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Rumor: Masahiro Tanaka Will Cost At Least $17 Million A Year

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That figure seems a little low, doesn't it?

Adam Pretty

You can take this at face value, or not:

I think many of us assumed any contract offer to Masahiro Tanaka would be even higher than that, perhaps $20 million AAV. At MLB Daily Dish, Nathan Aderhold has a good summary of what this might all cost:

If a club were to go five years at the alleged $17 million minimum, for instance, it would have to cough up $85 million. That estimate is probably on the low end, as one GM told Fox Sports' Gabe Kapler he expects a deal in the range of six years, $105 million. Add the $20 million "release fee" that is owed the Rakuten Golden Eagles, and the contract starts entering Matt Cain/Cole Hamels territory.

Six years, $105 million sounds low to me. It could run as much as six years, $120 million, or perhaps even a bit more. Of course, we have no idea how Tanaka will actually perform in the major leagues, but "Matt Cain/Cole Hamels territory" doesn't sound too outrageous to me.

I really want the Cubs to sign him, for a number of different reasons. It might be that the Cubs have to outbid everyone else, since they don't have the possibility of offering Tanaka a team that can immediately contend.

Get it done, Theo.