So I (as probably you all) have been thinking about our farm and what Epstein, Hoyer, etc. are doing. I seem to remember them saying they generally consider hitting prospects a surer bet than pitching prospects, which I've been meaning to research at some point. Has anyone else already looked into the difference in success of pitching and hitting prospects? I'm guessing--even disregarding the huge increase in TJ surgery--this statement is generally true, but how true? Is the washout rate for low floor, high ceiling hitters (like Baez sometimes looks) on par with potential TOR arms? Does the difference start to decrease as supposed potential decreases?
And how about success? Is the (possibly) higher success rate with hitters counteracted by a higher likelyhood that a pitcher will reach his ceiling? Something else?
Like I said, this requires research and time, two things I currently don't have. Has anyone else found anything substantial?
That is all.