FanPost

Soriano's stats broken out in his hot and cold HR periods; 2011 & 2010

One of the biggest questions facing the Cubs is left field or what to do with Alfonso Soriano. My question is whether or not should be playing anything more than a part-time role player regardless of his salary. The Cubs are not going to be able to trade him and DFA’ing him with 3 years on his contract is not going to happen until sometime in 2014. The thing is he does have 19 HR’s this year but decidedly in two hot streaks; April 1 to May 2nd, and then now starting on July 22nd to the present. So I looked into his numbers for 2011 and 2010 and broke them out within and outside the hot periods. (See Below)

 

 

Games

Bat’g Ave

OBP

SLG

OPS

HR

RBI’s

2011 accum

116

.242

.272

.463

.742

19

52

2011 hot

56

.250

.265

.625

.890

16

36

2011 cold

60

.236

.287

.335

.622

3

16

2010 accum

156

.258

.322

.496

.818

24

79

2010 hot

73

.258

.319

.585

904

17

46

2010 cold

83

..258

.324

.427

.684

7

33

 

Overall 77% of Soriano's HR’s come inside those hot streaks where also produced 63% of his RBI’s in just 47% of the games he played. But it gets worse when you compare NL left fielders, a position where it is expected offensive production is generated. Braun leads the way with a .977-OPS and .324-BA and 21-HR’s where one can debate that he is tied with Holiday with a .984-OPS, .317-BA and 17 HR’s. But where does Soriano would rank in OPS when he is hot, just above CO's Carlos Gonzalez (.855-OPS) and when cold below Jason Bay of the NY Mets. Overall Soriano's OPS ranks just above Prado and Ibanez and tied with Carlos Lee this year, coincidentally another big bad contract with a poor fielding LF'er.

 What all this is telling me is that Soriano is only productive less than half the games he starts, so a manager must realize that and play him accordingly. The obvious would be to platoon someone him with a left-handed OF’er (Jackson? Colvin?) and expand the playing time when he gets a month hot streak and diminish the playing time when he is in his cold period.

Thus these stats appear underscore why the Cubs just cannot afford to pencil in Soriano in the lineup every day where the Cubs need to produce more offensive consistency.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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