Halfway Home
Over .500 after half the schedule for the first time in three years (OK, so it's not very much over, just over at 41-40), the Cubs looked like a team on a mission as they dispatched the Nationals easily 7-2 last night.
This is what good teams must do -- take care of business when they play teams that are clearly inferior to them. There's not a lot to say specifically about the game that you likely don't already know, so I'm going to commend you to the diaries by NittanyCub and Chris, who were at the game and can give you more flavor of what it felt like, and I'm going to sing the praises of Mark DeRosa once again.
Here's a guy who many of you flamed Jim Hendry for signing, and he's now hitting .286/.363/.452, just about what he hit last year as a first-time regular last year in Texas; he's on pace to drive in 92 runs (currently second on the team), and last night played his fourth position in the last week, and had two more hits and three RBI, and made a pretty slick snag of a screaming line drive (he's played five of them all told this year, including a handful of games at 1B, after being promised he'd be the regular second baseman upon signing). He never says a word about this, nor about being shuttled anywhere from 2nd to 7th in the batting order, and often, players who play several positions in the field are so focused on getting the fielding right that their offense suffers. Not so with DeRosa, who's hitting .319/.367/.422 since May 27, and I don't think it's coincidental that the Cubs have played some of their best baseball since then. He'll be playing third base, most likely, tonight, as Lou is likely going to rest Aramis Ramirez so he can play in tomorrow's day game.
Incidentally, although DeRosa hasn't played exclusively 2B this year, he has played 44 games there, and if he had been playing 2B all year, his 46 RBI would rank tied for third among all major league 2B (behind only Chase Utley and Dan Uggla).
And, he played under Bobby Cox in Atlanta and has lifetime numbers of .368/.429/.632 in 19 postseason at-bats.
In addition to Jason Marquis and Ted Lilly (who threw a really nice game last night, winning his 7th of the year), Mark DeRosa might be the best of all Hendry's signings. Bitch all you want, but Hendry, I think, did an excellent job of signing free agents to fill Cub needs last offseason. That three-year, $13 million deal doesn't look so expensive now, does it?
Finally, it's been driving me nuts, ever since a couple of you mentioned to me that you thought new Cubs reliever Billy Petrick looked like Kerry Wood. I didn't think so but I knew he reminded me of someone. And last night, watching Petrick throw (and he threw a really nice inning), I figured it out. He's a thinner version of Bobby Jenks. No, really. Check out these links:
Now, Jenks is about to eat himself out of baseball. Petrick's a tall dude (looks even taller when he wears his socks up as he did last night), and if he stays in shape and keeps throwing the way he has so far -- maybe the Cubs have a bullpen find.
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Resting....
Well..
I imagine Lou wants the guys to stay in the groove. He even said so in an interview, that his big concern was making sure that the Cubs only take 3 days off for the All-Star Break, not 5 (i.e. coast before the break and drop winnable games). Keeping the regulars in the game last night was a reminder that the Cubs need every win now, just like they may need them in August/September. Plus, almost all of these guys (with the exception of DLee and Soriano, and DLee may be getting an extra break due to his pending suspension) are going to have those 3 days off very soon, so why rest them when they're playing well and risk throwing them off stride?
I can't fault Lou for that decision, given the time of the year and the need to keep intensity up all the way to the Break.
(Of course, I could be wrong, and you could be very right....I've never played a 162 game season, so I don't know how much those guys would have benefited from a couple innings off)
Resting....
While that is true...
It wasn't going to happen. That was the PERFECT time to rest those guys.
I might have pulled Ramirez last night, given his knee troubles, but that's all.
I was also upset...
Supposedly that is why we hired him - let's hope he keeps the mojo working!!!
Because they have blown too many big leads
Agree with you about the FA signings
Amen
But in all honesty, with Lilly, Marquis, Soriano, DeRosa, Ward, and Floyd, this might have been one of the best offseasons in Cubs history. Both Lilly and Marquis are pitching like at least #3s in the rotation (and neither contract looks that onerous anymore), DeRosa is the Cubs' answer to Chone Figgins/Ryan Freel (god I love the way he plays), and Soriano (while there are many years left on the contract) showed in June what we have to look forward to.
I'll admit that I was wrong
Yet, Ward has come up with some big hits and did a servicable job filling in for Lee earlier this season. Floyd gives us some additional power in our lineup and hasn't been as terrible as I feared in the outfield.
I hope they continue to make me eat my words!
Don't forget.....
Hey Al...
LOL
If he's dealt now, and same for Cesar Izturis, it'd almost have to be to a team that has bad contracts of its own so that the dollars are roughly equalized.
I know this was rumored about
by NO100 on Jul 3, 2007 9:30 AM CDT up reply actions
If this is true...
Someone answer me this.
Well...
BS
A $1 billion dollar deal is financed with loans. A loss of $5 mil in revenue right off the bat is a major sting... and when you have a group of investers, it takes money out of each of their pockets.
but the cubs are on the hook for 7.5
Anytime you're paying significant salary
If he was at least contributing in a role, you could justify the bad contract... because you'd still be getting some service out of it.
And, even if they would've completed that Marlins deal, it would've been valued a negative transaction from a business standpoint. You're basically paying $7.5 mil for a class A pitching prospect. That would have to be one hell of a prospect.
Any transaction that takes place from now until the team is sold, will be done so with a critical business sense... and for good reason.
It's unfortunate some moves in the past weren't measured with the same stick... cause we might not have even had Jones in the first place, if that were the case.
i see your point
if the pitching prospect was graham taylor (i think that's the name, some correct if i'm wrong, please), then by all accounts it was a hell of a prospect. here again, selig didn't have any problem with the cubs lobbing a huge signing bonus at a ND WR, who wasn't nearly of the same pitching pedigree as the florida prospect.
i think more than anything, it's the timing of selig's decision here that makes it so auspicious.
Two points
I think calling Graham Taylor "a hell of a prospect" is a bit of hyperbole. He's a prospect and a decent one, but he wasn't even one of the Marlins top ten prospects.
Secondly, Bud didn't intervene on those other cases because he has a different purpose now. Back then, if the Tribune wanted to waste their own money, that was their problem. But now he wants to see the Cubs sell for as much as possible to drive up the selling price of every other team on the market. From every expert on baseball economics that I've read, the way to drive up the price is to eliminate as much debt as possible.
I think Bud really, really wants to see the Cubs sell for $1 Billion.
by Josh Timmers on Jul 3, 2007 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions
Josh...
by Damen Jackson on Jul 3, 2007 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions
Well
Debt is debt. I don't think it makes any difference whether it's being paid to players or as interest on a stadium. If you can find something that argues differently, I'm all ears.
by Josh Timmers on Jul 3, 2007 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions
but
That's false
yes
oh, and
Actually...
Bottom line...it doesn't matter if you are a prospective buyer. Buyers aren't looking that low at costs, and by the time a buyer officially comes on the scene, that line item would be moved to a short-term liability, as it expires end of 2008. What you are likely really seeing is Selig acting as a Zell liaison, as if he can move the payout on that cash into 2008, he can dump it on a new buyer.
by Damen Jackson on Jul 3, 2007 10:47 AM CDT up reply actions
There's no way...
Look, if you go ahead and look at the Forbes numbers, the Cubs are worth $600 million. There's quite a bit of criticism of the Forbes numbers from all corners, but nobody has ever alleged that their valuations are off by $400 million.
So where's the discrepancy? It's this: the operating revenues are completely irrelevant to the sale price.
Baseball teams have funny economics, because there's a scarcity factor that exceeds their earnings/revenue potential -- there's a prestige factor to owning a professional sports franchise.
As far as revenues are concerned, Jones's salary is a drop in the bucket compared to other issues, like the fact that the Tribune Company probably has sweetheart deals for the team's radio/TV coverage that will wildly depress profits until those deals expire. (This issue is mitigated by the inclusion of the Tribune's share of CSN Chicago in the deal.)
From a brand valuation point of view -- which is really what's important here -- the savings of not having to pay Jones's salary up front pales in comparison to the fan base discontent with the organization if it can't make moves to capitalize this year. It's penny wise and pound foolish at best.
Just to reinforce this a bit...
thanks for this
According to those pages
by SouthsideCub on Jul 3, 2007 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions
how does the
"From a brand valuation point of view -- which is really what's important here -- the savings of not having to pay Jones's salary up front pales in comparison to the fan base discontent with the organization if it can't make moves to capitalize this year. It's penny wise and pound foolish at best."
so, even if selig thinks he has the best interest of the other owners at heart, he might, in effect, be screwing them over. nice.
Fenway Park has...
OMG SHUT UP!!!
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions
You
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm currently...
Yes, there really is a "Sports Studies" discipline. I seriously have gotten to do research papers on how Henry Chadwick created the box score.
Where do you go to school?
I was speaking...
by Damen Jackson on Jul 3, 2007 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions
Selig
This is crap, why does he have anything to say about this kind of stuff if teams are agreeing to a deal. Meanwhile, I feel horrible for Jones. I don;t see how you justify playing him when theteam is tearing it up without him playing. Yet, there he remains, on the bench, pinch running here and there, striking out here and there...he seems to be handling it well but if I were him, I would be pissed and probably talk to Selig about him running my career (or future in mlb for that matter) into the freakin ground.
He's not
He's actually looking out for the other owners. He wants to get the highest sale price possible for the Cubs so that it sets the market high.
He's like a condo board owner who is telling a tenant that they can't paint their condo blue because that would bring down everyone's property values.
That doesn't make it any better, of course.
by Josh Timmers on Jul 3, 2007 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions
good point....
And that of course isn't in the best interests
Anyone
Every commissioner has been a servant of the owners. Sometimes they end of picking winners and losers between the owners when they fight, but they are always acting in the interests of the owners.
The owners hire him, pay his salary and he serves at their pleasure. It's not even remotely possible for him to overrule them and act as a neutral, impartial observer.
This has been true of every commission from Kennesaw Mountain Landis on down. About the only time I can think that a commissioner went against the clear wishes of the vast majority of owners was when Happy Chandler allowed the Dodgers to sign Jackie Robinson. Of course, since baseball officially didn't ban any black players, he had a perfect cover for his (in)action.
by Josh Timmers on Jul 3, 2007 11:48 AM CDT up reply actions
My tooth fairy days are quite a ways in the past
Interesting point,.......however
But then
That a little different case because MLB owned the Expos, but there we were talking about maybe $300 thousand.
by Josh Timmers on Jul 3, 2007 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions
I need to add
by Josh Timmers on Jul 3, 2007 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions
appreciate the insight
interesting that Selig is now involved...
The crux of the matter is that teams look at Jones as a DFA like Milton Bradley and only willing to trade a low level minor league player for beating the waiver wire.
Hendry will have to make a decision by Sun the 8th or Thurs 12th, that is when Dempster will probably come off the DL and they have to free up a roster spot for him.
Exactly
yep
The ownership thing...
well
I get the feeling...
Any idea what the parameters of that Minnesota deal were, or the personnel involved?
by Damen Jackson on Jul 3, 2007 9:31 AM CDT up reply actions
yeah
Seriously,
My biggest concern is Jones, so a more rugged contract for someone playing a position of need, like relief, would be acceptable. Of course, assuming Hendry doesn't take on something even worse.
Al, what's your opinion? What move do you want to see?
I'd agree with you.
That's the place I'd look for help -- relief pitching.
Gotta agree there
REALLY pissed at Selig... nixing the deal because he doesn't want "his buddy" to inherit the revenue loss when the team is sold.
Here, here
Couldn't agree more.
yeah
no doubt
by buckmulligan on Jul 3, 2007 10:35 AM CDT up reply actions
DeRosa's
I can't agree more with the posts made about his professionalism and the way he plays the game.
by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 3, 2007 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions
I had no Idea DeRosa has such a good voice
Things are
Seems like it was a different season
What happened?
They are finally playing to their potential and more importantly (to us) meeting fan expectations - although I am amused by the calls to draw & quarter - put favorite scapegoat here - whenever things go south.
I haven't heard from...
I'm fairly certain
Well that's pleasant news...
The Cubs continue to waste ABs on...
by Jerry Mumphrey on Jul 3, 2007 10:25 AM CDT up reply actions
thats my Boyeeee
by Johnny Callison was a Cub on Jul 3, 2007 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions
I'll say it again
Can we get official confirmation from Al on this?
The poster...
It would be nice
Well...
I suppose it was
As you'll notice...
Don't worry
Myself- I'm very happy to be watching the club play well and entertaining baseball.
by SouthsideCub on Jul 3, 2007 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions
In his defense
The emergence of Fontenot at second has really balanced the line-up nicely, giving them a left handed bat in the infield that they desperately needed, and the decision to not let JJ get in the way of the development of Pagan and Pie will make this team a much more balanced one that it would be with him striking out, er, I mean playing everyday.
That's not to mention the leper colony that was the bullpen the first six weeks of the year.
I don't think that anyone could've expected the return that they've got on the kids (Theriot, Fontenot, Marmol and, God willing, Petrick) so far this year.
The mini-youth movement is the reason for this surge. When young teams start winning, crazy things can happen. I think that team that beat us in 2003 could attest to that.
All star break: rotation shuffle?
I'd agree with this...
Lefties already split up...
If you just want to split up Hill and Marshall, that's another story. But with 3 lefties, two are always going to be back-to-back.
they call it arm slot...same as RH'ers
That's fine...
That's what I have
I'd rather see Z
by Ihatethecards on Jul 3, 2007 10:09 AM CDT up reply actions
Nobody wants to agree with you but yes Al,
i'll agree
Mmmm...
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 11:42 AM CDT up reply actions
Mmmm...
Of course not!
As Bill Cosby would say, "Hey, hey, (hic), hey!"
Hendry
Re: Derosa signing
But, he signed him to be the everyday 2B... just like he signed Soriano to play CF? Our spring training camp was loaded with 2B prospects: Theriot, Fontenot, and Patterson. And the #1 overall prospect in our entire system was a CF named Pie.
Mistakes, mistakes, mistakes... that Lou had to fix over time... and got us off to a horrid start to the year.
The fact that only D-Lee and A-Ram remain at their positions, out of all the position players from the opening day line-up (projected starters for the year), tells you a lot about Hendry's offseason.
Interesting assessment
I'm not disagreeing with you...yet. I'm not sure what I think about Hendry's offseason moves yet.
He signed Soriano to play CF?
I feel really bad...
I was so-so
He seems to be a player every team would covet, works counts, plays everywhere, and hustles. Great move to sign him.
by Johnny Callison was a Cub on Jul 3, 2007 10:48 AM CDT reply actions
Yes, it was a great
That's a fair assessment SackMan...
I don't consider the bullpen problems resolved either until the roster has 12 pitchers. There are still too many outfielders and Kerry Wood has yet to throw one pitch out of the bullpen in a major league game this season. All of this was just plain bad judgment, planning and decision making by Hendry in the offseason.
I think he did a pretty good job with the staff
Marshall was rehabbing his arm, and Miller was an unknown. Great to have Marshall back.
Giving Eyre and Howry 3 year deals wasn't the best move either. But, they were in place for opening day, and the pen looked adequate.
Altogether, I think our pen is OK...despite the scrutiny of the earlier part of the season. Yeah, we blew some leads, but we also lost those games in numerous ways due to bad, bad baseball.
Good point
by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 3, 2007 11:31 AM CDT reply actions
And yet...
And Lou was definately part of the free agency acquisition planning. Remember back to all of the articles this offseason -- Lou was the guy that went into the room with Soriano and convinced him to bump the Cubs from sixth choice to first choice.
If the Cubs can keep even right where they are right now -- just barely above .500 -- this will have been one hell of an amazing turnaround in just one offseason.
I know Lou...
I thought it was Jim Hendry that convinced Soriano? Hmm.
Piniella knows what it takes to win
I just heard Mark Giangreco with Coppock on AM 1000, and he said Piniella didn't do his homework with the club, and he should have known early on there would have been problems. I couldn't disagree more. Spring training does not give you what you need to assess a ballclub. You need to see guys when the games matter, to determine what you have. He saw, and he acted, it's just a shame Hendry couldn't figure some of this stuff out after watching Barrett and others for multiple years. Regarding Giangreco, it continues to amazes me, how little the local media knows about baseball.
I agree with you 100%.
I don't agree with a lot of what Hendry does, but I can't fault him for the moves he made this off-season and ,as you pointed out, he had Lou's help.
This has been an amazing turnaround in one off-season already, considering we were 30-51 at this point last year. I agree though they have to keep it up.
by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 3, 2007 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions
I agree with you 83%
Coming from his successful orgs in Seattle and Cinci, the defense up the middle in both cases was far superior. As so easily we forget when the team is doing well, there was some very crappy play on the field during the 9 of 11 loss streak in May.
Also, while not leading the league in BB, we have moved ourselves up to the middle of the pack - up from LAST in MLB last year. This is good.
If you recall, in ST, the team was trying to embrace the new hitting coach's patience philosophy which did not translate to the regular season for 60 days in the regular season.
Still, while I begrudgingly give JH a tip of the cap after falling asleep two years in a row (we will all be regretting the fact that he did NOT have the forethought to extend Z LAST year ala Oswalt)we still have a problem with JJones taking up a roster spot making Lou have essentially a 24 man roster.
So, did Lou not do his "homework"? I think he may have made some assumptions which turned out to be innacurate. But - what is COOL about Lou, imo, is he is NOT afraid to make changes in short order if something is not working right.
UNLIKE the last guy.
And you can count me in the 10% of the board inhabitants who wanted he over Girardi (this time).
by TheEman on Jul 3, 2007 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Good point.
I think that we will be dealing with the aftermath of Hendry for many years to come. At least now, like you stated, we have a manager that will make changes. I know it is way too early to sign praises, but so far Lou has impressed me with his handling of the situation.
by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 3, 2007 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions
30-51 at this point last year..
by deadcatbounce on Jul 3, 2007 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions
let's put this into perspective though....
The reason Lou was hired was because of the 'win now' vandetta on this team...thus the free spending. What we have is a team that needs Lou, but one that will need to win NOW (in the next couple of years) because likely will be so hamstrung with hefty contracts in 3 yrs that it will be difficult to add the appropriate pieces at that time.
Yes and no...
Strip down, and rebuild...Do we win?
Go for broke, and win it now? Is this gonna finally do it?
What I certainly did not see was an impending sale holding up the GM's responsibilities to try and make the team better both this year and going forward.
And, Bud Selig can go screw himself.
by TheEman on Jul 3, 2007 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions
A bullpen idea...
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 3, 2007 12:20 PM CDT reply actions
No Way!
No, I actually HAVEN'T seen that.
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 3, 2007 3:31 PM CDT up reply actions
Pitching Matchups...
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 3, 2007 12:22 PM CDT reply actions
Brew Crew Ball
i was readin that earlier
Yeah, I saw the mocking diary.
Same as I had to do
On the subject of jerks...
That's life.
What's the address
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions
I think you might be misreading our site
Just so you know, I post regularly at the other BCB (www.brewcrewball.com). If you read the thread and the diary in question, I don't think you'll see a lot of jerky comments. (Admittedly, we like the word "vitriol," but, hey, it's a fun word.)
But there's no mocking of Al, who seems like a nice enough guy. There is some Cubs bashing going on, but it's being egged on by a Bleed Cubbie Blue poster who's taken up the name "princefieldersdiet." Here's how he opened one of his (unprovoked) first posts:
It goes downhill from there.
Actually, we usually treat our guests very nicely, as you'd see here when a Cubs fan visited before the series. Like most people on this site, we like our team and try to get along with pretty much everyone. We like charts and graphs, which some people here think is kind of funny, but whatever --- we've had several people from outside our blog ask about them and where they can get them.
I only ask that before you make up your mind that "those fans over there are real jerks," that you go read the diary and read the game thread from today, and decide for yourself. I don't think our behavior is inappropriate --- in fact, we're being a lot nicer to the poster than he deserves. I think you'll find that we have a lot more in common than you might think.
Well, other than in the standings, I mean. :)
Fair enough
Prince fielder's diet???
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 3, 2007 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions
Thanks for this.
No harm done
I like charts on graphs too!
I've been known...
Oh, right...
Oh I got it - never mind
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 1:40 PM CDT reply actions
Solomon Torres
So
But
If Torres sucks so badly, then they are probably motivated to dump his ass. So how about 1 suck for another suck?
All of us here seem to think someone will trade suck for suck. At least that is what the posts indicate of late.
Again
Jones would be the 2nd highest paid
Torres makes less money than both JJ and Cesar
Arggggghhhh!
The Pirates are already carrying 6 OFs
Look for another trading partner
Stickin to my guns.
Before you all freak out...that was a joke. I suppose they wouldn't want any of our players.
How is it
Nice try bud
The BIG difference
At BCB, we post consistently, win or lose.
Mostly lose, but maybe this year will be different at season's end!
by TheEman on Jul 3, 2007 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions
At this rate
by Scott @ Bleed Cubbie Blue on Jul 3, 2007 3:19 PM CDT up reply actions
The other Cubs fan
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 2:34 PM CDT reply actions
Yeah I saw that
Who knows?
GO CUBS!!!
by lovejones72 on Jul 3, 2007 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions
Who cares what happens with the Brewers site
The thing is, if the source is a real "fan" that has lived and breathed Brewers baseball for decades, much like a bunch of people here have, I have no problem with their opinion whether inflammatory or not. You'd hope they'd be intelligent enough to leave it to baseball-related discussion as opposed to silly remarks and comments but you get what you get. For those "fans" that have just become infatuated with a team that is winning, I've got no time for them, nor are their comments worth reading or discussing.
Amen
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 3, 2007 3:35 PM CDT up reply actions
um, al?
just one quibble with your post, where you write:
"Not so with DeRosa, who's hitting .319/.367/.422 since May 27, and I don't think it's coincidental that the Cubs have played some of their best baseball since then."
unless you're arguing that the cubs as a team perform best when derosa isn't hitting as well, which i don't think you are, then i would humbly suggest that yes, it is a coincidence, considering that earlier in that paragraph, you point out that derosa's numbers for the YEAR are .286/.363/.452.
I'm not getting your point.
Tortured syntax, maybe, but I think you get my point.

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