNutt, LeMahieu, Vitters, Vogelbach, Ha, Flaherty, Golden, Maples, Wells, Cruz, Simpson, Kirk, Castillo, Dunston, Geiger, Easterling, Beeler, Struck, Wang, Liria, Clevenger, Chen, Dolis, Lake, Beliveau, Rhoderick, Jackson.
And thats with me forgetting to put Whitenack who certainly has to go in. I also need to move DeVoss in, as well as Crawford and Watkins. Other interesting guys who could easily make a case for..Del Valle, Peralta, Reed, Kim, Rosario, Penalver, Candelario. And that’s not even mentioning the Mesa guys or other draft signees.
Maybe switch DeVoss in for Easterling, Maybe take two of Liria/Cruz/Geirger/Chen off for Watkins and Crawford…Or maybe just one and take one of Rhoderick/Jackson off (I’d vote Rhoderick)…..the young guys like Liria/Cruz/Geiger/Chen will have their day anyway….and I’d try harder to sneak in a Penalver/Canderlario in there for publicity’s sake…2010 big money IFAs showing real progress and getting a ton of praise from Badler from BA…
That’s just my suggestions, and I’ll probably make a top 30 at the end of the season anyway so mutual notes I guess.
There's alot I could do.
Personally, I like Easterling, so I doubt I completely remove him from my 30, but the best part is there’s still quite a bit of games left for changes.
This is my take as well
I’ll wait until the end of the year to make my list. If a guy like Burgess keeps showing the improvement, he gets in there. If Abreu shows that the adjustments he made the past month are legit, he might sneak in. I’m also much more willing to give these guys the benefit of the doubt over all the bullpen arms.
The only bullpen arms I really like are
Dolis and Carpenter, and I could see just one of those two making it. Hell, it might not even be one of them. It might be Cabrera.
I've pretty much disregarded Carpenter
because I don’t think he’ll be eligible as a “prospect” at season end.
I really like Kurcz as well
I think his stuff is late-inning quality.
Good call...
Kurcz and Burgess are two guys I’ve consistently forgotten about when making a list for top 30…Kucz should be in there, and Burgess is borderline at the worst (especially if he steps his game up).
I went Castillo.
I’ve noticed him alot in these wraps over the past month, and a young C showing power is always nice. It should be said that the PCL has been described as the Arena Football of MiLB, but this is a nice little breakout year for him.
Wasn’t Watkins ranked pretty high in the system last year? Overall he’s having a solid season. I like the OBP, 3Bs, and the above average SB%. Also two hot months in a row (at least) is pretty good to see.
I like some of Crawford’s game too Josh. He really steals bases well, he’s probably a good defensive player, and he’s hitting doubles (always a good thing). He won’t be a starter, but he could be a big upgrade over someone like Campana as a speed OF off the bench.
Re: Watkins
Yeah, he was top 10 for some people post-2009. But he wasn’t top 20 for hardly anybody post-2010. The rebound is really nice to see.
Watkins
was a big overslot signing out of HS in KS. He got off to a good start in Boise, but slumped badly last year in Peoria. When he got off to a bad start in Daytona this year (and bad is understating it. He was hitting around .125) I kind of wrote him off. But he’s rebounded nicely and is showing some power. He’s finally getting to play shortstop (he’d been HJ Lee’s second baseman) and that adjustment might have something to do with his turnaround.
by Josh Timmers on Aug 2, 2011 10:04 AM CDT up reply actions
Matt Szczur
Looks like he is going to easily crush Trout’s A+ numbers as far as XBH’s go.
Trout 50 G 9 2B 2 3B 4 HR also 11 SB 6 CS
Szczur 17 G 4 2B 2 3B 2 HR 4 SB 0 CS
And I still believe he’ll finish with the .300 average as well.
Another one of those crazy athletic guys
I have fallen for them before – and I think I may again. Love the progress and cannot wait to see where he is at this time next year.
"Hey.....Cubs win!!!" ---Harry
"Cubs win....what a lucky break!!" ---Harry
I'm rooting for you Ryno
People called your Trout comps crazy. I was not one of them. I hope he is just as touted and is even better—yes he’s older but he could have a better career. You never know.
Ben McDonald, Todd Van Poppel, Ryan Klesko and Andy Benes were all supposed to be perennial all stars too you know.
Come on Lisa, I'm trying to impress people here. You don't win friends with salad. ~ Homer J. Simpson
by TheBeerBaron on Aug 2, 2011 7:18 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Becomign a bigger and bigger fan of Szczur
i think his ceiling may be higher than BJax, which would make me more comfortable including jackson in a deal for a big OF bat, aka Kemp or Upton (SG’s favorite). Personally i think kemp is more available. no way the dodgers can hold on to him and eithier with there financial situation.
That's what I have been saying
and Ethier might even be the way to go here. He’s having a down season for him (although his OPS+ is currently above his career average at 131) and lower power numbers (10 HR in 388 AB’s) but he has a better career OBP (.849 to .835) and is more consistent year to year than Ethier and probably won’t cost the Cubs as much—in terms of prospects—because he’s on more of a down year than Kemp—who is having a career year.
That said, Kemp is two years younger and might be laying the ground work for the type of player he will continue to be this season.
Come on Lisa, I'm trying to impress people here. You don't win friends with salad. ~ Homer J. Simpson
by TheBeerBaron on Aug 2, 2011 10:10 AM CDT up reply actions
*More consistent than Kemp
Come on Lisa, I'm trying to impress people here. You don't win friends with salad. ~ Homer J. Simpson
by TheBeerBaron on Aug 2, 2011 10:11 AM CDT up reply actions
I've had similar thoughts about Ethier.
If we could by fairly low on him I think it would be a good move, he may be able to hit 25+ with a move to Wrigley.
Yeah.
But we need to start getting better defensively. I think Upton or Kemp would be my choice.
'Never look down on anybody unless you're helping him up.'
Oh me too.
But if Ethier could be acquired without giving up Jackson I’d be interested since Upton or Kemp would certainly require BJax.
It's not so much as a down season for Ethier as it's been a down couple of years...
for offense in the MLB.
He’s doing what he normally does, but in a much weaker offensive/run environment than he’s been in his whole career.
I can’t say I’m too big a fan of either Dodger guy on the Cubs. I’m Upton all the way when it comes to trading for a star OF who’s team soon won’t be able to afford him.
I don't think anyone would take Ethier/Kemp over Upton right now
It’s just a matter of availability. A floundering team with severe financial issues would at least entertain the thought of trading their soon-to-be expensive AS OFer, whereas a team in contention wouldn’t likely consider it. Upton is definately the superior player, though.
Is it accurate to call Upton a "star OF"?
At what point is he just an underachiever? He showed star potential in 2007, but really not since then. I don’t know that I ever recall seeing him play, but just glancing at his stats, I’m not sure what screams star?
"Enough foreplay- let's get crackin'"- Fred Garvin
I think you're talking about the wrong Upton...
BJ Upton fits your description. We’re talking about Justin Upton.
BJ Upton is almost certainly available, but has been mediocre/bad since 2007. Justin Upton is much younger and is having a fantastic season.
That said, I don’t really think Justin Upton is going to be available. He was rumored to be shopped last offseason, but his emergent year makes that seem like a long time ago.
Well BJ has had a 4.5, 5, 4, and a couple two WAR seasons.
Personally, I think he’s got good baseball ahead and maybe be a Mike Cameron-esque player over the next 4-5 years.
But yeah, the star Upton is Justin. 23 and he’s been worth 13.1 WAR over the past 3 years, with a 26/20 HR/SB season at 21.
Either one would be a boost here now that I think about it…
I'm not sure why Arizona will soon not be able to afford Upton...
he’s signed for under $7 million next year and under $10 million in 2013. He’ll be expensive in 2014 and 2015 (~$15 million), but given Arizona’s payroll obligations (next to none) I don’t think that’s a huge problem.
Given his relatively low cost and his performance this year, I don’t think they’ll be looking to trade him anytime soon.
I don't think it's affording Upton that's the issue (in the short term).
It’s that they’re going to lose alot of veteran talent in the next two years. Saunders, Johnson, Drew, Putz, and Montero will all be FAs either this year or next. Plus the whispers started last year with him, and like Felix Hernandez I feel it’s almost inevitable that he’ll be traded. The Cubs should be ready for it when it happens. If not, then FA 2015 (?) ftw!
In fairness, Trout was 3 years younger at the same level...
and had a much higher OBP than Szczur. That’s not to say Szczur is a bad prospect. He’s a really good prospect, just not at Trout’s level of prospect status.
Your point is valid that not all prospects work out. Of course, that works both ways (for Trout and for Szczur).
I know. But I don't treat Szczur as a seasoned college guy
He didn’t play much baseball until now, so I pretty much treat him like a guy who was drafted out of HS last year.
True, but in terms of body development...
Szczur is much further along in his progression.
I agree that Szczur has plenty of room for skill development given he was a part-timer until this year. But he is still 3 years further along the physical development curve (relative to his league), which may explain the power numbers.
I also don’t expect Szczur to ever walk at the rate that Trout does. But who knows?
I don't think Szczur
has any more room to “fill out.” The guy was pretty ripped from football at ’Nova.
I love Szczur, but he’s not close to Trout as a prospect.
by Josh Timmers on Aug 2, 2011 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions
I agree - I didn't say he had more room to fill out...
that was actually my point. He has more room to develop his skills, but he’s already filled out (as opposed to Trout, who was 18 when he played A+ ball). Both have room to develop their skills (as Szczur is older but lost development time to football), but Trout also has room to fill out.
Point taken
I also don’t expect him to walk at Trout’s rate. I also don’t expect him to K at Trout’s rate either.
I agree
although Trout’s K rate isn’t at all outrageous. And what he’s doing with the BB and bat suggest he’ll hit more than Szczur.
It's definitely not outrageous
As far as the second part, that’s probably true. I’m not trying to argue that I’d rather have Szczur than Trout, I hope everyone understands that.
Right...
We’ve discussed before I think. Szczur and Trout have many of the same skills (K rate and BB rate being the major differences in types of skills) – Trout just appears more promising with those skills.
I’m excited about Szczur for sure. He’s a really good athlete and he’s showing some real promise.
Yeah.
It almost sounds like your bashing the other guy when you take either side. It’s just not fair. Both Szczur and Trout have star potential. Trout at this point, has superstar potential though.
Szczur might be a force for the next 10 years, and the opposite might happen for Trout. Or vice versa. You just never know.
They are called prospects for a reason.
'Never look down on anybody unless you're helping him up.'
DJ
Is struggling. 7 for 41 over his last 10 games and 0 for his last 16.
Is this just a slump or is there anything more to it that isn’t showing up in the box score?
They have two liter bottles now? To think I spent all that time demanding a liter!
I'm curious about this too.
LeMahieu struggling is weird.
Seeing him under .300
Just doesn’t seem right, which is why I’m wondering if there’s something more to it than just “being in a slump”.
They have two liter bottles now? To think I spent all that time demanding a liter!
hr
may be being asked to sell out for more power?
Maybe they're working on something else...
All three of Jackson, LeMaheiu, and Flaherty have only flashed, if anything, in AAA. If Von Joshua is at that level then maybe he’s working with them on tweaks and workouts. Could be a case of results being secondary to development in the minors…all three a pretty young for the level in their own way (Flaherty only in that he’s a first timer).
That's a possibility
And personally I hope that’s the case. Better to be working on mechanics and struggling rather than just struggling.
They have two liter bottles now? To think I spent all that time demanding a liter!
Davis needs to get called up to Boise
His numbers are good enough in Arizona. He’s hitting cleanup. His D sounds good enough.
But that isn’t why.
Cabezas and Lopez are rotating between catcher and DH, both playing every day. There is nobody else in the OF or IF that deserves the DH role. They are the only two catchers on the team.
Get someone else up there. Davis would be as good of an option as any.
I'm a Cubs fan. The Jaded Bitterness comes as a Standard Feature.
I assume it's just a slump...
I haven’t heard anything about injuries, and his peripherals don’t look out of whack. What the slump does is illustrate how dependent LeMahieu is on having a really high AVG. Currently, his average in Iowa is just solid (.278). But now his OBP and SLG are virtually identical to the OBP and SLG put up by Darwin Barney in his first year at Iowa.
LeMahieu has the frame to add power, and at 23 he’s still pretty young. But at some point he’ll need to actually develop some pop. Otherwise, he’s going to be reliant on trying to hit .333+ (which is not likely at the MLB level) in order to be an above-average offensive player at 2B.
He was starting to show some doubles power in AA this year. Hopefully he can get to that level at AAA either this year or next (at 23, there’s not a rush to get him to the majors).
Reply fail...
meant to reply to Say Ramrod. Oops.
Agreed...
Considering his struggles in Iowa this year, his age, and the fact that Barney is tolerable at 2B, there’s no reason to rush him (unless he has a breakout month and offseason). I don’t think he’s going to do much more than Barney until the power develops, so we might as well stick with Barney and let LeMahieu begin in Iowa.
Hopefully by mid-year next year he’s making a push for the starting job in Chicago. But I think that’s dependent on the power arriving.
I was wondering why there wasn't more responses to a question regarding LeMahieu
You bring up a good point. The more concerning aspect of the slump isn’t necessarily his AVG it’s the other numbers such as OBP and SLG.
He is still young so I too believe that there isn’t any reason to rush him to the show. Plus I believe he will put on some weight and add that extra power that doesn’t seem to be there this year.
They have two liter bottles now? To think I spent all that time demanding a liter!
Not to mention that he'll be 22 in November
Give the kid a challenge. As you said, Boise has the roster space and I’d like to see Neftali Rosario get the vast majority of starts down in Mesa. But this isn’t just a Davis/Boise thing, it’s an organizational “problem”. We have an interesting catcher at every level.
Mesa: Rosario
Boise: Cabezas and Lopez
Peoria: Gibbs and Burruel
Daytona: Brenly (although he’s more questionable than interesting)
Tennessee: Clevenger and Flores
Iowa: Castillo and Robinson
All the more reason why Koyie Hill should never be on the big league club ever again.
So...
… maybe the Cubs will get something for that Fontenot deal after all.
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I'd like to see him in the role Campana plays in a couple years.
Late inning defensive replacement/ pinch runner, and Crawford has a better harm and bat. May not be quite as fast, but still has lots of speed.
I'll go a step further
I’d like to see him in the Reed Johnson role—right handed hitting 4th outfielder, plus being pinch runner extraordinaire. This season he’s actually hitting righties better than lefties. Assuming that’s just a fluke, I think Crawford could be a good half of an outfield platoon.
But he’s going to have to be promoted to Double-A before we can find that out. The swing-and-miss numbers are a reason for concern.
by Josh Timmers on Aug 2, 2011 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions
Nice to see Loosen get the bump
He clearly was above Peoria.

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