Blow-Up

It's over! Start planning for 2006! Trade everyone except Prior, Zambrano, Ramirez and Lee! Go get someone, Hendry! You haven't done a darn thtgkjrmang....
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Hey, who let Chuck in here?
Seriously, though, you all know me. Mr. Optimist. Mr. One-Day-At-A-Time, Mr. We Can Win On Any Given Day, Mr. Give-Hendry-A-Chance... This one hurt. There is no way, NO way you score six runs on the Cincinnati Reds and don't beat them. In a stunning display of inept relief pitching, the Cubs bullpen gave the Reds the following: five hits, five walks, a stolen base, a balked-in run, and six total runs in a meltdown we haven't seen in weeks. The resulting 9-6 loss to the Reds split the four-game series, and that is simply not something a contending team can afford to do.
Is it over? Of course it's not. There are 67 games left. Know where the Cubs were after 95 games in 2003?
They were 47-48, one game worse than they are right now, 4.5 games out of first place, and that was before Jim Hendry pulled the trigger and got Aramis Ramirez and Kenny Lofton. Yes, the Cubs dropped into a fifth-place tie with the Marlins in the wild-card race with the loss. Know where the wild-card Astros were on August 18, 2004?
59-60, one game under .500, fifth in the wild-card race, eight games behind the Giants.
So it can be done. And yes, Chuck, I agree with you -- it can't be done with the team as it is currently constructed. The offense actually did a pretty good job today, getting fourteen hits and a pair of walks. You'd be right, though, if you pointed out that with that many baserunners, no caught-stealings and only one DP turned by the Reds, they ought to have scored more runs. Nine freaking runners left on base -- and it was that way after the fifth inning.
That's totally unacceptable. You simply cannot leave that many men on base, especially when the score is already 5-1 -- with that many chances to score, the score should have been 8-1 or 9-1 by then. That would have made it much more acceptable that Greg Maddux, likely gassed in the heat, took himself out after five innings and only 71 pitches. The bullpen simply didn't do its job today, and Jim Hendry has to stare hard in the mirror and pull the trigger on some sort of deal to improve the relief corps.
Yes, Scott Williamson might help. But we don't know that for sure, and whatever help he can give is at least two weeks away. There's no way Hendry can wait that long.
OK, rant over. There were some bright spots today, and you know me -- I like looking for those. Todd Walker is wonderful -- he hit a three-run homer that made it 5-1, and why on Earth Dusty thought that taking him out of the game for Jose F. Macias, is beyond me. JFM must be sharing the Compromising Photo Collection with Todd Hollandsworth (conspiracy theorists note: Holly didn't play at all today). Aramis Ramirez homered in the 9th; of course, by then that was of the Sammy-Sosa-Meaningless-Jack category. The 9-6 score, in fact, was identical to the score of this game -- you'll have to click on it, I don't really want to mention the date itself -- and it felt about the same, a game that coulda-shoulda-woulda been won, but wasn't.
Jerry Hairston also made a wonderful, diving catch to end the seventh inning with the Cubs still leading 5-4 and at the time, it appeared that this catch would save the game. There was much debate in today's game thread about whether Ryan Dempster should have started the eighth inning:
- sure, considering the alternative.
- But, no manager today gives closers two-inning saves.
- Even though, occasionally, it IS the proper thing to do.
- And, once Dempster came into the game, he sucked too.
But geez, Jim Hendry has GOT to go out and get some bullpen help.
Keep the faith. That is, after all, why we are fans, isn't it?
UPDATE [2005-7-21 17:25:04 by Al]: Kerry Wood will not go to the DL -- yet. But he will miss at least one start; I presume Glendon Rusch will take his place.
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49 comments
Comments
Not an original thought I admit but..
by BeerCub on Jul 21, 2005 5:13 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Jamie Moyer?
by Al on Jul 21, 2005 5:20 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
In Moyer's defense
by BeerCub on Jul 21, 2005 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
My Mistake
by BeerCub on Jul 21, 2005 11:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Top pitcher?
Ever hear of a guy named Prior? Or Zambrano? And he is definitely no better than Maddux - maybe abobut the same, but no better. Shoot...I would wager that Jerome Williams would put up better numbers over the rest of the season than Moyer.
by big_lowitzki on Jul 22, 2005 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Look At This Year's Stats
by BeerCub on Jul 22, 2005 4:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's what I've been saying
by mike bornemann on Jul 21, 2005 5:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Winn
by Whitebacon on Jul 21, 2005 8:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
no he's not
by jameslcrockett on Jul 22, 2005 12:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm with ya Al
All this time Dempster had been lights out, I was trying to figure out, which would be the game when he would break down and have a bad day. I never guessed right, but today was that day. He has been awesome and I'm sure he will bounce back. Fortunately for him, he doesn't have history of blowing important saves(even though he blew his first game but he won that day)and people won't begin to hate him because of today.
by sparkles721 on Jul 21, 2005 5:20 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Bad Team?
by sanman on Jul 22, 2005 1:19 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
we will never learn
just look at the nothing trade this week, did that help this team? NO! all it did was get rid of a player that dummy baker didnt like.
folks we are screwed, these people know we are going to come to the park if they win or loose.
by wheatfield mike on Jul 21, 2005 5:28 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
wheatfield Mike...
by mannytrillo on Jul 21, 2005 7:13 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm just curious...
by sparkles721 on Jul 21, 2005 5:31 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Who knows?
All of this is unconfirmed, btw, and some of it is conjecture. He is upset about something, and all anyone can think of for him to be mad about is Wil Cordero.
Yes, if Livan goes under the knife, it is very good news for the Cubs. But I expect the Nationals to come crashing back to earth, with or without Livan.
by Josh77 on Jul 21, 2005 6:09 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wil
I'm losing all the respect I had for Livan.
by Carlos on Jul 21, 2005 6:50 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No kidding.
by Al on Jul 21, 2005 7:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
This just in
He apologized, big deal. The harm is done.
by Carlos on Jul 21, 2005 8:22 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Al...
If the Nats can emply Carlos Baerga, they can give Cordero time to get his potent bat going.
by jameslcrockett on Jul 22, 2005 12:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
We should take up a collection
Jessica
by jessica on Jul 21, 2005 6:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Poor Livan....
by mannytrillo on Jul 21, 2005 7:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't understand....
How is it so stunning when we should epect this for a poorly talented bullpen. Obviously you don't expect them to pitch this badly, but whenever they blow a save (13 this year) or lose a game (18 this year), it really doesn't stun me anymore. i have almost become immune.
But yes, it was a very touhg loss today.
by mannytrillo on Jul 21, 2005 7:06 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Dunn?
by Carlos on Jul 21, 2005 7:11 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Novoa
I agree with anyone who says that the Cubs should focus on acquiring a solid reliever, and just wait a couple more weeks for Nomar to be able to (hopefully) provide that extra bit of offense.
by Zachary on Jul 21, 2005 7:20 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Trade him
That guy shouldn't be in that role. He should be closing for Iowa.
Novoa /shiver
by Carlos on Jul 21, 2005 7:31 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Big Whacky
by AlabamaCubFan on Jul 22, 2005 7:53 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm...
by Miss Fantastick on Jul 21, 2005 8:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Um why does Mitre "need " it ?
rather go with guy with actual proven track record.
Jessica
by jessica on Jul 21, 2005 8:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just one game, I hope
Two weeks ago, if someone had offered 8 of 11, but the 11th was to be a painful blowout, what would you have said? Let's not get too down on them.
by routinepopfly on Jul 21, 2005 11:09 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Yes, Rusch...
What I mean is that Dusty has Mitre, a starter who has many good innings under his belt, sitting around in the bullpen, getting to pitch every other day. He needs to quit wasting that talent and let Mitre start. This is an opportunity that Dusty should notice.
by Miss Fantastick on Jul 22, 2005 12:27 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Mitre...
Rusch, on the other hand, has been outstanding as a starter, not so good as a reliever. Rusch should get Wood's spot, and Mitre should go back to Iowa to start every fifth day.
by Al on Jul 22, 2005 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cubs Chances
The Bull Pen has been far from dependable. Only the great catch by Harriston kept them in the game today. I think Dusty should be batting him and Walker 1-2 every game from here on out. I don't get to watch enough games, because I am not in a comcast area, but it seems to me they have to be more agressive in their base running.
I don't know if any one would take Wood at this point, but I think he has to go. He has great stats as far as era and batting average. I don't put that much stock in actual pitchers win, because it is a team effort. But he can not stay healthy, his control is terrible. He is 28 and there doesn't seem to be any hope he can remain healthy for an entire season. If Patterson shows any type of improvement, trade him too.
by sanman on Jul 22, 2005 1:36 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Wood and waivers
PS Dusty sucks, fire him!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
by jimhickman on Jul 22, 2005 7:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wood
by grover on Jul 22, 2005 8:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think they have a shot at the wildcard
by Boilerfan on Jul 22, 2005 5:02 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's exactly what I've been saying...
I still think 90 wins will get the wild card. That would mean the Cubs must go 42-25. That's doable... IF they can shore up the bullpen and get another bat in the lineup.
Nine days till the non-waiver trading deadline. There's still time.
by Al on Jul 22, 2005 5:47 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too much dreaming...
- NO ONE IS GOING TO TAKE KERRY WOOD OFF OUR HANDS. Keep repeating that. To think otherwise is nuts. What GM worth his salt would mortgage the final two months on a pitcher with obvious structural and mechanical flaws? None. He's our Kerry, at least for the rest of this season.
- All this hand-wringing over the bullpen: "Hendry better get bullpen help now! I demand bullpen help!" Just who is Hendry going to get? Has it not occurred to Cubs fans that every GM of a team in true contention is looking for bullpen help? Theo Epstein is DESPERATE for bullpen help and he has the talent, money and will to make what little is out there happen. Hendry is competing with at least half a dozen teams for very few reliable arms.
- All teams, including the Yankees, must live with offseason mistakes, and the Cubs are now living with the lack of roster foresight that characterized the winter. It can't be "fixed" now, only tweaked.
by chmcneel on Jul 22, 2005 9:36 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
The bullpen...
Now hendry has added Dempster, Fox and Williamson, but they were are pulled off the injury heap for free basically and no risk. 1 worked, the other didn't.
by mannytrillo on Jul 22, 2005 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bullpen help
The only deal that would include a reliever right now is the rumored JC Romero for Bronson Arroyo.
Romero would be a humongous upgrade to the team and if the Red Sox call pull the deal off, so can the Cubs! Bronson is basically Mitré in two years, the same stuff and the same track record. Throw in a prospect and there you go -- the Twins would rather send him to the National League than to the Red Sox.
by Carlos on Jul 22, 2005 2:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree...
I don't see the Red Sox trading Arroyo for bullpen help. But the Cubs could, absolutely, send Mitre and, say, Wellemeyer for him.
Think the Twins would go for that?
by Al on Jul 22, 2005 5:48 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That and a little offense
by Carlos on Jul 22, 2005 8:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kerry Wood...
Remember some GM's signed some crazy deals (Milton, Brown) to pitchers that were crazy, so with Wood's potential it is not crazy to think a GM would take him, but he would have to agree. Remember we got LA to take Hundley for Grudz and Karros.
by mannytrillo on Jul 22, 2005 11:05 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
You underestimate...
You also fail to appreciate that the Cubs wouldn't get fair trade value for Kerry even if some GM were to take that risk; a couple of years ago, Kerry would have commanded top talent, but that's not the case right now. Eric Milton was signed because 1)He was healthy and available in a weak off-season for FA pitchers and 2)becuase Dan O'Brien overvalues W/L records and doesn't look at peripheral stats. LA took Hundley before Paul DePodesta took over that team, and that was a fluke steal. Kevin Brown was a broken pitcher, but he had at least put up phenomenal numbers MANY times in his career and the Dodgers and Yankees historically overpaid free agent veterans. Both teams are learning their lessons.
Younger GM's with some business and SABR smarts aren't going to take a 28 year old pitcher who has only started 30 games twice and has obviously been throwing the wrong way for a long time. More and more it appears that Kerry's future is in the pen, where minimal use may yield maximum value.
by chmcneel on Jul 22, 2005 11:22 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Sosa
If the Cubs were in a better position now, then they might splurge on someone to help their wild card chances, but I doubt they'll be willing to take on much extra salary.
A straight trade, in which the salary obligations traded away about equal those taken on, would be consistent with what they've been doing. There will be some trade, just to satisfy the fans who demand it, but not necesarily anything big.
Really, I think that as early as last winter they were already looking to the 2006 season as the time to make their move, and that's why they didn't look for obviously needed relief help then.
by routinepopfly on Jul 22, 2005 12:13 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Sosa...
by jameslcrockett on Jul 22, 2005 12:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
the difference...
The Cubs have had their glaring holes all year long (two seasons long actually) and have done squat to fix them. There is absolutely no faith in this team required by the fans part until they do their job and get us a winning team... this team is not a winning team.
We don't have a manager who can rise above his team's inequities and insufficiencies.
by jameslcrockett on Jul 22, 2005 12:26 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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