SAN FRANCISCO -- Here are some more notes about this pitching matchup, courtesy Inside Edge:
Hitters have a Miss Pct of 32.5% (430/1322) against Madison Bumgarner on fastballs UP in the past three years. (MLB Rank: 1st of 141 qualified SP; League Avg: 21.6%). (Note: UP is the upper third of the strike zone plus pitches above the strike zone.)
Left-handed hitting opponents batted just .178 against Madison Bumgarner (29-for-163) this season. (MLB Rank: 3rd of 142 qualified SP; League Avg: .259)
Madison Bumgarner threw off-speed pitches 54.8% of the time (86/157) on 0-0 counts over the last 30 days of the regular season. (MLB Rank: 5th highest of 144 qualified SP; League Avg: 35.4%)
Hitters had a Miss Pct of 47.9% (34/71) against Jake Arrieta’s changeup this year. (MLB Rank: 1st of 120 qualified SP; League Avg: 30.5%)
Jake Arrieta walked 51 of 374 left-handed batters (13.6%) this year. (MLB Rank: 140th of 142 qualified SP; League Avg: 8.5%)
RHBs had an OBP of just .250 against Jake Arrieta during the regular season. (MLB Rank: 4th of 142 qualified SP; League Avg: .319)
Opponents had a Ground Ball Pct of 66.0% (128/194) against Jake Arrieta on two-strike counts this season. (MLB Rank: 2nd highest of 142 qualified SP; League Avg: 47.2%)
RHBs struck out 11 times in 30 PA (36.7%) against Jake Arrieta in his last two starts of the regular season. (MLB Rank: 5th of 127 qualified SP; League Avg: 21.5%)
Let's go! I'm hoping I came all the way out here to see just one game. One more fun fact:
SITE NOTE: Cub Tracks, which normally runs at 7 a.m. CT on Tuesdays, will run a bit later in the day so Duane can get links of reaction to Game 3 in the post.
Here are today's particulars.
Fowler CF, Bryant 3B, Rizzo 1B, Soler LF, Zobrist RF, Russell SS, Baez 2B, Montero C, Arrieta P
And so, Jason Heyward's defense will be on the bench to begin this game, in an effort to get more offense. I have to assume that both Zobrist and Jorge Soler will be swapped out for defense in the late innings if the Cubs have a lead.
Span CF, Belt 1B, Posey C, Pence RF, Pagan LF, Crawford SS, Panik 2B, Gillaspie 3B, Bumgarner P
All of the information that I usually put here as a pitcher matchup preview is contained within this article, posted earlier today. A couple more factoids:
#Cubs vs Bumgarner: Fowler 8-for-38, Montero 6-for-32, Riz 3-for-16, Heyward 3-for-15 (HR), Zo 6-for-12, Bryant 1-for-8, Arrieta 1-for-2— Carrie Muskat (@CarrieMuskat) October 10, 2016
#Cubs Arrieta is 3-1, 1.01 ERA (3 ER/26 2/3 IP) in 4 starts vs. Giants since start of the 2015 season— Carrie Muskat (@CarrieMuskat) October 10, 2016
#Cubs 6-0 in Jake Arrieta last 6 starts in the state of California:— Christopher Kamka (@ckamka) October 10, 2016
0.20 ERA, 45.0 IP, 15 Hits, 1 ER, 9 BB, 44 K, 0 HR, 0.533 WHIP
Today's game is on FS1. Announcers: Matt Vasgersian, John Smoltz and Ken Rosenthal.
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The 2016 Game Thread procedure will be the same as the one used at the end of 2015. Here's how it works.
You'll find the game preview posted separately on the front page, two hours before game time (90 minutes for some early day games following night games).
At the same time, a StoryStream™ containing the preview will also post on the front page. The First Pitch Thread and all the overflow threads will be published in that stream, as well as the recap. The recap will also live on the front page as a separate post, and at the time I write the recap I will rename the stream "Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of Week) Game Threads" so you can go back and find every thread related to that particular game.
You will also be able to find the preview, First Pitch Thread, all the overflow threads and recap in the box marked "Chicago Cubs Game Threads" at the bottom of the front page (you can also find them in this section link). They will also appear in the game's StoryStream™ as noted above.
The First Pitch thread will post at five minutes before game time, then an overflow thread at one hour, two hours and 2:45 after the scheduled game time.
Discuss amongst yourselves.