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Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 76

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Jon Lester starts the month of July with a bang, dueling Bartolo Colon step for step for seven strong innings and earning Wednesday's Superhero for his efforts.

Get this man some run support, stat!
Get this man some run support, stat!
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

Today's Interesting Fact: Despite five starts in his last eight in which he has allowed two runs or less, Jon Lester does not have a win in any of them. His last win came on May 16 when he allowed one run over seven innings against Pittsburgh.

Just how bad is his run support?  We'll get to that down below.

Graphs for Game 76 (courtesy of Fangraphs):

Game 76 Chart 2015

Stats for Game 76:

Pitcher

IP

H

HR

ER

BB

SO

pLI

WPA

J Lester

7

5

0

0

1

7

1.42

.398

H Rondon

1

0

0

0

0

0

1.63

.114

J Motte

1

0

0

0

0

2

1.63

.114

P Strop

1

1

0

0

0

2

2.78

.092

J Grimm

0.1

0

0

0

1

1

2.29

.035

J Russell

0.2

1

0

0

0

1

0.96

.033

Total

11

7

0

0

2

13

1.63

.787

Batter

AB

R

H

HR

RBI

BB

SO

pLI

WPA

A Rizzo

5

1

1

0

0

0

1

2.22

.168

S Castro

5

0

2

0

1

0

1

2.31

.150

C Denorfia

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

1.78

.070

A Russell

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

1.13

.040

D Ross

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

1.56

-.004

M Montero

3

0

1

0

1

0

1

1.74

-.017

D Fowler

4

0

0

0

0

1

1

1.36

-.040

J Lester

2

0

0

0

0

0

2

1.55

-.082

K Bryant

5

0

1

0

0

0

3

1.62

-.093

C Coghlan

4

1

1

0

0

1

0

2.28

-.139

M Baxter

4

0

1

0

0

1

0

1.71

-.143

J Herrera

4

0

1

0

0

0

0

1.85

-.198

Total

39

2

9

0

2

5

9

1.83

-.287

Writer's Note: The daily selections of the three Heroes and three Goats are based solely on the top three and bottom three WPA scores for the game. The selections are not based on my subjective opinion.

THE THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero - Jon Lester (.398). So, just how bad is his run support? It's awful. Of the 64 pitchers in the National League who have made at least 10 starts, Lester is in a three-way tie for dead last in run support in games that he started (2.7) and he's an entire run lower than the next Cub starter on the list (Kyle Hendricks and Jason Hammel both tied at 3.7). Oh, and tied with him are Aaron Harang and... Cole Hamels.
  • Hero - Anthony Rizzo (.168). I'm still trying to figure out how he pulled off that Houdini act on the double-steal in the ninth inning.
  • Sidekick - Starlin Castro (.150). Talk about huge pick-me-ups; beating out that infield single in the 11th was absolutely immense, even more so after the baserunning mishap by Kris Bryant to make the second out.

THE THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat - Jonathan Herrera (-.198). Well, he had a good run near the top of the plus/minus chart there for a while.
  • Goat - Mike Baxter (-.143). Primarily due to the grounder to end the ninth.
  • Kid - Chris Coghlan (-.139). This is where WPA could use improvement, because Coghlan's only here because of Bryant's aforementioned mishap. Someone needs to get the stat nerds working on a formula enhancement.
RANKINGS THROUGH GAME 76 ("x" indicates player not on active roster):

Rizzo hits a new high-water mark at the top of the chart, re-opening the lead to over 30 points once again in the process.

Heroes

1st

2nd

3rd

Total

Anthony Rizzo

10

18

2

68

Kris Bryant

7

7

6

41

Dexter Fowler

6

3

7

31

Starlin Castro

3

6

8

29

Miguel Montero

5.5

5.5

0

27.5

Addison Russell

5

2.5

5.5

25.5

Jake Arrieta

6.5

2

0.5

24

Chris Coghlan

6

0

5

23

Jason Hammel

5

2

0

19

x-Jorge Soler

2

6

1

19

Jon Lester

5

0

1

16

Hector Rondon

0

6

3.5

15.5

Kyle Hendricks

3

0

2

11

Travis Wood

1

2

2.5

9.5

Pedro Strop

1

0

6.5

9.5

Matt Szczur

2

1

1

9

x-Zac Rosscup

2

0

3

9

Jonathan Herrera

1

2

1

8

James Russell

0

3

1.5

7.5

Jason Motte

0

1

5

7

x-Kyle Schwarber

2

0

0

6

x-Junior Lake

1

1

1

6

Chris Denorfia

0

1

3.5

5.5

Justin Grimm

0

1

3.5

5.5

x-Tsuyoshi Wada

1

1

0

5

x-Brian Schlitter

0

2

1

5

x-Phil Coke

1

0

0.5

3.5

Edwin Jackson

0

1

1

3

x-Welington Castillo

0

1

0

2

x-Arismendy Alcantara

0

1

0

2

Mike Baxter

0

0

1.5

1.5

David Ross

0

0

1

1

x-Yoervis Medina

0

0

1

1

Goats

1st

2nd

3rd

Total

Starlin Castro

7

5

9

40

x-Jorge Soler

4

8

4

32

Dexter Fowler

4

5.5

6.5

29.5

Chris Coghlan

2

7

9

29

Kris Bryant

4

5

5

27

Addison Russell

1

9

6

27

Anthony Rizzo

2

7

3

23

Miguel Montero

2

5

5

21

Kyle Hendricks

5

1

0

17

Pedro Strop

5

1

0

17

Jon Lester

5

0

1

16

Jason Hammel

3

3

0

15

Hector Rondon

4

1

0

14

Jake Arrieta

4

0

1

13

x-Tsuyoshi Wada

4

0

0

12

x-Zac Rosscup

3

1

1

12

Justin Grimm

0

4

3

11

David Ross

0

3.5

3.5

10.5

x-Brian Schlitter

3

0

1

10

Travis Wood

2

1

2

10

Edwin Jackson

2

1

0

8

Jason Motte

1

2

0

7

x-Welington Castillo

1

1

2

7

Jonathan Herrera

1

0

3

6

James Russell

1

1

0

5

Mike Baxter

1

1

0

5

x-Junior Lake

1

0

2

5

Chris Denorfia

1

0

2

5

Matt Szczur

0

1

3

5

x-Mike Olt

1

0

1

4

Donn Roach

1

0

0

3

x-Gonzalez Germen

1

0

0

3

x-Phil Coke

0

1

1

3

x-Kyle Schwarber

0

1

0

2

x-Arismendy Alcantara

0

0

1

1

Neil Ramirez

0

0

1

1

Overall

Hero

Goat

+/-

Anthony Rizzo

68

23

45

Kris Bryant

41

27

14

Jake Arrieta

24

13

11

Miguel Montero

27.5

21

6.5

Jason Hammel

19

15

4

Matt Szczur

9

5

4

x-Kyle Schwarber

6

2

4

James Russell

7.5

5

2.5

Jonathan Herrera

8

6

2

Dexter Fowler

31

29.5

1.5

Hector Rondon

15.5

14

1.5

x-Junior Lake

6

5

1

x-Arismendy Alcantara

2

1

1

x-Yoervis Medina

1

0

1

Chris Denorfia

5.5

5

0.5

x-Phil Coke

3.5

3

0.5

Jon Lester

16

16

0

Jason Motte

7

7

0

Travis Wood

9.5

10

-0.5

Neil Ramirez

0

1

-1

Addison Russell

25.5

27

-1.5

x-Zac Rosscup

9

12

-3

Donn Roach

0

3

-3

x-Gonzalez Germen

0

3

-3

Mike Baxter

1.5

5

-3.5

x-Mike Olt

0

4

-4

x-Brian Schlitter

5

10

-5

Edwin Jackson

3

8

-5

x-Welington Castillo

2

7

-5

Justin Grimm

5.5

11

-5.5

Chris Coghlan

23

29

-6

Kyle Hendricks

11

17

-6

x-Tsuyoshi Wada

5

12

-7

Pedro Strop

9.5

17

-7.5

David Ross

1

10.5

-9.5

Starlin Castro

29

40

-11

x-Jorge Soler

19

32

-13