It is, at the very least, a useful starting point for discussing this topic as the offseason gets into high gear. Here's what they project for the Cubs:
John Baker (5.141) – $1.1MM Wesley Wright (5.105) – $2.0MM Chris Coghlan (4.148) – $1.4MM Luis Valbuena (4.148) – $3.1MM Justin Ruggiano (4.019) – $2.5MM Travis Wood (4.004) – $5.5MM Pedro Strop (3.156) – $2.4MM Jake Arrieta (3.145) – $4.1MM Felix Doubront (3.120) – $1.3MM Welington Castillo (3.009) – $2.1MM
The number in parentheses is the length of major-league service time, in years and days. Here's what each of those players made in 2014:
* Chris Coghlan's 2014 contract was for $800,000 plus an additional $250,000 in incentives based on plate appearances. I don't know if he met those incentives or not, so I'm assuming he did for the purpose of this discussion.John Baker: $875,000 Wesley Wright: $1,425,000 Chris Coghlan: $1,050,000 * Luis Valbuena: $1,710,000 Justin Ruggiano: $2,000,000 Travis Wood: $3,900,000 Pedro Strop: $1,325,000 Jake Arrieta: $544,500 Felix Doubront: $586,000 Welington Castillo: $530,000
As you can see, the largest of the possible arb awards would go to Arrieta, Wood, Valbuena, Strop and Castillo, some based on performance, others on length of service.
I suppose it's possible they could non-tender Wood, though $5 million wouldn't be bad if he could recover his 2013 level, or even get close to that. Also, at $4 million Arrieta is a bargain; I might even consider negotiating a longer-term deal with him.
Thought you'd all like this as a discussion topic today, so have at it.