FanPost

Cubs Attendance Predictions – Upcoming 10 game homestand

If time permits, I think I will do this for each of the remaining homestands in 2013. When predicting the attendance, I am giving myself a range of 1,908 fans (If Gonzalez can field a Sunday hop, it could have been 2003) for each game. I will factor opponent, matchup, weather, promotion and day of week, and ticket behavior on Stubhub to finalize the prediction. Without further ado, here are my predictions.

4/29 – Padres (29,000 – 30,908) – Nice weather, weak opponent, value game

4/30 – Padres (29,500 – 31,408) – Nicest forecast for the week may drive some walk up sales to this value game.

5/1 – Padres (28,800 – 30,708)

5/2 – Padres (24,800 – 26,708) – Can’t the Padres go away! Potential to have the lowest attendance in years, the Cubs should have offered some of the nicer promotions to lure some fans for the Padre series.

5/3 – Reds (31,500 – 33,408) – The first of four promotions for the Topps cards. I think if they were giving away 20,000 of these cards, they would have sold more tickets. Be on the lookout for people that will be offering $10-15 for your pack as you enter the door but I do not think it is driving ticket sales as there are hundreds of seats for under $15 on Stubhub. Chance of rain.

5/4 – Reds (33,900 – 35,808) – 10,000 Derby Hat, Saturday.

5/5 – Reds (32,700 – 34,608) – 5,000 kids color their own shirts and 1,000 kids run the bases. I love the kids runs the bases, I hate that it states it is only for the first 1,000 kids. If the Cubs actually enforce this it would be very poor form.

5/6 – Rangers makeup (28,900 – 30,808) – 10,000 Winter hats. There will be a lot less people in the stands than the attendance that is ultimately announced

5/7 – Cardinals – (34,000 – 35,908) – This will be interesting to see what the attendance is to the Cardinals game as this is an opportunity to see them at a reasonable face value price, but it is still has a chance to be quite cold.

5/8 – Cardinals (32,700 – 34,608) – Pink out in the bleachers won’t drive many ticket sales.

And there you have it. I am Confident that I will get at least 7 of these right. We’ll see how good I am as the season progresses.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Al Yellon, managing editor (unless it's a FanPost posted by Al). FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable baseball fans.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Bleed Cubbie Blue

You must be a member of Bleed Cubbie Blue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bleed Cubbie Blue. You should read them.

Join Bleed Cubbie Blue

You must be a member of Bleed Cubbie Blue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bleed Cubbie Blue. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker