It's Not Panic Time, But...
... I believe the Cubs DO need to make a bold move before next Tuesday's non-waiver trading deadline, and after I say just a few things about last night's tough loss, 5-4 to the Reds, I'll tell you what important move I think this club needs to make to get it to the postseason.
With the rain delay, forcing the game to start nearly 90 minutes late, and me having to get up at 3:30 am for work, I turned the TV off after the sixth inning, figuring -- after seeing Alfonso Soriano, Ryan Theriot and Derrek Lee making meek-looking outs -- that the game was over. Little did I know that the Cubs would mount a stirring 9th-inning comeback, featuring an RBI single by Jason Kendall, tying the game, before Ryan Freel would make a terrific play gunning Jacque Jones, trying to score the go-ahead run, down at the plate on Mike Fontenot's single. Four Cub relievers -- Will Ohman, Michael Wuertz, Scott Eyre (yes, even Scott Eyre!) and Carlos Marmol -- kept the game close after Rocky Cherry lived up to his name (his first name, silly, not his last name) by turning a 2-1 game into a 4-1 game.
Unfortunately, Bob Howry turned into "Bad" Howry in the bottom of the 9th, and the Cubs fell three games behind the Brewers, who annihilated the Cardinals 12-2, and two games behind Arizona in the wild-card race, as they had a comeback win of their own on an 11th inning walkoff HR.
So what is it that the Cubs need? So many of you are clamoring for Ken Griffey Jr. I admit, looking at his numbers, that even approaching age 38, he's having a good year. It's remarkable to note that he's on target to have 500+ AB and play in more than 140 games for the first time in seven years. Yes, that's right -- 2000 was the last time he played a "full" season, the first year he was with the Reds.
But is offense what the Cubs need? Yes, they are not hitting home runs. So what? Yes, they rank 8th in the NL in runs scored -- but they're only 20 runs behind the Reds for fifth place.
And despite the fact that the team ERA is 3.88 -- second in the NL and third in the majors (behind San Diego and Boston) -- I'm going to tell you that I think the club's biggest need is a mid-to-top rank starting pitcher.
Carlos Zambrano and Ted Lilly have combined for the most wins (24) of any two teammates in the major leagues so far this season. But right now, that's all the Cubs have for consistency. As much as most of us love Rich Hill and Sean Marshall, they're just not consistent enough to get this team into the postseason. Hill didn't throw too badly last night, and he got squeezed a bit by one of the worst ball-and-strike umpires in baseball, C. B. Bucknor, but he has a tendency to give up hits at the worst possible times, not pitching himself out of jams. And much as I was in favor of the Jason Marquis signing (even though it was for way too much money), he's been maddeningly inconsistent himself.
So let's go get a starting pitcher. And here's where I'd start, Jim Hendry: Get on the phone to Kenny Williams, who has already begun the White Sox' fire sale by dumping Tadahito Iguchi on the Phillies for not very much, and see what it would cost to get Jon Garland. Garland had another solid start last night, winning his 8th game of the year; he is durable, having never missed a start; he doesn't walk people; and he won't turn 28 years old till September (for sake of comparison, and you may be surprised to learn this, he is only six months older than Rich Hill).
It'd probably cost Sean Marshall and Ronny Cedeno. So what? If the idea is to win now, why not go get a starting pitcher who is a two-time 18-game winner with World Series experience? If you're worried about trading a "young pitcher" away -- Garland is only three years older than Marshall, and is signed through 2008 (he'll get $12 million in 2008, not unreasonable for a pitcher like him in today's marketplace).
Not only that, but the Cubs would get a little psychological payback for having had Ed Lynch trade Garland, who was the 10th overall pick in the 1997 draft, away when he was an 18-year-old kid in low-A ball and getting a mediocre middle reliever in return.
There's my "bold move". Go do it, Jim. Even if it costs more than Marshall and Cedeno. With Zambrano, Lilly and Garland, the Cubs would not only be well-suited for the rest of the regular season, but would have three solid starters with postseason experience ... should we get that far.
Three days to get it done. Go for it.
One final, curious baseball note: it seems that Royals outfielder Emil Brown, a Chicago native, shot a Kansas City TV reporter in the face yesterday with a pellet gun. The weirdest thing about this is the official reaction from the Royals:
"It was certainly an accident," Royals spokesman David Holtzman said. "He wasn't shooting at anybody."
0 recs |
191 comments
Comments
If all it would take is
by JB 23 on Jul 28, 2007 7:49 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Even if...
Remember, even though Garland is an 8-year veteran with over 200 major league starts, he doesn't turn 28 till September. He's only two years older than Carlos Zambrano. Between Z and Garland, who you'd sign to an extension, that would give the Cubs two durable #1 starters for the next five years.
What's not to like?
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 8:37 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
What if Williams
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 28, 2007 8:48 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow.
But Garland could help anchor the starting rotation for five-seven years, and WIN NOW.
If I thought Garland was the ONE LAST PIECE to winning this year, I'd do it. (Sort of like trading Joe Carter for Rick Sutcliffe 23 years ago.)
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 8:53 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would agree.
I have to think that Hendry will make a deal of some sort in the next couple days, and I have a feeling that Pie will be in the deal. I just hope we get a large piece of this year's puzzle.
I would love another starting pitcher, I think we're OK at relievers (they're not lights out, but I think they're adequate), and I would still like to see them add another hitter, but that would have to be a big splash, since we have plenty of marginal hitters, another one won't be a tremendous upgrade.
In a perfect world... I'd like to see Jon Garland (or perhaps Javier Vazquez) and Xavier Nady in a Cub uniform by next weekend, but my gut is preparing me for disappointment.
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 28, 2007 9:04 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Garland
Personally, I'd like to see Pie stay and have Pagan as part of a trade for Garland. JMO.
by No Southern Belle on Jul 28, 2007 12:56 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
no way.
by buckmulligan on Jul 28, 2007 9:44 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
So
Al has been convinced we need to make an upgrade. Most people on here think we could make the team better, and if we posters think that, Jimbo should be able to realize he needs to make a move for pitching(starting or relief,) preferably starting after Al's argument) or a left handed power bat.
by cubbyblue137 on Jul 28, 2007 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with the need
A good SP guy that can pitch seven innings and give up only 2 runs would be great - but who's out there to be found?
All of the news I've seen coming out of the various posts have pointed out that all of the clubs are looking for those guys. Is Garland this guy? What would the wSox want in return? Would Ronny and Sean be enough?
Sorry... tired this morning... finally fell asleep about the time you got up.
by stelmodad on Jul 28, 2007 7:49 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
What we need is a real lead off hitter
Moving Soriano elsewhere in the lineup would do wonders.
by t9mike on Jul 28, 2007 8:12 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Well, except...
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 8:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't care
by t9mike on Jul 28, 2007 8:44 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wish Lou
by jshipp on Jul 28, 2007 8:52 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
In response
by Matt Allison on Jul 28, 2007 3:06 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Small sample size
Let's see how Soriano does in the 5 hole with Pie on the team. That seems to be as much a factor in Sori's success as does lineup position.
I'm in Cinci for the series and stuck it out last night 'til the end (and a terrific fireworks show post-game)... have to say there was more noise in the top of the 9th, from Cubs fans, than the home team had generated all night, even with "NOISE" prompts on the scoreboard. I think we shamed them, though, the Reds fans were plenty loud in their half of the 9th.
by ChipSet on Jul 28, 2007 9:02 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reds Fans...
Never heard a great come back to a Reds taunt, but did hear a fantastic one to a Padres fan jeering after a win at Wrigley:
Hey, at least our uniform color scheme has stayed consistent for the last 20 years.
by evillecubman on Jul 28, 2007 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was thinking the same thing
Since they are likely to move Dye, maybe we can do it with Marshall and Jones. I think Jones and AJ will get along great! Maybe AJ can teach JJ how to slide into home when the ball is coming in high.
by LAcarl519 on Jul 28, 2007 8:28 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Sounds panicky to me
So, after the Brewers sweep four games, we reassess and go from there. Hopefully, other teams won't roll over like dying dogs.
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 8:29 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Al, I guess I am confused...
What in the world can make you think that the Sox will take Cedano (who, lets face it, is probably 10-15 times worse then Renteria) and Marshall (who, again, is about 7-10 times worse then Garland)??
Not to mention when you sprinkle in the fact that Kenny would be making a cross-town trade that will make all the Sox fans even more upset and bitter with their season.
I guess I just feel like this post is one of those typical "sports talk radio" calls when someone wants to give up Nefi and Jose Macias for Nomar circa 2002.
Just my take. Go Cubbies, I can't wait until you post that scary scary Harang picture.
by Beau Believes Esq on Jul 28, 2007 8:41 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
LOL on Harang.
Granted, Cedeno has sucked as a Cub. But at his age, he might still become a decent major league player. Plus, Guillen likes him, from everything I've heard.
Sean Marshall -- 7-10 times worse than Garland? You must be joking. Marshall's shown flashes of brilliance this year, enough that someone like Williams would probably want to take a chance on him. The point is, the Sox suck this year and I'm guessing Williams wants to get rid of some of the big contracts (The Sox have a bigger payroll than the Cubs this year, believe it or not).
It's hardly "Neifi and Macias for Nomar".
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 8:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Noted.
by Beau Believes Esq on Jul 28, 2007 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Al why don't we give away Hill instead of Marshall
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 9:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But I think Hill
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 28, 2007 9:35 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
True ..at least thats true on paper
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 10:00 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hill
top 10 in Strikeouts
17th in the NL in ERA
give the guy a freaking break....
what more can he do?
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maddux
There are 162 games. That's about 32 starts. To my knowledge, no pitcher has ever gone 32-0
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 10:14 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well,
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
woah woah woah
and then cite our 1B as one of the reasons our offense is a joke
thats ridiculous
Theriot is an average at best offensive player (not trying to take anything away from Riot)
DLee is still one of the better offensive 1B in the league despite the power outage
i agree our biggest problems are offensively which is why i said this trade scenario from Al is ludicrous below
but CF, RF, and C have been the problems all year long with SS also being a problem offensively to some extent.... but if we had average production at the other 3 positions it wouldnt even be a big deal
anyways... i know Riot is like a golden boy on this site but lets not even hint at the idea that he's a better offensive player than DLee in any way you measure it
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You got it wrong..
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
DLee
he's doing his role just fine
he's not a reason the offense is struggling
CF, RF, C
those are the problems
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree..
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed.
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 11:30 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Angels
Vlad team leader has 14
no other player above 10
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Please note
Also, the correct answers would be:
The D-backs, Hudson has only 6 HR, but 17 more RBI than D-Lee, plus he's split time in the 3-spot with Byrnes, who has 16 HR.
and...
The Yankees, with Abreu, who has only 6 HR, but his lack of pop is obviously offset by A-Rod's 30+ HR's and 100+ RBI's.
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:58 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
so...
we have ARam with 16 Hr's and Soriano with about that many as well...
the problem is we dont have depth in the lineup
and the reason we dont have depth is because of a lack of production at CF, RF, C, and P
thats 4 below average spots in the lineup
DLee is NOT the problem
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 1:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
That said, its going to take a lot of intangibles to make up for the collective sub-.200 BA we're getting from the catcher position, and the poor production on both sides (O and D) from RF.
by jazzypete on Jul 28, 2007 1:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pie
by okiecubbie on Jul 28, 2007 8:57 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
That makes sense to me.
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 28, 2007 9:10 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Totally Agree.
by Beau Believes Esq on Jul 28, 2007 9:18 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
ugh...
emptying out the entire farm system (at the upper levels) for Dye and Garland....
i like the idea of going after Dye but this is really really overpaying and as I mentioned below Garland is such a slight upgrade over Marshall with a HUGE added price tag it makes almost no sense
Marshall can offer 3/4's of Garland's production for the next 4-5 years for 1/50th of Garland's price tag and production for 2 years
awful idea
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 9:50 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since July 1st
Imo, a nother starter is a luxury, a difference making hitter, probably in RF, is a necessity if the world series is the goal.
As far as Garland goes, by all accounts Williams is trying to unload Contreras, and only wants to get rid of Garland Or Vazquez if he gets the moon. Garland is a solid pitcher, but I don't think you give the moon up for a borderline number 2 starter (career whip 1.37, ERA 4.41). He eats innings, and I'd much rather have him than Maquis obviously, but Williams is going to want Pie, Cedeno and Gallagher for him.
by jazzypete on Jul 28, 2007 9:22 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Outstanding
by tharr on Jul 28, 2007 2:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Upsetting News in the Cubs Pursuit of Milwaukee
The Brewers traded Grant Balfour to Tampa Bay for pitcher Seth McClung.
I guess we can't rely on Grant "Ball-Four" to blow anymore games for the Brewers this year.
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 28, 2007 9:28 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Don't worry
by jazzypete on Jul 28, 2007 9:29 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mike Maddux
nice low risk trade for MIL
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 9:47 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
by PrincetonCubs on Jul 28, 2007 9:57 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Needs and Why Not Dump Them ---
Don't totally agree with the concept of the starting pitcher need. Sure an improvement would be great. But it seems that Marshall and Hill have given us at least 5 or 6 strong innings in most of their starts. Knowing this -- doesn't the need arise for strong middle relief and setup guys?
Two guys in particular stand out when it comes to replacements -- Howry and Eyre.
Both have surrendered significantly more hits than innings pitched. Eyre has given up almost as many walks as innnings pitched. Howry has as many losses as Marquis.
Add to the mix, the almost equally inept Ohman.
I'm sure there are teams out of contention that would be willing trade partners for some middle relief help.
And please do not get started on the contract losses of Eyre and Howry. If we can take on salary, we can certainly eat the dollars for poor performers.
And on a different note --
Are we looking for someone in the OF to platoon with Cliff, a player who would get more time than Cliff, or someone to take JJ's spot.
Up until last week, when JJ squeezed a few through the infield and hit a couple of bouncers to the wall, we were all clamoring for his departure. What has really changed? Does 3 or 4 good games cause us to forget how really bad JJ has been and will continue to be?
With that in mind, I looked over the rosters of all teams out of contention and came up with a list of viable options. I'm sure not all of them are available but some of them are and would be worth the investment of some talent at the lower level. Here are the possibilities -- two are currently playing IF positions but we might consider them in the OF -- what the heck, Cliff plays RF and he is certainly no gazelle --
Jermaine Dye
Shannon Stewart
Xavier Nady
Jason Bay
Carl Crawford
Miguel Cabrera
Mark Teixeira
Your thoughts?
by ceegeewow on Jul 28, 2007 9:33 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
i agree with your premise
Griffey
Dye
Dunn
Nady
we dont have enough to get Crawford, Cabrera or Tex (and Tex shouldnt be considered a viable OF option at all) or Bay for that matter unless Pittsburgh is REALLY inept
Stewart is a marginal upgrade if any at all
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 9:46 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Outfield Situation
Crawford and Bay are on really bad teams. I live in the TB area and read enough blather about the Rays every day. They do have some solid players but have a lot of holes. They can use pitching just like most teams but I would believe that if the right offer came up, Crawford would be available.
I put Bay on the list only because the Pirates do always seem willing to part with anyone. Again -- why not make them an offer with several prospects who might tip the scales -- Gallagher, Patterson, Veal, etc.
by ceegeewow on Jul 28, 2007 9:59 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
sorry Al
if he was replacing Marquis... maybe this would make some sense
but a starting pitcher in general isnt what's needed, if Wood comes back we'll have Wood, Marmol, Howry, Dempster
that should be enough bullpen depth for starters to go 6 innings and win games consistently
for the most part we havent had that problem
and last night if Cherry doesnt come in and blow up, we'd likely have won that game
starting pitching isnt the teams biggest problem
and to trade away two of our best trade chips for a slight upgrade in the rotation is silly when we could make a gigantic upgrade in the lineup by acquiring a power hitting OF
IF we're going to make a move at all it should be in RF, our biggest weakness (outside of catcher) all season
our starting pitching has been our biggest strength and while i do believe Marshall will show some regression this year as his ERA climbs closer to the low 4's, high 3's... Garland's only slightly better (probably a mid 3's ERA in the NL Central)... he's NOT an ace
this type of trade would be a horrible reactionary move to the last 2 starts that didnt get us deep into games
for all the complaining on Hill
Hill, Lilly, and Zambrano are all top 20 in the NL in ERA
top 10 in K's
and top 15 in WHIP
Hill is top 5 in WHIP, top 10 in K's, and top 20 in ERA
c'mon.... starting pitching is NOT the issue
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 9:40 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Shoulder tightness?
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you mean
has a 4.4 ERA over the last 2 months and an ERA over 7 over the last month
guy's openly complained about shoulder tightness after getting lit by Minnesota
doesn't seem like THE GUY to give up most of our trade chips for
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 12:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
woops
Garland pitched solidly last night
still an ERA well over 6 over the last month
and well over 4 over the last 2 months
i'd hold onto Sean Marshall and take his 4-5 years of production at 4-5 million in total salary
vs. 2 years of garland at 20 million
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly correct
But the very brief minor surge of JJ must not lull us to sleep as to his total inadequacy in our lineup. Last night we saw the player he has become. Some way he must.
by tharr on Jul 28, 2007 2:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great list
Of that list, Dye is the only one I would be interested in.
by Cribbs463 on Jul 28, 2007 9:44 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I saw
by Cribbs463 on Jul 28, 2007 9:46 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Do you have a source for this?
by TheEman on Jul 28, 2007 10:08 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
It may have been here, because I swear someone commented about a pitcher and right-fielder.
Either way, I'll find it and post it here.
by Cribbs463 on Jul 28, 2007 1:32 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Trades
by ronsanto10 on Jul 28, 2007 9:55 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I dunno
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
psychological edge?
so we could end up losing TWICE on Garland trades... both in attempts to add marginal upgrades to contending teams and throwing caution to the wind with regards to our future
sounds like a great way to make up for the original mistake... MAKE ANOTHER ONE!!!!!
and trade away two valuable prospects for a slight upgrade in the rotation
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 9:55 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Why are you so negative about this?
I like Sean Marshall, but I'd take a pitcher like that in a heartbeat over him.
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 11:45 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um...
Ok, so Garland is a "two-time 18-game winner." That's a stat, I suppose, although it's a pretty meaningless one. He had fewer losses in '06 than in '05, so which year was his better year? Well, the year where his ERA was a run lower was '05, so you tell me. And we don't have a magic time machine. Right now, this very second, Sean Marshall is pitching better than Jon Garland. I don't get the reasoning here at all.
by cwyers on Jul 28, 2007 12:00 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
so...
but then use them to defend the Marquis acquisition and now to support the Garland one
we have a few trade chips and we should not use them to acquire something where we already have a strength
if we're making a trade its clear we need to upgrade in RF
we have 4-5 more years of Marshall making minimum salaries, why trade him and Cedeno for Garland's 2 years and 10+ million annually
and how does that 10+ annually effect the ability to sign Z
we dont have unlimited funds here...
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 12:53 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Figuring it Out for Rich
What he has done, when successful it seems, is keeping hitters off-balance when he dramatically mixes speeds on different counts.
That is his only chance. HIGGY will tell you when a fastball comes in at 91-93 with some movement, right after a batter has seen various pitches at 68, 74, 78 - it will be more effective.
Perhaps Marshall has more upside perhaps as he is four years younger and has some similarities.
But it is becoming very difficult to trust the #'s 3, 4, & 5 pitchers with any kind of consistency.
by TheEman on Jul 28, 2007 10:07 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Hear ye hear ye
by Cribbs463 on Jul 28, 2007 10:24 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Arizona...
by Orangeman94 on Jul 28, 2007 10:33 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm relatively new to BCB
When management does not do anything to make the team better, the fans complain because they didn't do anything.
When management tinkers around a little here and there, the fans complain because they're still not doing enough.
When management takes some risks to try and better the team, the fans complain because they're being reckless and they're doing too much.
So basically, Hendry is damned if he does and damned if he doesn't. I guess my only solace is that Jim Hendry doesn't give a rat's ass what any fans, including myself, think and he'll do what he thinks is best.
Can't wait to see if something gets done by Tuesday.
by eamuscatuli1881 on Jul 28, 2007 10:35 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
We have a winner
Thanks for making the observation.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Jul 28, 2007 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The two game losing streak is Cory Provus' fault.
by GoCubsGo11 on Jul 28, 2007 10:42 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
best post of the day....
by JB 23 on Jul 28, 2007 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not A Good Trade
Garland for Cedeno/Marshall? No. Marshall may not have better stuff than Hill but he more than makes up for it with mental toughness and he does do a FAR better job at holding runners on base than Hill.
Garland for Cedeno/Hill? Maybe. I will agree with you that if this was the playoffs, I'd rather have Garland than Hill or Marquis on the mound in the short series. Problem is that the Cubs need to GET to the playoffs first. So, clearly this trade is not enough.
How about (Garland or Vasquez) and Dye for Ronnie Cedeno, Rich Hill, Jacque Jones and a PTBNL? Who that PTBNL would be, I do not know but I would take Gallagher and Pie off the table and let them choose anyone from AAA or AA after that. Maybe their scouting sucks and they'd want Patterson at 2B? I think that I would do that.
We bring up Pie to handle CF and even platoon with Pagan if necessary. Dye handles the duties in RF and we get out of the 3 LH SP thing in the rotation. Everyone wins.
Hendry make this trade happen. NOW!
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 10:42 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Kenny Williams......
by PriorandAramisfan23 on Jul 28, 2007 10:47 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Williams
Garland is under contract only through 2008 and that's at 12 million. Dye's contract is up after this season. So, he's giving up 1 year of Garland @ 12 million?
What's he get in return? 1 more year @ 5 million for Jacque Jones. Rich Hill @ .400 for 2007 and gets the first chance to sign him after the season is over for a lot cheaper than 12 million a year - or he could let him walk. Cedeno @ .400 for 2007 plus another chance to sign a cheap guy for a longer term...especially if they think that Cedeno has a shot at the starting job next season.
And then throw in a prospect on top of that?
Williams sheds payroll and replaces 2 guys who are near the end of their service and gets a fresh crop of younger cheaper guys that could be had on the cheap for a longer term.
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i continue to ask
top 10 in strikeouts in NL
top 5 in WHIP in NL
17th in ERA in NL
in 13 of his 20 (65%) starts this year he's allowed 3 ERs or less
get off the guy....
he's fine
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 10:47 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marshall VS. Hill
However, forward thinking here, if the Cubs were to manage capturing the Wild Card and/or the Central, they are almost guaranteed to face the Brewers at some point in the playoffs.
The Brewers are RAKING against both LH SP and they are a force to reckon with at Miller Park. I'm only looking at seizing the opportunity of shedding one of our LH starters (they all have very similar styles, yikes) and replace it with a RH starter.
So, in the short series, the Cubs could go Zambrano, Lilly, Garland, Marquis against the Brewers with Marshall as a nice option.
I like that a lot better than Zambrano, Lilly, Marquis, and Hill where at least 2 of those games are sure to play at Miller Park.
It's not like we have Hill or Marshall locked up long term or anything as far as I can tell. I prefer to keep the younger and effective Marshall or the slightly older and less mentally tough Hill.
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That should read...
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Did anyone listen to Hendry's interview
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 11:16 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I didn't get a chance,
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Close your ears
All of us on BCB will come up with trades that will never happen. This is the right of passage for every fan, every year. We can keep playing GM until the deadline passes...
by LAcarl519 on Jul 28, 2007 11:31 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rites of passage aside...
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think another pitcher gets it done
I'm much more concerned about the offense, and I don't think there's a fix. We've been hot lately, but I have serious doubts that a line up in which Ramirez and Lee are the only consistent hitters can get us to the post season.
Soriano is, to my mind, a bust. He's not consistent or disciplined enough to be a leadoff hitter, and he won't hit anywhere else. He'd be a better than average 5 hitter, but as a leadoff hitter, he's a $17M per year waste.
Theriot is great and doing all that can be expected of him, but he's a .280 guy at best.
Floyd has single digit home runs this year. Nuf said.
Lee - same thing.
Ramirez - he's amazing and clutch, but still only 16 home runs.
Watching these last few games, I'm just left with the sad sense that we don't have the horses to get it done. Hope I'm wrong.
by ksreed on Jul 28, 2007 11:25 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree, you summed it up very well.
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Soriano
Soriano is streaky. His offense comes in bunches. No one is picking him up right now the way he picked up this team in June.
Soriano is the Terminator and he says to you, "I'll be back..."
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 12:09 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
A few losses and everyone freaks
I admit having in the back of my mind the one WAY out the box deal I would like to see Hendry try : Andruw Jones. Jones is having a very bad year for BA but not bad on power. He is an
FA next year, Boras is his agent and the Braves have almost no hope of keeping him. Now the Braves are in virtually the same
situation as the Cubs in the race but they really, really need pitching help. They might trade him for pitching especially if they pull off a deal for Texiara.
Like I said I am fine with staying pat but if you want to try something out of the box, Jones is the one that I would try for.
by jessica on Jul 28, 2007 11:55 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I simply can't beleive
Marquis is older, more expensive, and pitches much, much worse on a regular basis.
IF IF IF IF we were to replace any starting pitcher, I think it would have to be Marquis.
Our biggest problem is a lack of offense. Offense makes pitching much easier, and as it is, we have lost too many games like last night were we looked positively inept against the other team's pitcher.
Floyd needs to start hitting for power or leave. And Kendall needs to leave.
by FukudomeAtLarge on Jul 28, 2007 12:00 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
but NOBODY
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 12:02 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Correct
Hill has pitched fine but if the Cubs are going to contend and try and pick up someone to help the offense in RF - they will have to give something of value up.
Hill has value but I also think that he is tradeable. The Cubs have 3 LH SP's that have similar styles. That's not a good recipe at all in a short series. The Brewers are ALL WORLD against LH pitching this year and if the Cubs make the playoffs and stand to face the Brewers... Get the picture here?
If Hill can help bring Dye or Griffey over to the North Side then Hendry should pull the trigger without regret. Now is the time to set the table for the pennant race.
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 12:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is this team regressing?
by Fraggin Judge on Jul 28, 2007 12:04 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Well of course we overachieved!
by cwyers on Jul 28, 2007 12:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree. Let's not panic.
As to what Al posted, I think the team needs a power hitter, preferably left-handed. I doubt that we'll get anyone like that, though.
by Fraggin Judge on Jul 28, 2007 12:35 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thoughts
First, Jacque should never have been sent home for the 2nd out in the ninth. I know he was in scoring position, but Freel was charging hard and basically fielded the ball in the deep infield. A few people said he would have been safe if he slid. I'm not so sure; Ross had the ball 2-3 steps before Jones got there and had the plate blocked pretty well.
Hill didn't look all that great last night. He was good the first 2 innings and his curve looked great, but he wasn't getting anything else across. 2nd time throught the lineup it seemed like he was pitching from behind against every batter. I think he struck out six, but he never really looked sharp.
Theriot should be leading off. He worked the count better than anyone on the lineup last night. He just finds a way to get on base.
For as mediocre as Hill was, Arroyo was sharp. He hasn't been great this year, but this may have been his best outing this year.
To keep in line with the topic, I agree Al, I think more than anything we need another starting pitcher. Hill/Marquis/Marshall aren't consistent enough.
by jbgindy on Jul 28, 2007 12:14 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
1-0 brewers
by CZ38 on Jul 28, 2007 12:16 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Of course the Brewers are winning
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 12:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's got one more RBI in the 3-Hole
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep.
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Over at ESPN 1000
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 12:18 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
That is the stupidest idea I've ever heard
How many times do we have to get burned in trades with the Marlins before we learn that they know more than we do?
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 12:19 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
we always get burned by trades
by jds2 on Jul 28, 2007 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
And the Marlins don't remember Choi either.
by Fraggin Judge on Jul 28, 2007 12:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But they do remember
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But I remember who we got back do you?
by jds2 on Jul 28, 2007 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The guy
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
sorry 8 HR
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:40 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
It seems to me that ...
That said, whilst recognising Lee's HR production is seriously down--he may still be finishing the last stages of recovery on the wrist--he IS hitting for average. And he generally contributes a "good" out from time time (like last night) ...
--t.
by Littlerock Rynofan on Jul 28, 2007 3:07 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
nice
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 12:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Terrible trade.
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know...
by jds2 on Jul 28, 2007 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Willis has been
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
ESPN...
I wouldn't be surprised if they called for a Presidential pardon of Michael Vick later today and went to break playing "Who Let the Dogs Out." These guys don't have a clue.
by LAcarl519 on Jul 28, 2007 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marmol a C in 2005?
by Orangeman94 on Jul 28, 2007 10:14 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Uh they are saying
by cubsnlinux on Jul 28, 2007 12:31 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Willis COULD benefit...
by cwyers on Jul 28, 2007 12:33 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
And they are wrong
The fact is, the Marlins know a hell of a lot more about trading and scouting than we do. I'm tired of Hendry getting rogered by those guys. Best just to leave them alone.
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 12:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
How many home runs is Braun gonna hit before
by louslovechild on Jul 28, 2007 12:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
i find it hard to believe the cardinals are gonna
by CubsBall2202 on Jul 28, 2007 12:40 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I wouldn't overreact here
This series is that type of challenge. (The Cubs of April & May would probably drop this entire set.) The Reds are not crappy, as many seem to think -- throw out their overall record -- and (I'll say it for the 3rd time in 24 hours) the Reds are 15-8 over their last 23 games.
Their managerial change gave them a bump. Probably a short-lived one, but the Reds are hot right now. If we take the next two -- I think some of the fears will vanish. I can't imagine this team playing .700 ball for the rest of the season, that's unrealistic. But, the Cubs must play over .600 -- they must, to contend for a playoff spot -- there can be no question about that.
The upcoming homestand with the Phils & Mets is a good measuring stick. If the Cubs don't play well then -- there's a problem.
And the trading deadline isn't that much of a benchmark any more -- deals can take place later, although it's a bit trickier.
I'd hate to give up on either Hill or Marshall, especially on the latter, because the long-term outlook is optimistic. But -- if you insist one has to go (they are similar pitchers, yes) -- I'd trade Hill, very, very reluctantly.
And, for the poster who wanted Dontrelle Willis -- he's just not having a BAD season, he's having a horrid season, and seems to have lost his stuff and/or condfidence. Right now, to acquire him -- I'd give the Marlins....nothing...because he looks miserable. He has no trade value right now.
But, if they would take Ronnie Cedeno for Dontrelle (lol) I'd do it.
As soon as Soriano gets hot again -- he'll probably carry the club. We are going to have to get used to this streaky hitting. You just wish he wouldn't expand his strike zone SO much...and take a walk.....because right now, he's getting himself out.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Jul 28, 2007 12:40 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
The Cardinals
by gary varsho on Jul 28, 2007 12:41 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Cardinals are done
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 12:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wasn't D.Lee
by Johnny Callison was a Cub on Jul 28, 2007 12:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm pretty sure
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I thought Hee Sop ....
by Littlerock Rynofan on Jul 28, 2007 2:56 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
4-0 brewers and just like that were 3.5 back
by CubsBall2202 on Jul 28, 2007 12:42 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
And Anthony Reyes is going tonight for the Birds
by louslovechild on Jul 28, 2007 12:42 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
and its not looking much better tonight
by CubsBall2202 on Jul 28, 2007 12:42 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I think...
by Orangeman94 on Jul 28, 2007 10:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah just
by Johnny Callison was a Cub on Jul 28, 2007 12:44 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Those asses @ Am 1000
They absolutely know nothing, not a shread about Willis' plight right now. That's just the usual talk show BS.
That's an absurd trade.
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Jul 28, 2007 12:45 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Facing Harang
by Johnny Callison was a Cub on Jul 28, 2007 12:46 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
nah....he's not a loser garbage pitcher
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 12:47 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
10 Innings
by BJ Simpson on Jul 28, 2007 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marmol for Willis?
by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Jul 28, 2007 12:49 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
getting ugly in STL
with another game tonight
by jds2 on Jul 28, 2007 1:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
By the way...
Barry Bonds is a moron.
by cwyers on Jul 28, 2007 1:15 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
bases loaded Pooholes up
lets go Pujos
I feel dirty
by jds2 on Jul 28, 2007 1:18 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
im feeling...
wow...its weird. haha
by bendacub on Jul 28, 2007 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Al have you ever heard the saying
What has cost this team wins all year long?
Bad pitching out of the Pen (You remember all all the one run games we have lost because the Pen sucks).
And the offense completely shuts down for a week or chokes in key situations (You remember the 4 games we have lost this season because we could not score a run with a runner on third and no outs.)
1-5 the Cubs have the best starting rotation in the National league.
The one place we don't need to upgrade is the the starting rotation but you want to give away two of our best trading chips for more starting pitching?
Brilliant!
This team needs a real closer and a big scary bat to hit 4th or 5th.
Is your suggestion bold? Yes. Does it make the team better? Maybe, but very little. Does it truly address the real needs? No.
by Joe on Jul 28, 2007 1:53 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
The starting pitching has been good so far.
You have 2 similar left handed pitchers going back to back and an unstable Jason Marquis. I'd go for starting pitching, bullpen help and a right fielder, but hey, this isn't fantasy baseball and I'm not a GM.
by cubbyblue137 on Jul 28, 2007 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
addendum to you signature...
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
LMAO
by cubsfan4life on Jul 28, 2007 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
lmao
by cubbyblue137 on Jul 28, 2007 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I upgraded
by cubbyblue137 on Jul 28, 2007 3:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I disagree
Closers don't have to be dominant, just ask the Indians. They just need to keep whatever lead they're given. You can have an ERA of 4 and be a perfectly effective closer.
Where you want dominance is in your high-leverage situation bullpen arm, and Marmol has been perfectly used for that. 7th inning, man on third, one out, up by one run, you bring him in to get out of the jam. Lou has been working him very well in that role (though I think he is bordering on overusing him). A closer on average is going to come in with a 2 run lead and the bases empty. Dempster has been fine in that role.
I think dominance from the closer is way over-rated, and dominance from your Marmol-type high leverage pitcher is way underrated. That's just my opinion though.
But to your point, I think at the deadline you need to strengthen your weaknesses, not your strengths. Al's plan only gives the club a marginal improvement at a relatively high cost. Adding a Dye/Dunn/Griffey gives a huge improvement at likelt a comparable cost.
by jazzypete on Jul 28, 2007 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Joe: instead of beat ing on Al...
by LAcarl519 on Jul 28, 2007 2:19 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
If we want to win now which was the goal
by CubsBall2202 on Jul 28, 2007 2:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
My perfect Cubs deadline deal
Each of those three guys the Pirates have said on separate occasions are not available, including Marte, who they seem to be quite married to. But if Hendry came in with a decent offer with a # of prospects, I think the Pirates would bite. And with Snell and Nady, I think this could be a Bobby Hill-for-Aramis type steal. (Bobby Hill, after all, was a top 40 prospect in the league in '03.)
I think Sean Marshall, Sean Gallagher, Eric Patterson, and Matt Murton for Nady, Snell, and Marte gets it done. The Pirates may demand Pie, and if so, personally I'd say sub Pie for Murton and still do the deal. The short term and long term benefits on our side are significant.
At least it would solve time in not having to negotiate with multiple teams. It may not be totally realistic, but it's not super crazy either.
by PrincetonCubs on Jul 28, 2007 2:34 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Ah forget all of it...
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 2:40 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Ah, the excitement of the trade deadline.......
The covert website MLBtraderumors.com speculates Laird and Gange for Pie. Seems unbelievable that we would trade one of our best home grown....and if Soriano has trouble with his buddy in AAA, how will he handle a trade? ...as the world turns
by coral on Jul 28, 2007 2:47 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I wish PIE
And if Soriano really is so fragile ( I don't buy it...I think ridiculously streaky is the better description) that Pie has an effect on his playing...then we are screwed for 7+ years
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 2:50 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Pie/Patterson comparison
Pie's actually had a decent bit of success at the upper minor league levels, while Corey was never really allowed time to have success and continue to make adjustments
Pie
Age Level OPS
17 R .954
18 A .734
19 A+ .799
20 AA .903
21 AAA .792
22 AAA 1.007
Patterson
20 A .950
21 AA .829
22 AAA .695
23 MLB .676
by DartmouthCubsFan on Jul 28, 2007 2:57 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
good comparison
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Another big difference...
by LAcarl519 on Jul 28, 2007 3:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Did the locusts return
If that happened, would anyone have suggested breaking up our rotation? If there is a time for patience, it's now. We've been playing real well through July. Get through the weekend and assess our team.
Then get rid of JJ. He's still a terrible player and I see no reason to think he'll improve. And please, don't tell me a few decent ABs make him a good player.
by tharr on Jul 28, 2007 3:03 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
All of this will go away
Of course, the way the gutless punk Cardinals are playing, the Cubs could win the next two and still be three games out.
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 3:12 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
RE: theriot leading off (above)
I say wait for him to get back into one of his hot streaks then drop him down to the 2 hole.
-OR- give him one of those giant Red wiffle ball bats because even the giant piece of lumber he uses now comes up empty way too much for a lead off hitter.
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 3:13 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
For once, I love Scott Rolen.
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 3:21 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
cards came back!
by bendacub on Jul 28, 2007 3:21 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Brewers lose!!!
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 3:23 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Holy Crap!!!
by louslovechild on Jul 28, 2007 3:23 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
LOL
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 3:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I live in Milwaukee and...
We dont need to talk about that crap, but it is nice to see Brewers fans starting to fade.
by louslovechild on Jul 28, 2007 3:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can relate.
phat
by phatass on Jul 28, 2007 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, what do you know?
Maybe they aren't completely useless after all.
Of course, they will still probably drop the next two.
Time to close the gap to at least 2.5 today. I refuse to believe the Cards will sweep a doubleheader.
Plus, I don't want those idiots getting too uppity and thinking they can catch us.
It's all fine and good for the Cards to have success this weekend, but they need to be stamped out with extreme prejudice after that.
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 3:24 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Man....
by FriendlyCardFan on Jul 28, 2007 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Any woman that wants a Cardinals fan
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 3:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
did NOT see that coming
by cubsirishkillme on Jul 28, 2007 3:24 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Cordero blew another one
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 3:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is UNATURAL
by jessica on Jul 28, 2007 3:25 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
It does, doesn't it?
by Al on Jul 28, 2007 3:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Last night's game
People in Milwaukee are prob. freaking out saying how they can't blow leads and how the Brewers are def. going to be out of it.
by ak123 on Jul 28, 2007 3:26 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Or how they need to trade ...
by lancaster99 on Jul 28, 2007 3:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agree with your needs analysis Al,
Perhaps Hendry and Williams are making initial posturing and maybe pursuing other options. Jose Contreras would probably cost less, but I'm not optimistic about his value to the Cubs right now, except for further immediate trade options to get what they really need - another EFFECTIVE starter.
If they won a world championship, sure, we'd be proud. But we couldn't love them any more than we already do –anon. Cub fan
by hellfreezesoverwaittillnextyear on Jul 28, 2007 3:34 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Not in a million years
by Matt Allison on Jul 28, 2007 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

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