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Very Early Projections: 2012 Season Standings

posted by friendly confine, Jan 05, 2012

Link rlyw.net

As the linked headline suggests, these are 'mostly useless' projections, but it's January and what else do we have to do? The analysis behind this is quite good, if still early (using CAIRO projections, MLB 40-man rosters and simulating the season 100,000 times). Cubs project to finish at 71-91 if you're an optimist and round up with a 1.01% chance of making the playoffs. Surprisingly, they still project to finish fourth in the division, not that it's any consolation.

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Statistical Analysis

77

Where's Waldo and Where We are Now: Current and Projected Standings

Shawn Domagal-Goldman May 24 2011, 12:25p

The Cubs record has been bad thus far in 2011. Is this because they stink, or just because a black cat has once again crossed their path?

56

2010 BCB Community Projections: Starting Pitchers

Al Yellon Mar 30 2010, 8:00a

A little optimistic? Maybe. But that's the fun of this exercise.

31

2010 BCB Community Projections: Starting Position Players (Corrected)

Al Yellon Mar 10 2010, 8:00a

We were told there would be no math.

Chicago Cubs News

94

BCB 2010 Community Projections: Starting Position Players

Al Yellon Mar 9 2010, 8:00a

Results are in for the BCB community projections for the Cubs' starting eight players.

60

2010 BCB Community Projections: Sam Fuld

Al Yellon Mar 3 2010, 8:00a

He runs! He fields! But how will he hit this year?

36

2010 BCB Community Projections: Andres Blanco

Al Yellon Mar 2 2010, 8:00a

"Andy White" is a solid defensive backup for the Cubs.

9

2010 BCB Community Projections: Koyie Hill

Al Yellon Mar 1 2010, 1:00p

The Cubs have a solid catching backup in Hill.

16

2010 BCB Community Projections: Angel Guzman

Al Yellon Feb 27 2010, 8:00a

Guzman is a key to the Cubs 2010 bullpen. Will he stay healthy?

79

2010 BCB Community Projections: Carlos Silva

Al Yellon Feb 26 2010, 8:00a

Will Silva be a decent fifth starter? Or will he spend the year on the DL with a mysterious injury?