FanPost

What MLB players active in 2013 with 10+ years of experience are HOF worthy?

Happy New Year everyone. With the 2014 HOF voting results to be released tomorrow, I thought it would be interesting to assess the active MLB players active in 2013 that have been in the league 10+ years as to their HOF prospects. It is important to note, that my assessment is incorporating each player’s "glide path" to the end of their career and not if their careers ended today. Bottom Line, there are not many with 10+ seasons that were active in 2013 that are HOF worthy (note: Verlander, F. Hernandez, Fielder, Cano have 9 years of service, but if they had 10, they would be on the list below).

Here is the ranking system:

10 – Lock - >99%

9 – Likely first ballot HOF (90-99% of vote)

8 – Hall of Famer (getting 80-89% of vote)

7 – Borderline (best HOF vote 70 – 79%)

6,5,4,3,2,1 (I think you get the gist)



Mariano Rivera – 10 – will he get 100% of the vote when his turn is up?

Ichiro Suzuki – 9

Derek Jeter – 9 – (Single digit Yankees uniform numbers will be hard to come by…)

Miguel Cabrera – 9 (Are we looking at the future RBI King?)

Albert Pujols – 9 (Career could end today and he is in)

CC Sabathia – 7 (I think 75 more wins and he is in for sure)

David Ortiz – 7 (he was a 5 before the year started. Though I am not a Big Papi fan, playing in Boston is a 20% bump in votes and the WS MVP helped quite a bit – even though Edgar Martinez is a better hitting DH)

Roy Halladay – 7 (From 2003 to 2011 – top 5 in CY voting 7 times – that is a dominant stretch)

Joe Mauer – 6 (Injuries have hurt his chances, moving to first may help, but he won’t have the power numbers or careers numbers to do it)

Yadier Molina – 6 (I don’t think he can repeat the last 3 seasons for the next 3, but if he does, he is in)

Carlos Beltran – 6 (He was wise to go to NY, 3 very good seasons there and he is in but I don’t think it will happen)

David Wright – 5 (He will have very nice, but not HOF worthy numbers)

Adrian Beltre – 3 (Same for Adrian)

Alex Rodriguez – 4 (PEDs)

Andy Pettitte – 5 (PEDs, but at least he admitted it)

Torii Hunter – 3 (Defense will help, but far from reaching HOF threshold

Jose Reyes - 1

Tim Hudson – 3

AJ Pierzinski – 2 (Love him or hate him, he will have put up a decent career, and he wins)

Alfonso Soriano – 2 (the last two years have helped, but his late start will hurt him)

Todd Helton – 1

Paul Konerko – 1

Adrian Gonzalez - 1

Aramis Ramirez – 2 (If he did not miss 200 games to injury over the years, he would be at 2300 hits, ~1400 RBIs and ~400 HRs at age 35)



There are likely some more 1’s or 2’s out there (but I do not think there are 3’s or higher). Interesting to note that 4 of the 8 players with a score of 7 or higher were on the Yankees.

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