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Remember Home Runs?

I wish the Cubs did. After today's 6-2 loss to the Pirates, the Cubs have now gone nine games without a HR.

That's the longest such streak in nineteen years -- since July 14-21, 1988. And 1988 was a down year in general in baseball for HR, sort of a reaction to the aberrational HR blast of 1987 -- the team lead in HR in '88 was 24, by Andre Dawson. That's the lowest team-leading total since 1986, when Gary Matthews and Jody Davis led the club with 21. In '88, only two other Cubs (Ryne Sandberg, 19, and Vance Law, 11) were in double figures.

The 2007 team, allegedly, has more power than that. The team total of 74, which has been static since Aramis Ramirez' walkoff on June 29 (I keep thinking, "Did that HR suck all the HR energy out of this club?"), now ranks eleventh in the league.

A home run -- by Carlos Zambrano's nemesis Jason Bay -- helped do the Cubs in today, though Z got himself into trouble in the inning where Bay hit his three-run homer by walking Nate McLouth, leading off that inning. Z wasn't sharp today, walking three and throwing a very large number of pitches, 122 in seven innings, 70 strikes. Even so, the game was within reach at 3-2 going into the last of the 8th, but Bob Howry decided to be "bad Howry" today and got smacked all around sunny PNC Park and allowed three runs in his one inning of work, putting the game out of reach.

Fortunately, the Brewers cooperated today by getting blown out by the Nationals in Washington 7-2,, the big blow being a bases-clearing double by Ronnie Belliard, so the Cubs go into the break 4.5 games behind, a deficit which is certainly not insurmountable with 75 games remaining, especially when you consider that the "unstoppable" Brewers went on the same road trip the Cubs did and went 2-5, while the Cubs were going 4-3.

The Pirates are a better team than a lot of people, myself included, gave them credit for -- they won five of seven from the Brewers and Cubs on their homestand, but if you think the Brewers are unbeatable, any team that goes into Washington, where the Nats were 18-27 before this afternoon's game, and loses two out of three, isn't dominant in my estimation.

Also, don't ignore the wild card race. At this writing the Marlins and Dodgers have just begun on the West Coast. If the Marlins win, the Cubs will stand fourth, but only three games behind the Dodgers, currently wild card leaders. The Cubs have two series left with the Diamondbacks, who are ahead of them in the wild card standings, and a four-game set vs. the Dodgers at Wrigley Field in September, more games than they have left with Milwaukee (only one three-game series at Wrigley Field at the end of August).

I look forward to an exciting second half, and for the Cubs to make a run at one or both of the available playoff spots.

But it'd be nice if they'd hit a couple of home runs, too.

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i think we'll see more
power in the second half. with the hot streak the cubs have been riding, i think the ASB is coming at a good time for these guys to recharge the batteries. it takes a lot out of a team to play baseball for a month at the level the cubs played in june. granted, if they hadn't been so horrible in april and most of may, they wouldn't have needed this streak, but they really closed out the first half on anice note. i think a refreshed cub team will be flexing its homerun muscles coming out of the break.
"One thing you learn as a Cubs fan: When you bought your ticket, you could bank on seeing the bottom of the ninth." - Joe Garagiola

by gary varsho on Jul 8, 2007 3:36 PM CDT reply actions  

If Felix Pie starts hitting in the second half
like he's capable of doing... we'll score a lot more runs.
1-RUN GAMES = 10-15 | EXTRA INNINGS = 1-6 | HOME = 20-21 | updated on 7/1

by SackMan on Jul 8, 2007 4:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

He'll be doing it
at Iowa, if he does it at all. Offensively, he is not ready yet.
Who cares what they think? When they go after me, they ain't goin' after no maiden"- Leo Durocher

by tommy veryzer on Jul 8, 2007 6:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

No
He just needs MLB playing time. His offensive showing at AAA proved he has nothing left to learn there.

Sometimes rookies just need time to get adjusted.

by FukudomeAtLarge on Jul 8, 2007 11:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pie should start hitting in the second half
because he'll probably be doing it in Iowa.

by TR on Jul 9, 2007 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

Oswalt will pitch in the All-Star
does that change who we will face in our series against them?

by coral on Jul 8, 2007 3:40 PM CDT reply actions  

i'm sure that move
will please their fans. i think what reinsdorf and willimas put him through, making him bend over backwards because they knew how badly he wanted to stay here is reprehensible. moreover, all they did by resigning him was to make him a more valuable trade target. IMO, there's still a 50/50 chance he gets moved. reinsdorf did it to the bulls, there's no reason to think he won't do it to the sox as well. why is this town cursed with miserly, dishonest sports management?
"One thing you learn as a Cubs fan: When you bought your ticket, you could bank on seeing the bottom of the ninth." - Joe Garagiola

by gary varsho on Jul 8, 2007 4:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

You hit the nail on the head Gary.
Why did they put him through the so much to resign? What more could you want from a guy? WS Ring, Home team discount. The fact that it took som long coupled with the fact that Williams and reinsdorf tried to paint the picture that MB was being difficult by asking for the no trade clause brought back a lot of bad Bulls memories.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 4:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

here's hoping
we cub fans don't get a replay of these sorts of totally disingenuous negotiating ploys during carlos' contractual process...
"One thing you learn as a Cubs fan: When you bought your ticket, you could bank on seeing the bottom of the ninth." - Joe Garagiola

by gary varsho on Jul 8, 2007 4:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ken Williams talking on ESPN 2
at the futures game. "There is not a no trade clause in MB contract. There were concessions made, trade pertection included, but not a no trade clause."
Makes your point of a 50/50 chance he could still be gone. Really shady.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 4:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

scandalous
really. man, if the cubs pull this kind of shady business with carlos, i'll be ticked off. buerhle desrves better than this. he takes a below-market contract, which will piss off MLBPA, gives up on the no-trade clause, and now has his GM go on ESPN and flaunt how he hardballed his staff ace into a bad deal that makes him more tradebale than ever. man, that's one classy outfit over there on 35th Street. oops, we better stay out of white sox business.

seriously, though, i hope this doesn't happen to carlos. he wants to stay and has made that clear. i hope the cubs don't use that against him.

"One thing you learn as a Cubs fan: When you bought your ticket, you could bank on seeing the bottom of the ninth." - Joe Garagiola

by gary varsho on Jul 8, 2007 4:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

For all their faults........
the Cubs generally don't screw around with players.
RAMIREZ!! PRIOR!!

by PriorandAramisfan23 on Jul 8, 2007 4:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly.
Kenny Williams strikes me as a bit arrogant, as if he's the only guy who knows how to put together a winning team, and Mark Buehrle was put through the wringer as a result.

The Cubs, in general, don't do this. Yes, they did it with Greg Maddux, but that was 15 years ago, with different management (and don't say it was the same, because even though it was the same ownership, those making the decisions are different now).

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jul 8, 2007 5:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

You're right Al
the Cubs don't generally do this. I hope that the trend continues.
I know Williams has done a great job in the past, but his handling on this situation is unbelievable to me. Arrogant is the right way to put it. They got their guy, but why Buerhle would put up with all of that is beyond me. He is a better man than I.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 5:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

Damned when did, damned if they didn't...
Contract negotiations often get nasty.  I do not think the negotiations with Buehrle were bad.  Remember if it were as bad as some of you Cubbie fans would like to project, why did he resign with them?

The Sox organization, often portrayed by detractors such as some Cubbie fans and Jay Moronoitti as the essence of evil, employs a slew of former players from Kenny Williams to Ozzie to coaches to minor league coaches as well.  Jerry Reinsdorf is an honorable person and with some exceptions, so is the Sox organization.

"Kenny Williams strikes me as a bit arrogant, as if he's the only guy who knows how to put together a winning team"

Yes, Kenny is arrogant.  I don't like listening to him speak.  He strikes me as an arrogant pud.

But Kenny IS the only Chicago baseball GM who's put together a championship team in our lifetime.

by DrCrawdad on Jul 8, 2007 9:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Kenny Williams
Is the complete opposite of Jim Hendry, and some of that is good and some is bad.  One thing I like about Kenny is he will trade a guy before his value completely craters, and that is something Hendry can learn from.

I do think Williams is arrogant, and he has had a chip on his shoulder for a long time.  Overall, I think he is an average GM, because I think some of his roster selections are suspect.

"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jul 8, 2007 10:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't understand the logic behind the dealings.
Does Williams think that left hand ace pitchers grow on trees? Did he see the deal Zito signed in the offseason?
If Hendry takes the same approach Z is gone. One would hope that Hendry knows better than anyone how hard it is to find good starting pitching. Especially with the horrible track record starting pitching has had with injuries on the North Side. Not to mention the money spent to go outside of the organization to find starting pitching.
Letting Z go would be hinder the organization for years to come.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 4:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gee, at $14 million a year.....
....he's really got to tighten the old purse strings.
"Hey-Hey! Home Run! Attaboy Ronnie!" ~ Jack Brickhouse

by ronsanto10 on Jul 8, 2007 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Considering Zito
got $126 over 7 or $18 a year, Buehrle's a steal.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 6:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

dude
we're talking about fair market value without making any larger claims about the salary of ball players. chill out.
"One thing you learn as a Cubs fan: When you bought your ticket, you could bank on seeing the bottom of the ninth." - Joe Garagiola

by gary varsho on Jul 8, 2007 7:00 PM CDT up reply actions  

That's a big signing.
I can't believe it took this long for the Sux to make the deal. MB was giving them a nice home team discount. To let him go would have been a huge mistake.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 4:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

Good deal
keeps him out of St. Louis
Who cares what they think? When they go after me, they ain't goin' after no maiden"- Leo Durocher

by tommy veryzer on Jul 8, 2007 6:07 PM CDT up reply actions  

Glad he signed
Buehrle is a class guy. He deserved much better treatment than he got from the White Sox. Obviously, the salary is going have him set for life. But it is a lot less than he could have gotten elsewhere, and the White Sox management treated him very shabbily. I can't see why he stood for it.
"Hello again, everybody. Harry Caray from Wrigley Field on a beautiful day for baseball."

by danimal15 on Jul 8, 2007 8:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

Today's game sucked.
You've GOTTA win that series man... you've just GOTTA.

We could be 3.5 out at the break, and 45-42... instead, we're 44-43.

1-RUN GAMES = 10-15 | EXTRA INNINGS = 1-6 | HOME = 20-21 | updated on 7/1

by SackMan on Jul 8, 2007 4:45 PM CDT reply actions  

You're right.
But it's only one game, and there are 75 left. Patience.
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jul 8, 2007 5:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

FYI
Soto K's in Future's game. He didn't start. Just came in last inning to catch. This looks to be his only AB. They only play 7.

by Tangled Up In Blue on Jul 8, 2007 4:57 PM CDT reply actions  

beuhrle
glad he signed with the white sux. one more pitcher the cardinals cant sign and run out against us.
Here comes the nasty leftie to shut it down in the 9th......Clay Rapada!!!!

by cubsluver22 on Jul 8, 2007 5:13 PM CDT reply actions  

I wouldn't have worried about it.......
even if he did go to the Cards, we usually beat Buherlie.
RAMIREZ!! PRIOR!!

by PriorandAramisfan23 on Jul 8, 2007 5:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

Good deal for Sox
Buerle should age well continue to be this effective..Sox retained him at a reasonable price.

Cubs may not be able to do same with Z given their ownership and market...he might wanna go out and grab the most $$$ and who can blame him? We had our chance to lock him up earlier, but fate intervened...

Still, they could get a very nice front-line pitcher for $40-$50 M as proved this year with Lilly...but aces are hard to find!!

by writerinwrigley on Jul 8, 2007 5:21 PM CDT reply actions  

Cubs against lefties
I love the way the Cubbies have turned things around in June, but we still lose games to second tier left handed pitchers (8-14 now for the season).  This has to change in the second half of the season or teams will just stack rotations to hurt us as we get to September.

by LAcarl519 on Jul 8, 2007 5:24 PM CDT reply actions  

I don't understand this, either......
... particularly since the Cubs have a lineup stacked with good right-handed hitters (Lee, Ramirez, Soriano, and DeRosa, who is having a fine offensive season).
"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jul 9, 2007 4:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

The Cubs need to play better
at home. A .500 road record is great, but if you can't take advantage of home cooking, it's going to be difficult to overtake the Brewers.

The Brew Crew may suck on the road, but are practically unbeatable at Miller Park.

by davewillie on Jul 8, 2007 6:17 PM CDT reply actions  

Better play at home
has already started over the last two times home.  But no doubt the Cubs have to start making teams fear Wrigley again.  That hasn't happened for a long, long time.  If the Cubs can continue to bounce back after losses (avoid losing streaks), we will gain on the Brewers and the Wild Card quickly.

by LAcarl519 on Jul 8, 2007 7:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

one thing
the brewers have against them is they are all young. the season is very very long. we'll see just how good they can be down the stretch when their bodies are tired. i dont believe they will be as good in the next half. another thing is for certain too, pithcers wont keep letting prince fielder beat them. we have as good a chance as anyone at making the big show and i think we will punch our ticket. Chicago Cubs 2007 World Series Champions!!! i can see it now--call now and order your 1 yr subscription to sports illustrated and recieve this free ws champion cubs package at no extra cost. supplies are limited so call now.
Here comes the nasty leftie to shut it down in the 9th......Clay Rapada!!!!

by cubsluver22 on Jul 8, 2007 7:08 PM CDT reply actions  

Meanwhile, in SD...Sunday Nite Baseball
Barrett flings an attempted SB throw into CF...Jeff Francour followes with a 2-hr bomb off Maddux....2-0 ATL in the 2nd.

by San Diego Smooth Jazz Man on Jul 8, 2007 7:34 PM CDT reply actions  

Why Mormol yesterday?
Maybe this in nitpicking, but why was Marmol throwing in a 7 run blowout yesterday when today may have, and ended up being, a much tighter ballgame. If Scott Eyre isn't throwing in a 7 run game, then why is he even on the roster.

Lilly went 7.1, you need 1.2 from the pen, why go with clearly the best reliever in a relaxed spot. Especially letting Marmol throw 1.2, when doing so would make him un-available today.

We would've had a much better shot at winning this game had Marmol been available to either start the 8th, or bail out Howry when he obviously needed it. I was thinking this yesterday when Marmol started the ninth after striking out two in the eighth.

In the end, I don't know if it makes a whole lot of difference for the outcome of the game. But didn't we have a runner on 2nd with no outs in the ninth. If it's still only a one run game, a bunt and contact ties it up. It worried me yesterday and made me a little upset today.

Does Piniella not realize that Marmol's ERA is sub 1?! He's clearly the best reliever right now, and his appearances shouldn't be wasted in 7 run blowout.

by WittyUserName on Jul 8, 2007 7:37 PM CDT reply actions  

I agree...
why not put in Wuertz, Ohman, or (God forbid) Scott Eyre?

Also, I don't think it was right to use Howry today.  I might be alone in thinking this, but I don't feel you should put a guy in to keep a deficit close when he is used to setting up/closing with leads. Different mindset.

by WartburgCub on Jul 8, 2007 8:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

When the bad Howry shows up
he needs to be pulled earlier.  He gave up three singles to load the bases and wasn't pulled.  This isn't the first time he's been left in after he's gotten himself into a mess.  Pull him and let someone else clean up.

by El Borto on Jul 8, 2007 11:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

Power
Another warning track shot for Lee today - he's been doing that a lot. Some would say he's just getting unlucky because his fly balls are getting caught deep in the park. To me, however, it's a sign that he doesn't have the power he used to. It may not just be bad luck.
"Hello again, everybody. Harry Caray from Wrigley Field on a beautiful day for baseball."

by danimal15 on Jul 8, 2007 8:25 PM CDT reply actions  

After a wrist injury like last years
How can anyone realistically expect the same amount of power?  
Go Nebraska Football!

by sanantonecub on Jul 8, 2007 8:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

Hideki Matsui.......
broke his wrist last year and his power hasn't vanished. 1st basemen tend to not age well, this might just be the start of a steep decline for Lee.
RAMIREZ!! PRIOR!!

by PriorandAramisfan23 on Jul 8, 2007 8:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

Steep Decline
Lee's on track to put up the second best set of offensive seasonal numbers for his career.   Lee's season is only a disappointment for those Cub fans who rather overheatedly, essentially predicted that Lee's prior career year was actually low and a harbinger of much bigger numbers.   Lee is having a fine season, one of the best that he has ever had.  

As for the comment about first baseman not aging well, do you have any support for this?     In fact, first base has historically been a spot that older players have been moved TO because it is less demanding.  

by Frustrated Fan on Jul 8, 2007 10:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Steve Stone commented
about the spin of the ball coming off the bat. He said D-Lee has been hitting with a lot of down spin, forcing the hard hit balls to stay low. Vs, when before the wrist injury, the ball would come off the bat with a lot of top spin.... forcing it to rise.

He said he thinks the wrist is still playing a factor into this, in terms of the way the top wrist (right hand) rolls over the bottom wrist at the end of the swing.    

1-RUN GAMES = 10-15 | EXTRA INNINGS = 1-6 | HOME = 20-21 | updated on 7/1

by SackMan on Jul 9, 2007 2:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

How does he explain...
... the 5 HR Lee hit in spring training? He looked like he had his power back then.

Further, Lee IS hitting for power. He has 26 doubles, fourth in the league. He just isn't hitting home runs. His .482 SLG is in line with his career norms (taking out his 2005 season). His .331 BA is fourth in the league.

I'm not worried about D-Lee.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jul 9, 2007 4:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

I agree
The Cubs have plenty of things to worry about, and DLee isn't one of them. As long as he is hitting for power (he has been all season) then let him figure it out or let his wrist heal completely or whatever.

DLee is NOT hurting this team.

For "hurting", see Eyre, Jones, Izturis, et al.

by BlueSox on Jul 9, 2007 8:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

Huh?
How can you not be worried?  First, his slugging average is .479 not .482 and he's pretty much done nothing the last month.  Very few extra base hits and very few RBIs.  Since he became an every day player he's only had one season (2001) in which he slugged lower than .479 (not including last year).  And of course he's on pace for 12 home runs, which would be far and away the worst of his career since he became and every day player.  The guy is obviously not the same hitter.  He's become a right handed Mark Grace with better speed.

by cubsbak on Jul 9, 2007 10:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

I'm still not worried.
His SLG is .479. His career SLG is .499. That's within career norms.

If it CONTINUES to slide for another couple of weeks, then yes, maybe I'd be worried.

"That's my opinion and if you don't like it, well, I have others." ~ Groucho Marx

by Al Yellon on Jul 9, 2007 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

That's because
his batting average is well above career norms.  Both his isolated power and secondary average are well below career norms.  

I agree he is not the Cubs biggest problem but his lack of power has to be a concern for a #3 hitter.  His numbers this year are looking more like Ichiro.  

by rlpete on Jul 9, 2007 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yep
If he continues to hit for little power and not drive in runs they'll have to move him in the order.  That could get awkward.

by cubsbak on Jul 9, 2007 4:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

Stone
So now Stone is a physicist along with his many other apparent credentials?  Some people would actually believe that the moon is square if Stone reported it.  Can't we just let this guy run off to pasture like he should?
Eighty-five percent of the f*ckin' world is working. The other fifteen percent come out here. -- Lee Constantine Elia, 1983.

by krummy12 on Jul 9, 2007 8:14 AM CDT up reply actions  

This is BS
Stone really goes over the top sometimes, and this is another example.  All you have to do is watch Lee hit, and you will see he is not driving the middle in pitch, like he has done so well since 05.
"I don't like them fellas that drive in two runs but let in three" Casey Stengel

by MPH73 on Jul 9, 2007 8:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

Lee and doubles
People keep mentioning his 26 doubles. However, they overlook the fact that he hasn't doubled (or had an extra-base hit of any kind) since June 23 - 15 games ago. The last day he can legitimately be said to have demonstrated power was on June 15, when he hit 3 doubles. Since June 23, Lee is 10 for 49, with all but one of those hits being singles. He has 3 RBI in that stretch. Now everyone is entitled to slump now and then, and he'll hopefully bounce back strong after the break, but don't tell me he's "hitting for power."
"Hello again, everybody. Harry Caray from Wrigley Field on a beautiful day for baseball."

by danimal15 on Jul 9, 2007 9:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

He's in a slump
and, yes, he is hitting for power over the course of the season so far.

by BlueSox on Jul 9, 2007 3:18 PM CDT up reply actions  

The Brewers hit several home runs
on their version of the road trip and managed only to go 2 and 5.  So I ask, how exactly do "home runs" correlate with wins?

by lohroffc on Jul 8, 2007 9:22 PM CDT reply actions  

Lofton
Hit a game winning HR today. Cubs should put a package together for him and Gagne or Otsuka.

by allstar on Jul 8, 2007 9:55 PM CDT reply actions  

From Jon Heymans article on SI.com
AL Hawk Harrelson Award (Worst Executive)

Side note: there is no award given for worst announcer but if there were, that would similarly be named the Hawk Harrelson Award.

by El Borto on Jul 9, 2007 1:30 PM CDT reply actions  

LOL
Now, that's some funny stuff.
1-RUN GAMES = 10-15 | EXTRA INNINGS = 1-6 | HOME = 20-21 | updated on 7/1

by SackMan on Jul 9, 2007 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

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