Trade Rumors
It was just reported on ESPN 1000 that Hendry is putting together an impressive package of prospects to trade for Carl Crawford. I personally would love to have Crawford. He is a freakish athlete who has never played for a good team. In the right atmosphere I think he could become a superstar. I know some people on here may not be a huge fan of him because of his lack of plate discipline and obp but I think alot of that could be attributed to playing for a pathetic team.
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102 comments
Comments
Until a deal is close
by Hammer on Nov 13, 2007 9:22 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
If Soriano, Pie and Crawford
by El Borto on Nov 13, 2007 9:26 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Oh, lord.
Not quite sure why Hendry is after Crawford, considering what the Cubs need is a right fielder, and Crawford has played exactly zero games in right field in his major league career.
by Al on Nov 13, 2007 9:30 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Levine is usually fairly accurate
It could be that Hendry wants to show Fukudome's representatives that he has another alternative, and he is not putting all his eggs in the Fukudome basket. Also, it is possible they are contemplating going after both Fukudome and Crawford - especially with Piniella having direct experience with Crawford.
With that said, you would think Pie would be part of the deal to lure Crawford along with some young pitching. Piniella has seen this guy play first hand, and I am sure he knows whether he can play either CF or RF.
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 9:39 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You're right.
And I doubt you'd be able to get both Fukudome AND Crawford -- particularly since, to keep Crawford, you'd have to sign him to a fairly expensive long-term deal. Crawford made $4,125,000 in 2007; I am not certain of his contract status, but 2008 will be his sixth full season, so he is free agent eligible.
by Al on Nov 13, 2007 9:47 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree Al
If by chance, they were able to land them both, the offensive versatility of their lineup would be incredibly impressive and would also signify the Trib has decided to go "all balls" to win in 08 and let the new owner worry about the dough.
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 9:53 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Crawford's Contract
by cubfaninSTL on Nov 13, 2007 10:14 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
And as has been discussed
by NO100 on Nov 13, 2007 9:40 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The general consensus in baseball...
by cwyers on Nov 13, 2007 9:52 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I've seen Crawford
by NO100 on Nov 13, 2007 9:56 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
ESPN zone rating ranks Crawford 1st in LF and
This OF or Fukudome would be the best defender in the game.
by Ivy Walls on Nov 13, 2007 10:59 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
With a huge offensive hole in CF
by lostinthevines on Nov 13, 2007 6:37 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Not saying the rumor has validity...
That's not to say that it's even on the radar of possibility of happening. But I wouldn't rule out the possibility based solely on the fact that Crawford hasn't played there before. That shouldn't be the rationale for not going after him.
by SouthernCub on Nov 13, 2007 9:41 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sure Hendry is going after Crawford
I suppose a package of Gallagher, Patterson, and Samardizja could do the trick, but I think they would just try and leverage that against the Red Sox, Yankees, Dodgers, or even the Reds and try and get packages that are headlined by Ellsbury, Kennedy, Kershaw, or Bruce. Wouldn't get my hopes up.
by IllinoisCubs on Nov 13, 2007 9:38 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
To assume Pie
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 9:42 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Pie's trade value
As I have thought more about Pie and the possibility of trading him, I have come up with this question. How much lower could his trade value be in 12 months?
If you assume that he doesn't get hurt. And obviously if he breaks out he wouldn't be traded. With those givens, if he were to have a "tread water" year, what would his value be?
My hunch is that it wouldn't really be that different than it is now. He has already moved past the "prospect" category, and into the "once highly promising but didn't explode onto the MLB scene" level of player. From that perspective, I don't know that his value in the next year would really change.
If I am correct in my "hunch" then there really isn't much point in trading him now. Unless there is a GM out there who is willing to treat him as a blue-chip prospect (which he isn't), then to me the Cubs should hold onto him and see how things work out.
by WGNstatic on Nov 13, 2007 9:50 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It all depends how badly
IMO, Pie's trade value is slightly lower now than it was before he struggled at the major league level. If he was to have more struggles in 08, his value would drop a bit further.
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 10:00 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Winning now
Basically, I don't think that he, or any of his teammates for that matter, will be given enough slack to have a disastrous year.
To me, Pie at worst will have numbers about like what he had this last year. In which case, I don't think his trade value would go down TOO much in the next 12 months.
Thus, my attitude is to keep him, and see if he can turn it on.
The only way I would trade him right now is if he could fetch something highly valuable in return. If he was the cornerstone of a Carl Crawford trade, I am fine with that. But I would certainly not trade him for an ok player such as Khalil Greene (as has been batted about)
by WGNstatic on Nov 13, 2007 10:40 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not saying Pie will be Carwford
There's a big difference between 'put up similiar enough numbers not to make it worth it financially' and 'they will be the same player'.
by IllinoisCubs on Nov 13, 2007 10:00 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly what have you seen
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 10:02 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Basically his entire minor league career
by zambranofan on Nov 13, 2007 10:14 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The operative words being "minor league"
by lostinthevines on Nov 13, 2007 6:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Pie next year...
283/333/456
16 HomeRuns & 23 Steals (in 500+ ABs)
If Pie can do the above, and continue with his gold glove defense, I wouldn't want to be moving him anywhere.
Obviously the above prediction may be completely wrong, but I like it when the "experts" & statistics back up my optimism
by MadHatterBlues on Nov 13, 2007 9:47 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
re: Pie next year...
In any case, I don't want Pie going anywhere either. Let's see a Cubs prospect grow to fruition instead of trading away for a similiar player. Soriano-Pie-Fukudome is officially my dream Cubs outfield for '08.
by dat cubfan daver on Nov 13, 2007 1:54 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What If...
Reporters have mentioned that the farm system for the Cubs did not play Pie in the right spot (batting third)... thus promoting his "big swing". They haven't focused on where he would bat in the big leagues (likely 8th for a while, then maybe second?). He wasn't asked to focus on the fundamentals of the game, situational hitting, bunting, and the like.
My point here is what if Pinella has seen enough to say "get rid of him"? We know that Perry is working hard with Pie, and that Piniella was going to go and spend time with Pie for two weeks in the coming month. But if Piniella endorsed a move of, say, Cedeno (we know the Rays need a SS), Pie, Hill/Marshall and a prospect, then Hendry is working it.
Personally I wouldn't touch Samardizja.
by initram on Nov 13, 2007 2:21 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I can't see how Piniella would come to that
Perhaps Piniella came to the conclusion that he might need more time or that he's expendable, but I can't think that he would have come to the "get rid of him" conclusion quite yet.
by NO100 on Nov 13, 2007 2:50 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
No way
by rlpete on Nov 13, 2007 3:25 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I Am Not Suggesting Hill
Personally, I think you have to keep Hill. But if the Cubs want Crawford, it likely starts with Cedeno and Hill for sure, and likely a prospect or two.
by initram on Nov 13, 2007 4:36 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hill should not be part of any pkg...
I think Hill has great potential to be a very solid #2 starter in this league for years to come,
Long legged lefty take a little longer to develop a consistent motion and in general, KEEP HILL as the # 3 for next year, he should only get better and better.
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 9:46 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Absolutely!
Many of his peripheral #s were actually the best on the staff last year.
by WGNstatic on Nov 13, 2007 9:52 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know if Hill will get much better
by IllinoisCubs on Nov 13, 2007 10:02 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
look at randy johnson
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 10:09 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Somewhere in that time frame (late twenties)...
So what's Mr. Advil doing these days? Think Hendry and Lou can arrange for another meeting? Have the Ryan Express give Hill a few pointers? Maybe get Prior in there to take notes?
by ballhawk on Nov 13, 2007 11:05 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
lefty always take a little longer to develop
What makes you think he will not get much better??
I love his attitude, he can get a little fiesty (he defended barret after he KOed A.J., his rookie year)
Both Hill and Marshall will continue to develop and make good (decent in marshall case, #4 or #5 on a good team)
i definitly dont trade Hill for a position player and not for apitcher unless it brings us a #1 in return, he would have to be packaged of course.
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 10:11 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The key to Hill getting better
If he can't rely on a change, I think he will continue to be a guy who has 2 good outings followed by 2 bad outings, because his effectiveness drops considerably when he can't get his breaking ball over.
I also worry a bit about his focus, as he seems to lose concentration at critical times that costs him.
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 10:16 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Excellent analysis.
by Al on Nov 13, 2007 10:20 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
even more on Hill
Meaning he uses the change up that he can throw for strikes or swinging strike early in the count, where players need to come to plate thinking about the change up. Then his fast ball and curve become devastating. Is Hill willing to work on this or not?
BTW the same holds true for Marshall and probably Veal.
by Ivy Walls on Nov 13, 2007 11:29 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Virtually all of the better pitchers in the game have a good changeup, and if I were running a franchise, I would hire the best available roving instructor that could teach this pitch to all minor league pitchers. I think it would pay tremendous dividends over time.
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 11:36 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Crawford
by huskercub on Nov 13, 2007 9:52 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
id much rather have
his power output would likely equal fukudome, but their power should trend in opposite directions. his 50 steals a year would look great in the two-hole. and his average and obp have increased each of the past three years.
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 10:01 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Why not an outfield...
by Jettero2112 on Nov 13, 2007 10:20 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
just because
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 10:22 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
could, should, etc
by Jettero2112 on Nov 13, 2007 10:29 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed but
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 10:31 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What are you talking about?
The CUBS have a farm system in the top 1/3 of the league.......
by TheBeerBaron on Nov 13, 2007 1:30 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I was referring
I realize we might need to make a trade to help ourselves next year (if we dnt get a RF through FE) but a lot of folks seem to want to trade away Pie before he has been given a chancce in the bigs, I for one would like to see him patroling CF next year. Surrounded him with a solid ball club and see if he cant produce when the pressure is not on him to do so. any production you get out of him, then, will be a bonus. We know his D will be solid!
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 2:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Actually, not.
by TheEman on Nov 13, 2007 2:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
craig monroe?
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2007/11/twins-after-cra.html
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 10:18 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Wow!
by Al on Nov 13, 2007 10:20 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
So trading Rapada could gain us a PTBNL
by Ivy Walls on Nov 13, 2007 11:34 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Monroe
http://www.startribune.com/blogs/christensen/?p=418
I forgot about Monroe. The Twins usually have some decent prospects, may as well pick up one or two.
by montanacubby on Nov 13, 2007 10:24 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
For Monroe?
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 10:26 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey maybe now we can get that infield rake
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 10:29 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes . . .
"The Cubs could try to pull off a trade for Tampa Bay's Carl Crawford, which would probably take Rich Hill, Eric Patterson and a couple more prospects."
What jumped out at me was the specificity of the possible deal, which would suggest there are discussions.
Then again it could just be the same (erroneous) source.
peace.
by hoosiercubbie on Nov 13, 2007 10:33 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
with guys
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 10:37 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't get me wrong...
by cwyers on Nov 13, 2007 10:44 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
thats not what im saying
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 10:50 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Quality pitching is harder to get
by rlpete on Nov 13, 2007 10:59 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe they can pick up Kudora (sp?)
by Jettero2112 on Nov 13, 2007 12:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I think I could be a famous sportswriter
by Hammer on Nov 13, 2007 10:35 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Murton?
by Galvan316 on Nov 13, 2007 10:57 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
As a filler piece maybe
by rlpete on Nov 13, 2007 11:00 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
No, the only trade pieces the Cubs have better than other teams that fit the Rays needs are Marmol and Soto. So, the question is - are you willing to give them up and probably Gallagher, too, for Crawford? I'm not.
by DGU on Nov 13, 2007 2:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Marmol and Soto - ouch
Basically, the thing that makes any deal for an impact player so hard is the lack of any depth of good young players in the Cubs system.
Let's face it, Hill, Pie, Soto, Marmol, Marshall, Theriot, EPatt, etc.
There isn't a bonafide star among them, and I can't think of a single position where there is more than 1 ML ready young player in the Cub system (with the possible exception of an SP). So, if they trade someon, it also creates a new gaping hole and jacks up the payroll a bit more.
oh well.
by WGNstatic on Nov 13, 2007 2:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
soto may be key
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 2:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
NO way
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 3:38 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That leaves us with
by lostinthevines on Nov 13, 2007 6:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Levine is certainly
However, I STILL am wary of the possibility that Lou will continue to pander to Sori's "need" of batting 1 in the line-up.
It just f's everything up.
by TheEman on Nov 13, 2007 12:02 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I don't disagree
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 12:10 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
May the baseball gods
by TheEman on Nov 13, 2007 12:14 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I Think Hendry Is Going After Both...
by initram on Nov 13, 2007 2:23 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
they will have the budget to do that
He also says he heard ticket prices will rise 20-25% and the increase will go to payroll.
His Saturday morning show is pretty good and informative.
by cubswin on Nov 13, 2007 3:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Two Left Fielders
I'd rather focus on an upgrade at SS, a couple of relievers, and our search for a real right fielder.
by TMOX on Nov 13, 2007 2:25 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
id think
by kylejo on Nov 13, 2007 3:17 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If we were to get Crawford,
by LilLPLancer23 on Nov 13, 2007 4:31 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I kniow there is that one site
by LilLPLancer23 on Nov 13, 2007 4:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
mbl4u.com has contract info...
by SouthernCub on Nov 13, 2007 5:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Cot's Baseball Contracts
by DeRoMyHero on Nov 13, 2007 10:35 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
As far as Hill/Pie
I mean I really love both players, two of my favorites, but Pie hasnt really proven himself at the plate...
by LilLPLancer23 on Nov 13, 2007 4:43 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Probuably nothing you guys don't know.....
by cubbiematt12 on Nov 13, 2007 5:08 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Interesting
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 5:31 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I can't imagine...
by Al on Nov 13, 2007 6:59 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Hill's a #3 starter and
by CubFaninCA on Nov 13, 2007 5:21 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I'd be ok with trading Hill
I'm against a Hill for Crawford deal. That would mean the back-end of the rotation is Marquis, Gallagher and Marshall. That's too iffy for me. Maybe they sign Kuroda but I don't see him much better than a Marquis. Hill needs to stay.
by rlpete on Nov 13, 2007 9:43 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
WHy does every one want
Keep Hill and trade Marquis or Marshall, NOT HILL!
by BigZ 4 Cy on Nov 13, 2007 5:53 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Bruce Levine just reported
by lostinthevines on Nov 13, 2007 6:55 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
We are going to be all set...
by Al on Nov 13, 2007 6:58 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Throw in some fertilizer
by MPH73 on Nov 13, 2007 7:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
re: Bruce Levine just reported
by dat cubfan daver on Nov 14, 2007 9:57 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
LOL
Personally, I think it might have to go to Japan.
by Al on Nov 14, 2007 3:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
re: LOL
by dat cubfan daver on Nov 14, 2007 3:41 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not that I want them to trade Hill.
by eamuscatuli1881 on Nov 14, 2007 6:36 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
The only way Crawford makes sense
Hill, Soto, and a top prospect
for
Crawford
and
Pie, Patterson, and 2 more top prospects
for
Bedard and Ramon Hernandez
Otherwise, I just don't see how Crawford is enough of an upgrade over Pie or Fukudome to make him worth trading the kind of package it will take to get him. Don't get me wrong - Crawford is much more of a sure thing than Pie, but Bill James' projections have Crawford and Pie at nearly identical OBP/SLG.
Again don't get me worng - I know we don't have Fukudome signed and can't count on it, I'm just saying, spending the $ to insure you do get him makes a lot more sense than trying to pull off two very complicated trades that will also be depleting your farm system.
For that reason I have to conclude that the Crawford trade rumors are either fantasy or a smokescreen as suggested above.
by DGU on Nov 13, 2007 10:27 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
i agree
by kylejo on Nov 14, 2007 7:15 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I have respect for Bill James
He must be baseing it completely on Pie's AAA numbers and ignoring what he did when brought up. Why he would do that, I have no idea.
by MPH73 on Nov 14, 2007 7:33 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
AAA #s aren't meaningless
The thing about Crawford is that everyone keeps expecting him to add a little more power and this year, instead, he appeared to take a small step back. If Crawford does still develop, then he'll be a great player to have for the next three years. If he doesn't, then, given what people are saying on this board, he's very overrated.
Last year, he hit .315/.355/.466 and given how batting AVG driven that OBP is, there's going to be a year upcoming where he hits .290/.325 AVG/OBP again. How great would that be for the Cubs lineup, if the #1 and #2 hitters each had .325 OBPs.
But they can run!
by DGU on Nov 14, 2007 9:12 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Schizo Cub fans
I would love nothing more than to see Crawford in a Cub uniform, but given that Fukudome is available, wouldn't cost anything but money and is probably a better right fielder then he is the better option. I don't suppose it's out of the question that we could get both but I'm sure it's not likely. If we did though, man what an outfield. I'm sure one of the three could play center well enough given the dynamic offense they'd create.
Of course, no matter how many runs they created and how many games they won for us, if we didn't win the World Series it would be the fault of that unconventional center fielder. At least to some Cub fans... ;)
by pageian on Nov 14, 2007 9:44 AM CST reply actions 0 recs

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