Jason Heyward is going to get a lot of money to play for the Chicago Cubs for at least the next three years (presuming he opts out, otherwise he's a Cub for eight seasons).
Heyward was the first overall pick of the Braves in 2007 (14th overall, 11 picks after the Cubs chose Josh Vitters) and debuted in the big leagues, memorably to Cubs fans, with a home run in his first major league at-bat April 5, 2010 off Carlos Zambrano.
It seemed Heyward might be on the way to a big power-hitting career, especially after he hit 27 in his age-22 season, 2012. But his power numbers dropped the following year -- granted, he missed 58 games with injuries -- and he hit just 11 in 2014 and 13 in 2015.
Now, that's not to say that Heyward isn't a productive offensive player even without the home runs. He averages 31 doubles per 162 games and has a .353 lifetime on-base percentage. He steals about 20 bases a year and is rarely caught (23 steals in 26 attempts in 2015).
So what I'm wondering is this: will having Wrigley Field as his home park increase Heyward's power numbers over the next several seasons? At age 26, he could be entering his peak power years. He doesn't have much of a track record at Wrigley -- just 90 at-bats. He's hit four homers in those 90 at-bats, implying he could hit 20-25 in a full season.
Obviously, Heyward has value beyond offense, as he's been one of the best defensive right fielders in the game for several seasons, and hopefully will continue that in center field for the Cubs. But I certainly wouldn't mind if he hit a few more homers.