FanPost

Run-scoring efficiency: Cubs unsurprisingly bottom

I'm sure we've all noticed that the Cubs are having a ridiculous amount of trouble scoring baserunners, but how bad is it really? It's often the case that fans overstate their own team's problems: they're more familiar with them than they are with other teams', for a start. In this case, though, the Cub Nation is entirely justified in its despondency.

This list shows the percentage of baserunners who end up scoring. Everything else is factored out: how runners get on base, which base they get to when they do, how many outs there are when they do it. All that's counted are these two things:

Baserunners: hits - HR + walks + HBP + reached on error + catcher interference. Home runs are discounted because they don't result in a baserunner. Weird fact: 3 players have reached base on catcher's interference so far this season, and all of them are Diamondbacks

Runners scored: Runs - HR. Again, Home runs are discounted because the hitter was never a baserunner. Any other runners scored on a home run are counted, though.

Run-scoring efficiency is simply Runners scored / Baserunners, expressed as a percentage

Team	Baserunners                 Scored         Efficiency
STL		244			92		37.7%
NYM		244			86		35.2%
COL		286			92		32.2%
SFG		263			82		31.2%
MIL		228			68		29.8%
CIN		3O3			9O		29.7%
ARI		273			8O		29.3%
PIT		245			68		27.8%
PHI		247			67		27.1%
WSN		222			59		26.6%
ATL		241			61		25.3%
SDP		237			59		24.9%
LAD		268			6O		22.4%
MIA		233			52		22.3%
CHC		2O9			45		21.5%

Given the closeness of the Cubs' games so far, it seems clear that anything even remotely like a league-average performance would have resulted in several more wins. In fact, if 28.3% of Cub baserunners had scored - that's the average - they'd have 14 more runs, which would probably make their record so far look a lot rosier than it does now.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

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